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HomeMy WebLinkAbout0338.092I I . -- -,-' - July 23, 1992 HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL Palo Alto, califor~ia Attention: Finance committee THE su BJECT OF THIS REPORT ISA COUNCIL PRIORITY couwcIL PRiORITY: PALO ~_TO/S ECONOMIC FUTUltE/S'rAATEGIC PLAN Member~ of the Council: •• port In Brief This report transmits to the Council Finance committee a proposed draft for a study, to be prepared on a scheQule which will allow its results to be incorporated into the next t .. o-year budget, addressing Council's priority of Palo Alto's Economic Future. lackqroun:1 In ¥~rch 1992, the City Council referred to the Finance Committee the Council priority of Palo Alto's Economic Future. Included in thi~ priority were the follo...-inq: o Address the structural problems that stand in the way of balancinq revenues and expen,ji tures for tha: long t,.arIll; o conQuct an organizational revieTJ that will provide a comprehensive objective analysis of the organization and its sta.ffing patterns and identify possible areas of further economy and efficiency; C!IR:)3S:92 L - o Continue the analysis of appropriate levels of service, .. ith empr.asis on the del iver'l 5)'"stems of such services to estaolish higher standtords of efficiency and quality customer service. '.the organizational revie'o{ is !:ieing addresse.d separately by the Finance ColtllDittee, assisted "by a Blue Ribbon Task Force. The Colllltlittee postpone<.i work en the ether elements of th~ priorjty until the 1992-94 eudget process ~as completed. COilncil took further action on the first elemer.t of the priority, addressing the structural problertl.g that stand in the way of balancing revenues and expenditures in the lo~g-terro. during its deliberatior.s on the 1992-94 Budge~. The council referred to the Finan~e Committee the issue of developing a strategic plan desiqned to identify long-term solutions to the structural deficit in the City budget. The plan, .... hich is to be prepared on a schl';!dule which would permit its results to be incorporated into the next t~o-yaar bur:lget, ·""Quld strike. a balance~ acceptable to the comItll.lnity, between six elements! oNe ... revenues related to land-use policies; o New revenues from fees and charge!:>; o Savings from management/operational efficiencies; o Taxes; o Public/pri .... ate partnershipsj o Service level adjustments. staff is proposing the preparation of an analysis of the revenue ana expenditure components of the City's General Fund and special Revenue Funds. The Special Revenue Funds are proposed to be included since they represent revenues frolI't the State and Federal governments fer General Fund-type f>rograms, including streets and hi~hways, traffic signals, parking, housing, and social services. The Special Revenue Funds inciude the street Improve~ent fund {gas tax}, Federal Revenue Fund ,Community Development Block Grant}, Housing-in-j .. ieu Fund, 'Transportation Mitigation ?und and Special Districts Fund. The study 'Would bring together information, much of 'Which is currently available in various pa~ts of the city organization, and integrate it into a Single framework I providing the basis for long­ range planning and projections. Examples of sources of information internal to the city operation include Finance Department revenue budget projections, Utilities Department rate projection data, and sales tax information from the City's consultants. Demographic info.nt1ation that will be needed in the corrtpt·ehensive Plan will he CMR: 338: 9.2 2 I I r- - o developed by the Planninq Division. Statf ~ou]d also propcse to use the Economic Outlook co~ittee, the Chamber of Co~~erce, the Palo Alto Board of Re"ltors, and dir~cted intervielllE .... it..