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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2000-11-20 City CouncilC ty City of Palo Alto Manager’s Report TO: ATTENTION: HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE REVISED 3 FROM:CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT: UTILITIES DATE:NOVEMBER 20, 2000 CMR:399:00 SUBJECT:APPROVAL OF A BUDGET AMENDMENT ORDINANCE AND RESOLUTION ADOPTING A GAS RATE INCREASE RECOMMENDATION The Utilities Advisory Commission and staff recommend that the City Council: 1.Approve the attached resolution authorizing revised rate schedules to incorporate a 25 percent system average retail gas rate increase effective January 1, 2001, in order to partially offset the higher cost of delivered natural gas. To implement this rate increase, Staff further recommends that the City Council: Approve a Budget Amendment Ordinance (BAO) providing an additional appropriation in the amount of $1.1 million for Gas fund commodity purchases; adjusting gas sales revenue by a net $500,000 and transferring $3.2 million from the Distribution Rate Stabilization Reserve (DRSR) to the Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve (SRSR). Approve raising the cap of the commodity portion of the Large Commercial Core Gas Service rate schedule G-3 to $1 to reflect the gas market conditions. DISCUSSION The City of Palo Alto Gas Utility has experienced a dramatic rise this year in the purchase cost of gas. This has had a tremendous impact on the financial condition of the Gas Utility. On July 17, 2000, the City Council approved a 15 percent retail gas rate increase effective August 1, 2000, and withdrawals of $3.5 million from the SRSR and $1.7 million from the DRSR (CMR:330:00). Staff informed Council that.subsequent retail gas rate increases would CMR:399:00 Page 1 of 3 likely be necessary in January 2001 and July 2001 to achieve full cost recovery. Achievement of full cost recovery is not limited to purchase gas costs, but also includes operating and capital costs incurred on the distribution side of the business. As whole gas prices have continued to rise, the Gas Utility has executed supply agreements to hedge against future price escalation. Based on these agreements, the cost of gas to the City for fiscal year 2000-01 is expected to increase by $1.1 million. A 25 percent rate increase in January 2001 is proposed to provide the additional revenue needed to cover the cost to purchase gas and to deliver it to customers. Staff will evaluate the need for an additional rate increase effective fiscal year 2001-02, based on updated information related to commodity prices, sales revenues, and the need to replenish reserve levels. Funds from the RSRs are used to stabilize rates. Due to the dramatic rise in commodity prices and the subsequent use of SRSR funds to mitigate the revenue shortfall, staff recommends transferring an additional $3.2 million from the DRSR to the SRSR. In addition, staff proposes that the cap on the commodity portion of the Large Commercial Core Gas Service rate schedule G-3 be raised to one dollar. The commodity portion of the gas rate schedule is a market-based charge and the current cap of sixty-five cents does not reflect market conditions. UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION REVIEW The proposed gas rate increase was reviewed by the UAC on November 1, 2000. The UAC recommended that the City Council approve the 25 percent rate increase effective January 1, 2001. In addition, the UAC recommended that staff consider another rate increase effective April 1, 2001, instead of waiting until July.l, 2001, as proposed. The reason for the UAC recommendation is to offset the increase in the purchase cost of gas and mitigate risk that the Gas Fund may face if the reserves are insufficient to meet unanticipated events, such as severe weather that might necessitate purchase of a larger quantity of gas at a higher price. RESOURCE IMPACT This proposed 25 percent gas rate increase is expected to generate an additional $4.8 million in revenue on an annual basis. For the six months of fiscal year 2000-01 during which the rate increase will be in effect,- the revenue increase will be approximately $2.1 million.. Of this amount, $1.1 million will be used to cover the increased commodity costs, and $1 million will be added to reserves. The proposed BAO will appropriate this $1.1 million for increased CMR:399:00 Page 2 of 3 commodity costs and will also adjust revenue. The $2.1 million in additional revenue due to the rate increase will be partially offset by a downward adjustment in the amount of $1.6 million in projected gas sales revenue. This adjustment is necessary due to an overstatement in gas sales revenue in the 2000-01 adopted budget. Consequently, the BAO reflects a net increase in revenue of $500,000. The need for a revised forecast of gas usage was discussed in CMR:330:00 when Council approved the prior gas rate increase (July 17, 2000). For informational purposes, a summary of the BAOs approved to date in 2000-01 that impact the Utilities Rate Stabilization Reserves will be attached when this item returns to Council. This attachment also estimates future year ongoing costs associated with BAOs approved to date to provide a projection for the future resource needs from the Utility Funds for those programs approved after the adoption of the 2000-01 budget. ATTACHMENTS A: B: C: D: E: F: Resolution Gas Rate Schedules, G-l, G-2, G-3, G-4, and G-7 _ Budget Amendment Ordinance (to follow when item returns to Council) Utilities Advisory Commission Report dated November 1, 2000 Summary of Budget Amendment Ordinances Impacting the Utilities Rate Stabilization Reserves Approved to Date in 2000-01 (to follow when item returns to Council) CMR:330:00, "Proposed Budget Amendment Ordinance and Resolution Adopting a Gas Rate Increase" PREPARED BY: Lucie Hirmina, Rates Manager DEPARTMENT HEAD of Utilities CITY MANAGER APPROVAL AUDREY Assistant to the City Manager CMR:399:00 Page 3 of 3 RESOLUTION NO. RESOLUTION OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OFPALO ALTO AMENDING UTILITY RATE SCHEDULES G-I,G-2, G-3, G-4, and G-7 OF THE CITY OF PALOALTO UTILITIES RATES AND CHARGES PERTAINING TO GAS RATES The Council of the City of Palo Alto does hereby RESOLVE as follows: SECTION I.PursUant to Section 12.20.010of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Schedules G-I (Residential Core Gas Service), G-2 (Commercial Core Gas Service), G-3 (Large Commercial Core Gas Service), G-4 (Large Commercial Core Gas Transportation Service) and G-7 (Large Commercial Core Gas Service) of the Palo Alto Utilities Rates and Charges are hereby amended to read in accordance with Sheets G-l-!, G-2-1, G-3-1, G-3-2, G-4-1, G-7-1 and G-7-2, respectively, attached hereto and incorporated herein by reference. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedules, as amended, shall become effective on January i, 2001. SECTION 2. The Council finds that the revenue derived from the authorized adjustments of the several gas service rates shall be used only for the purposes set forth in Article VII, Section 2, of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto. SECTION 3. The Council finds that the adoption of this resolution does not constitute a project under the California Environmental Quality Act, California Public Resources Code section 21080, subdivision (b) (8). INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST:APPROVED: Cit.y Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: Senior Asst. City Attorney Mayor City Manager Director of Utilities Director of Administrative Services 001025 syn 0071937 RESIDENTIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-1 A.APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to core natural gas service to individually metered single family premises, including those separately metered in a multi-family complex. B. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. C. RATES:Per Meter Per Month (A)Summer Rates (May 1 to October 31): 0-20 therms per therm .......................................................................$0.612 Over 20 therms per therm .......................................................................$0.858 (B)WinterRates (Nov. 1 to April 30): 0-96 therms per therm Over 96 therms per therm .......................................................................$0.612 .......................................................................$0.858 SPECIAL NOTES: Seasonal rate changes: The summer period is effective May 1 to October 31 and the winter period is effective from November 1 to April 30. When the billing period is partly in the summer period and partly in the winter period, the billing will be computed by prorating the total therm usage and the applicable rates thereto between the two seasonal periods, according to the ratio of the number of days in each seasonal period to the total number of days in the billing period. Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No.G-l-1 dated 8-1-00 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2001 Sheet No. G-l-1 COMMERCIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTIL1TY RATE SCHEDULE G-2 Be Co APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to non-residential customers who use less than 250,000 therms per year at a single address. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Pale Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES: All year-round delivered commodity:Per Meter Per Month Per Therrn .......................................................................................................................$0.640 De SPECIAL CONDITIONS: Service under this schedule is subject tO discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No. G-2-1 dated 8-1-00 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2001 Sheet No. G-2-1 LARGE COMMERCIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCI-]~EDULE G-3 APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to service for large commercial customers who use at least 250,000 therms per year at one site. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES: Monthly Market-based Power Supply Charge:Cents Per Therm Supply Charges: 1.Commodity Charge ................................................................................$0.10-$1.00 2.Administrative Fee ........................................................................................$0.004 3.PG&E Local Transportation ...........................................................................$0.016 Distribution Charge: 1. Palo Alto Local Distribution .......................................................................... $0.237 D. SPECIAL CONDITIONS: Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons, or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. The commodity charge is equal to the City’s bidweek price of the natural gas paid at the PG&E City Gate for the month immediately preceding the month in which the customer is billed. The commodity charge will fall within the minimum/maximum range set forth in CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No.G-3-1 dated 7-1-00 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2001 Sheet No. G-3-1 LARGE COMMERCIAL CORE GAS SERVICE o ° o o UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-3 (Continued) C. 1.and include the cost of transporting the gas to the PG&E City Gate. A customer who elects to be served under this rate will pay an administrative fee equal to the allocable administrative costs incurred by the City in providing the gas service. PG&E Local transportation charge is equal to the cost of transporting gas from the PG&E’s City Gate to the Palo Alto City Gate. The total monthly charge = therms used during the month X (commodity charge + administrative fee + PG&E local transportation charge + Palo Alto local distribution c.harge). A customer may request service under this schedule for more than one account or meter if the accounts are located on one site. A site shall be defined as one or more utility accounts serving contiguous parcels of land with no intervening public right-of- ways (e.g. streets) and have a common billing address. Customers may request a rate schedule change at any time, but only once during a twelve- month period if the change is between City of Palo Alto full-service rate schedules. The 12 months limitation does not apply if a customer elects a Gas Direct Access rate schedule and is served by another Gas Service Provider. Qualified customers may elect Gas Direct Access at any time. