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HomeMy WebLinkAboutStaff Report 2303-118312.Sales Tax Digest Summary Calendar 2022 Q4 (October 2022 – December 2022) City Council Staff Report From: City Manager Report Type: INFORMATION REPORTS Lead Department: Administrative Services Meeting Date: May 1 2023 Report #:2303-1183 TITLE Sales Tax Digest Summary Calendar 2022 Q4 (October 2022 – December 2022) DISCUSSION This report transmits information regarding the City of Palo Alto’s sales tax receipts for the fourth quarter (October to December) of 2022. There are two attachments to this report that provide further and more detailed levels of information: 1. City of Palo Alto Sales Tax Digest Summary 2022 Q4 (Attachment A) 2. California Legislative Update for Local Taxes (Attachment B) The City’s sales tax cash receipts of $9.6 million for the fourth quarter (October to December 2022) is $594,000 (6.6%) higher than the same quarter of the prior year (see Attachment A, Historical Analysis by Calendar Quarter). This increase includes late payment anomalies related to the state sales tax extension program. When adjusted for nonperiod related payments, the overall economic quarter over quarter sales tax activity (Q4 2021 to Q4 2022) in Palo Alto increased by 7.2%. This is likely due to higher prices of goods and services as a result of inflation and a combination of recovery and other factors (consumers, businesses, and organizations getting back to pre-pandemic trends along with non- pandemic related business performance changes). Generally, the pace of the City’s recovery from the pandemic has lagged compared to other regions. Growth for the state and Northern California reflects inflationary growth while the growth reported for the City reflects both inflationary grown and lagged recovery. For the year ending in the fourth quarter of 2022, cash receipts (including county pools) for the City increased by 13.4% from the prior year. In comparison, statewide increased by 8.1% and Northern California increased by 7.4%. After adjustments for non-period related payments, the overall economic sales tax activity in Palo Alto for the year increased by 14.8%, while it increased 2.5% for the state and decreased 5.9% in Northern California. Both the state and Northern California did not see as significant sales tax decline compared to the City and overall recovered ahead of the City. The City’s economic sales tax loss bottomed out at a 25.9% decline (calendar 2021 Q1), while the state and Northern California experienced 17.4% and 18.8% declines, respectively, during the same quarter. The fourth quarter includes $1.8 million of sales tax receipts from the county pool. The City’ s share of the county pool for this quarter is 6.2%, up from 5.9% in the fourth quarter of 2021. County pools are primarily from online purchases from out-of-state companies, remote sellers who ship merchandise to California/ County destinations, and private vehicle sales that are not directly allocated to a jurisdiction. County pools are allocated to local jurisdictions based on each jurisdiction’ s share of total sales taxes. ATTACHMENTS Attachment A - City of Palo Alto Sales Tax Digest Summary, 2022 Q4 Attachment B - California Legislative Update for Local Taxes APPROVED BY: Kiely Nose, Assistant City Manager City of Palo Alto Sales Tax Digest Summary Collections through February 2023 Sales October through December 2022 (2022Q4) www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 1 California Overview For the year ending in fourth quarter of 2022, cash receipts increased 8.1% statewide, 7.4% in Northern California. However, when adjusted for non-period related payments, the overall economic sales tax activity for the year ending in fourth quarter of 2022 increased by 2.5% statewide, and down 5.9% in Northern California. City of Palo Alto For the year ending in the fourth quarter of 2022, sales tax cash receipts for the city increased by 13.4% from the prior year. However, when adjusted for non-period related payments, the overall economic sales tax activity in Palo Alto for the year ending in fourth quarter of 2022 increased by 14.8%. On a quarterly basis, sales tax cash receipts increased by 6.6% from Quarter 4 of 2021 to Quarter 4 of 2022. However, this increase includes late payment anomalies related to a state sales tax extension program. The period’s cash receipts include tax from business activity during the period, payments for prior periods and other cash adjustments. When adjusted for non-period related payments, the overall economic quarter over quarter sales tax activity (Q4 2021 to Q4 2022) in Palo Alto increased by 7.2%. A large, one-time audit decision of -$612,000 negatively impacted the city’s cash receipts this quarter. Without the correction, sales tax cash receipts would have increased by approximately 12.4% from Quarter 2 of 2021 to Quarter 2 of 2022. Approximately 