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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2003-12-15 City Council (13)City of Palo Alto City Manager’s Report 11 TO:HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL FROM:CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT: UTILITIES DATE: SUBJECT: DECEMBER 15, 2003 CMR:510:03 FINANCE COMMITTEE RECOMMENDATION TO ADOPT AN ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO APPROVING ELECTRIC MASTER AGREEMENTS WITH BP ENERGY COMPANY, CORAL POWER, LLC; DUKE ENERGY MARKETING AMERICA LLC; AND SEMPRA ENERGY TRADING CORPORATION FOR THE PROCUREMENT OF ELECTRICITY AND AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO TRANSACT UP TO $75 MILLION WITH EACH SUPPLIER UNDER THESE AGREEMENTS RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that Council approve the following: Approve and authorize the Mayor to execute Master Agreements with the following suppliers who have been deemed qualified to do business with the City with respect to electricity purchases and sales for the period January 2004 through December 201 !, under the terms discussed in the report: a. BP Energy Company; b. Coral Power, LLC; c. Duke Energy Marketing America, LLC; d. Sempra Energy Trading Corporation. o Authorize the City Manager or his designee to manage these Master Agreements, and to execute one or more electric commodity transactions in accordance with the terms of the contract. This includes authorizing the City Manager or his designee to execute multiple transactions under the Master Agreements with one or more of the above suppliers to procure electric supplies sufficient to meet the City’s CMR:510:03 Page 1 of 3 forecasted electric load, with the date for delivery of the electricity for each transaction not to exceed 36 months from the date that the transaction is executed. In addition, the date for delivery of the electricity for any transaction will not extend beyond the term of the Master Agreements specified in the attached ordinance. The maximum aggregate transaction limit under each Master Agreement shall be $75 million. COMMITTEE REVIEW AND RECOMMENDATIONS The Committee was informed that one of the suppliers, Arizona Public Service Company, was not able to come to agreement with the City and, therefore, the City will not enter into a contract with it. One item of concern to Committee members was the authorization to the City Manager of $75 million per contract; this means that the City Manager could potentially have authority to spend $300 million under the four contracts. Committee members asked ira lesser cap could be applied to the City Manager’s authorization. Staff explained that such a cap would be administratively difficult, as suppliers would require information about transactions entered into under all contracts. Committee members asked the City Auditor if she was comfortable with the recommendation, specifically the $75 million per contract authorization. The Auditor replied that staff has complied with 12 of the 24 recommendations from her July 2002 audit of Utility Risk Management Procedures and were in progress on the remaining 12. Approval of the Electric Master Agreements would complete the 13th recommendation. The Auditor indicated that she was comfortable with staff’s recommendation. After discussion, the Committee voted unanimously to accept staff’s recommendation. ATTACHMENTS A: Ordinance of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Authorizing the City Manager to Purchase a Portion of the City’s Electricity Requirements from Certain Prequalified Electricity Suppliers Under Specified Terms and Conditions During Calendar Years 2004 through 2011, Inclusive B:CMR:465:03 Ordinance of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Approving Electric Master Agreements with Arizona Public Service Company; BP Energy Company, Coral Power, LLC; Duke Energy Marketing America LLC; and Sempra Energy Trading Corporation for the Procurement of Electricity and Authorizing the City Manager to Transact Up To $75 Million with Each Supplier Under These Agreements C:Finance Committee Minutes Excerpt D:"At Place" Memo From Finance Committee Meeting 12/09/03 CMR:510:03 Page 2 of 3 PREPARED BY: DEPARTMENT APPROVAL: CITY MANAGER APPROVAL: ~ON Assistant City Manager CMR:510:03 Page 3 of 3 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** ORDINANCE NO. ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO PURCHASE A PORTION OF THE CITY’S ELECTRICITY REQUIREMENTS FROM CERTAIN PREQUALIFIED ELECTRICITY SUPPLIERS UNDER SPECIFIED TERMS AND CONDITIONS DURING CALENDAR YEARS 2004 THROUGH 2011, INCLUSIVE The Council of the City of Palo Alto does ORDAIN as follows: SECTION i. The City Council finds, as follows: A.In 1967, the United States entered into a contract No. 14-06-200-2948A with Pacific Gas and Electric Company ("Integration Agreement"). Under this contract, the Western Area Power Administration ("Western") provides electric capacity and energy to the City of Palo Alto ("City") over PG&E’s transmission system. It will expire in December 2004. B.In 2000, the city entered into a contract No. 00- SNR-0033 with Western (~Base Resource Contract"). Under this contract, the City will receive less electric capacity and energy than is currently made available under the existing power purchase agreement. It will begin in January 2005 and will expire in December 2024. C.On November 13, 2001, the Council by minute order approved four primary energy portfolio objectives (~Objectives"), including the objective to ensure low and stable electric supply rates for customers, and it also adopted Ordinance No. 4724, authorizing a five-year purchase of energy and capacity during the 2005-2010 period. The City executed that purchase on August 13, 2002 with Coral Power, L.L.C. (the "2002 Coral Purchase"). D.On October 21, 2002, the Council by minute order approved seven electric portfolio planning and management guidelines to guide staff in developing and managing the city’s long-term electric acquisition plan ("LEAP Guidelines"). One of the LEAP guidelines is to diversify energy purchases according to several factors, including, but not limited to, dates and terms of commitment, suppliers, prices and fuel sources. E.On August 4, 2003, the Council by minute order approved the LEAP Implementation Plan and it also adopted Ordinance No. 4801, authorizing the purchase of energy and capacity during the 2005-2007 period. One element of the implementation plan is to gain approval for a set of master agreements with suppliers with the authority to transact for terms of up to three years. 031113 cl 0072336 1 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** F.In accordance with the City’s LEAP Guidelines and Implementation Plan, the City must annually purchase and, incidental to purchases, sell electricity to meet the needs of its electric customers by entering into one or more contracts with terms varying from less than one month to five years. The City’s Energy Risk Management Policies provide that the City will purchase only as much electricity as is needed to meet its load requirements established at the time a transaction is executed. G.A portion of the City’s electricity demands are supplied by existing contracts, including the Base Resource Contract, contract for output derived from partial ownership in the Calaveras Hydroelectric Plant with the Northern California Power Agency, an energy exchange contract with Seattle City Light, and a 25 MW purchase of power for five years starting in 2005. The balance of the City’s electricity needs must be purchased from suppliers at market-based prices. H.The balance of electricity the City needs depends on the output from the Base Resource Contract and the Calaveras Hydroelectric Plant, which depends on hydrologic conditions. After 2004, the City will be required to purchase about one-third of its total electricity needs in an average hydrologic year. In a dry year, the City must purchase about one-half of its annual needs. In wet years, the City may have a surplus of electricity and could afford to sell about one-fifth of its projected annual needs. I.The cost for the City’s market-based electricity purchases and incidental sales depends on the price offered by suppliers, the projected annual electricity customer requirements, and the output from the hydroelectric-based supply resources. The annual cost could fall within the range of approximately $16 million to $22 million per fiscal year during an average hydrologic year. Costs during a dry year could fall between $27 million and $37 million per fiscal year. Total aggregate transactions derived from purchases and incidental sales of surplus electricity could be between $25 million and $34 million per fiscal year during a wet year. J.In June 2003, the City initiated a Request for Proposals process in order to prequalify a number of electricity suppliers, based on their financial and legal qualifications and business experience, who are eligible to sell electricity to and purchase electricity from the City. K.BP Energy Company, Coral Power, L.L.C., Duke Energy Marketing America L.L.C., and Sempra Energy Trading Corporation each possess the minimum financial and legal qualifications and business experience in order to be eligible to do business with the City. 031113 c10072336 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** L.The City intends to purchase electricity from one or more of these pre-qualified suppliers for delivery during calendar years 2004 through 2011, inclusive, so long as the supplier with whom the.City negotiates a specific purchase transaction continues to be qualified and otherwise eligible to transact with the City. SECTION 2. The Council hereby authorizes the Mayor to sign the Edison Electric Institute standard form contract, or equivalent, or in the case of Coral Power, L.L.C., the amended and restated contract, and it also authorizes the City Manager or his designated representative, the Director of Utilities, to negotiate one or more individual transactions thereunder, with BP Energy Company, Coral Power, L.L.C., Duke Energy Marketing America L.L.C., and Sempra Energy Trading Corporation. The authorization shall extend to individual transactions executed under the referenced standard form contract, provided that: (a) the maximum expenditure under any standard form contract and any and all separate transactions thereunder with any of the named suppliers shall not exceed $75 million in the aggregate; and (b) the maximum term of any transaction shall not exceed a term of three (3) years, commencing on the date the transaction is mutually agreed to by the parties, or a term of five years, in the case of the 2002 Coral Purchase, commencing on the date -delivery of the transaction begins. The City may enter into a transaction greater than three years, provided that transaction receives the prior approval of the Council. SECTION 3. No standard form contract and any transaction entered into thereunder with any qualified electricity supplier executed by the City Manager or his designated representative and approved as to form by the City Attorney under the authority of this ordinance shall extend beyond December 31, 2011. SECTION 4. The Council hereby finds that this ordinance is exempt from the provisions of the California Environmental Quality Act pursuant to Section 15061(b)(3) of the California Environmental Quality Act Guidelines, because it can be seen with certainty that there is no possibility of significant environmental effects occurring as a result of the adoption of this