~ local business people for-further insight: into issues such as market factors, hotel occupancy, economic conditions and potential impact of l&nd use oecisions. Attachment I sho'",'s schemati-::ally ho..... staff .. :culd approach the study. The assumption is that analysis of city revenues on the one hand and City services 0:". :.he. other, on a historical, current and projected basis, ..... ill identify iss' ~s, problems and opportunities that can be addressed through e development of strategic alternatives. Staff's proposed s • ..ldy aSS;"lJmes that the Finance Committee., as part of the Organi~ational Revie'W, ilI111 identify ser"ices warrantinq more in-depth analysis, including prOjected need/demar,d for services, projected. future costs of services, and alternatives for service provision, among otherS4 Provided t}-!at this study is undertaken in t~e n~xt year, the work will be closely coordinated with ~ork on upl~ting the Comprehensive Plan4 Ultimately this study will be important i~put into the Plan update process~ both in terms of service levels and the revenues needed to support them. Responsibility for preparation of the report will be given to the Finance Department and Planrting Department, jointly. staff's involvement will, in large measure~ be handled through the City Manager's Corporate Planning program r< ther than the departments' normal work program. staff is conflden~ that the Council's goal of having' the strategic plan ready for integration into the next two­ year budget is realistic, and will return with a draft workplan and schedule, including deliverables, once the f~nal outline of the report is approved by the Finance Committee~ Recommendation staff recommends that the Finance Cormr:ittee review and make any changes to the proposed outline for the study to address council's priority of Palo Alto's economic future; and direct staff to return ~ith a proposed yorkplan and schedule for completion of the studY4 CMR:338:92 3 • • , Respecttully submitted j &, ~, E!!~'lARRISON -It. Director of Finance CMR:338:92 and Community Envirol"'.1'!tent 4 - o GENERAL FUND $ERVICES FUND!NG STUDY Ot~LINE I. Where do General Fund revenues come from? A. Sales Tax (1992-93; $14,550,aOO} CMR:ll8:92 1. Retail (i.e., non business-to-business) sales Allocate sales tax by qeog=aphic areas (1980- Present) Allccate sales tax by activity areas {1980s­ Present} Refine assumptions about ~hat percentage residents pay ClaLify the market area for Palo Alto sales Review market rv.C) 1980 and 1990 cenSU$ data for the area and develop trend information (See Develop scenarios for the future of the market area :2. Business-to-business sales Breakdown sales by activity and generator categories '1980s-present) Develop assumptions and projections by major s~les category and for leading generators 3. Thre-3ts to sales tax Changes to the distribution system State Budqet Reqional revenue sharing General economic conditions Market changes Demographic changes competitiveness of Palo Alto's sales tax generators 5 - B. _it Identify (to the ext.ent possl.ble) hoW' much of recent tZ"enjs is a res'..Jlt of the recessioJ1 and hv'''' mu.ch represents long-term structural change 14 Resideutial property tax Identity residential property sales trends (lSSQ-Present) and correlate with demographic data Develop property sales projections 2. Non-residential property tax Identify property sales trends f19S0-Present) Develop property sales projections J~ Real property conveyance tax revenue trends 4. Coordinate 'With future audit of the property tax allocation process c. Utility Users Tax (1992-93 : $5,600,000) D. CMR:33S:92 1. Identi£y utility use trends and projections 2. Identify utility use cost trends and projections Transient Occupancy Tax (1992-93 $3,350,000) 1. Analyze trends 3 • -by establishment -by location -by type of establishment Analyz-e potential impact of Hyatt closing (Le4 r how much actual loss and how much of a stift to other establishments) Develop Transient OccupancJ' Tax projections 6 - E. o other Taxes, Fines and Penalties (1992-93 = $4 1 500,000) 1~ Analyze trends by major revenue ~ate90ries (Vehi­ cle licer,se fees, vehicle fines, property convey­ ance taX -see I.B.3.) 