3.8% of that adjusted 12.4% Q2 of 2022 over Q2 of 2021 increase might be attributed to inflation, based on increases in the Consumer Price Index, (CPI- U). Very little of Palo Alto’s adjusted 12.4% increase might be attributed to increased economic activity, based on changes in US Real GDP. Roughly 1.7% is attributable to a decrease in payments from prior periods, due to Palo Alto taxpayers getting caught up with payments. The remaining roughly 6.9% is a combination of recovery and other factors (consumers, businesses and organizations getting back to Pre- Pandemic trends along with non-pandemic related business performance changes). Note that some of these factors are based on broad based data and thus, these growth factors should be treated as rough guidelines for economic activity changes this quarter. Regional Overview The first chart on page two shows adjusted economic benchmark year amounts, which means that it shows a full calendar year from the fourth quarter of 2021 through fourth quarter of 2022 compared to fourth quarter of 2020 through fourth quarter of 2021 (benchmark years are rolling annual comparisons through the current quarter). The decrease is different between the state and Palo Alto because the sales tax from businesses in Palo Alto were more impacted than those statewide. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 2 % of Total / % Change Palo Alto California Statewide S.F. Bay Area Sacramento Valley Central Valley South Coast Inland Empire North Coast General Retail 27.4 / 12.2 27.8 / -0.7 23.4 / -18.7 27.9 / 1.9 36.3 / -1.8 26.2 / 2.4 32.7 / 14.9 25.5 / -23.4 Food Products 16.8 / 31.1 20.0 / 4.9 20.5 / -12.9 15.9 / 9.4 14.2 / 4.6 22.3 / 9.5 17.2 / 13.9 17.6 / -7.7 Transportation 19.5 / -2.5 24.9 / 6.2 21.4 / -15.8 27.5 / 5.6 23.2 / 6.1 25.8 / 10.5 25.8 / 24.6 30.4 / -6.2 Business to Business 32.7 / 27.1 16.2 / 1.7 22.5 / -14.4 14.4 / 12.4 15.2 / 10.9 15.9 / 4.2 10.7 / 25.0 10.8 / -1.2 Misc/Other 3.6 / -14.2 11.1 / -0.6 12.2 / -17.1 14.3 / 6.2 11.2 / 3.2 9.7 / 0.2 13.7 / 19.4 15.7 / -11.6 Total 100.0 / 14.8 100.0 / 2.5 100.0 / -15.8 100.0 / 6.1 100.0 / 3.2 100.0 / 6.0 100.0 / 18.7 100.0 / -11.9 Palo Alto California Statewide S.F. Bay Area Sacramento Valley Central Valley South Coast Inland Empire North Coast Largest Segment Leasing Restaurants Restaurants Auto Sales - New Miscellaneous Retail Restaurants Miscellaneous Retail Service Stations % of Total / % Change 20.7 / 24.6 14.1 / 8.4 14.6 / -8.4 11.2 / 1.2 13.4 / 0.5 16.2 / 13.6 16.0 / 24.9 12.1 / 13.5 2nd Largest Segment Auto Sales - New Auto Sales - New Auto Sales - New Restaurants Department Stores Auto Sales - New Restaurants Auto Sales - New % of Total / % Change 15.2 / -8.5 11.6 / 1.4 10.2 / -22.8 10.8 / 11.4 11.1 / 2.2 13.1 / 8.7 10.5 / 16.6 11.1 / -18.3 3rd Largest Segment Restaurants Miscellaneous Retail Department Stores Miscellaneous Retail Restaurants Department Stores Auto Sales - New Restaurants % of Total / % Change 15.0 / 33.5 9.1 / 4.3 8.0 / -8.1 10.5 / 2.4 9.3 / 5.0 8.1 / 3.0 10.4 / 9.7 11.1 / -6.6 ECONOMIC CATEGORY ANALYSIS FOR YEAR ENDED 4th Quarter 2022 ECONOMIC SEGMENT ANALYSIS FOR YEAR ENDED 4th Quarter 2022 $- $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 Quarterly Benchmark Year Regional Overview Chart (Economic) BENCHMARK YEAR 2022Q4 COMPARED TO BENCHMARK YEAR 2021Q 4 Gross Historical Sales Tax Cash Receipts by Benchmark Year and Quarter (Before Adjustments) City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 3 Anderson Honda Macy's Department Store Stanford Health Care Apple Stores Magnussen's Toyota of Palo Alto Tesla Arco AM/PM Mini Marts Neiman Marcus Tesla Lease Trust Audi Palo Alto Nordstrom Department Store Tiffany & Company Bloomingdale's Richemont Union 76 Service Stations Hengehold Trucks Rivian Automotive Valero Service Stations Hermes Shell Service Stations Varian Medical Systems HP Enterprise Services Shreve & Co.Volvo Cars Palo Alto Louis Vuitton Auto Sales -New 15.2% Restaurants 15.0% Office Equipment 7.0% Apparel Stores 6.6% Department Stores 6.3% All Other 49.9% Net Pools & Adjustments 20.5% Net Cash Receipts for Benchmark Year fourth Quarter 2022: $34,043,639 *Benchmark year (BMY) is the sum of the current and 3 previous quarters (2022Q4 BMY is sum of 2022 Q4, 2022 Q3, 2022 Q2, 2022 Q1) TOP 25 SALES/USE TAX CONTRIBUTORS The following list identifies Palo Alto’s Top 25 Sales/Use Tax contributors. The list is in alphabetical order and represents the year ended fourth quarter of 2022. The Top 25 Sales/Use Tax contributors generate 61.4% of Palo Alto’s total sales and use tax revenue. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 4 $- $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 $3,000,000 $3,500,000 $4,000,000 $4,500,000 $5,000,000 Benchmark Year 2022Q4 Benchmark Year 2021Q4 Sales Tax from Largest Non-Confidential Sales Tax Segments (Economic) City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 5 Economic Category % 2022Q4 2022Q3 2022Q2 2022Q1 2021Q4 2021Q3 2021Q2 2021Q1 2020Q4 2020Q3 2020Q2 Business To Business 26.8%2,571,178 2,194,817 2,095,020 2,031,199 2,136,501 1,689,561 1,559,814 1,700,725 1,937,072 1,909,078 1,851,601 Miscellaneous/Other 15.8%1,517,005 1,597,816 1,724,861 1,701,538 1,687,189 1,812,731 1,743,358 1,558,859 1,777,635 1,480,228 997,005 General Retail 24.0%2,305,038 1,802,777 1,920,316 1,639,417 2,282,253 1,687,461 1,740,666 1,153,240 1,608,823 1,143,497 660,300 Food Products 13.1%1,260,287 1,230,824 1,227,240 1,018,577 1,083,309 999,729 912,939 635,705 674,469 651,271 439,540 Subtotal Economic (Local Business)79.8%7,653,508 6,826,234 6,967,438 6,390,731 7,189,252 6,189,482 5,956,778 5,048,529 5,997,999 5,184,075 3,948,447 Net Pools & Adjustments 20.2%1,935,580 1,862,181 686,044 1,721,924 1,806,328 584,508 1,513,663 1,741,273 1,343,184 1,339,250 1,877,921 Total Cash Receipts 100.0%9,589,088 8,688,414 7,653,481 8,112,655 8,995,580 6,773,990 7,470,441 6,789,802 7,341,183 6,523,324 5,826,368 Economic Segment % 2022Q4 2022Q3 2022Q2 2022Q1 2021Q4 2021Q3 2021Q2 2021Q1 2020Q4 2020Q3 2020Q2 Miscellaneous/Other 46.8%4,490,992 4,087,158 4,008,008 3,949,786 3,969,954 3,752,178 3,570,610 3,406,995 3,982,753 3,567,251 3,181,367 Restaurants 11.6%1,114,637 1,102,248 1,093,944 902,707 947,771 884,911 799,544 540,244 557,662 546,924 342,533 Miscellaneous Retail 5.7%545,797 381,616 479,710 432,956 679,381 412,016 514,516 338,032 489,417 329,678 108,953 Apparel Stores 5.6%538,573 435,730 495,508 392,724 540,782 406,274 398,447 264,318 365,627 265,136 72,307 Department Stores 5.6%533,032 423,601 454,349 367,144 525,295 388,703 384,763 237,522 315,453 186,316 29,842 Service Stations 2.2%215,640 233,387 250,715 191,755 190,610 181,460 157,268 116,258 111,242 108,840 70,063 Food Markets 1.2%116,810 99,811 104,253 91,634 108,203 90,773 89,773 74,397 89,739 81,580 77,803 Business Services 1.0%98,027 62,683 80,950 62,025 227,256 73,169 41,858 70,763 86,107 98,350 65,579 Subtotal Economic (Local Business)79.8%7,653,508 6,826,234 6,967,438 6,390,731 7,189,252 6,189,482 5,956,778 5,048,529 5,997,999 5,184,075 3,948,447 Net Pools & Adjustments 20.2%1,935,580 1,862,181 686,044 1,721,924 1,806,328 584,508 1,513,663 1,741,273 1,343,184 1,339,250 1,877,921 Total Cash Receipts 100.0%9,589,088 8,688,414 7,653,481 8,112,655 8,995,580 6,773,990 7,470,441 6,789,802 7,341,183 6,523,324 5,826,368 Historical Analysis by Calendar Quarter The chart above shows the categories and segments in quarterly economic basis amounts. The total amount is the net cash recei pts, and it was obtained by adding up the categories/segments with the “Net Pools & Adjustments” amount. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 6 Economic Category % 2022Q4 2021Q4 2020Q4 2019Q4 2018Q4 2017Q4 2016Q4 2015Q4 2014Q4 2013Q4 Business To Business 27.2%9,260,981 7,286,150 7,841,120 8,527,467 6,310,094 5,765,938 5,070,150 4,816,050 4,229,960 4,345,099 Miscellaneous/Other 19.1%6,512,441 6,818,252 5,644,912 7,306,496 7,675,702 6,512,996 6,341,684 5,870,766 5,238,824 8,554,047 General Retail 22.7%7,711,363 6,865,025 4,443,550 7,705,885 8,252,239 8,101,232 8,405,122 8,004,603 8,043,904 7,971,020 Food Products 14.0%4,764,903 3,635,859 2,786,896 4,918,067 4,834,276 4,678,134 4,623,448 4,477,229 4,203,235 3,851,007 Subtotal Economic (Local Business)83.0%28,249,687 24,605,286 20,716,478 28,457,915 27,072,311 25,058,300 24,440,405 23,168,648 21,715,924 24,721,173 Net Pools & Adjustments 17.0%5,793,952 5,424,527 4,640,947 6,403,208 6,376,669 4,919,736 4,008,398 3,910,626 3,986,209 3,940,092 Total 100.0%34,043,639 30,029,814 25,357,425 34,861,122 33,448,980 29,978,035 28,448,802 27,079,275 25,702,133 28,661,265 Economic Segment % 2022Q4 2021Q4 2020Q4 2019Q4 2018Q4 2017Q4 2016Q4 2015Q4 2014Q4 2013Q4 Miscellaneous/Other 49.6%16,874,802 14,915,305 14,173,249 16,823,007 15,194,506 13,632,458 12,398,186 11,601,638 10,535,865 13,987,602 Restaurants 12.5%4,241,753 3,176,670 2,339,624 4,353,618 4,241,632 4,068,940 4,022,319 3,891,360 3,664,315 3,323,442 Miscellaneous Retail 5.5%1,875,473 1,945,372 1,208,603 1,611,157 1,675,512 1,682,474 2,314,810 1,630,195 1,546,933 1,434,238 Apparel Stores 5.5%1,871,251 1,609,800 1,004,225 1,912,604 1,979,846 1,741,347 1,660,190 1,657,179 1,660,838 1,630,187 Department Stores 5.2%1,778,127 1,536,282 777,559 1,795,157 1,980,754 2,066,909 2,143,430 2,366,679 2,364,448 2,449,696 Service Stations 2.6%891,841 645,596 436,436 700,712 697,083 613,070 551,153 644,027 768,488 760,187 Business Services 0.9%303,932 413,141 419,690 817,559 834,069 748,497 843,203 872,811 707,311 674,668 Food Markets 1.2%412,508 363,121 357,092 444,100 468,909 504,604 507,114 504,759 467,726 461,152 Subtotal Economic (Local Business)83.0%28,249,687 24,605,286 20,716,478 28,457,915 27,072,311 25,058,300 24,440,405 23,168,648 21,715,924 24,721,173 Net Pools & Adjustments 17.0%5,793,952 