ordinance. // // // // // 031113 cl 0072336 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** SECTION 5. This ordinance shall be effective on the thirty-first day after the date of its adoption. INTRODUCED: PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSTENTIONS: ABSENT: ATTEST: City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: Mayor APPROVED: Senior Asst. City Attorney City Manager Director of Administrative Services Director of Utilities 031113 cl 0072336 4 TO:HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL ATTN:FINANCE COMMITTEE FROM:CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT: UTILITIES DATE: SUBJECT: DECEMBER 9, 2003 CMR:465:03 ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO APPROVING ELECTRIC MASTER AGREEMENTS WITH ARIZONA PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY, CORAL POWER, MARKETING AMERICA LLC; TRADING CORPORATION FOR COMPANY;BP ENERGY LLC; DUKE ENERGY AND SEMPRA ENERGY THE PROCUREMENT OF ELECTRICITY AND AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO TRANSACT UP TO $75 MILLION WITH EACH SUPPLIER UNDER THESE AGREEMENTS REPORT IN BRIEF The City of Palo Alto will need significant additional supply resources to meet its future electricity needs since, starting on January 1, 2005, its main supplier will provide substantially less energy than it currently supplies. The Council has approved the Long- term Electric Acquisition Plan (LEAP), which sets out how those additional supplies will be purchased; and the LEAP implementation plan, which directed staff to enter into Master Agreements with qualified suppliers. In order to implement LEAP, staff needs the authority to transact under such Master Agreements. Staff requests Council’s approval to execute Master Agreements with five suppliers that meet all the City’s rigorous qualification requirements. These suppliers were selected as a result of a Request For Proposals process that was open to electricity suppliers who sought to do business with the City. Staff further requests that Council authorize staff to transact under these Master Agreements so that it can purchase electricity on a competitive basis under certain limitations set forth in the attached ordinance. CMR:465:03 Page 1 of 12 RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that Council approve the following: Approve and authorize the Mayor to execute Master Agreements with the following suppliers who have been deemed qualified to do business with the City with respect to electricity purchases and sales for the period January 2004 through December 2011, under the terms discussed in the report: a. Arizona Public Service Company; b. BP Energy Company; c. Coral Power, LLC; d. Duke Energy Marketing America, LLC; e. Sempra Energy Trading Corporation. o Authorize the City Manager or his designee to manage these Master Agreements, and to execute one or more electric commodity transactions in accordance with the terms of the contract. This includes authorizing the City Manager or his designee to execute multiple transactions under the Master Agreements with one or more of the above suppliers to procure electric supplies sufficient to meet the City’s forecasted electric load, with the date for delivery of the electricity for each transaction not to exceed 36 months from the date that the transaction is executed. In addition, the date for delivery of the electricity for any transaction will not extend beyond the term of the Master Agreements specified in the attached ordinance. The maximum aggregate transaction limit under each Master Agreement shall be $75 million. BACKGROUND The City will experience a significant electricity supply resource deficit with the expiration of its current 40-year Western Area Power Administration contract at the end of 2004. In October 2000, Council approved the 20-year Western Base Resource contract, (CMR:378:00) which will replace the existing Western contract. Due to the changed Western contract, the projected energy shortfall in the year 2005 and beyond is expected to be about 650 million kilowatt-hours per year or about 55% of the City’s electricity energy needs during an average hydrologic year. This deficit is highly variable and dependent on hydro conditions, with the energy deficit as high as 70% in a very dry hydro year and as low as 20% in a very wet year. This annual production variability is illustrated in Figure 1. CMR:465:03 Page 2 of 12 Fig 1" Variability of Existing Generation Portfolio After December 2004 140,000 120,000 100,000- "~ 80,000 t,-. 1,1,,I 60,000 ~40.000 Palo Alto Load 20,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apt May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec More than two years of staff work, Utilities Advisory Commission and public input, and Council approval of policies, guidelines and plans have all focused toward proactively responding to this energy deficit and preparing the Long-term Electric Acquisition Plan (LEAP). The City Council approved four Primary Portfolio Planning Objectives on November 13, 2001 (CMR:425:01) to guide the development of strategies to fill this energy deficit. The City Council approved seven LEAP Guidelines on October 21, 2002 (CMR:398:02). On August 4, 2003, the City Council approved the LEAP Implementation Plan (CMR:354:03). These approved objectives, guidelines and implementation plan are provided for reference as Attachment B to this report. The July 2002 Assessment of Utility Risk Management Procedures by the City Auditor made recommendations to improve the City of Palo Alto Utilities’ (CPAU) energy procurement process. The Auditor’s report recommended that all Master Agreements with suppliers be approved by the Council with clearly defined dollar, volume and duration limits (Recommendation No. 4); and with clear definition of the types of transactions staff is authorized to execute under the agreements. The Auditor’s report also recommended that the process of securing Master Agreements itself be undertaken in a more open and competitive manner (Recommendation No.6). CMR:465:03 Page 3 of 12 Electricity Portfolio The post-2004 electricity supply portfolio consists of the electricity supply sources listed below: o ° o Western Base Resource Contract - This 20-year contract (2005 through 2024) is the primary source of supply. The energy source is hydroelectric power; thus, the output varies each month and each year according to hydrologic conditions. The contract provides about 35% of the City’s needs in an average hydrologic year. Calaveras Hydroelectric Project - The City owns a fraction of this project with other members of the Northern California Power Agency (NCPA). As with the Western Base Resource, its output is dependent upon hydrologic conditions. The City’s share of the project provides about 12% of its annual needs in an average hydrologic year. Seattle City Light (SCL) Contract - This contract, which expires in 2014, is a seasonal exchange of energy. The City receives electric energy from SCL in summer months and returns energy to SCL in winter months. Coral Contract- On November 13, 2001, the City Council approved the purchase of 25 MW of energy [CMR:425.01 ] to be delivered around the clock in the months of January through March and October through December for 5 years (2005 through 2009). Staff executed the purchase from Coral Energy Resources, L.P. on August 13, 2002. The contract provides about 10% of the City’s needs during the contract term. Block Purchases - The City Council approved the purchase of three, 25 MW blocks of energy for delivery for the 2005 through 2007 period [CMR:354:03]. Staff plans to execute these approved purchases under the proposed Master Agreements. The blocks will supply about 26% of the City’s needs in 2005, 15% of the 2006 needs, and about 11% of the needs in 2007. The City is evaluating other long-term supplies as outlined in the LEAP implementation plan including a 25 to 50 MW share of a natural gas-fired generation plant, renewable supplies to meet the LEAP Guideline (new renewables equal to 10% of the portfolio by 2008 and 20% of the portfolio by 2015), locally-sited generation, and implementation of energy efficiency programs. The balance of the City’s projected needs will be purchased from the market as needed to meet demand requirements. Staff plans to execute these market purchase transactions under the proposed Master Agreements. In addition to the electricity purchased in advance for its customers, electricity supplies must be purchased or sold as required to match actual loads to supplies previously purchased. These "operational balancing" transactions are completed by NCPA to balance load within the month. CMR:465:03 Page 4 of 12 Assuming that new renewables account for 10% of the total need (the goal for 2008) and that no other new long-term resources are in place, the deficits in the first three years of the post-2004 period are shown in the chart Figure 2 below. Fig. 2: Load/Resource Balance - 2005-2007: 33% deficit in an average hydrologic year 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Jan-05 Jui-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Since the City has not yet purchased the Council-authorized block purchases, the amount of energy remaining to be purchased includes the energy associated with those purchases. Including those block purchases, the amount of the energy deficit depends to a great extent on the hydrologic year type. In dry years, the deficit increases, while there will be an energy surplus in wet years in some months. Given projected annual demand of about 1,105,000 Megawatt-hours per year (MWh/yr), the estimated energy deficit in an average hydrologic year is about 365,000 MWh/yr, or about 33% of expected load. In a dry year, the deficit increases to about 610,000 MWh/yr (55% of expected load) and a wet year is expected to yield an energy surplus of about 195,000 MWh/yr (18% of expected load). DISCUSSION To prepare for the significant energy deficits in the future, improve opportunities for competitive pricing, diversify purchases across multiple creditworthy suppliers, and comply with audit recommendations, a Request for Proposal (RFP) was issued in June 2003 to solicit interest from suppliers to sign Master Agreements with the City to enable future procurement of electricity supplies required to meet the City’s electric load needs for up to 10 years. The supplier selection process for the RFP is provided in Attachment C. The five proposed Master Agreements were negotiated under terms and conditions CMR:465:03 Page 5 of 12 acceptable to the City. (The Master Agreements are available for review in the office of the City Clerk.) Description of a Master Agreement A Master Agreement is similar but not identical to a blanket purchase order. A Master Agreement details all of the contractual terms that govern transactions that are completed under the agreements. The Master Agreement consists of a base contract and special provisions specified in the cover sheet. Executing a Master Agreement does not commit the City to any transaction. Each transaction for part of the City’s monthly, annual, or multi-year electricity requirements is completed through subsequent competitive bidding and memorialized as an executed transaction, as evidenced by a completed confirmation. Executing a Master Agreement is not a promise of business by the City or by the supplier. It serves only to qualify suppliers to bid on individual transactions solicited by the City. Each Master Agreement may be terminated at any time by either party according to the terms of the agreement. Termination