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HomeMy WebLinkAboutStaff Report 2502-4116CITY OF PALO ALTO CITY COUNCIL Special Meeting Monday, March 03, 2025 Council Chambers & Hybrid 5:30 PM     Agenda Item     10.Sales Tax Digest Q3 (Jul-Sept) 2024 City Council Staff Report Report Type: INFORMATION REPORTS Lead Department: Administrative Services Meeting Date: March 3, 2025 Report #:2502-4116 TITLE Sales Tax Digest Q3 (Jul-Sept) 2024 ANALYSIS This report transmits information regarding the City of Palo Alto’s sales tax receipts for the second quarter (April-June) of 2024. Listed below are highlights from the report; detailed discussion and data can be found in the attached City of Palo Alto Sales Tax Digest and Legislative Update 2024 Q2 (Attachment A). Regional and statewide sales tax based upon adjusted economic benchmark year (Attachment A, p. 2) •Palo Alto: increased 0.3% •San Francisco Bay Area: decreased 2.9% •California statewide: decreased 2.5% City’s Most Significant Reasons for increases during this period (Attachment A, p. 1) •New Auto Sales segment increased 9.4%, comprises 15.4% of total sales tax •Restaurant segment increased by 6.1%, comprises 16.4% of total sales tax County Pool (Attachment A, p. 4) •The City’s share of the county pool for this quarter is 5.9%, lower from Q3 2023 •Sales tax receipts from the County pool totaled $1.4 million ATTACHMENTS Attachment A - 2024 Q3 Sales Tax Digest Summary APPROVED BY: Lauren Lai City of Palo Alto Collections through December 2024 Sales July through September 2024 (2024Q3) www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 1 California Overview For the year ending in the third quarter of 2024, cash receipts decreased by 2.0% statewide and decreased by 5.5% in S.F. Bay Area. However, when adjusted for non-period-related payments, the overall economic sales tax activity for the year ending in the third quarter of 2024 decreased by 2.5% statewide and decreased by 2.9% in S.F. Bay Area. For the year ending in the third quarter of 2024, sales tax cash receipts for the city decreased by 4.9% from the prior year. However, when adjusted for non-period related payments, the overall economic sales tax activity in Palo Alto for the year ending in the third quarter of 2024 increased by 0.3%. The primary drivers of Palo Alto's sales tax increase were the restaurants and new auto sales sectors. Restaurant sales tax revenue rose by 6.1%, representing 16.4% of the city's total sales tax. Year-over-year, new auto sales grew by 9.4%, contributing 15.4% to the total sales tax revenue. Same quarter sales tax cash receipts decreased by 4.2% in California from Q3 2023 to Q2 2024. The Palo Alto citywide sales tax cash receipts decreased by 15.3% over the Q3 2023 to Q2 2024 period. Key reasons for the Palo Alto decrease during this period were: 1) Decrease in the business services segment, 2) Decrease in furniture & appliance stores (mainly electronics stores) from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024 by 19.4%, 3) Decrease in the leasing segment of 11.5% which comprises 19.4% of the total sales tax for the city. According to the California New Car Dealers Association (CNCDA), California’s new light vehicle registrations fell by 1.7% in 2024Q3. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 2 %P C S S S V C S I N G 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 F 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 T 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 B 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 M 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 T 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 P C S S S V C S I N L L R R R M R R M R R %1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 R A N A M R D A N R D S %1 1 9 1 1 1 1 1 3 A M R O E A N R M R A A %1 1 7 1 1 9 1 1 E E Regional Overview The first chart on page two shows adjusted economic benchmark year amounts, which shows the year ended third quarter of 2024 compared to the year ended third quarter of 2023 (benchmark years are rolling annual comparisons through the current quarter). The growth rates are different between the state and Palo Alto because the sales tax from businesses in Palo Alto performed better overall than the statewide average. BENCHMARK YEAR 2024Q3 COMPARED TO BENCHMARK YEAR 2023Q3 City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 3 L 1 R 1 A -N 1 O 7A 6 A 3 N 1 $- $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Q B Gross Historical Sales Tax Cash Receipts by Benchmark Year and Quarter (Before Adjustments) *Benchmark year (BMY) is