5,424,527 4,640,947 6,403,208 6,376,669 4,919,736 4,008,398 3,910,626 3,986,209 3,940,092 Total 100.0%34,043,639 30,029,814 25,357,425 34,861,122 33,448,980 29,978,035 28,448,802 27,079,275 25,702,133 28,661,265 Historical Analysis by Calendar BMY from 2013Q4 to 2022Q4 The chart above shows the categories and segments in benchmark year economic basis amounts. The total amount is the net cash receipts, and it was obtained by adding up the categories/segments with the “Net Pools & Adjustments” amount. Benchmark year (BMY) is the sum of the current and 3 previous quarters (2022Q4 BMY is sum of 2022 Q4, 2022 Q3, 2022 Q2, 2022 Q1). City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 7 Ge n e r a l R e t a i l Fo o d P r o d u c t s Tr a n s p o r t a t i o n Bu s i n e s s t o B u s i n e s s M i s c / O t h e r 20 2 2 / 4 T o t a l 20 2 1 / 4 T o t a l % C h g La r g e s t G a i n Se c o n d L a r g e s t Ga i n La r g e s t D e c l i n e Se c o n d L a r g e s t De c l i n e Campbell 1.1%11.8%-1.5%64.4%6.8%3,023,861 2,648,352 14.2%Light Industry Restaurants Miscellaneous Retail Auto Sales - Used Cupertino -11.8%12.4%25.4%-44.0%-40.1%10,068,546 16,805,343 -40.1%Restaurants Service Stations Office Equipment I.T. Infrastructure Gilroy 0.1%4.3%7.1%-9.7%-10.9%4,649,553 4,628,454 0.5%Auto Sales - New Department Stores I.T. Infrastructure Misc. Vehicle Sales Los Altos -27.7%2.8%9.3%3.9%-9.4%636,393 667,611 -4.7%Restaurants Service Stations Recreation Products Light Industry Los Gatos 9.6%23.5%-7.0%-6.1%11.8%1,632,289 1,490,491 9.5%Restaurants Furniture/Appliance Auto Sales - New Miscellaneous Retail Milpitas -5.1%17.7%38.6%32.9%-9.4%6,595,785 5,625,844 17.2%Office Equipment Auto Sales - New Miscellaneous Retail Light Industry Morgan Hill 2.6%-18.2%8.5%-15.3%-18.5%2,639,438 2,737,611 -3.6%Service Stations Auto Sales - New Food Markets Light Industry Mountain View -15.6%17.8%23.0%-17.4%-1.3%5,272,210 5,340,713 -1.3%Restaurants Auto Sales - New Business Services Miscellaneous Retail Palo Alto 0.9%16.1%-8.9%24.2%-26.8%7,848,525 7,323,799 7.2%Office Equipment Leasing Miscellaneous Retail Auto Sales - New San Jose -1.1%12.3%13.5%33.6%-1.5%60,148,190 55,065,184 9.2%Office Equipment Auto Sales - New Miscellaneous Retail Apparel Stores Santa Clara -3.2%19.9%26.4%-1.7%5.0%13,004,559 12,383,669 5.0%Auto Sales - New Restaurants I.T. Infrastructure Miscellaneous Retail County of Santa Clara 2.7%-10.5%-3.7%6.8%9.8%1,202,620 1,197,213 0.5%Heavy Industry Bldg.Matls-Whsle Food Processing Eqp Auto Parts/Repair Saratoga -26.5%-0.5%6.4%84.9%-25.5%295,840 298,131 -0.8%Business Services Light Industry Miscellaneous Retail Food Processing Eqp Sunnyvale 23.5%15.1%13.2%11.3%38.0%8,013,428 6,859,535 16.8%Department Stores Office Equipment Heavy Industry Miscellaneous Retail Quarterly Analysis by Sales Tax Category: Change from 2021Q4 to 2022Q4 (Economic) Unlike the chart on page one which showed a ‘benchmark year’ through fourth quarter of 2022, the chart above shows a comparison of one quarter only – fourth quarter of 2022 to fourth quarter of 2021. This chart is for local ‘brick and mortar’ businesses and it excludes county pools and adjustments. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 8 California Avenue % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS 22.4%61,334 50,093 49.8%44.8% GENERAL RETAIL -15.9%20,238 24,072 16.4%21.5% ALL OTHER 10.9%41,697 37,611 33.8%33.6% TOTAL 10.3%123,269 111,776 100.0%100.0% El Camino Real and Midtown % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS 10.5%161,847 146,412 46.2%42.2% GENERAL RETAIL 2.1%39,138 38,329 11.2%11.1% ALL OTHER -7.7%149,465 161,886 42.6%46.7% TOTAL 1.1%350,450 346,627 100.0%100.0% Greater Downtown % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS 16.6%485,755 416,570 52.6%49.6% GENERAL RETAIL 37.1%383,255 279,601 41.5%33.3% BUSINESS TO BUSINESS -70.6%35,094 119,500 3.8%14.2% CONSTRUCTION -14.9%10,165 11,943 1.1%1.4% MISCELLANEOUS -43.5%4,889 8,655 0.5%1.0% TRANSPORTATION 24.0%3,750 3,023 0.4%0.4% TOTAL 10.0%922,907 839,292 100.0%100.0% Stanford Shopping Center % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL -19.9%1,150,892 1,437,359 74.4%75.9% FOOD PRODUCTS 4.7%148,678 142,044 9.6%7.5% ALL OTHER -21.3%246,968 313,637 16.0%16.6% TOTAL -18.3%1,546,539 1,893,040 100.0%100.0% City of Palo Alto Geo Areas & Citywide Chart Data: Change from 2021Q4 to 2022Q4 (Economic) City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 9 Town And Country Shopping Center % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS 12.6%105,285 93,523 56.9%54.4% GENERAL RETAIL 2.4%72,674 70,974 39.3%41.3% ALL OTHER -5.5%7,110 7,524 3.8%4.4% TOTAL 7.6%185,069 172,021 100.0%100.0% All Other Geos combined with Balance of Jurisdiction % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL BUSINESS TO BUSINESS 25.6%2,539,070 2,022,323 39.0%32.9% GENERAL RETAIL -9.8%1,730,113 1,917,420 26.5%31.2% TRANSPORTATION -6.2%1,129,540 1,204,573 17.3%19.6% FOOD PRODUCTS 15.7%1,039,984 898,543 16.0%14.6% MISCELLANEOUS -24.4%47,882 63,370 0.7%1.0% CONSTRUCTION -15.2%30,176 35,605 0.5%0.6% TOTAL 6.1%6,516,763 6,141,834 100.0%100.0% All Geo Area Totals Comparison 22Q4 & 21Q4 % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL Balance of Jurisdiction 21.9%3,388,529 2,779,078 52.0%45.2% Stanford Shopping Center -18.3%1,546,539 1,893,040 23.7%30.8% Greater Downtown 10.0%922,907 839,292 14.2%13.7% El Camino Real and Midtown 1.1%350,450 346,627 5.4%5.6% Town And Country Shopping Center 7.6%185,069 172,021 2.8%2.8% California Avenue 10.3%123,269 111,776 1.9%1.8% TOTAL 6.1%6,516,763 6,141,834 100.0%100.0% Palo Alto citywide QE 22Q4 & 21Q4 % CHANGE QoQ 2022Q4 QE 2021Q4 QE 22Q4 % OF TOTAL 21Q4 % OF TOTAL BUSINESS TO BUSINESS 24.2%2,756,562 2,219,376 35.1%30.3% GENERAL RETAIL 0.9%2,305,038 2,283,693 29.4%31.2% TRANSPORTATION -8.9%1,307,454 1,435,594 16.7%19.6% FOOD PRODUCTS 16.1%1,260,287 1,085,805 16.1%14.8% MISCELLANEOUS -29.2%183,393 259,116 2.3%3.5% CONSTRUCTION -11.0%35,791 40,215 0.5%0.5% TOTAL 7.2%7,848,525 7,323,799 100.0%100.0% City of Palo Alto Geo Areas & Citywide Chart Data: Change from 2021Q4 to 2022Q4 (Economic) Cont. City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 10 FOOD PRODUCTS, 22.4% CHANGE, $61,334 , 49.8% TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, -15.9% CHANGE, $20,238 , 16.4% TOTAL ALL OTHER, 10.9% CHANGE, $41,697 , 33.8% TOTAL California Avenue 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS FOOD PRODUCTS, $50,093 , 44.8%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $24,072 , 21.5%TOTAL ALL OTHER, $37,611 , 33.6%TOTAL California Avenue 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS FOOD PRODUCTS, 10.5%CHANGE, $161,847 , 46.2%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, 2.1% CHANGE, $39,138 , 11.2%TOTAL ALL OTHER, -7.7% CHANGE, $149,465 , 42.6%TOTAL El Camino Real and Midtown 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS FOOD PRODUCTS, $146,412 , 42.2%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $38,329, 11.1%TOTAL ALL OTHER, $161,886 46.7%TOTAL El Camino Real and Midtown 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS City of Palo Alto Geo Area Pie Charts City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 11 FOOD PRODUCTS, 16.6%CHANGE, $485,755 , 52.6%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, 37.1% CHANGE, $383,255 , 41.5%TOTAL BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, -70.6% CHANGE, $35,094 , 3.8%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, -14.9 CHANGE, $10,165 , 1.1%TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS, -43.5% CHANGE, $4,889 , 0.5%TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, 24.0% CHANGE, $3,750 , 0.4%TOTAL Greater Downtown 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS FOOD PRODUCTS, $416,570 , 49.6%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $279,601 , 33.3%TOTAL BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, $119,500 , 14.2%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, $11,943 , 1.4%TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS, $8,655 , 1.0%TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, $3,023 , 0.4%TOTAL Greater Downtown 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS GENERAL RETAIL $1,437,359 , 75.9%TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS, $142,044 , 7.5%TOTAL ALL OTHER, $313,637 , 16.6%TOTAL Stanford Shopping Center 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS GENERAL RETAIL, -19.9% CHANGE, $1,150,892 , 74.4%TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS, 4.7% CHANGE, $148,678 , 9.6%TOTAL ALL OTHER, -21.3% CHANGE, $246,968 , 16.0%TOTAL Stanford Shopping Center 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS City of Palo Alto Geo Areas Pie Charts City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 12 FOOD PRODUCTS, 12.6%CHANGE, $105,285 , 56.9%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, 2.4% CHANGE, $72,674 , 39.3%TOTAL ALL OTHER, -5.5% CHANGE, $7,110 , 3.8%TOTAL Town And Country Shopping Center 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS FOOD PRODUCTS, $93,523 , 54.4%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $70,974 , 41.3%TOTAL ALL OTHER, $7,524 , 4.4%TOTAL Town And Country Shopping Center 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, 25.6%CHANGE, $2,539,070 , 39.0%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, -9.8% CHANGE, $1,730,113, 26.5% TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, -6.2% CHANGE, $1,129,540, 17.3% TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS, 15.7% CHANGE, $1,039,984 , 16.0%TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS, -24.4% CHANGE, $47,882 , 0.7%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, -15.2% CHANGE, $30,176 , 0.5%TOTAL All Other Geos combined with Balance