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HomeMy WebLinkAboutStaff Report 2408-3364CITY OF PALO ALTO CITY COUNCIL Special Meeting Monday, October 21, 2024 Council Chambers & Hybrid 5:30 PM     Agenda Item     16.Informational Report on the Annual Review of the City’s Renewable Procurement Plan, Renewable Portfolio Standard Compliance, and Carbon Neutral Electric Supplies for 2023; CEQA Status – Not a Project City Council Staff Report From: City Manager Report Type: INFORMATION REPORTS Lead Department: Utilities Meeting Date: October 21, 2024 Report #:2408-3364 TITLE Informational Report on the Annual Review of the City’s Renewable Procurement Plan, Renewable Portfolio Standard Compliance, and Carbon Neutral Electric Supplies for 2023; CEQA Status – Not a Project RECOMMENDATION No action is necessary in response to this staff report. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Like all electric utilities in California, Palo Alto is subject to the state’s Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) mandate of 60% by 2030. The City has also adopted a Carbon Neutral Plan, which led to the achievement of a carbon neutral electric supply portfolio starting in 2013 (and which was updated by Council in August 2020). In 2011, in compliance with state RPS regulations, the Council also formally adopted an RPS Procurement Plan and an RPS Enforcement Program that recognize certain elements of the state’s RPS law applicable to publicly-owned utilities. The RPS Enforcement Program requires the City Manager, or their designee, the Utilities Director, to conduct an annual review of the Electric Utility’s compliance with the procurement targets set forth in the City’s RPS Procurement Plan. This staff report satisfies the reporting requirements of the City’s RPS Enforcement Program, while also providing an update on the City’s compliance with the Carbon Neutral Plan. The City continues to meet both its RPS and Carbon Neutral Plan objectives—even after selling 223,000 MWh of renewable energy in 2023. BACKGROUND The City currently has two independent procurement targets related to renewable and carbon neutral electricity: •RPS Procurement Plan (60% by 2030): The City’s official renewable electricity goal is contained in the RPS Procurement Plan that the City was required to adopt under Section 399.30(a) of California’s Public Utilities Code. This was adopted in December 2011 (Staff Report 22251, Resolutions 92142 and 92153) and updated in November 2013 (Staff Report 41684, Resolution 93815), December 2018 (Staff Report 97616, Resolution 98027), and December 2020 (Staff Report 116508, Resolution 99299). The last update to the RPS Procurement Plan brought it into alignment with the state’s 60% RPS requirement (SB 100), which was signed into law in 2018. The RPS Procurement Plan and RPS Enforcement Program complement each other: the Procurement Plan establishes official procurement targets, while the Enforcement Program specifies the reporting and monitoring that is required of the Utilities Director while working to achieve those targets. The procurement requirement in the current version of the City’s RPS Procurement Plan is that the City acquire renewable electricity supplies equal to 60% of retail sales by 2030, which is in line with the state’s current RPS mandate. The RPS Procurement Plan also contains an escalating set of targets for six interim Compliance Periods (2011-2013, 2014- 2016, 2017-2020, 2021-2024, 2025-2027, and 2028-2030), as well as subsequent 3-year compliance periods beginning in 2031. •Carbon Neutral Plan (100% Carbon Neutral Electricity): The Carbon Neutral Plan was adopted in March 2013 (Staff Report 355010, Resolution 932211) and updated in August 2020 (Staff Report 1155612, Resolution 991313), and requires that the City procure a carbon neutral electric supply portfolio starting in calendar year (CY) 2013. In general, this 1 Staff Report 2225: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/from-archive/agendas-minutes- reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/2011/final-staff-report-id-2225-renewable-energy-procurement- enforcement-prog-12-12-11.pdf 2 Resolution 9214: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/reso-9214.pdf 3 Resolution 9215: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/reso-9215.pdf 4 Staff Report 4168: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/agendas-minutes-reports/reports/city- manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2013/final-staff-report-id-4168_rps-procurement-plan-update.pdf 5 Resolution 9381: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/reso-9381.pdf 6 Staff Report 