of the Master Agreement cancels the supplier’s ability to bid on further transactions during the term contemplated by the RFP. Any transaction executed under the Master Agreement prior to termination will remain in place until the final electricity delivery date, unless an event of default has transpired. In an event of default by a supplier, the City has the option to terminate the remaining transactions for electricity yet to be delivered that were executed under the Master Agreement. The supplier can also terminate any remaining transactions in the event of default by the City. The City may suspend solicitation to bid on individual transactions with any supplier due to counterparty credit limits or transaction limits, a supplier credit downgrade event, supplier default or suspected default, or where inclusion in the solicitation would not comply with law or City policies, guidelines, rules or procedures. While the City has selected five suppliers with whom to sign Master Agreements, it is foreseeable that only a few suppliers may ultimately provide the most competitive prices, and some may merge or leave the industry, resulting in most transactions being concentrated among a few qualified suppliers. If the number of eligible suppliers dwindles, the City may terminate the Master Agreements as per contract terms and conditions and concurrently conduct an RFP for new Master Agreements to cover the period after the effective date of termination of the Master Agreements then in place. All transactions under the Master Agreements will be executed by staff in accordance with the Energy Risk Management Policies, Guidelines, and Procedures. These procedures are monitored by the Energy Risk Manager, and ensure that risks inherent in CMR:465:03 Page 6 of 12 the energy industry are managed prudently. The Energy Risk Manager will provide Council an update of all executed transactions under the Master Agreements on a semi- annual basis as part of energy risk management reporting. Projected Costs Currently, electricity can be purchased for between $25 and $65 per MWh for deliveries during the next several years, depending on the month and hours of the day. However, prices could increase dramatically as during the 2001 energy crisis, when prices reached over $200iMWh for certain months. Since electricity prices are volatile, it is conceivable that the prices could double from current levels over the terms of the Master Agreements. The City’s estimated electric purchase costs for the post-2004 energy deficit depends on the hydrologic year type and the market cost of energy. The table below shows the estimated total cost of all transactions under the Master Agreements in the case of average, dry and wet hydrologic year types for energy costs of $45/MWh and $60/MWh. Estimated Annual Aggregate Cost Scenarios For the Annual Energy Supply Deficit/Surplus Average Hydro Year Dry Hydro Year Wet Hydro year Ener~Cos~-$45]MWh ’ Energy Cost=-$60~Wh $16 million $22 million $28 million $37 million $25 million $34 million The expected cost for electricity in an average hydrologic year over the 2005 through 2011 period in which the Electric Master Agreements would be in use is about $16 million!year, or a total aggregate cost for electricity over the seven years of between $80 and $110 million. However, if electric costs increase by 20% so that costs average $20 million per year over the 7-year period, the aggregate cost could be $140 million. If there were a dry hydrologic year, the costs could increase even more. For example, if two of the seven years were dry years, the costs over 7 years could be $130 to $170 million. In a wet year, it is expected that there would be an overall supply surplus. In addition, the LEAP Guidelines state that hydrologic risk (the risk of varying output from the hydroelectric-based resources) should be managed by planning for an average year on a long-term basis. Thus, in accordance with the LEAP Guidelines, staff would purchase sufficient supplies in advance to close the average year deficit. If the hydrologic year turned out to be wet, those purchases as well as the surplus emanating from the increased output from the Western contract and the Calaveras Hydroelectric Plant would be sold to balance supplies with customer needs. CMR:465:03 Page 7 of 12 Limits of Authorization The proposed limits and parameters for Council’s authorization to the City Manager include the following: Authority to be delegated to the City Manager to buy and sell electricity to meet the City’s retail load requirements within a 3-year period from the date the transaction is executed ("rolling 36 month forward period"). All transactions must be consistent with Council-approved Energy Risk Management Policies [CMR:400:02]. o All transactions in excess of $65,000 to be reported on a quarterly basis to Council as part of regular reporting (per the Energy Risk Management Policies and Guidelines). The maximum total dollar amount of aggregated electricity transactions for any single Master Agreement is $75 million. This limit gives staff the flexibility it needs in case electricity costs increase above expectations, variations in hydrologic year types, and if some of the suppliers are unable to continue to do business with the City or do not offer the best prices. All transactions that lie outside the authority delegated to the City Manager require Council approval. Additional limitations on transactions with the suppliers are imposed under the internal energy risk management guidelines. These internal guidelines contain counterparty credit limits that limit transaction term and risk exposure depending upon the creditworthiness of the suppliers. For example, the guidelines provide transaction limits in terms of annual volume, annual cost, and transaction term for each supplier. Thus, staff is constrained by these guidelines regarding transacting with each approved supplier. These guidelines act as an additional level of control below the higher-level limitations that staff recommends Council impose under the Master Agreements. ALTERNATIVES The aggregate cost of all transactions to be executed under the Master Agreements is expected to be between $80 million and $110 million. Therefore, the request for City Manager authority of a maximum of $75 million per Master Agreement may appear much larger than necessary. Unfortunately, the actual quantities and cost for the electricity required to meet load is not known at this time. If all five suppliers offer competitive prices, remain creditworthy and in good standing, electricity costs do not deviate greatly from expectations, and the hydrologic years over the term of the CMR:465:03 Page 8 of 12 agreements are neither dry nor wet, the City could transact for an average of less than $30 million with each supplier. However, the total volume and cost of transactions in a wet year or a dry year will be significantly higher than in a normal hydrologic year. Market costs for electricity could also increase significantly. Finally, over the terms of the agreements, one or more of the suppliers may cease to remain in business, may have their creditworthiness downgraded such that Palo Alto will not enter into any new transactions, or may consistently not offer the best prices. In accordance with Risk Management Policies and Guidelines, staff is responsible for monitoring credit limits with each supplier. Therefore, it is likely that transactions will not be evenly split between the five suppliers and that Palo Alto will do more business with two or three suppliers. Thus, the transaction limit of $75 million per Master Agreement will allow staff the necessary flexibility to secure supplies to meet the City’s electric needs in an efficient and cost-effective fashion while limiting the City’s risk. RESOURCE IMPACT The transactions executed under the Master Agreements will commit the City to pay for energy deliveries needed to meet the electricity demand of City electric customers up to the limits described in the ordinance, budget constraints, and risk limits set according to the Council-approved Energy Risk Management Policies. These costs are a function of electric market prices and the City’s forecasted and actual volume of electricity needs. The expected cost for electricity given current market prices for calendar year 2005 depends on hydrologic year as shown in the table below: Resource Western Base Resource Calaveras hydroelectric project Coral Purchase (Years 2005-2009) Purchases under the Master Agreements Total Estimated Costs Average Year $10,000,000 9,500,000 4,000,000 16,500,000 $40,000,000 Dry Year $10,000,000 9,500,000 4,000,000 27,500,000 $51,000,000 Wet Year $10,000,000 9,500,000 4,000,000 25,000,000 $48,500,000 The cost for transactions expected under the Master Agreements 8-year term is shown in the following table. The cost depends on the hydrologic year and on how much energy would be purchased under these Master Agreements if they were used to enter into transactions during 2004 through 2006 for energy for delivery through 2011. CMR:465:03 Page 9 of 12 Expected Cost in an Average Hydrologic Year at Current Market Prices Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total Annual Cost $ 6,750,000 16,500,000 16,500,000 16,500,000 11,500,000 6,500,000 6,500,000 1,500,000 $82,250,000 Basis (Note that term of Coral purchase is 2005-2009) Prior to Base Resource Contract - Purchase small deficits in some months, sell small surpluses in other months Expect to purchase entire expected deficit for year Expect to purchase entire expected deficit for year Expect to purchase entire expected deficit for year Purchase energy so that deficit is -10% of load Purchase energy so that deficit is -20% of load Purchase energy so that deficit is -30% of load Purchase energy so that deficit is -40% of load Note that these cost estimates are for currently expected market prices ($45/MWh) and average hydrologic conditions. Costs could increase substantially if market prices for electricity increase and in other hydrologic year types. When a transaction is executed under the Master Agreements to buy electricity at a fixed price for delivery at a future date, the electricity is not paid for until the time of delivery. Staff carefully monitors current year costs against adopted budget and future year costs against long-term financial plans. Approval of the recommendation will not impact the current FY 03-04 budget. Transactions with deliveries extending beyond the approved budget horizon are binding commitments, supported by electric retail revenues with retail rates determined by Council. POLICY IMPLICATIONS Authorizing the City Manager to buy and sell electricity to meet City load under these Master Agreements conforms to existing Council-approved Energy Risk Management Policies (CMR:400:02). The recommendation does not deviate from Utilities’ historic practice of securing electricity commodity supplies to meet the needs of the City’s electric customers. It responds to Utilities’ need to purchase energy in the post-2004 period when supply deficits increase dramatically. The City Auditor’s Assessment of Utility Risk Management Procedures, issued in July 2002, identified the need to have clarity for the authority to complete the required transactions. The recommended action is responsive to the City Auditor’s recommendations. This recommendation is consistent with the Council approved Utilities Strategic Plan to 1) preserve a supply cost advantage compared to the market price; and 2) streamline and CMR:465:03 Page 10 of 12 manage business process to allow the City of Palo Alto Utilities to work efficiently and cost-effectively. Further, the recommendation supports the Council-approved Utilities’ Electric Portfolio Planning Objectives [CMR:425:01], LEAP Guidelines [CMR:398:02] and LEAP Implementation Plan [CMR:354:03]. These include the following Objectives, Guidelines and Implementation Plan elements relevant to Master Agreements: Objective 1: Ensure low and stable electric supply rates for pool customers Objective 2: Provide superior financial performance to customers and to the City by maintaining a supply portfolio cost advantage compared to market cost and a retail supply rate advantage compared to PG&E. Guideline 3: Market Risk Management - Manage market risk by adopting a portfolio strategy for electric supply procurement by: A. Diversifying energy purchases for the pool across commitment date, start date, duration, suppliers, pricing terms and fuel sources; C. Maintaining a prudent exposure to changing market prices by: 1) procuring resources at fixed price for at most 90% of expected load for 2 or more years out, assuming average hydro conditions; and 2) procuring resources at fixed price for at most 75% of expected load for 5 or more years out, assuming average hydro conditions.; and D.Avoiding contract-based fixed price energy purchases (except for contracts for renewable resources for durations greater than 10 years. Implementation Plan Element for Short- and Medium-Term Portfolio #2: Seek Council approval of a set of master agreements with suppliers by summer or fall 2003 with the authority to transact for terms of up to 3 years out. Any transactions outside this limit will be brought to the UAC and Council for approval. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW Adoption of the ordinances approving Master Agreements and delegating electric procurement to the City Manager under certain limitations does not constitute a project for the purposes of the California Environmental Quality Act. ATTACHMENTS A:Ordinance of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Authorizing the City Manager to Purchase a Portion of the City’s Electricity Requirements from Certain Prequalified Electricity Suppliers Under Specified Terms and Conditions During Calendar Years 2004 through 2011, Inclusive B: Council-approved Electric Supply Objectives, LEAP Guidelines and LEAP Implementation Plan CMR:465:03 Page 11 of 12 C: Electric Master Agreement RFP Evaluation Process PREPARED BY: V. PADILLA Resource Planner KARL VAN ORSDOL Energy Risk Manager DEPARTMENT HEAD: CITY MANAGER APPROVAL: JO of Utilities HARRISON Assistant City Manager CMR:465:03 Page 12 of 12 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** ORDINANCE NO. ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO PURCHASE A PORTION OF THE CITY’ S ELECTRICITY REQUIREMENTS FROM CERTAIN PREQUALIFIED ELECTRICITY SUPPLIERS UNDER SPECIFIED TERMS AND CONDITIONS DURING CALENDAR YEARS 2004 THROUGH 2011, INCLUSIVE The Council of the City of Palo Alto does ORDAIN as follows: SECTION i. The City Council finds, as follows: A.In 1967, the United States entered into a contract No. 14-06-200-2948A with Pacific Gas and Electric Company (~Integration Agreement"). Under this contract, the Western Area Power Administration (~Western") provides electric capacity and energy to the City of Palo Alto ("City") over PG&E’s transmission system. It will expire in December 2004. B.In 2000, the city entered into a contract No. 00- SNR-0033 with Western ("Base Resource Contract"). Under this contract, the City will receive less electric capacity and energy than is currently made available under the existing power purchase agreement. It will begin in January 2005 and will expire in December 2024. C.On November 13, 2001, the Council by minute order approved four primary energy portfolio objectives (~Objectives"), including the objective to ensure low and stable electric supply rates for customers, and it also adopted Ordinance No. 4724, authorizing a five-year purchase of energy and capacity during the 2005-2010 period. The City executed that purchase on August 13, 2002 with Coral Power, L.L.C. (the ~2002 Coral Purchase"). D.On October 21, 2002, the Council by minute order approved seven electric portfolio planning and management guidelines to guide staff in developing and managing the city’s long-term electric acquisition plan (~LEAP Guidelines"). One of the LEAP guidelines is to diversify energy purchases according to several factors, including, but not limited to, dates and terms of commitment, suppliers, prices and fuel sources. E.On August 4, 2003, the Council by minute order approved the LEAP Implementation Plan and it also adopted Ordinance No. 4801, authorizing the purchase of energy and capacity during the 2005-2007 period. One element of the implementation plan is to gain approval for a set of master agreements with suppliers with the authority to transact for terms of up to three years. 031113 d 0072336 1 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** F.In accordance with the City’s LEAP Guidelines and Implementation Plan, the City must annually purchase and, incidental to purchases, sell electricity to meet the needs of its electric customers by entering into one or more contracts with terms varying from less than one month to five years. The City’s Energy Risk Management Policies provide that the City will purchase only as much electricity as is needed to meet its load requirements established at the time a transaction is executed. G.A portion of the City’s electricity demands are supplied by existing contracts, including the Base Resource Contract, contract for output derived from partial ownership in the Calaveras Hydroelectric Plant with the Northern California Power Agency, an energy exchange contract with Seattle City Light, and a 25 MW purchase of power for five years starting in 2005. The balance of the City’s electricity needs must be purchased from suppliers at market-based prices. H.The balance of electricity the City needs depends on the output from the Base Resource Contract and the Calaveras Hydroelectric Plant, which depends on hydro!ogic conditions. After 2004,.the City will be required to purchase about one-third of its total electricity needs in an average hydrologic year. In a dry year, the City must purchase about one-half of its annual needs. In wet years, the City may have a surplus of electricity and could afford to sell about one-fifth of its projected annual needs. I.The cost for the City’s market-based electricity purchases and incidental sales depends on the price offered by suppliers, the projected annual electricity customer requirements, and the output from the hydroelectric-based supply resources. The annual cost could fall within the range of approximately $16 million to $22 million per fiscal year during an average hydrologic year. Costs during a dry year could fall between $27 million and $37 million per fiscal year. Total aggregate transactions derived from purchases and incidental sales of surplus electricity could be between $25 million and $34 million per fiscal year during a wet year. J.In June 2003, the City initiated a Request for Proposals process in order to prequalify a number of electricity suppliers, based on their financial and legal qualifications and business experience, who are eligible to sell electricity to and purchase electricity from the City. K.Arizona Public Service Company, BP Energy Company, Coral Power, L.L.C., Duke Energy Marketing America L.L.C., and Sempra Energy Trading Corporation each possess the minimum financial and legal qualifications and business experience in order to be eligible to do business with the City. 031113 d 0072336 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** L.The City intends to purchase electricity from one or more of these pre-qualified suppliers for delivery during calendar years 2004 through 2011, inclusive, so long as the supplier with whom the City negotiates a specific purchase transaction continues to be qualified and otherwise eligible to transact with the City. SECTION 2. The Council hereby authorizes the Mayor to sign the Edison Electric Institute standard form contract, or equivalent, or in the case of Coral Power, L.L.C., the amended and restated contract, and it also authorizes the City Manager or his designated representative, the Director of Utilities, to negotiate one or more individual transactions thereunder, with Arizona Public Service Company, BP Energy Company, Coral Power, L.L.C., Duke Energy Marketing America L.L.C., and Sempra Energy Trading Corporation. The authorization shall extend to individual transactions executed under the referenced standard form contract, provided that: (a) the maximum expenditure under any standard form contract and any and all separate transactions thereunder with any of the named suppliers shall not exceed $75 million in the aggregate; and (b) the maximum term of any transaction shall not ¯ exceed a term of three (3) years, commencing on the date the transaction is mutually agreed to by the parties, or a term of five years, in the case of the 2002 Coral Purchase, commencing on the date delivery of the transaction begins. The City may enter into a transaction greater than three years, provided that transaction receives the prior approval of the Council. SECTION 3. No standard form contract and any transaction entered into thereunder with any qualified electricity supplier executed by the City Manager or his designated representative and approved as to form by the City Attorney under the authority of this ordinance shall extend beyond December 31, 2011. SECTION 4. The Council hereby finds that this ordinance is exempt from the provisions of the California Environmental Quality Act pursuant to Section 15061(b) (3) of the California Environmental Quality Act Guidelines, because it can be seen with certainty that there is no possibility of significant environmental effects occurring as a result of the adoption of this ordinance. // // // // // 031113 d 0072336 ***NOT YETAPPROVED*** SECTION 5. This ordinance shall be effective on the thirty-first day after the date of its adoption. INTRODUCED: PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSTENTIONS: ABSENT: ATTEST: City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: Mayor APPROVED: Senior Asst. City Attorney City Manager Director of Administrative Services Director of Utilities 031113 d 0072336 Attachment B: Council Approved Electric Supply Objectives and Guidelines The City_ Council approved four Primary_ Portfolio Planning Obiectives on November 13, 2001 [CMR:425:01]. Objective 1:Ensure low and stable electric supply rates for customers. Objective 2:Provide superior financial performance to customers and the City by maintaining a supply portfolio cost advantage compared to market cost and the retail supply rate advantage compared to PG&E. Objective 3:Enhance supply reliability to meet City and customer needs by pursuing opportunities including transmission system upgrades and local generation. Objective 4:Balance environment, local reliability, rates and cost impacts when considering renewable resource and energy efficiency investments. The City Council approved seven LEAP Guidelines on October 21, 2002 [CMR:398:02]. Guideline 1: Electric Portfolio Dependence on Western While maintaining the flexibility to adopt favorable ’custom products’ offered by Western, manage a supply portfolio independent of Western beyond the Base Resource Contract. Guideline 2: Hydro Risk Management Manage hydro production risk by: A. Planning for an average