of Jurisdiction 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, $2,022,323 , 32.9%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $1,917,420, 31.2% TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, $1,204,573, 19.6% TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS, $898,543 , 14.6%TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS, $63,370 , 1.0%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, $35,605 , 0.6%TOTAL All Other Geos combined with Balance of Jurisdiction 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS City of Palo Alto Geo Area Pie Charts City of Palo Alto www.avenuinsights.com (800) 800-8181 Page 13 Balance of Jurisdiction, 21.9%CHANGE, $3,388,529 , 52.0%TOTAL Stanford Shopping Center, -18.3% CHANGE, $1,546,539 , 23.7%TOTAL Greater Downtown, 10.0% CHANGE, $922,907 , 14.2%TOTAL El Camino Real and Midtown, 1.1% CHANGE, $350,450 , 5.4%TOTAL Town And Country Shopping Center, 7.6% CHANGE, $185,069 , 2.8%TOTAL California Avenue, 10.3% CHANGE, $123,269 , 1.9%TOTAL All Geo Area Totals 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS Balance of Jurisdiction, $2,779,078 , 45.2%TOTAL Stanford Shopping Center, $1,893,040 , 30.8%TOTAL Greater Downtown, $839,292 , 13.7%TOTAL El Camino Real and Midtown, $346,627 , 5.6%TOTAL Town And Country Shopping Center, $172,021 , 2.8%TOTAL California Avenue, $111,776 , 1.8%TOTAL All Geo Area Totals 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, 24.2%CHANGE, $2,756,562 , 35.1%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, 0.9% CHANGE, $2,305,038 , 29.4%TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, -8.9% CHANGE, $1,307,454 , 16.7%TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS, 16.1% CHANGE, $1,260,287 , 16.1%TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS, -29.2% CHANGE, $183,393 , 2.3%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, -11.0% CHANGE, $35,791 , 0.5%TOTAL Palo Alto citywide 2022Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS BUSINESS TO BUSINESS, $2,219,376 , 30.3%TOTAL GENERAL RETAIL, $2,283,693 , 31.2%TOTAL TRANSPORTATION, $1,435,594 , 19.6%TOTAL FOOD PRODUCTS, $1,085,805 , 14.8%TOTAL MISCELLANEOUS, $259,116 , 3.5%TOTAL CONSTRUCTION, $40,215 , 0.5%TOTAL Palo Alto citywide 2021Q4 SALES TAX AMOUNTS City of Palo Alto Geo Area & Citywide Pie Charts California Legislative Update March 1, 2023 This edition of our policy update provides information on legislation introduced for 2023 primarily related to local taxes. We hope that this update is helpful, and we will provide additional updates in the future regarding other legislation of interest. Please reach out to us with any questions. Government Relations Contact Fran.Mancia@avenuinsights.com / 559.288.7296 2023 Legislation Friday, February 17 marked the deadline for bill introductions in 2023. Legislators, in particular new legislators, introduced a windfall of bills, surpassing introduction numbers for the last ten years. In total, 2,632 bills were introduced – 1,751 in the Assembly, 881 in the Senate, and six special session bills. About 40% of the legislation introduced are spot bills – placeholders that will be amended with substantive language prior to being referred to policy committees. In the Senate, amendments are must be drafted by legislative counsel and submitted to the Senate Rules Committee on or by March 22 at 3:00 p.m. In the Assembly, amendments must be provided to legislative counsel on or by February 27 at 5:00 p.m. This is to say that a flood of substantive amendments is anticipated the third week in March, which will further define policy discussions this year. Sales and Use Taxes AB 52 (Grayson) Sales and Use Tax Law: manufacturing equipment: research and development. Would express the intent of the legislature to expand the sales and use tax exemption for manufacturing and research and development equipment to preserve California’s status as a hub of innovation and technology and to encourage greater investment in California. Avenu is watching this measure closely, as it is a version of AB 1930 vetoed by the governor last year and could be detrimental to municipal finances. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch AB 314 (Patterson, Jim) Sales and Use Tax: exemptions: trucks for use in interstate or out-of-state commerce. Extends the sales and use tax exemption from 2024 to 2029 for a truck, trailer, or semitrailer over 6000 pounds that is purchased to use in a different state. It also requires the buyer to give an affidavit stating that the vehicle will only be used outside of the state and that it will leave the state within a certain time period. States that local government agency revenue losses resulting from the bill will not be reimbursed. Status: Referred to the Assembly Committee on Revenue and Taxation Cal Cities Position: Watch AB 543 (Gipson) Sales and Use Tax Law: exemptions: petroleum products: water