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No.G-3-2 dated 7-1-00 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2001 Sheet No. G-3-2 LARGE COMMERCIAL CORE GAS TRANSPORTATION SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-4 APPLICABILITY: Bo This schedule applies to gas transportation service for large commercial customers who use at least 250,000 therms per year for one account. TERRITORY: Co Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES:Cents Per Therm Supply Charge: PG&E Local Transportation .......................................................................................$0.016 Distribution Charge: Palo Alto Local Distribution ......................................................................................$0.237 SPECIAL CONDITIONS: Qualifying customers may request a change to this rate schedule at any time. Specific terms and conditions shall be covered by separate agreement between the City and Gas Service Provider. o ° PG&E local transportation charge is equal to the cost of transporting natural gas from the PG&E City Gate to Palo Alto City Gate. Customers who elect this service must have the gas delivered to PG&E City Gate. Total monthly charge = therms used x (PG&E local transportation charge + P.A. distribution charge). A customer may request service under this schedule for more than one account or meter if every account meets the minimum usage requirement of 250,000 therms per year. [End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No.G-4-1 dated 7-1-00 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2001 Sheet No. G-4-1 LARGE COMMERCIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-7 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to service for large commercial customers who use at least 250,000 therms per year at one site. B. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES:Per Therm Supply Charges: 1.Commodity Charge .......................................................................................$0.304 2.Administrative Fee ........................................................................................$0.004 3.PG&E Local Transportation ..........................................................................$0.016 Distribution Charge: 1.Palo Alto Local Distribution .........................................................................$0.237 D.SPECIAL CONDITION: Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. A customer who elects to be served under this rate will pay an administrative fee equal to the allocable administrative costs incurred by the City in providing the gas service. PG&E Local transportation charge is equal to the cost of transporting gas from the PG&E’s City Gate to the Palo Alto City Gate. CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No. G-7-1 dated 8-1-00 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2001 Sheet No. G-7-1 LARGE COMMERCIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-7 (Continued) The total monthly charge = therms used during the month X (commodity charge + administrative fee + PG&E local transportation charge + Palo Alto local distribution charge). A customer may request service under this schedule for more than one account or meter if the accounts are located on one site. A site shall be defined as one or more utility accounts serving contiguous parcels of land with no intervening public right-of- ways (e.g. streets) and have a common billing address. Customers may request a rate schedule change at any time, but only once during a twelve- month period if the change is between City of Palo Alto full-service rate schedules. The 12 months limitation does not apply if a customer elects a Gas Direct Access rate schedule and is served by another Gas Service Provider, or if ~ customer elects to be served under a term contract. Qualified customers may elect Gas Direct Access at any time. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No. G-7-2 dated 8-1-00 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2001 Sheet No. G-7-2 TO:UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION FROM:UTIITIES DEPARTMENT DATE:NOVEMBER 1, 2000 SUBJECT: PROPOSED GAS RATE INCREASE RECOMMENDATION This report requests the Utilities Adxiisory Commission (UAC) recommend that the City Council approve a 25% percent system average retail gas rate increase effective January 1, 2001 ’in order to partially offset higher natural gas costs. BACKGROUND The Gas Utility’s revenue requirement consists of a number of components including the cost to purchase gas, operate and maintain a reliable system, finance an appropriate capital improvement program from current operating revenues, fund prudent reserve levels and provide a transfer to the General Fund. Any change in one or more of these components as well as a change in sales level car trigger a need for a rate adjustment. Staff reviews the Gas Utility’s financial situation periodically to insure that the Utility is financially sound. Recent increases in the cost to purchase gas have dramatically altered the financial condition of the Gas Fund. Current rates are not sufficient to recover the cost to buy (supply) and deliver (distribution) gas to customers. The fiscal year 00/01 budget was based on a gas price forecast made in December 1999. In early May 2000, however, natural gas prices began an uncharacteristic rise because of nationwide supply and demand issues. On July 17, 2000, the City Council approved a 15 percent retail gas rate increase effective August 1, 2000 to partially offset rising gas prices (CMR:330:00). This summer, wholesale gas prices continued to rise and the Palo Alto Gas Utility executed supply agreements with suppliers to hedge against further price escalations. This action has helped to stabilize the Gas Fund. Since the Gas Utility locked into fixed price supply contracts, the wholesale price of gas has continued to rise another 20 percent. DISCUSSION Staff has developed a financial plan to redover higher gas purchase costs contingent upon timely Council approval of a series of rate increases in combination with the withdrawal of funds from the Rate Stabilization Reserves (RSR). This financial plan recognizes the need to (1) cushion the rate shock of escalating natural gas prices to Palo Alto residents and businesses, (2) recover rising wholesale gas costs and, (3) use and replenish reserves. While an abrupt one-time rate increase could recover the rapid increase in gas prices, it is also feasible to transition to full cost recovery through a series of rate adjustments while simultaneously drawing down. on reserves. This is Page 1 of 4 consistent with the Utilities