the sum of the current and 3 previous quarters (2024Q3 BMY is sum of 2024 Q3, 2024 Q2, 2024 Q1, 2023 Q4) City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Q O Q T 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 J 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - J 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 A M S A M S A N T A N T B R T B R U H S V H S V L County Pool Results The California sales tax system is referred to as a ‘sales and use tax’ system which covers both sales tax and ‘use tax’. The County Pool revenues largely reflect use tax from qualifying transactions that do not involve a California based point of sale. Businesses report their use tax quarterly based on business activity conducted throughout the county. The County Pool is distributed each quarter based upon a formula where the jurisdiction’s quarterly percentage is based upon its total sales tax receipts for the quarter as a percentage of all sales tax receipts for all jurisdictions within the county. Thus, if local business activity (sales tax receipts) within Palo Alto increases in the quarter relative to the rest of the county, then the Palo Alto County pool percentage also will increase for the quarter compared to the rest of the county. The total county pool is multiplied by the city’s quarterly percentage to determine the jurisdiction share each quarter. In the third quarter of 2024, cash receipts for the overall County Pool increased by 4.1% from the same quarter in the prior year. The City’s share of the County Pool decreased to 5.9%. The City’s revenues from the County Pool decreased from $1,489,193 in 2023Q3 to $1,377,891 in 2024Q3. TOP 25 SALES/USE TAX CONTRIBUTORS The following list identifies Palo Alto’s Top 25 Sales/Use Tax contributors. The list is in alphabetical order and represents the year ended third quarter of 2024. The Top 25 Sales/Use Tax contributors generate 60.1% of Palo Alto’s total sales and use tax revenue. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 5 B B Sales Tax from Largest Non-Confidential Sales Tax Segments (Economic) City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 6 E 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 B 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 M 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 G 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 F 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 S 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 6 N 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 6 1 T 1 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 8 7 8 8 E 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 M 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 R 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 M 6 5 5 4 6 4 5 4 5 3 4 4 A 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 4 3 D 5 4 5 4 5 4 4 3 5 4 4 3 S 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 F 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 1 9 B 0 5 8 2 9 8 9 7 9 6 8 6 S 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 6 N 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 6 1 T 1 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 8 7 8 Historical Analysis by Calendar Quarter The chart above shows the categories and segments in quarterly economic basis amounts. The total amount is the net cash receipts, and it was obtained by adding up the categories/segments with the “Net Pools & Adjustments” amount. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 7 E 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 B 2 9 1 8 7 8 8 6 5 5 4 M 1 6 6 6 6 5 8 7 6 6 5 G 2 7 7 7 6 5 7 8 8 8 8 F 1 5 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 S 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 N 1 5 7 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 T 1 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 E 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 M 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 R 1 4 4 4 2 2 4 4 4 4 3 M 6 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 A 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 D 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 S 2 8 8 8 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 B 0 2 4 6 2 5 8 8 7 8 8 F 1 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 S 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 N 1 5 7 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 T 1 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 Historical Analysis by Calendar BMY from 2015Q3 to 2024Q3 The chart above shows the