9761: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/agendas-minutes-reports/reports/city- manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2018/final-staff-report-id9761_approval-of-the-2018-electric-integrated- resource-plan-and-related-documents.pdf 7 Resolution 9802: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/reso- 9802.pdf?t=40498.07 8 Staff Report 11650: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/agendas-minutes- reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2020-2/id-11650.pdf?t=41063.12 9 Resolution 9929: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/resolutions-1909- to-present/2020/reso-9929.pdf 10 Staff Report 3550: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/agendas-minutes- reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2013/final-staff-report-id-3550_electric-supply-portfolio- carbon-neutral-plan.pdf 11 Resolution 9322: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/reso-9322- 33835.pdf 12 Staff Report 11556: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/agendas-minutes- reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2020-2/id-11566.pdf 13 Resolution 9913: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/reso- 9913.pdf?t=40151.26 goal is expected to be achieved primarily through purchases made under the City’s long- term renewable power purchase agreements (PPAs) and output from its hydroelectric resources. However, when the City Council approved an update to the Carbon Neutral Plan in August 2020, they also approved a new procurement strategy whereby the City does not keep all of the output of its long-term, in-state PPAs, but instead exchanges that output for less expensive out-of-state renewable generation (with the net proceeds used to fund local decarbonization programs). ANALYSIS The City continues to meet its objectives under the RPS Procurement Plan and the Carbon Neutral Plan and achieved an RPS level of 39.3% in 2023. This value is slightly short of the state’s 41.25% RPS procurement “soft target” for the year; however, the City remains compliant with the state RPS procurement mandate, which is evaluated over a multi-year horizon (2021-2024 in this case). The City also has more than enough RPS supplies under contract to far exceed the state’s soft target levels in the last year of the four-year compliance period—and beyond. Below is a summary of CPAU’s progress toward satisfying its renewable energy and carbon neutral procurement targets. RPS Procurement Plan Compliance In CY 2023, the City initially received 519,843 MWh of renewable energy through its long-term contracts for wind, solar, landfill gas, and small hydro resources (which represents 62.3% of the City’s total retail sales for that period). Additionally, the City received 486,132 MWh of large hydroelectric generation (representing 58.3% of the City’s total retail sales), which is not classified as eligible renewable generation by the state. Based on the Council’s decision in August 2020 to pursue the “REC Exchange Program” (Staff Report 1155614, Resolution 991315) the City sold 223,362 MWh of in-state renewable energy supplies, yielding $9.03 million in sales revenue, while purchasing 200,000 MWh of out-of-state renewable energy16, at a cost of $1.19 million. Figure 1 below depicts the City’s load and supply resources for CY 2023, before and after the REC Exchanges described above. Accounting for these transactions, the City’s net renewable energy supplies totaled 496,232 MWh, which represents 59.5% of the City’s total retail sales for 2023. However, under the state’s RPS regulations the majority of the out-of-state renewable energy purchases were not able to be applied to the City’s RPS requirement, hence the City’s official RPS level was only 39.3%. 14 Staff Report 11556: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/agendas-minutes- reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2020-2/id-11566.pdf 15 Resolution 9913: https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/v/1/city-clerk/resolutions/reso- 9913.pdf?t=40151.26 16 Not including 30,000 MWh of RECs purchased on behalf of PaloAltoGreen customers. Figure 1: CY 2023 Electric Load and Supply Resources, With and Without REC Exchange Transactions For CY 2024 to date, the City has contracted to sell about 160,000 MWh of in-state renewable generation and has purchased about 133,000 MWh of out-of-state renewable generation. Figure 2 below depicts the City’s projected load and supply resources for CY 2024, before and after the REC Exchanges described above. Once these transactions are accounted for, they are projected to yield a total of about $10.9 million in net revenue, and an official RPS level of 44% (equal to the state’s RPS soft target for 202417). 