Reserve Policy and reinforces the underlying rationale for the existence of reserves, namely, providing some rate stability. Upon depletion of the reserves, a portion of the retail gas rate will be used to gradually build up the reserves above the minimum guideline levels. The first step to execute this financial plan was taken by the City Council on July 17, 2000. At this meeting a 15 percent retail rate increase was approved effective August 1, 2000. In addition, Council approved withdrawals of $3.5 million from the Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve (SRSR) and $1.7 million from the Distribution Rate Stabilization Reserve (DRSR) to partially offset the increased purchase costs. Also, staff informed Council that subsequent retail gas rate increases would likely be necessary in January 2001 and July 2001 (CMR:330:00). All gas customers were notified through the August bill insert that subsequent gas rate increases would likely be necessary. The notice also encouraged customers to invest in energy conservation solutions and, for qualifying customers, to seek financial assistance through the Residential Rate Assistance Program. This report recommends approximately a 25 percent retail rate increase effective Janu~y 1, 2001. If approved, Gas Fund sales revenue is projected to increase approximately $2.1 million for the remaining six months of fiscal year 2000-01. The size of this rate increase is based upon achieving two objectives: (t) continue to transition retail rates towards full distribution and supply cost recovery and (2) increase sales revenue enough to enable the Gas Fund reserves to end this fiscal year with a positive balance. It is expected that a third retail rate increase of approximately 25 percent will be proposed for July 1,2001. The objectives of the third rate increase will be to achieve full cost recovery in the Gas Fund_. and to begin to build up the DRSR and the SRSR. Achievement of full cost recovery is not limited to purchase gas costs, but also includes operating and capital costs incurred on the distribution side of the business. The size of the third rate increase may be adjusted based on new supply contracts for FY20001-02 and the projected ending balances in the RSR’s for the current fiscal year. This rate increase has been spread among customer classes based on the results of a cost-of-service study. The cost of service study allocates all distribution and supply costs to customer classes. The results indicate that large industrial distribution rates are insufficient to recover their allocated share of costs. Consequently, while the system average rate increase is 25 percent, the largest proposed rate increase is 37 percent applicable to large industrial users served on Rate Schedule G-7. Residential customers would experience a 25 percent rate increase, while small and medium commercial customers would receive a 19 percent increase (Table 1). The following table indibates the impact of this rate proposal on a typical monthly bill for the various customer classes. Page 2 of 4 TABLE 1 Impact of Rate Increase on Customer Bills Customer Residential/Winter G- 1 Residential/Winter Residential/Summer Residential/Summer Usage Therms lO0 150 26 40 Monthly Bill $ 62.23 105.13 17.40 29.41 Amount of Increase $ 12.67 21.25 3.53 5.93 Percent Increase 25.6 25.3 25.4 25.2 PercentPA Below PG&Eas of 9/22/00 (35.5) (30.1) (29.8) (26.2) Commercial G-2 500 320.11 51.01 19.0 (34.3) Industrial G-2 10,000 6,402.20 1,020.20 19.0 (21.1) Industrial G-3 60,000 33,660.00 9,096.00 37.0 (22.5) Industrial G-7 30,000 16,830.00 4,548.00 37.0 (24.4) Despite the August 2000 rate increase and this proposed January 2001 rate increase, Palo Alto retail gas. rates remain below PG&E gas rates in nearby communities. The primary reason is because customers of PG&E have already experienced the abrupt rise in wholesale gas prices this year. PG&E employs an automatic cost pass through mechanism mandated by the California Public Utilities Commission. For PG&E customers, rates change monthly to reflect the actual commodity cost for the month. This approach has the advantage of automatic cost recovery for the utility, but can result in abrupt changes in customer bills from month to month. As a municipally-owned utility, Palo Alto can choose a monthly gas cost tracking approach or continue to utilize a reserve approach to provide some rate stability to Palo Alto residents and businesses. For now, staff proposes to continue withdrawal of reserves to the benefit of all customer classes until the Distribution RSR and the Supply RSR are depleted near the end of this fiscal year. In July 2001, staff plans to propose that residentialand small and medium commercial customers rates contribute to build up the reserves and use the reserves to directly benefit these customer classes. However, large industrial customers (9 customers eligible for Direct Access) may be required to select one of the following: (1) Palo Alto’s Gas Rate Schedule G-3 whereby, the commodity price changes monthly (PG&E approach), or (2) enter into a fixed term contract with the Page 3 of 4 Palo Alto Gas Utility or (3) elect Direct Access whereby the customer would buy gas under contract with an outside energy supplier. If Palo Alto provides service, rates for large industrial customers would be designed to retain a minimal contribution to the RSR and industrial customers would only be entitled to minimal withdrawals of the RSR. Staff plans to recommend a modification to the current reserve guidelines during the budget process next spring. RESOURCE IMPACT Approval of this proposed rate increase will increase the Gas Fund revenues by approximately $2.1 million from January 2001 through June 2001. On an annualized basis, the rate adjustment is projected to increase revenues approximately $4.8 million. POLICY IMPLICATIONS These recommendations do not represent a change in current City policies. TIMELINE The effective date of the proposed rates is effective January 1,2001. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW The adoption of the resolution does not constitute a project under the California Environmental Quality Act, therefore, no environmental assessment is required. ATTACHEMENTS: Gas Rate Schedules, G-l, G-2, G-3, G-4, and G-7 PREPARED BY:Lucie Hirmina, Rates Manager REVIEWED BY:Girish Balachandran, Manager Supply Resources Randy Baldschun, Assistant Director of Utilities APPROVED BY: tor of Utilities Page 4 of 4 City City of Palo Alto Manager’s Report TO: ATTENTION: HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE FROM:CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT:UTILITIES DATE:JULY 17, 2000 CMR:330:00 SUBJECT:PROPOSED BUDGET AMENDMENT ORDINANCE AND RESOLUTION ADOPTING A GAS RATE INCREASE RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that Council: 1. Approve the attached resolution authorizing revised rate schedules to incorporate a 15 percent systemwide retail rate increase effective August 1, 2000. 2.Approve a Budget Amendment Ordinance providing an additional appropriation in the amount of $6,607,307 for Gas Fund Commodity Purchases. BACKGROUND The gas utility’s revenue requirement includes the cost to purcfiase gas, operate and maintain a reliable system, finance an appropriate capital improvement program from current operating revenues, fund prudent reserve levels and provide a transfer to the General Fund.. Any change in one or more of these components or a change in sales level can trigger a need for a rate adjustment. The Gas Fund’s fiscal year 2000-01 budget was based on forecasted gas prices as of December 1999. At that time, the forecast anticipated commodity purchase costs that were similar to historical prices. In early May 2000, however, prices began an uncharacteristic rise. The resulting wholesale prices are higher than the highest historical prices since the inception of the gas futures contract at the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). Attachment A, Figure 1 shows the price of gas for rolling twelve-month periods from October 1997 through July 6, 2000. Attachment A, Figure 2 shows the pi:ojected natural gas market prices for fiscal year 2000-01. This projection was made in December 1999 and was CMR:330:00 Page 1 of 6 used to prepare the proposed 2000-01 budget for purchases cost. Also shown on Figure 2 is a projection made on June 6, 2000 which covered the same 2000-01 fiscal year. In six months, gas prices had risen approximately 57 percent higher than in December 1999, particularly escalating since April 2000. In order to shield the Palo Alto Gas Utility from further significant gas price escalations, staff began an eight-week purchasing strategy in June 2000 to lock-in wholesale gas prices. The gas purchase plan includes buying gas at fixed prices as well as purchasing gas with a price cap for FY2000-01. Several factors related to supply and demand account for the unprecedented rise in natural gas prices. The factors identified are: increased reliance on natural gas-fired power generation across the country; 2) a forecast for a worse-than-normal hurricane season that shortens supplies coming from the Gulf coast region; 3) low gas storage inventory in the East and in the producing regions that may contribute to a future gas shortage; and 4) the effect of investors transferring funds from the slumping stock market to the commodity markets. The Palo Alto Gas Utility is not the only gas utility facing the unexpected rise in prices. Many other gas utilities in the West are proposing rate increases this summer, while others are allowing the gas commodity prices to change automatically each month based on the market. This is Palo Alto’s first retail gas rate increase in six years. During that six-year period, Palo Alto actually reduced retail gas rates 12 percent in 1996 and an additional 7 percent in 1998. With regard to notification of Palo Alto consumers, in anticipation of the need to raise gas rates this year, the July 2000 utility bill insert on Palo Alto’s water rate increase also notified customers that a gas rate increase may be necessary this summer. DISCUSSION In order to provide some rate stability to customers, Palo Alto has traditionally charged fixed gas Hates that do not fluctuate on a monthly basis with the wholesale cost of gas. Instead, the utility uses its reserves to cushion the impact of sudden price changes and typically adjusts rates annually upon Council approval, with an effective date of on July 1 to coincide with the beginning of a fiscal year. In 1993, the City Council adopted a Utility Reserve Policy and established a Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) for each utility (CMR:263:93). In June 1999, the formula for the minimum and maximum level was further modified and separate reserves were established for the supply and distribution units of the gas and the electric funds. Minimum and maximum reserve levels for the Gas Fund were set based on anticipated normal natural gas market price and usage swings. However, the recent increase in natural gas market prices is so dramatic that the Supply RSR level is not adequate to absorb the increase.in the revenue requirement. CMR:330:00 Page 2 of 6 For fiscal year 2000-01, the PoSsibility that commodity prices could rise during the fiscal year was identified on page 10 of the Utilities Department proposed budget, and staff indicated that ifa price change was substantially above or below projected commodity costs, staff may propose a rate change to Council during the year. Based on an updated market price forecast, gas purchase costs are projected to exceed the 2000-01 budget by 59 percent or approximately $6.8 million. While it is necessary to increase rates to offset this increase in wholesale gas prices, it is undesirable to impact customer bills with one dramatic rate increase. In consideration of the bill impact on customers and given the volatility of gas prices, staff recommends accommodating the unexpected rise in gas prices with one to three rate adjustments over a 12 month cycle while drawing heavily upon the Gas Fund cash reserves. Therefore, staff proposes to: ¯Enact a 15 percent retail rate increase on August 1, 2000;~ ¯Transfer $1.7 million from the Distribution RSR to the Supply RSR; ¯Withdraw all funds from the Supply RSR; ¯Implement approximately a 20 percent rate increase on January 1, 2001, and ¯Evaluate the need for an additional rate increase effective in FY2001-02, based on updated information related to commodity prices, sales revenues, and the need to replenish reserve levels. The Supply RSR may become depleted to zero in FY 2000-01. The ending reserve levels of the Supply and Distribution RSR’s depend on the following key factors: 1) actual 1999- 2000 year-ending balances in the Gas Fund RSR’s; 2) Council approval of a