common carriers. Removes the January 1, 2024 sunset date for the sales and use tax exemption on the sale of fuel and petroleum products sold to a water common carrier for immediate shipment outside California for consumption in the conduct of its business as a common carrier after the first out-of-state destination. States that local government agency revenue losses resulting from the bill will not be reimbursed. Status: Referred to the Assembly Committee on Revenue & Taxation Cal Cities Position: Watch AB 1203 (Bains) Sales and use taxes: exemptions: breast pumps and related supplies. Would, on or after January 1, 2024, and before January 1, 2029, exempt the gross receipts from the sale in this state of, and the storage, use, or other consumption in this state of, breast pumps, breast pump collection and storage supplies, breast pump kits, and breast pads. States that local government agency revenue losses resulting from the bill will not be reimbursed. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch AB 1249 (Ta) Sales and use taxes: exemption: tax holiday: school supplies. Would, on and after January 1, 2024, and before January 1, 2029, exempt from sales and use taxes the gross receipts from the sale of, and the storage, use, or other consumption of, qualified school supplies, for the two-day period beginning at 12:01 a.m. on the third Saturday of July of each year and ending at 11:59 p.m. on the following day. States that local government agency revenue losses resulting from the bill will not be reimbursed. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch SB 96 (Portantino) Sales and Use Tax Law: live events: historic event venues. Would state the intent of the legislature to enact legislation expanding the state sales and use tax exemption to transactions during live events at California historic event venues for reinvestment in historic preservation activities. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch Motor Vehicle Taxes AB 16 (Dixon) Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Law: adjustment suspension. Would authorize the governor to suspend an adjustment to the motor vehicle fuel tax scheduled on or after July 1, 2024, upon determining that increasing the rate would impose an undue burden on low-income and middle- class families. The California Department of Tax and Fee Administration adjusts the tax annually based on a percentage amount equal to the increase in the California Consumer Price Index. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch AB 53 (Fong, Vince) Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Law: suspension of tax. Would suspend the tax on motor vehicle fuels for one year, would require that all savings realized by a person other than an end consumer be passed on to the end consumer, and would make the violation of this requirement an unfair business practice in violation of unfair competition laws. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch SB 5 (Nguyen) Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax Law: limitation on adjustment. Would limit the annual adjustment to motor vehicle fuel taxes to a maximum of 2% for rate adjustments made on or after July 1, 2023. Status: Referred to the Senate Committee on Governance & Finance Cal Cities Position: Watch Property Taxes AB 84 (Ward) Property tax: welfare exemption: affordable housing. Pursuant to the state constitution, affordable rental housing owned by a nonprofit entity is considered a “charitable” use and exempt from basic property taxes. AB 84 allows nonprofit affordable rental housing to access the existing welfare property tax exemption from the date the property is restricted for affordable housing. Status: Referred to the Assembly Committees on Housing & Community Development and Revenue & Taxation Cal Cities Position: Watch SB 726 (Archuleta) Property taxation: exemption: disabled veteran homeowners. Would allow veterans who are 100% disabled, their spouses, and unmarried surviving spouses an exemption from taxation on their property that does not exceed $863,790, provided certain conditions are met between January 1, 2024 and January 1, 2034. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch Miscellaneous AB 41 (Holden) Telecommunications: The Digital Equity in Video Franchising Act of 2023. Revises existing law pertaining to cable operators and state video franchising including: • Expanding the definition of video service to include video programming provided as part of, and via, a service that enables users to access content, information, email, or other services offered over the public internet; • Providing that the act does not authorize the California Public Utilities Commission to regulate the rates of video services; • Revising the revenues excluded from the definition of “gross revenue” for purposes of calculating the franchise fee for a local jurisdiction; and • Expanding the