Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout2004-12-13 City Council (8)City of Palo Alto City Manager’s Report 8 TO: FROM: HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT:UTILITIES DATE:DECEMBER 13, 2004 CMR:493:04 SUBJECT:FINANCE COMMITTEE RECOMMENDATION FOR APPROVAL OF A RESOLUTION AND APPROVAL OF A BUDGET AMENDMENT ORDINANCE ADOPTING A GAS RATE INCREASE AND CHANGES TO THE G-l, G-2 AND G-6 RATE SCHEDULES COMMITTEE REVIEW AND RECOMMENDATION The Finance Committee recommends by a vote of 4-0 that Council approve a resolution and a budget amendment ordinance adopting a gas rate increase and changes to the G-I, G-2 and G-6 Rate Schedules effective January 1, 2005. CMR:493:04 1 of 2 ATTACHMENTS A: Resolution B: CMR:478:04 Approval Of A Resolution and Approval of A Budget Amendment Ordinance Adopting A Gas Rate Increase and Changes to The G-1, G-2 and G-6 Rate Schedules C: Minutes from Finance Committee Meeting of November 16, 2004 PREPARED BY: ~~./t..~..---~ TO~ENNE Assistant Director DEPARTMENT APPROVAL: CITY MANAGER APPROVAL: es Assistant City Manager CMR:493:04 2 of 2 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** RESOLUTION NO. RESOLUTION OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO AMENDING UTILITY RATE SCHEDULES G-l, G-2, AND G-6 OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES RATES AND CHARGES PERTAINING TO GAS RATES The Council of the City of Palo Alto does RESOLVE as follows: SECTION i. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule G-I (Residential Gas Service) is hereby amended to read in accordance with sheet G-l- i, attached hereto and incorporated herein. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedule, as amended, shall becomeeffective January i, 2005. SECTION 2. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 ofthe Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule G-2 (Commercial Gas Service) is hereby amended to read in accordance with sheet G-2- i, attached hereto and incorporated herein. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedule, as amended, shall becomeeffective January i, 2005. SECTION 3. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 ofthe Palo. Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule G-6 (Municipal Gas Service) is hereby amended to read in accordance with sheets G- 6-1 and G-6-2, attached hereto and incorporated herein. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedule, as amended, shall become effective January i, 2005. SECTION 4. The Council finds that the revenue derived from the authorized adoption enumerated herein shall be used only for the purpose set forth in Article VII, Section 2, of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto. // // // // // // 041206 c10072465 ,1 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** SECTION 5. The Council finds that this is not a project under the California Environmental Quality Act and, therefore, no environmental impact assessment is necessary. INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST: City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: Mayor APPROVED: Senior Asst. City Attorney City Manager Director of Utilities Director of Administrative Services 041206 c10072465 2 RESIDENTIAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-1 Bo Co APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to natural gas service to individually metered single family.premises, -including those separately metered in a multi-family complex. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES:Per Meter Per Month (A)Summer Rates (May 1 to October 31): 0-20 therms per therm ........................................................................$0.862 Over 20 therms per therm ........................................, ...............................$1.321 (B)Winter Rates (Nov. 1 to April 30): 0-96 therms per therm Over 96 therms per therm ........................................................................$0.862 ........................................................................$1.321 SPECIAL NOTES: Seasonal rate changes: The summer period is effective May 1 to October 31 and the winter period is effective from November 1 to April 30. When the billing period is partly in the summer period and partly in the winter period, the billing will be computed by prorating the total therm usage and the applicable rates thereto between the two seasonal periods, according to the ratio of the number of days in each seasonal period to the total number of days in the billing period. Service under this schedule is subject to. discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption 0fservice, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. [End] CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supercedes Sheet No. G-1-1 dated 7-1-2004 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2005 Sheet No. G-l-1 COMMERCIAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-2 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to non-residential customers who use less than 250,000 therms per year at a single address. This schedule may include service to master-metered multi-family facilities. B. TERRITORY: Co Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES: Do All year-round delivered commodity:Per Meter Per Month Per Therm .........................................................................................................................$1.028 SPECIAL CONDITIONS: Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No.G-2-1 dated 7-1-2004 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2005 Sheet No. G-2-1 MUNICIPAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-6 Co APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to service buildings and facilities owned and/or operated by the City of Palo Alto and not currently served under G-11 or G-12. TERRITORY: Within the Service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES:Per Therm Supply Charges: 1.Commodity Charge ........................................................................................$0.603 2.Administrative Fee .........................................................................................$0.018 3.PG&E Local Transportation ..........................................................................$0.021 Total Supply Charges .....................................................................................