subsequent rate increase of approximately 20 percent in January; and 3) actual gas consumption (sales) levels during 2000-01. Because of these uncertainties, it is difficult to state what the ending balance will be in the RSR’s at the end ofFY2000-01. However, since the purpose of the RSR is to help stabilize rates, it is appropriate to reduce the reserve now, avoid an unacceptably high bill impact on customers, and gradually build up the reserve to its target guideline. Staff believes this approach balances the customers’ interests with the utility’s need to recover costs in a timely manner. As more information becomes known, _better projections for the RSR balances at year-end will become available enabling staffto modify its proposals as necessary. If the January 1, 2001 rate increase is not enacted, the Gas Fund Supply RSR is projected to end with a negative balance of approximately $1.6 million. If a January 1, 2001 rate increase of 20 percent is approved, the combined Supply and Distribution RSR’S are expected to be depleted to near zero. Staff plans to monitor consumption, sales, costs, and reserve levels each month to establish a rate proposal for January 1, 2001 that will enable the reserves to avoid depletion by June 30, 2001. It may be noted that despite under- recovery of purchased gas costs, overall the proposed retail rates will cover all variable CMR:330:00 Page 3 of 6 costs and make a partial contribution towards recovery of fixed costs. The gas sales forecast used for FY2000/01 budget was done in December 1999. At that time, the gas consumption level for the recently completed FY 1998/99 was 40.7 million therms which indicated a much higher level than previous years. It was not clear if the higher usage in 1998-99 was reflective of a permanent trend or was a one-time anomaly due to possible weather variations and other factors. In the past 7 months, actual gas usage has not supported an annual forecast of 40.7 million therms. Rather, recent trends indicate that consumption will be 10.6 percent lower. On this basis, staffbelieves that the adopted budget sales revenue amount of $19,669,000 is overstated and a more realistic estimate is approximately $16,462,000. This represents a 1613 percent reduction in sales revenue. On a percentage basis the revenue decline is higher than the consumption decline because of the two-tier inverted rate structure for residents. If sales are reduced, the usage primarily drops within the second tier. The second tier is priced higher than the first tier, accounting for the disproportionately higher decline in revenue. Application of 15 Percent Rate Increase The proposed rate increase will be applied to the supply portion of the total gas rate while distribution rates will remain unchanged. The rate increase will be spread equitably among customer classes based on a system average increase of approximately 15 percent. Table 1 indicates the impact of this rate proposal on a typical monthly bill for the various customer classes. Customer Residential/Winter Residential/Winter Residential/Summer Residential/Summer Small Commercial G-2 Small Commercial G-2 Large Commercial G-7 Proposed Bill Impact Usage Therms 100 150 30 40 5OO 10,000 30,000 TABLE 1 Proposed Monthly Bill $49.60 83.95 16.63 23.50 269.00 5,380.00 12,270.00 Amount of Increase $6.50 11.00 2.18 3.08 35.00 700.00 1,590.00 Percent Increase 15% 15 15 15 15 15 15 Even with consecutive rate increases of 15 percent and 20 percent in FY2000-01, Palo Alto’s commodity gas rates will remain below the market during this period, unless wholesale natural gas prices decline. Table 2 is a comparison between CPAU’s proposed rates and an estimate of PG&E’s comparable rates. CPAU’s market forecast was used to calculate the estimated PG&E rates. PG&E’s rates are actually a monthly pass-through of PG&E’s weighted average cost of gas and therefore reflect current market prices. On the other hand, Palo Alto’s retail commodity rates, despite the proposed increase, remain below the wholesale market price. This difference in tracking costs on a monthly basis (PG&E) or CMR:330:00 Page 4 of 6 over a longer period of time (CPAU), accounts for the principal rate differential in the table. Table 2 illustrates bills for a summer month (August) and winter month (December) because rate structures change between seasons. PG&E AND PROPOSED PALO ALTO BILL COMPARISON Usage Customer in Therms Residential August 2000 December 2000 Small Commercial Go2 August 2000 December 2000 Medium Commercial G-2 August 2000 December 2000 Large Commercial G-7 August 2000 December 2000 TABLE 2 Palo .Alto Proposed Monthly Bill 30 $16.63 100 49.60 500 269.00 500 269.00 10,000 5,380.00 10,000 5,380.00 30,000 12,270.00 30,000 12,270.00 PG&E Expected Bill $26 87 394 442 6,603 7,216 18,569 19,922 Dollar Difference [Rounded] ($10) (38) (125) (173) (1,223) (1,836) (6,299) (7,652) Percent Palo Alto Below PG&E -37% -43 -32 -39 -19 -25 -34 -38 Staff is investigating the possibility of changing the current rate structure to avoid the disparity which arises when commodity prices change dramatically (up or down). One strategy under consideration is to convert all commodity rates to a cost pass-through structure similar to PG&E, Southern California Gas Company, and the City of Long Beach. The new structure, would result in varying monthly commodity rates based on CPAU’s actual cost of gas. However, converting to this pricing methodology should be gradual to avoid major bill impacts on customers and provide adequate time for businesses to plan their budgets. Finally, since this rate structure would expose customers to market volatility, fixed-price, fixed-term rates may be available to customers as well. UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION REVIEW On July 5, 2000, staff presented this proposal to the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) as an information item. No action was requested. The UAC understood the reasons for the rate proposal. They suggested that energy efficiency and conservation program information be provided that could help customers reduce gas usage. The UAC also suggested that the residential gas rate schedule be shown on the bill insert so consumers could understand that prices escalate for increased usage. RESOURCE IMPACT The proposed 15 percent rate increase is expected to generate an additional $2.3 million on an annual basis but will appear as only a $340,000 revenue increase above the adopted budget. The reason is that the F¥ 2000-01 adopted budget gas sales revenue is overstated and the $340,000 amount takes into account a revised forecast for gas usage. If usage trends are CMP,.:330:00 Page 5 of 6 confirmed, the adopted budget sales revenue will be revised during the mid-year adjustment process. For informational purposes, attached is a summary of the BAOs approved to da~e in 2000-01 that impact the Utilities Rate Stabilization Reserves. This attachment also estimates future year ongoing costs associated with BAO’s approved to date to provide a projection for the future resource needs from the Utility Funds for those programs approved after the adoption of the 2000-01 budget. POLICY IMPLICATIONS These recommendations do not represent a change in current City policies. TIMELINE The proposed gas rates will be effective August 1,. 