hydro year on a long-term basis; B. Diversifying to renewable and/or fossil generation technologies; and C. Maintaining adequate supply rate stabilization reserve. Guideline 3: Market Risk Management Manage market risk by adopting a portfolio strategy for electric supply procurement by: A. Diversifying energy purchases across commitment date, start-date, duration, suppliers, pricing terms and fuel sources; B. Targeting additional thermal plant ownership/investment commitment at -25 MW but in no event more than 50 MW; C. Maintaining a prudent exposure to changing market prices by: 1. Procuring resources at fixed price for at most 90% of expected load for 2 or more years out, assuming average hydro conditions; and 2.Procuring resources at fixed price for at most 75% of expected load for 5 or more years out, assuming average hydro conditions; and Attachment B to CMR:465:03 Page B-1 D.Avoiding contract-based fixed price energy purchases (except for contracts for renewable resources) for durations greater than 10 years. Guideline 4: Reliable and Cost Effective Transmission Services Ensure the reliability of supply at fair and reasonable transmission cost by: A. Supporting, through political and technical advocacy and/or direct investment, the upgrading of Bay Area transmission to improve reliability and relieve congestion; B. Participating in transmission market design to ensure that market design results in workable competitive markets and equitable cost allocation; C. Pursuing the option of forming and/or joining a Public Power Transmission Control Area to increase control over transmission operations and related costs; and D.Ensuring PG&E honors the Stanislaus Commitments by providing to us firm- transmission rights or equivalent. Guideline 5: Local Generation Monitor the potential of local generation options to meet customer needs, improve local reliability, minimize congestion and wheeling charges, and stabilize/reduce costs. Guideline 6: Renewable Portfolio Investments The City shall continue to offer a renewable resource-based retail rate for all customers who want to voluntarily select an increased content of renewable energy. In addition to the voluntary program, the City shall invest in new renewable resources to meet the City’s sustainability goals while ensuring that the retail rate impact does not exceed 0.5 C/kWh on average. Pursue a target level of new renewable purchases of 10% of the expected portfolio load by 2008 and move to a 20% target by 2015, contingent on economic viability. The contracts for investment in renewable resources are not to exceed 30 years in term. Guideline 7: Electric Energy Efficiency Investments Offer quality Public Benefits programs, utilizing funds collected through the 2.85% Public Benefits charge embedded in electric retail rates, to meet the resource efficiency needs of customers. Additional funding for cost-effective programs will be recommended as appropriate. Pursue these investments by: B. Providing expertise, education and incentives to support cost-effective customer efficiency improvements; C. Demonstrating renewable and/or alternative generation technologies and new efficiency alternatives; and D. Providing rate assistance and efficiency programs to low-income customers. Attachment B to CMR:465:03 Page B-2 The Ci_ty Council approved the LEAP Implementation Plan on August 4, 2003 [CMR:354:03]... Implementation Plan - Long-Term Portfolio Acquire renewable energy resources to meet LEAP Guideline 6. The first step is to issue a Request for Proposals (RFP) to potential suppliers. NCPA is coordinating this activity as many of its members have an interest in acquiring new renewables for the post-2004 period. The RFP was issued on March 11, 2003 with responses due in mid-April. Depending on the responses to the RFP, staff will request UAC and Council approval to execute long-term contracts for renewable supplies. o Implementation of the Palo Alto Green program, a green pricing product available on a volunteer basis to customers who wish to purchase a greater fraction of green resources. This program was reviewed and approved by the UAC at its February 2003 meeting and was approved unanimously by the Council Finance Committee on March 4, 2003. It is expected to go to the Council for approval on April 21, 2003 o Continue implementation of Public Benefits programs, which is funded by collecting a fee equal to 2.85% of the electric retail rate. These funds are partially used to demonstrate renewable resources or alternative technologies and to assist customers in pursuing efficiency improvements. o Staff will continue to evaluate additional opportunities for investment in efficiency improvements. As appropriate, additional funding for cost-effective efficiency programs will be recommended. While continuing to monitor opportunities for participation in gas-fired generation as they arise through staff’s contacts in the market and at NCPA, prepare an RFP to formally announce to the market Palo Alto’s interest in investing in thermal generation resources or its "look alike" (i.e. tolling contracts). o Monitor technology costs and opportunities for smaller renewable technologies, cogeneration and gas-fired generation that can be located within Palo Alto and/or at customer sites. A study funded by the California Energy Commission, Palo Alto, and other municipal utilities is currently underway to identify sites within Palo Alto that have high value to the electrical distribution system. Continue to discuss gas tolling options with suppliers. Gas financial instruments will allow staff to most effectively use tolling contracts, therefore, staff will investigate using these products and, if attractive, will pursue approval from the Attachment B to CMR:465:03 Page B-3 4 10. 11. Council to add these products to the list of approved products in the Energy Risk Management Policies. Pursue any low-cost, high value prospects to acquire supply-related resources that may arise from time to time. Staff monitors on an ongoing basis any opportunities such as availability of additional below-market hydroelectric production or access to additional power or transmission due to ownership of existing assets. Refine the analysis and collect additional market information to evaluate scenarios when various portfolio elements would have value. Staff will solicit current market information on specific products such as hydro hedges. Additional analysis will include sensitivity analysis and stress testing of the portfolios. Monitor and participate in regulatory and legislative initiatives related to transmission market design, support Bay Area transmission upgrades, and pursue alternatives to increase reliability at a reasonable cost Maintain adequate reserves by recognizing the degree of uncertainty the City faces in the future. Evaluate modifying the policy or targets to make certain that the Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve is adequate to ensure stable rates in an environment of uncertainty and consider potential guidelines such as being able to maintain stable rates in the event of two dry years in a row. Implementation Plan - Short- and Medium-Term Portfolio To reduce short-term cost variability and to ladder the purchase commitments, while leaving sufficient flexibility to commit to long-term resources, three fixed- price, 25 MW block purchases are recommended for execution in year 2003: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Block 1 on-pk X X X X X X X (2005-2007)off-pk X X X X X X X Block 2 on-pk X X X X (2005-2006)off-pk Block 3 on-pk X X X X X X X X X X X X (2005)off-pk ! At current market prices, the expected cost of the first two blocks of power is as follows: a. about $16.4 million for Block 1 (4.3 C/kWh); b. about $4.5 million for Block 2 (5.57 C/kWh); and c. about $6.3 million for Block 3 (5.1 C/kWh). Attachment B to CMR:465:03 Page B-4 Seek Council approval of a set of master agreements with suppliers by summer or fall 2003 with the authority to transact for terms of up to 3 years out. Any transactions outside this limit will be brought to the UAC and Council for approval. o Develop short-term hedging strategies and operations plans with the objective of." a. Clearly identifying and capturing supply needs and supply portfolio risks; b. Whenever possible, utilizing simple tools to manage risks and utilizing NCPA resources and expertise; and c. Managing the electric portfolio to achieve the portfolio objectives with streamlined operations to minimize overhead costs and to act expeditiously, while maintaining the appropriate level of oversight and control. Evaluate, design, and pilot a customer demand-response program. If such a program makes sense, develop and implement a customer demand-response program to protect against high congestion costs and to be part of new capacity reserve requirements that are likely to be imposed. Attachment B to CMR:465:03 Page B-5 ATTACHMENT C: Electric Master Agreement RFP Selection Process Summary The City of Palo Alto issued RFP #150884 on June 13, 2003 to solicit and execute Master Agreements with multiple suppliers to enable future procurement of electric commodity and related services required to meet the City’s electric load needs. Bid packages were mailed to 25 potential suppliers. An evaluation team comprising staff from the Utilities and Administrative Services Departments and the City Attorney’s Office was established to evaluate proposals. Ten suppliers responded to the RFP. The first level of evaluation was to screen out suppliers not meeting the City’s creditworthiness criteria. The City requires that the supplier, if publicly rated, or its parent have an investment grade or better credit rating as defined by a rating of BBB- and above by S&P or Baa3 by Moody’s. Two proposals were rejected as a result of the screening criteria. Table 1 is a summary of the screening process. Table 1: Electric Master Agreement Credit Rating Screening .......Coral Power, LLC BP Energy Company Sempra Energy Trading Occidental Power Services Duke Energy Trading Arizona Public Service UBS AG Constellation Power Avista Ener~’ Calpine Energy Services Supplier rated no no no no yes yes yes no no no Parent Rated yes yes yes yes N/A N/A N/A yes yes yes S&P Rating A- AA+ A- BBB+ BBB- BBB AA+ A- BB+ none Moody’s Rating A1 Aal Baal Baa2 Baal Baa2 Aa2 Baal Bal Caal Pass Screen yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no no The remaining eight proposals were evaluated and ranked based on the following criteria: 1. Acceptance of all Required Contract Provisions a. Credit assurances in the event of a supplier credit downgrade b. Provision for setoffs with affiliates c. Provision for netting of payments d. Annual submission of audited financial statements e. State of California as governing law f. Venue of dispute resolution in Santa Clara County g. Provision for one-way termination payment h. Revocation by the Federal Energy and Regulatory Commission of the supplier’s trading license is an event of default. 2. Acceptance of Preferred Contract Provisions a. Cross default limit to be set at $20,000,000 Attachment C to CMR:465:03 Page C-1 b. Credit assurance from City is not applicable. c. Collateral threshold for the City is not applicable. d. City downgrade event is applicable if the City’s utility revenue bond falls below investment grade or if the City Council no longer has legal authority to set rates. e. Counterparty Credit Assurance is applicable. f. Counterparty Collateral Threshold is applicable. g. Unlimited parent guaranty, if guaranty is required. 