categories and segments in benchmark year economic basis amounts. The total amount is the net cash receipts, and it was obtained by adding up the categories/segments with the “Net Pools & Adjustments” amount. Benchmark year (BMY) is the sum of the current and 3 previous quarters (2024Q3 BMY is sum of 2024 Q3, 2024 Q2, 2024 Q1, 2023 Q4). City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 8 G F T B M 2 2 %L S G L S D C -0 --0 2 2 -M B I S C -1 --2 8 8 -I R O S G -2 ---4 4 -R F A H L -4 -3 1 6 6 3 R B S F L -3 ---1 1 -B R A M M 5 ---8 5 5 -E A S O M -----2 2 -O C E A M -2 ---4 4 -A R S A P -3 --5 7 7 -L B L A S -0 --0 4 5 -G E O A S 1 1 -4 1 1 1 1 O E A L C -5 -1 3 1 1 1 R E A F S -3 --1 2 2 3 B R O S S -3 -9 -7 7 -L B M H Quarterly Analysis by Sales Tax Category: Change from 2023Q3 to 2024Q3 (Economic) Unlike the chart on page one which showed a ‘benchmark year’ through the third quarter of 2024, the chart above shows a comparison of one quarter only – third quarter of 2024 to third quarter of 2023. This chart is for local ‘brick and mortar’ businesses, and it excludes county pools and adjustments. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 9 C %2 2 2 2 F 3 9 9 6 5 G -2 2 1 1 A 0 4 4 2 2 T 1 1 1 1 1 E %2 2 2 2 F -1 1 3 2 G -3 3 6 5 A -3 4 6 6 T -4 6 1 1 G %2 2 2 2 F -5 5 6 6 G -2 2 2 2 B 3 4 3 5 3 C 1 1 8 2 1 M -7 7 0 1 T -3 3 0 0 T -8 8 1 1 S %2 2 2 2 G -1 1 7 7 F 0 1 1 1 9 A -1 2 9 1 T -1 1 1 1 City of Palo Alto Geo Areas & Citywide Chart Data: Change from 2023Q3 to 2024Q3 (Economic) City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 10 T %2 2 2 2 F 1 1 1 6 6 G -6 6 3 3 A -6 2 0 1 T -1 1 1 1 A %2 2 2 2 B -2 2 3 3 G -1 1 2 2 T -1 1 2 2 F 0 1 1 1 1 M 3 6 4 1 0 C 2 3 2 0 0 T -6 7 1 1 A %2 2 2 2 B -3 3 4 5 S -1 1 2 2 G -8 8 1 1 E -4 6 8 8 T -1 1 2 2 C 1 1 1 2 2 T -6 7 1 1 P %2 2 2 2 B -2 2 3 3 G -1 1 2 2 F 3 1 1 1 1 T -1 1 1 2 M 2 2 2 3 2 C 2 1 3 1 0 T -7 7 1 1 City of Palo Alto Geo Areas & Citywide Chart Data: Change from 2023Q3 to 2024Q3 (Economic) Cont. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 11 F , 3 9 , 6 G , -6 2 , 1 A , 0 4 , 2 C F ,9 , 5 T G , $2 ,1 T A ,4 , 2 T C F , -4 C 1 , 3 T G , -5 3 , 6 T A , -2 $3 , 6 T E 2 S F ,1 , 2 T G , $5 T A , 6 T E 2 S City of Palo Alto Geo Area Pie Charts City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 12 F , -0 C 5 , 6 T G , -6 $2 , 2 T B , 3 4 , 5 T C , 1 1 , 2 T M , -3 7 , 0 T T , -0 3 , 0 T G 2 S F , $5 ,6 T G , $2 ,2 T B , $3 ,3 T C ,8 , 1 T M ,7 , 1 T T ,3 , 0 T G 2 S G $1 , 7 T F ,1 , 9 T A ,2 , 1 T S 2 S G , -6 1 , 7 TF, 0 $1 , 1 T A ,-4 $1 ,9 T S 2 S City of Palo Alto Geo Areas Pie Charts City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 13 FOOD PRODUCTS, 1.4%CHANGE, $114,338 , 62.7%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, -2.6% CHANGE, $67,994 , 37.3%TOTAL ALL OTHER, -97.8% CHANGE, $64 , 0.0%TOTAL Town And Country Shopping Center 2024Q3 SALES TAX AMOUNTS FOOD PRODUCTS, $112,781 , 60.8%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $69,832 , 37.6%TOTAL ALL OTHER, $2,892 , 1.6%TOTAL Town And Country Shopping Center 2023Q3 SALES TAX AMOUNTS BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, -23.3%CHANGE, $2,041,438 , 32.7%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, -6.7% CHANGE, $1,653,138, 26.5% TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, -19.4% CHANGE, $1,312,722, 21.0% TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS, 0.5% CHANGE, $1,142,365 , 18.3%TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS, 30.9% CHANGE, $65,461 , 1.0%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, 23.5% CHANGE, $31,641 , 0.5%TOTAL All Other Geos combined with Balance of Jurisdiction 2024Q3 SALES TAX AMOUNTS BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, $2,661,080 , 36.6%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $1,771,654, 24.4% TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, $1,628,437 , FOOD PRODUCTS, $1,136,411 , MISCELLANEOUS, $49,999 , 0.7%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, $25,618 , 0.4%TOTAL All Other Geos combined with Balance of Jurisdiction 2023Q3 SALES TAX AMOUNTS City of Palo Alto Geo Area Pie Charts City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 14 B , -1 C $3 , 4 T S , -1 1 , 2 T G , -0 $8 ,1 T E , -1 4 , 8 T T , -1 1 ,2 T C , $1 ,2 T A 2 S B , $3 ,5 T S , $1 ,2 T G , $8 ,1 T E , $6 ,8 T T , $1 ,2 T C , $1 ,2 T A 2 S B , -2 C 2 , 3 T G , -0 1 , 2 T F , 3 $1 , 1 T T , -1 $1 , 1 T M , $2 ,3 T C , 2 1 , 1 T P 2 S B , $2 ,3 T G , $1 , 2 T F , $1 , 1 T T , $1 2 T M ,2 , 2 T C ,3 , 0 T P 2 S City of Palo Alto Geo Area & Citywide Pie Charts