2. Identify potertial trend changes and develop pro­ jections F. Service Fees and Permits (j992-9J ~ $6 1 800,000) G. 1. Analyze trends by major revenue categories -Relative cost recovery -Resident and non-resident fees 2. Identify pot~ntial trend changes and develop pro­ jections Joint Service $3,900,OOO} Agreements 1~ Analyze trends (stanford) (1992-93 2. Identify potential changes and develop projections H. Interest Earnings (~992-93 = $1,900,OOO} 1. Project interest earnings under diffe~ent account balance and interest ra~e scenarios 1. Analyze trends by major reven~e categories 2. Identify potential trend changes and develop pro­ jections J. Operating Transfers (1992-93 net = $12,900,000) CMR:338:92 1~ Explain equity tran~fer 2. Explain rent structure applicable to utilities 3. Analyze t.rends of transfers into and out of the Ge.neral Fund 7 - 4. Identif)' potential trend changes and develop pro­ ~ecti~!lS K. Special Reven~es 1. other Block aticn agencies (gas tax, Co:mmunity Development Grant (CDBG), !r.termodel Su~face Tr"nsport­ Efficiency Jt..ct (rSTEA} 2~ City-generated mitigation fees {housing, trans­ portation) 3. Analyte trends of major revenue categories 4. IdentIfy potential trend changes and develop pro­ j ections II~ What sources for additionineW' revem:.es exist? A. Land use-related revenues CKR:338:92 1. Establish revenues and costs for "typical" land uses 2. Identify recent land use changes ar~d reasons for those changes -Redevelop-oent -Changes in occupancy 3. potential revenues from land uses consistent with Palo Alto's policies -Reteil sales tax -Busine~s-to-business sales taA -Transient occupancy ta)( -Property ta.x -Property co.lVeyance tax -Utility users tax 4. Potential revenues from land ~ses requiring a change in Palo Alta's policies -R~tail sales tax -Susiness-to··business sal es tax -Transient occupancy tax -Property tax -Property conveyance tax -Utility users tax 8 -. B. Ne~/increased fees/charges C. NewJincreas~d taxes/assessments 1. Landscape and Liqhtinq District 2. Business License Ta~ 3. Maintenance Districts 4. Mello-Roos Distri~ts ~. Entrepreneurial activities E. Equity participation III. Undertake a Palo Alto Demographic Study lL Historic trends (1970, 1980 and 1990 census and other data) B. Collect information from availa.bl~ public and private sources C. Develop proj ections/ future scenarios D. Ida.ntify key trends ~nd aredS of likely change. from his~oric trends IV. Identify services that are not provided that may be desired/necessary in the next 5 years V. Capital improvement analysis A· Identify City capital expenditures for 1980 to the present -General Fund -Utilities -Special Revenue F'und B. Identify projected capital expenditures by general activity are.as VI. Historic staffing ana expenditure data (1980-1992) A. Personnel and non-personnel expenditures L Salar-ies 2. BenefitS\ B. Staffinq by department Cl!R:338:92 1- 2. Regular positions Contract/temporary positions 9 -,.' - 1M 1 -i, -" '0 ••• · c. Ic:3:entify 'lr,a:J~r prograxc changes frot:! 19Ba to the present. 1. City ini'ciated 2. Mandated by another level of government VIr. Identify a roaster list of services VIII. L Level of Service Study 2. Internal Services Coordinate 'With organizational RE: vi e',,; I a.nd deter!il.ine a~eas for more extensive analysis, such as: A. Identify recent historic service delivery trends B. Interview service providers 1. Public 2. Private 3. Non-profit C. Changes to the need for/demand for each service 1. Changes to the recipients of each service 2. Changes to the 'Way that the service is provided D. Projected costs of services 1. Identify fu'ture exr:e:1SE: s::::enarios 2. Personnel costs 3. Non personnel costs E. Alternatives for provision of services 1. Feasibility and impact of dropping the service 2. Feasibility and irTipact of redu:::ing the level of service 3. Can the service be cow~ined ~ith other government agencies'? 4. Public/Private partnerships 5. Cc.ntracting out the service 6. Can service be provided on a full cost recovery bas.is? 7. Identify ..,21Ys that the service can be provided :n-.cre efficiently CHR:338:92 10 L • U~f)'i~~i '1 Historic, current,1 , future D1LR{!\l~nu(~ Historic, c«rc""tJ ~uttlrp. _ lHues, Problems. Oppol·tunitie~ ,"':3,~' Attac~ment I ---~~-~--. Str-at{!gic illf;'rnit!i'{~~ o -~-~. !---''j'll Change ,ervice 10v"1. ! ~ Different ways of i provid)nq sH'/icl's, ~~N)Ue-(hangt>'S J --{ Uti 1 ity Phn:;:! •