2000. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW The adoption of the resolution does not constitute a project under the Environmental Quality Act, therefore, no environmental assessment is required. California ATTACHMENTS Attachment A:Figures 1 and 2 Budget Amendment Ordinance Budget Amendment Ordinances Impacting the Utilities Rate Stabilization Reserves Approved to Date in 2000-01 Resolution Gas Rate Schedules G-l, G-2, and G-7 PREPARED BY:Karla Dailey, Resource Planner Randy Baldschun, Assistant Director of Utilities DEPARTMENT HEAD: of Utilities CITY MANAGER APPROVAE~--~~ EMILY HARRISON -" Assistant City Manager cc: Utilities Advisory Commission CMR:330:00 Page 6 of 6 ORDINANCE NO. ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO AMENDING THE BUDGET FOR THE FISCAL YEAR 2000-01 TO PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL APPROPRIATION OF $6,607,307FOR GAS FUND COM~ODITY PURCHASE AND TRANSMISSION COSTS. WHEREAS, pursuant to the provisions of Section 12 of Article III of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto, the Council on June 19, 2000 did adopt a budget for fiscal year 2000-01; and ~EREAS, the Gas Utility’s adopted budget for fiscal year 2000-01 is based on historically normal gas price forecasts as of December 1999; and WHEREAS, gas prices have increased more than ~fifty percent since the December 1999 forecast due to several factors relating to supply and demand; and WHEREAS, an estimated $6,607,307 beyond the amount budgeted is required for gas commodity purchases; and WHEREAS, a 15 percent rate increase effective August i, 2000 will generate $2.3 million in gas sales revenue and offset a portion of increasing gas commodity costs; and WHEREAS, as a result of lower revised sales volume subsequent to adoption of the budget, anticipated revenue in gas sales must be reduced by $2.0 million; and WHEREAS, City Council authorization is needed to amend the 2000-01 budget as hereinafter set forth. NOW, THEREFORE,’ the Council of the City of Palo Alto does ORDAIN as follows: SECTION i. The sum of Six Million Six Hundred Seven Thousand Three Hundred Seven Dollars ($6,607,307) is hereby appropriated to commodity purchases expense in the Supply Resource Management Functional Area in the Gas Fund, and the Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve is correspondingly reduced. SECTION 2. The sum of One Million Seven Hundred Thousand Dollars ($1,700,000) is hereby transferred from the Gas Fund Distribution Rate Stabilization Reserve to the Gas Fund Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve. SECTION 3. The transactions authorized by Section 1 and 2 will reduce the Gas Fund Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve from’ $2,962,000 to ($1,605,307) and reduce the Gas Fund Distribution Rate Stabilization Reserve from $3,509,000 to $1,809,000 for a net balance of $203,693 in the Gas Fund. SECTION 4. Gas Fund revenues are increasing by a net of Three Hundred Forty Thousand Dollars ($340,000) as a result of this BAO. SECTION 5. As specified in Section 2.28.080(a) of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, a two-thirds vote of the City Council is required to adopt this ordinance. SECTION 6. The Council of the City of Palo Alto hereby finds that this is not a project under the California Environmental Quality Act and, therefore, no environmental impact assessment is necessary. SECTION 7. As provided in Section 2.04.350 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, this ordinance shall become effective upon adoption. INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSTENTIONS: ABSENT: ATTEST:APPROVED: City Clerk Mayor APPROVED AS TO FORM:City Manager Senior Asst. City Attorney Director of Services Administrative Director of Utilities City of Palo Alto Budget Amendment Ordinances Impacting Utilities Rate Stabilization Reserves Approved To Date in 2000.01 07/14/00 ~ted Electric Distribution Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance $5,276,000 [’otal BAOs RSR Balance After BAO’s Electric Fund Estimated Electric Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR Balance $o $o $o $o $5,276,O00 $16,409,000 $0 : ]’otal BAOs Balance After BAO’s ;as Fund Estimated Gas Distribution Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance Gas Rate Increase BAO $o $o $16,409,o00 $3,509,000 3OO,O0O) $o Total BAOs RSR Balance After BAO’s $o ($1,700,000) $1,809,000 Gas Fund Estimated Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance Gas Rate Increase BAO $2,962,000 ($4,567,307) Total BAOs RSR Balance After BAO’s Estimated Net Gas Fund RSR Balance Estimated Refuse Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance $0 ($4,567,307) ($1,605,307) $3,949,000 $203,693 Total BAOs RSR Balance After BA O’s $o $o $0 $3,949,000 $o ; Budget Amendment Ordinances Impacting Utilities Rate Stabilization Reserves Approved To Date in 2000-01 07/14/00 ~astewater CollecUon Fund Estimated WWC Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance Total BAOs RSR Balance After BAO’s Wastewa~r Treatment Fund Estimated WWT Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance I’otal BAOs RSR Balance After BAO’s Water Fund Estimated Water Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance Total BAOs RSR Balance After BAO’s Vehicle Equipment Fund Estimated Retained Earnings $o $o $o $o $5,877,000 $o $o ! $5,877,000 $4,270,000 $o $o $o $oi $4,270,000 Retained Earnings Balance After BAO’s ($6,267,307) RESOLUTION NO. RESOLUTION OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO AMENDING UTILITY RATE SCHEDULES G-l, G-2 AND G-7 OF THE CITY OF PALO’ALTO UTILITIES RATES AND CHARGES PERTAINING TO GAS SERVICE The Council of the City of Palo Alto does hereby RESOLVE as follows: SECTION I.Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Schedules G-I (Residential Core Gas Service), G-2 (Commercial Core Gas Service), and G-7 (Large Commercial Core Gas Service) of the Palo Alto Utilities Rates and Charges are hereby amended to read in accordance with Sheets G-l-l, G-2-1, G-7-1, and G-7-2, respectively, attached hereto and incorpgrated herein by reference. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedules,as. amended, shall become effective~ -~on August i, 2000. SECTION 2. The Council finds that the revenue derived from the authorized adjustments of the several gas service rates shall be used only for the .purposes set forth in Article VII, Section 2, of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto. SECTION 3. The Council finds that the adoption of this resolution does not constitute .a project under the California Environmental Quality Act, California Public Resources Code section 21080, subdivision (b) (8). INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST:APPROVED: City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: Senior Asst. City Attorney Mayor City Manager Director of Utilities Director of Administrative Services RESIDENTIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G- 1 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to core natural gas service to individually metered single family premises, including those separately metered in a multi-family complex. B. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. C. RATES: Fo~ individually metered residential customers Per Meter Per Month (A). Summer Rates (May 1 to October 31): 0-20 therms per therm ..............................................................................................48.8¢ Over 20 therms per therm .......................................................................................... 68.7¢ (B)Winter Rates (Nov. 1 to April 30): 0-96 therms per therm ...............................................................................................48.8¢ Over 96 thermsper therm ............................................ .............................................68.7¢ D. SPECIAL NOTES: Seasonal rate changes: The applicable residential rate structure will be prorated in the May and November billing periods based on the rates of the number of days pribr to May 1 and subsequent to October 31, respectively, to the total number of days in the billing period. ’2.Service under this schedule is st~bject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage causett by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No. G-1-1 dated 7-1-98 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 8-1-2000 Sheet No. G-l-1 COMMERCIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-2 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to non-residential core customers. Core customers include all customers using less than 250,000 therms per year at a single address. In addition, this schedule applies to customers who use more than 250,000 therms per year at a single address but elect to be core customers served under this schedule. B.TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Pale Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. C.RATES: All year-round delivered commodity:Per Meter Per Month Per Therm ......................................................................................................................................53.8¢ D. SPECIAL CONDITIONS: Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheei No. G-2-1 dated 7-%98 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 8-1-2000 Sheet No. G-2-1 LARGE COMMERCIAL CORE GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-7 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to service for large commercial customers who use at least 250,000.therms per year at one site. B. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. C. RATES:Cents Per Therm Commodity Charge ......................................................i ..........................................................30.4¢ Administrative Fee ..................................................................................................................0.4¢ Transportation Charges: PG&E Local Transportation .............................................................................................1.6¢ Palo Alto Local Distribution .............................................................................................8.5¢ D. SPECIAL CONDITION: Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or. sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, .riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. 2.A customer who elects, to be served under this rate will pay an administrative fee equal to the allocable administrative costs incurred by the City in providing the gas service. 3.PG&E Local transportation charge is equal to the cost of transporting gas ~om the PG&E’s City Gate to the Palo Alto City Gate. 4.The total monthly charge = therms used during the month X (commodity charge + administrative fee + PG&E local transportation charge + Palo Alto local distribution charge). 5. A customer may request service under this schedule for more than one account or meter if the CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the. City Council Supersedes SheetNo. G-7-’I dated 7-1-98 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 8-1-2000 Sheet No. G-7-1 accounts are located on one site. A site shall be defined as one or more utility accounts serving contiguous parcels of land with no intervening public" right-of- ways (e.g. streets) and have a common billing address. Customers may request a rate schedule change at any time, but only once during a twelve-month period if the change is between City of Palo Alto full-service rate schedules. The 12 months limitation does not apply if a.customer elects a Gas Direct Access rate schedule and is served by another Gas Service Provider, or if a customer elects schedule G-8. Qualified customers may elect Gas Direct Access at any time. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No. G-7-1 dated 7-1-98 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 8-1-2000 Sheet No. G-7-2