3. Financial Strength Clarity of financial statements, net worth and financial outlook. 4. Credit Quality, nature, and extent of credit support, ability to meet/exceed City’s credit guidelines, rating agencies credit ratings, credit contractual provisions, risk limits based on proposed terms, and magnitude of credit risk. 5. Past Performance and Experience Experience in California, past performance with Palo Alto and the Northern California Power Agency. No proposals were rejected as a result of the ranking, which served to only to rank the proposals. However, suppliers not accepting all required contract provisions in their proposals were contacted for clarification regarding the City’s requirement that the provisions must be accepted in order for the City tosign a Master Agreement. As a result of such discussions, staff decided not to continue negotiations with UBS AG, Constellation Power Source, and Occidental Power Services, Inc. as those three suppliers indicated they would not accept certain required provisions. The evaluation team was able to negotiate final agreements acceptable to the City with the remaining five suppliers: 1.BP Energy Company 2.Arizona Public Service Company 3.Duke Energy Marketing America, LLC1 4.Sempra Energy Trading Corporation; and 5.Coral Power, LLC. ~ As a result of reorganization at Duke Capital Corporation, the original suppher submitting a proposal, Duke Energy Trading & Marketing LLC was replaced with Duke Energy Marketing America, LLC with a parent guaranty from Duke Capital Corporation. Duke Capital Corporation is rated BBB by S&P. Attachment C to CMR:465:03 Page C-2 12/09/03 Finance Committee Draft Minutes Item 4: ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO APPROVING ELECTRIC MASTER AGREEMENTS WITH ARIZONA PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY; BP ENERGY COMPANY, CORAL POWER, LLC; DUKE ENERGY MARKETING AMERICA LLC; AND SEMPRA ENERGY TRADING CORPORATION FOR THE PROCUREMENT OF ELECTRICITY AND AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO TRANSACT UP TO $75 MILLION WITH EACH SUPPLIER UNDER THESE AGREEMENTS Ulrich: I will kick off the presentation. I think you will find the report we’re going to give you is a team effort. This is a very significant level of contracts. We’re asking you to approve. A copy of the presentation is being passed out to you at this point. I have a couple of opening comments. There is a very strong connection between the financial condition of the City and these contracts and there’s a lot of synergy between what we just discussed and what we have here. First my compliments to Carl and his staff and all the people who put together the financial comprehensive report that you have in your packet. In the time you have available, you might look at note 16 which is on page 94 which gives an excellent outlook for the future on your utilities, electric, gas, water and contingency liabilities and all of those things. This is a case where the notes are actually interesting in these documents. What we’re doing this evening is one of the most important aspects of the future outlook and that is the transition between the contracts we’ve enjoyed for the 40 years with the Western Area Power Administration which become due in 2004 and revert in the next 20 years to a hydro-electric only contract. That is a significant change and one that is part of our LEAP program to make that transition with reliable and cost-effective energy, these four contracts that we’re talking about tonight, you received an updated memo at your table that shows that one of the contracts agreement with Arizona... they decided they did not want to enter into the contracts with us and so we’re down to four rather than the five that’s in the report that came with your packet. It doesn’t change the outcome of our request to you or change any of the financial areas. I call your attention to the first slide. Graphically on the left shows the current through 2004 and lists the Western contract. You can see where there is significant component of our supply needs have come from that contract. But as we move to the new era, you can see that the deficit as the Western contract changes becomes rather dramatic at 46%. This evening the component that will be used to fill that deficit is the forward contracts that are listed as one of the main components to fill the deficit. One is the renewables, the energy efficiency program and then looking at ownership participation in a thermal plant. We have a lot of diversity with a lot of emphasis on energy efficiency and renewable. Tonight we are asking your approval for the majority of the forward contracts that we need for our energy supply after 2005. I’m going to turn the rest of the presentation over to Girish Balachandran, the Assistant Director of Supply Resources and to Karl Van Orsdol, our Energy Risk Manager. You’ll see the team approach in putting DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 these contracts together,. I’d also like to emphasize what you’re going to see tonight a state of the art in contract negotiations that have attempted very well, I believe, to minimize the risk, spread that remaining risk around and have a diversified portfolio. I hope at the end of this you’ll agree and approve the contracts. Girish. Balachandran: Good evening Finance Committee members. I’m Girish Balachandran and leaping into the slides, basically this is an overview slide of some of the policies and strategies that guide the utilities initiatives. Right from the comprehensive plan for policy, we’ve listed a bunch of different high level policies in the yellow oval. Then in the blue we talk about the Utilities Strategic plan that was approved by the Council. And then a number of different resource plans on each commodity are driven by these. Today we’re talking about one aspect of the electric plan; the long term electric acquisition plan. Council approved both the objectives for managing the electric portfolio which is in the purple oval right in the center and also the seven guidelines to manage our portfolio. Today what we are talking about relates to two of these guidelines. Initiatives related to in other guidelines have been approved by you in the LEAP implementation plan and will be brought to you in succeeding months as specific projects are developed. Essentially what we are looking for today is approval of these master agreements that are needed to do the following things. I have six different items listed on the slides right from a basic need of having these master agreements in order to buy power to meet the City’s load. We have an obligation to meet that load and our deficit is pretty large and we need to have those contracts in place. Council, back in August, approved three block transactions. We need these contracts to actually execute those transactions. You’ve actually approved those but we can’t execute until we have these contracts. This overview tells that all contracts that the Utilities department enters into above $65,000 are Council-approved contracts. On the right hand side, the green boxes, talk about some of the agreements that we have in place already. All of these agreements are Council-approved contracts from the Western based resource which is going to be the contract that governs the Western resource from 2005 to the Corral 25 MWh purchase which was one of the contracts you approved as a five year six month per year contract. Today we are talking about the electric master agreements and we have four counter- parties we are talking about as listed in the chart. All transactions that we would be doing during the next seven-eight years or so would be done under one or more of these electric master agreements. On the top of the chart is a list of some of the characteristics of some of these enabling agreements. They are repeated on some of the slides and on the CMR. This chart on ~ seven is a 15 year took at our load and resource balance. As you see, at the bottom of the chart we have the Calaveras hydro-electric plant and at 2005 we have some of that plant returned to us. The Western resource from 2004 to 2005 you can see quite a bit of difference. Above that you have the renewable resources which are growing to we expect by 2008 we’ll have 10% of our load filled by renewable resources and by 2015 we’ll have 20%. The 25 megawatt purchase is a Corral purchase and the electric master agreements you have in front of you envision to be the vessel to buy the area we have in red here. DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 Van Orsdol: we have Utilities, ASD as well as Legal. In doing this evaluation we were able to arrive at a set of stringent criteria for counterparties and were able to get proposals from very credit-worthy counterparties as well. Through the use of these energy master agreements we were able to mitigate our market risk through the purchases of competitive prices with multiple suppliers and diminish credit risk for any one supplier. Part of the contracts that are particularly important is that we have the ability to halt any further transactions at any time during the course of this. So if we hear rumors or if we receive information about counterparties we are able to stop further transactions long before any credit rating agencies can take action. There is other risk mitigation terms that we have been able to include in these agreements. One is a one- way termination payment provision where the defaulting party does not owe money. Two is governing law of California. Three is the venue dispute in Santa Clara County. This provides us a strong basis for any legal issues which may arise from these contracts. Frankly, in talking with other Risk Managers in California, we’ve been able to arrive at terms and conditions which are stronger than many other municipal utilities have been able to. We’ve also been able to arrive at contracts with very strongly credit rated agencies. I also believe, as Risk Manager, this process has allowed us to have a set of contracts which have favorable terms and conditions for us and provide a basis for managing our risks and providing an appropriate level of oversight. And particularly our contracts allow us to manage our transactions. Freeman: Can you real briefly, describe what a venue of dispute resolution in Santa Clara County is? Van Orsdol:I think I’d like to refer that question to Grant Kolling of the legal department. Freeman: Thanks. Kolling: Venue is basically a place where litigation will be handled. In this case we’ve stipulated Santa Clara County which is essentially San Jose. There is a cost consideration of why we chose that, that’s correct. Van Orsdol: In conclusion, we do have the appropriate controls and reporting mechanism in with regards to transaction limits, counterparty risks, and the reporting mechanism related to transactions carried out under these master agreements. Balachandran: Before I get to the request, I wanted to acknowledge the team effort in coming to these contracts. The Risk Oversight Committee obviously set the overall guidelines and policies for us. We hade the Legal department, Grant and Alicia led up that effort. ASD had their Treasury division and Purchasing, and of course, Karl Van Orsdol worked side-by-side with us. In the Utilities department you have the folks over here who contributed to various aspects of the project. I want to introduce Monica Padilla, she did an outstanding job in leading the negotiating team, the evaluation team the overall project to get it to where it is right now. I move to the next slide which is our DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 request that Council adopt an ordinance approving the master agreements with four qualified counterparties and to delegate to the City Manager certain authorities which will allow him to execute multiple transactions. Missing dialog Ulrich: I’m not sure I can give you an answer that would satisfy this interest in not having the City Manager sign what sounds like a large amount of contract. I need to point out is one; the City Manager would not be authorized to sign for something that did not have the approval from City Council to do. These are master agreements that set the terms and conditions for purchase and then the individual purchase contract would be approved by City Council because they would all exceed $65,000. Freeman: Maybe you could say that again for me because I totally misunderstand it then. Ulrich: It doesn’t change the current level of authority that Council has given to the City Manager, that any contract that exceeds what the City Manager can approve which is greater than three years, would come to the Council for approval. The other part of this is that we do not purchase electricity until we’re ready to use it and we do not able to buy electricity that is greater than our load. So we have an obligation to serve our customers so it is easy to follow the transactions and of course we would report all those transactions and the status to the Council on a periodic basis. Yeats: There are two limiting factors to the City Manager authority. One is the budget that is adopted and two is the threshold that he cannot sign any agreement that is greater than $65,000. And so, the budget has to be approved by the City Council overall, so even though we’re talking about a sum of money that is out over time, in one given year they cannot actually spend any more that is in their budget for commodity purchases. So we’re really making future commitments but there is no authority to spend in any more than one year. Beecham: Along with that, the second item in the recommendations on page two, starts off ’authorize the City Manager to manage these master agreements and to execute one or more transactions in accordance with the terms of the contract.’ So this, in fact, is the authorization to execute those contracts in accordance with the terms and conditions here. And it indicates on another page that transactions in excess of $65,000 will be reported to us on a quarterly basis. So this does authorize the City Manger to make those executions and they won’t come back on an individual basis. Yeats: Right, based upon executing the master agreements, that’s what’s giving him the authority to execute the agreements within that range above $65,000. So we’re getting you to approve all of those agreements at one time so we can go out and based upon the portfolio, buy from the supplier that offers the best price. DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMHTEE 12/9/03 Freeman:’ So the second question is: we have $300,000,000 allocated over the eight years, or whatever it is, in our budget? Yeats: You approve the budget in two year increments and the only year that’s really an authorization to spend is the first year of the budget. The second year is appropriated in concept only. So all the agreements are limited by that authority, I would assume. Correct Grant? Kolling: Right. Yeats: If you do not appropriate the money we can’t not spend it without the authority. But then we would also not have power if we did not buy it. So it’s limited in those increments by year also. Beecham: How does that correlate with, for example on gas. We bought gas out increasing amounts for future years. Is that under the current year’s budget? Yeats: No. Balachandran: This is very similar to the discussion we had under the master gas agreement. I think it is essentially the same question over here. We make commitments right now for three years out but we don’t pay for the gas until we consume it. We are always consuming the gas in the budget year and that budget is approved by Council. We do make financial commitments that go out beyond the budget period with actual money that gets appropriated and paid for happens within the budget year. Ulrich: I recall we had the same discussion with gas the same situation as here except the difference was $50 million and this is $75 million with the electric because of the amount of electricity we plan to purchase. Balachandran: If I could address your question Councilmember Freeman. The CMR goes through a step by step process of how we reached the $75 million. We used certain assumptions and so the $30 million expected cost per supplier, given that just today one supplier has backed out, that’s going to go up. We did some back of the envelope calculations and we expect between $42 to $47 million is what we’ll spend for each supplier. I want to strongly emphasize expected because the different things we are not looking at when we talk about expected are market prices and how they can swing, hydro conditions. Our portfolio is going to change dramatically. These transaction limits apply to both purchases and sales. Beecham: As you go forward with those, the Council sets the policy, the Council sets the laddering for example, we’ve talked about. The Council says okay we’ve approved blocks of X-megawatts for these periods. The Council does set the policy in reasonable detail for these things to be executed under those policies. In terms of the City Manager having authority, these are the master agreements and then we set the policy under which he executes them. I’d also say on the master agreements that from what I’ve seen at DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 NCPA and talked with other folks and watching other issues, these agreements have changed dramatically over the past couple of years. In the past there were just a couple of industry standard agreements that everybody had to sign. Based on the turmoil in the industry and companies going out of business and so on, Palo Alto and NCPA has taken it into our own hands to basically rewrite these agreements. And I’m, as I see some of these for the first time tonight, really please at some of the conditions you’ve got the energy companies to agree to. I mean it’s striking on some of them. Ulrich: I think you’re looking at this from the standpoint of, I guess I’ll say the worst case, that you’d add all these up and believe the City Manager could have approval authority for the entire amount. The reality is that this gives us the options of picking and choosing which of the master agreements will give us the best price or terms that we are looking for, conditions at the time we need to purchase. You want to have flexibility to the staff and the City Manager to get the best price possible but you want to have locked in, as we’re recommending, all the terms and conditions so the risks of us going off and purchasing from someone who wasn’t credit worthy or some other problem is minimized because your approval is just for those terms and conditions. So I think it is an extremely beneficial contract to give the flexibility and the accountability to you on an on-going basis because none of can see what the prices will be or some of the other issues going out eight years. This is the border we have to stay within. Yeats: I’ll try it one more time. I think I have a better explanation that will make you more comfortable. They’re proposing to execute these master agreements with Sempra, BP, Coral and Duke. So there is a threshold or limit for each one of those that could potentially be our load that we would need for that year. However because of the limit in the budget where the appropriation you have given them, where the commodity purchase electric, they can only go to that limit in total for all these suppliers. They cannot go beyond that limit in any given budget year. Did that help? Freeman: Yes, and I think that was very clear. My issue was the signature authority of the City Manager and I think Girish explained that very well. I would like to ask the City Auditor for her opinion on the comfort level we should feel with this type of transaction. Another question is did you evaluate this agreement at all? Erickson: This is Sharon Erickson, City Auditor. Let me start out by saying, you’ll recall that back, was it a year and a half ago, we issued a report on Utilities Risk Management. I just reported to you a couple of months ago that they’d implemented fully half of those recommendation already, the rest of them are in process. Actually, by adopting this item, it implements the 13th recommendation out of the 24. Which was we did recommend that this be established, what we called base contracts, that would operate this way. The reason we came up with that solution is that we wanted to ensure that competitive, these contracts for competitively purchased under the direction of the City Council but at the same time preserve flexibility, my favorite word, flexibility on behalf of the Utilities department that they could go out and purchase energy on a day-to- day or month-to-month basis. The reason the amounts are so large is, quite simply, they are a three year rolling contract so they go on for a long time because you want these DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 contracts to be in place. You don’t want staff to have to do this every year and then the contracts go on for 36 months potentially. So the amounts of money involved gets really large. In the report we did on Utilities Risk Management there were a whole variety of recommendations. One of them was hiring an Energy Risk Manager and you are seeing the fi-uits of some of that here as well. So that at the City there are a number of credit risks in place, there are load requirements that are more strictly clarified now than they were before, in my opinion. The point is the City staff would never be able to buy more than projected load. There are methods in place to monitor that. Staff is tightening up on the modeling to make sure we stay within load. There is a variety of controls we’ve put in place, that Utilities has put in place over the last year and a half. Kishimoto: Let me see if I’m understanding this right. So the cap per company over the seven years is $75 million, right? Balachandran: Eight years. Kishimoto: And the longest you’re committing to go to is three years. Balachandran: Correct. Kishimoto: And you said you spend no more than like $20 million at the most a year anyways? Balachandran: That’s our estimate right now. Actually it varies between 16 and 27 million. The table that is on page 9 gives a broader picture, it summarizes page 7 too. If you look at the table it shows how much we’ve spent under the top three contracts, Western, Calaveras and Coral. And then the purchases under the master agreements under the different year type. This is an expected case per year. Kishimoto: I was trying to figure out what the maximum exposure might be to any one company, it wouldn’t be any more than three years times 27. Balachandran: That actually depends also. It’s a dynamic kind of limit. It depends on what their credit rating is. We wouldn’t necessarily go to the max with all these suppliers. If their credit rating drops. I should let Karl add to it. The number of guidelines and elements in the contract that would force them to post collateral and also limit us in terms of volume of how much transactions we can do. Van Orsdol: Our exposure will be determined by the value of contracts by which we contract the mark to market value and that, of course, will be determined