17 Note that even if the City were to fall short of the 44% RPS soft target in 2024 it would still be able to comply with its overall RPS obligation for the 2021-2024 compliance period, due to its accumulation of surplus RECs (or “Excess Procurement”) from prior years. Figure 2: Projected CY 2024 Electric Load and Supply Resources, With and Without REC Exchange Transactions In accordance with the state’s RPS Program requirements, CPAU’s Procurement Plan is intended to yield a renewable electric supply portfolio that balances environmental goals with system reliability while maintaining low and stable retail electric rates. The state RPS program requires retail electricity suppliers like CPAU to procure progressively larger renewable electricity supplies across a series of separate multi-year Compliance Periods. CPAU’s procurement targets, as well as its actual/projected procurement volumes and RPS levels, for the first three Compliance Periods are summarized in Table 1 below. Table 1: RPS Compliance Period Procurement Targets and Actual Procurement RPS Compliance Period Years Retail Sales (MWh) Procurement Target (MWh) Actual/Projected Procurement (MWh) % of Retail Sales 1 2011-2013 2,837,773 567,555 607,740 21.4% 2 2014-2016 2,801,056 605,949 826,855 29.5% 3 2017-2020 3,487,686 1,043,426 1,619,303 46.4% 4 2021-2024 3,302,501 1,318,639 1,318,639 39.9% TOTALS 12,429,016 3,535,570 4,372,537 35.2% Carbon Neutral Plan In CY 2023, CPAU achieved its goal, set forth in the Carbon Neutral Plan, of an electric supply portfolio with zero net greenhouse (GHG) emissions for the 11th consecutive year. Carbon neutrality was achieved in CY 2023 through existing hydro and renewable generation (wind, solar, and landfill gas). As discussed above, due to the Council’s adoption of the REC Exchange Program in August 2020, the City sold 223,362 MWh of in-state renewable energy supplies, yielding $9.03 million in sales revenue, while purchasing 200,000 MWh of out-of-state renewable energy, at a cost of $1.19 million. Accounting for these transactions, the City’s net renewable energy supplies totaled 496,232 MWh, which represents 59.5% of the City’s total retail sales for 2023. The remainder of the City’s needs were supplied by large hydroelectric resources. When the City Council approved an update to the Carbon Neutral Plan in August 2020, the primary change was to adopt an hourly carbon accounting methodology as the basis for determining whether the City has met its carbon neutrality objective. Using an annual accounting approach, the City had an overall surplus of 98,106 MWh of carbon neutral generation compared to its load (equal to 11.4% total load) in 2023, and thus substantially exceeded the carbon neutrality standard. Meanwhile, under the hourly carbon accounting approach,18 the City’s electric supply portfolio also exceeded the carbon neutrality standard, being responsible for a net negative amount of GHG emissions: -1,617 metric tons of CO2 equivalent. See Figure 3 below for a depiction of the City’s monthly total net CO2 emissions for 2023, as well as the monthly average emissions intensity for the California electric grid. 18 The City’s hourly carbon accounting methodology entails calculating the City’s net surplus or deficit carbon neutral supply position relative to its load in every hour of the year. The grid average electricity emissions intensity for each hour is then applied to each of these hourly surpluses or deficits to yield a net emissions contribution (or reduction) that the City’s electric supply portfolio is responsible for in that hour. These hourly emissions totals are then summed across the entire year to yield the City’s annual emissions total for the year. Figure 3: CY 2022 Monthly Net Electric Supply Emissions and CAISO Emissions Intensity For CY 2024, above average hydro conditions are expected to result in about 58% of the City’s electric supply needs being supplied by hydroelectric resources (compared to a long-term annual average of about 45%), with the remainder coming from non-hydro renewable energy resources. FISCAL/RESOURCE IMPACT This is an informational report that has no fiscal or resource impact to the Utilities Department or the City. As noted above, the implementation of the REC Exchange Program resulted in net revenue of $7.84 million for CY 2023. STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT This is an informational report only and no stakeholder engagement is necessary. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW This report is for informational purposes only with no action required by the Council. The Council’s review of this report does not meet the definition of a “project” pursuant to Public Resources Code Section 21065, thus California Environmental Quality Act review is not required. APPROVED BY: Dean Batchelor, Director of Utilities Staff: James Stack, PhD, Senior Resource Planner