prohibition on certain cable operators or video service providers from discriminating against, or denying access to service to, any group of potential residential subscribers. Status: Referred to the Assembly Committee on Communications & Conveyance Cal Cities Position: Support AB 534 (McCarty) Local agencies: airports: customer facility charges. Existing law authorizes airports to require rental companies to collect a customer facility charge or an alternative customer facility charge under specified circumstances for purposes that include financing, designing, and constructing or operating airport vehicle rental facilities and common-use transportation systems. Current law, beginning January 1, 2024, provides that the authorization for an airport to impose a customer facility charge becomes inoperative when the bonds used for financing are paid, except as specified. This bill would delete the provision ending the authorization described above. Status: Referred to the Assembly Committee on Privacy & Consumer Protection Cal Cities Position: Watch AB 537 (Berman) Short-term lodging: advertising: rates. Would prohibit a place of short-term lodging, from advertising or offering a room rate that does not include all taxes and fees required to book or reserve the short-term lodging. The bill would make a knowing violation of those provisions subject to a specified civil penalty not to exceed $10,000 and would authorize an action to enforce those provisions to be brought by a city attorney, district attorney, or the Attorney General. Status: Referred to the Assembly Committees on Business & Professions and Judiciary Cal Cities Position: Watch SB 532 (Wiener) Ballot measures: local taxes. Current law requires that the ballots used when voting upon a measure proposed by a local governing body or submitted to the voters as an initiative or referendum measure, have printed on them a true and impartial statement describing the purpose of the measure. If the proposed measure imposes a tax or raises the rate of a tax, current law requires the ballot to include in the statement of the measure the amount of money to be raised annually and the rate and duration of the tax to be levied. This bill would exempt from this requirement a measure that imposes or increases a tax with more than one rate or authorizes the issuance of bonds. Status: Referred to the Senate Committees on Governance & Finance and Elections & Constitutional Amendments Cal Cities Position: Watch SB 676 (Allen) Responsible Pool Disinfection and Water Conservation Act: local tax authorization. Would authorize a county to levy a tax by ordinance, approved by a 50% vote of the electors, at a rate of no more than $0.30 per tablet, on the sale within its jurisdiction of trichlor tablets. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch SB 721 (Becker) Special taxes: vacant land. May be acted upon on or after March 19. The California Constitution generally conditions the imposition of a special tax by a city, county, or special district upon the approval of 2/3 of the voters of the city, county, or special district voting on that tax. Under current law, a charter city, pursuant to its constitutional authority over municipal affairs, may levy local taxes to raise revenues for local purposes, subject to restrictions imposed by that city’s charter or preemption in matters of statewide concern. Current law also authorizes the legislative body of any city to levy any tax which may be levied by any charter city, subject to the voters’ approval pursuant to the California Constitution. Current law specifies procedural requirements for the legislative body of a city, county, or district to propose to the voters an ordinance or resolution to adopt a special tax. This bill would specify that, as used in those procedural requirements, a special tax includes a tax, levied by any city, including a charter city, county, or district on vacant sites included in the inventory on land suitable and available for residential development pursuant to the housing element of a county’s or a city’s long-term general plan, that meets the constitutional requirements. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch SB 798 (Glazer) Elections: local bond measures: tax rate statement. Current law requires local governments, when submitting a measure for voter approval for the issuance of bonds that will be secured by an ad valorem tax, to provide voters a statement that includes estimates of the tax rates required to fund the bonds. Under current law, the estimated tax rate is expressed as the rate per $100 of assessed valuation on all property to be taxed to fund the bonds. This bill would instead require that the estimated tax rate in the statement be expressed as the rate per $100,000 of assessed valuation on all property to be taxed to fund the bonds. Status: Not yet referred to policy committee Cal Cities Position: Watch