as forward prices come in. The other issues related to credit, for example, these companies we monitor on a very regular basis and when they get to a certain credit limit, we will not do any further transactions on them. So our actual exposure will be significantly less than the $27 million. DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 Balachandran: I would like to add one more thing. The ordinance requests that the City Manager have the authority to transact on a rolling 3-year forward basis from any instant of time in three years. It also says we can do transactions up to five years but any 5-year transactions will be brought to the City Council for approval under these master agreements. So, it’s essentially three years out, the City Manager has authority to do it, but five years, we will do it under these agreements, but we will come to you for specific authority on that, very similar to what we did with the Coral contract for the 2005-2009 contract and we came to you for authority for that. Kishimoto: Can you remind me, did we have that laddering strategy for the gas, is it the same with electricity or is it more on a .... Balachandran: In a broad sense, we do have one. One of the guidelines that was approved to mitigate market risk said don’t buy more than 90% of your load two years out, not more than 75% of your load five years out. Electricity is much more complicated than gas because there are capacity requirements, there are operational requirements in a number of different products including ancillary services. So what we’re doing is we’ve taken those Council-approved guidelines, we’ve now broken them down into what we plan to do over three years and that’s very similar to... Essentially you have a laddering strategy you’ve set for the guidelines but now we’ve broken it down into by month, what kind of product and capacity and energy and transmission and the ROC will essentially oversee implementation of that strategy. Implementation of that strategy will be reported by Karl in his quarterly report as to what kind of transactions we’ve entered into. Kishimoto: So of the $16-$27 million per year, do you have an idea how much of it is spot purchases versus one year, two years, three years out kind of thing? Or it depends. Balachandran: After last __., we do not want to go into the month short. So, essentially, if anything, we’ll go into the month, we’ll have a little excess because the risks are asymmetric. On the high side, there’s no limit really to prices. On the low side, it doesn’t go below $20 million or something like that. Our plan right now is to have a bunch of 1- and 2-year and 3-year purchases, and depending on hydro conditions. That’s very different from the gas side. On the gas side, we don’t have supply variability. Over here we go into a hydro year, we’re going to plan for an average year. But then if there’s a lot of water that comes in, and sometimes you have a lot of rain in April and May, and you have a lot of surplus, we may end up selling on the spot market. We could be on the spot market for a portion of our needs, for sales, on the whole for purchases. We don’t plan to be short going into the month. And that seems to be a generic. Most public power utilities follow that kind of Kishimoto: Maybe I’ll just try to close on that first question that Hillary started out with, which was kind of the overall exposure, is there a cap we could put on which is smaller than the $300 million which would be reasonable to the Council. I don’t know if it would termed as overall exposure or overall contract amount. I don’t know the right structuring would be, but I don’t know if you know what I’m trying to get at, if there’s some smaller cap the Council could structure. DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 Balachandran: We know in reality that there’s no way we’re going to spend $300 million. So, actually, I’ll take you to this chart which was created when we thought we were going to have five suppliers. One of them could go out of business six months from now or they could decide, "You know what, our risk management policies have changed from a supplier perspective and we’re not going to provide Palo Alto prices." One supplier may be providing us very good prices, competitive prices, and based on having five suppliers, just pick the case, okay could end up with $50 million. So with four suppliers, right away knock that up another 20-25%, we’re talking about maybe $60 million. So out of the four suppliers, what if one doesn’t show up, so to Speak? Kishimoto: I think we understand that, but the question is can we add a clause that says the aggregate of all the contracts applied together will not exceed X. Balachandran: I can tell you what it will do for us in terms of additional tracking that we will have to do and also from a supplier perspective, when they look at our ordinance and see those controls, there are some controls we have in the ordinance which talks about say the $75 million limit with each supplier. See, the suppliers also want to know exactly what authorities we have to transact. So they see the $75 million limit, they can track exactly how they’re doing against that. Look at a $200 million aggregate limit, sales start to get into the business of how much are we spending with other suppliers too. Are you guys basically meeting that requirement in your ordinance? So, to answer your question, it can be done. It’ll be additional work for us. It’ll be providing information to suppliers that we’ve never provided before. So, it’s an added level of information that we’ll be providing and, personally, I’ll just toss it out, I think for now we don’t mitigate risk with... Beecham: Are there any other questions? Freeman: ...the full explanation. Now the explanation is on the record, and when people in the community need to understand - what do you mean the signatory authority, it’s there. So, even though it takes a little more time, and I might forget in between the gas and electric and the water, I think it’s good for the public as well as good for us to revisit that and feel comfortable, as comfortable as we can get with that dollar amount that we’re making the right decision. So I appreciate that time. Ulrich: Well, we’ll try to become better at making that explanation because you did ask that on the gas and we thought we had conveyed that. Thank you for the oppommity to do it again. We take this very seriously, and, as you can tell, this business has risks to it. When you look at the furore risks that we have, this is only one of them and that’s why we’re trying to keep our eyes on the ball and look for those way out ahead. We have transmission issues, we have relationships with other suppliers and other ways of getting energy here. But our areas to try to move that risk in such a way that we’re not putting our eggs into one basket, and that’s why we’ll be back talking to you about energy resources that are closer to Palo Alto and looking out a far range in addition to the renewables that we want to bring in. So we appreciate your pushing back on us but I DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 would like you to feel comfortable that we know what we’re doing and we’re going to do the best job to get energy here. But remember that we’re only going to purchasing energy based on the expected needs of our customers, not go out and buy more than we need and we will live within the budget that we have, so you’ll know that information early on and based on the approval authority of these contracts, we’ll be back for further approval. Freeman: There is no question of your ability or knowledge, at least from my perspective. I appreciate that 100%. It’s just simply a matter of clearly understanding. We definitely get a Utilities 101 every time we do this to further understand it and I appreciate that. So, you have my confidence at any rate. It’s just that it does need to be explained, I think, not only for us but for the public. Ulrich: Well, that’s the whole point of having a utility owned by the residents of Palo Alto. You get communication and you should understand and feel comfortable that we’re giving an explanation everybody can understand. So, feel comfortable and keep pushing back at us. But it gives us a forum to continue to continue to say to you that this is an important business to Palo Alto, it has risks in it, and I appreciate all the support from auditor, risk management, and the policies we have to keep track of where we’re going. Beecham: Yoriko. Kishimoto: I just thought of two more quick questions and then I’ll be happy to make the motion. I guess one is (inaudible) when we start seeing the quarterly report (inaudible), do you know when should we expect to see the first one? Beecham: Do you want to (inaudible), Karl? Van Orsdol: Next week. Beecham: Can you speed that up any? Kishimoto: I don’t know if I’m reading this table wrong, page 9 of the CMR, the average dry and wet year. Shouldn’t the average year be between the dry year and wet year? Balachandran: We should probably say total transactions under the master agreements. The thing is, under the wet year, normally I’ll be buying then selling. I think the role label should be gross transactions. Kishimoto: All right, with that I’ll be happy to move staff recommendation Beecham: And I presume (inaudible) on page two did include Arizona Public Service Company. We did have a note that saying they pulled back from this, so I presume the motion is not including that one. I presume we all are in agreement so here unanimously here among us participating with Jack Morrison abstaining due to conflict of interest. Is it your wish for this to go on consent calendar since it’s unanimous? DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 ? Yes. Beecham: Okay, very good. Ulrich: Thank you. We’ll put it on the consent calendar as soon as we can get the minutes together and get it scheduled. It’s scheduled right now for next Monday. Beecham: Very good. Thank you. And I believe we have finished the agenda and so with that we can close the door and go home. DRAFT EXCERPT- FINANCE COMMITTEE 12/9/03 CITY OF PALO ALTO Memorandum December 9, 2003 TO:CITY COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE MEMBERS SUBJECT:AGENDA ITEM NO. 4 : ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO APPROVING ELECTRIC MASTER AGREEMENTS WITH ARIZONA PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY; BP ENERGY COMPANY, CORAL POWER, LLC; DUKE ENERGY MARKETING AMERICA LLC; AND SEMPRA ENERGY TRADING CORPORATION FOR THE PROCUREMENT OF ELECTRICITY AND AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO TRANSACT UP TO $75 MILLION WITH EACH SUPPLIER UNDER THESE AGREEMENTS Arizona Public Service Company has withdrawn their proposal to execute an Electric Master Agreement with the City of Palo Alto. As a result, staff is modifying its recommendation in CMR:465:03 (approval item number one in the document) to request that the Council approve the following: 1.Approve and authorize the Mayor to execute Master Agreements with the following suppliers who have been deemed qualified to do businesses with the City with respect to electricity purchases and sales for the period January 2004 through December 2011, under the terms discussed in the report: a. BP Energy Company; b. Coral Power, LLC; c. Duke Energy Marking America, LLC; d. Sempra Energy Trading Corporation. The related ordinance will be modified to reflect the deletion of Arizona Public Service Company.~;.~ ,/~~ ’?/~/// JOH t~itCyHo fb~alUo ~Alto Utilities EMILY HARRISON Assistant City Manager