$0..642 Distribution Charge: 1. Palo Alto Local Distribution ..................................... i ...................... i ............. $0.237 SPECIAL CONDITION: o Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. The Administrative fee is equal to the allocable administrative and overhead costs incurred by the City in providing the gas service. o PG&E Local transportation charge is equal to the cost of transporting gas from the PG&E’s City Gate to the Palo Alto City Gate. CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supercedes Sheet No. G-6-1 dated 7-1-2004 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-01-2005 Sheet No. G-6-1 MUNICIPAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-6 (Continued) o The total monthly charge = therms used during the month X (commodity ~harge + administrative fee + PG&E local transportation charge + Palo Alto loca! distribution charge). Customers served under this rate schedule are not eligible for gas direct access and cannot request a rate schedule change to any full-service rate applicable to customers who are eligible for gas direct access (i.e. G-3, G-11, or G-12). CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 3-1-2002 Original Sheet No. G-6-2 TO: FROM: ATTENTION: HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL CITY MANAGER FINANCE COMMITTEE DEPARTMENT:UTILITIES DATE: SUBJECT: NOVEMBER 16, 2004 CMR:478:04 APPROVAL OF A RESOLUTION AND APPROVAL OF A BUDGET AMENDMENT ORDINANCE ADOPTING A GAS RATE INCREASE AND CHANGES TO THE G-l, G-2 AND G-6 RATE SCHEDULES RECOMMENDATION Staff and the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) recommend that the City Council adopt the attached resolution approving a 20 percent gas supply rate increase to be effective January 1, 2005, representing a 14 to 19 percent average retail rate increase on customer bills, and a projected $2 million increase in revenues. UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION REVIEW AND RECOMMENDATIONS On November 3, 2004, the UAC considered the proposal from staff to increase gas supply rates by 30% effective January 1, 2005. The presentation included rate alternatives, each of which had different future effects on the Gas Utility’s revenue streams and Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve balances. The UAC unanimously (with Commissioner Rosenbaum absent) recommended Council adoption of an alternative to staff’s proposal: a 20% gas supply increase (rather than 30%), to be effective January 1, 2005. The UAC-recommended rate increase will recoup the FY 2004-05 increased cost of natural gas, but will not add revenues to the Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve sufficient to achieve the target guideline without another supply rate increase in the future. The UAC felt that this rate increase allowed a reasonable reserve level (although close to the guideline minimum), and decreased the possibility of "rate shock" when combined with the 8.5 percent Electric Rate increase already scheduled for January 1, 2005. CMR:478:04 Page 1 of 3 ALTERNATIVES Staff evaluated several rate increase options and discussed the impacts with the UAC. A rate increase lower than the recommendation will not leave the Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve with adequate financial resources to shield the gas utility from further market volatility. Without a rate increase, the Gas SRSR balance is projected to be $1.1 million below the FY 2004-05 minimum guideline of $6.3 million by June 30, 2005, and $4.2 million below the FY2004-05 target guideline by June 30, 2005. To increase rates to cover the cost of gas and to bring the Gas SRSR balance to the target guideline during FY 2006-07 would require an increase in the gas supply rate of 30 percent. This rate increase would increase the average residential bill by approximately $10.40 rather than the proposed $9.29 (a 21% increase in the average residential gas bill). To increase rates to cover the cost of gas and to bring the Gas SRSR balance to the target guideline during FY 2004-05 would require an increase in the gas supply rate of 42 percent; This rate increase would increase the average, residential bill by approximately $14.95 or 30 percent rather than the proposed $9.29 (a 30% increase in the average residential gas bill). Such an increase would still maintain Palo Alto rate levels below those of the surrounding PG&E communities. It would also position the Palo Alto to be able to reduce rates to match projected future reductions in PG&E rates as gas prices reduce in future years. However, such a large rate increase in mid-winter may result in an economic shock to customers, especially when combined with the Council-approved 8.5 percent Electric rate increase also scheduled for January 1, 2005. RESOURCE IMPACT Approval of this natural gas rate adjustment will result in an increase of 18.6 percent (depending upon customer usage) for the average residential gas bill (Rate Schedule G-.l) effective January 1, 2005. It would also increase Rate Schedule G-6 (Municipal Gas Service) by 44.8 percent to recover the cost of gas (currently below cost of acquisition). The rate increase requires ’amending the 2004-05 adjusted budget to reflect a rise in Gas Fund revenues of $3.7 million ($2 million from residential and COlmnercial "pool" customers and $1,7 million from "market-based" revenue "pass-through") and an additional appropriation of $3.4 million for gas commodity purchases beyond the amount appropriated in the 2004-05 adopted budget. Moreover, the rate increase is expected to add to the Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve by $0.3 million, resulting in a reserve balance of $7.2 million as shown in Attachlnent C. This is above the $6.3 million Minimum Guideline for the Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve approved by Council.. However, it will be $1.8 million below the Target balance of $9.4 million. POLICY IMPLICATIONS These recommendations do not represent a change in current City policies. CMR:478:04 The proposed rate Page 2 of 3 increase is consistent with the Utilities Strategic Plan approved by the Council "to provide superior financial performance to the City and competitive rates to customers". TIMELINE The effective date of the proposed rates is effective January 1, 2005. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW The adoption of the resolution does not constitute a project under the California Environmental Quality Act, therefore, no environmental assessment is required. ATTACHMENTS A.Resolution B.Budget Amendment Ordinance C.BAO Impact Spreadsheet D.Gas Rate Schedules G-l, G-2, and G-6 E.November 3, 2004 Report to the UAC Proposed Gas Rate Increase F.Draft excerpt of Minutes from November 5, 2004 UAC meeting PREPARED BY: Rates Manager REVIEWED BY: DEPARTMENT HEAD: CITY Girish Balachandran Assistant Director, ReSource Management Tom Auzenne Assistant Director, Utilities Customer Support Services / :tor of Utilities Assistant City Manager CMR:478:04 Page 3 of 3 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** RESOLUTION NO. RESOLUTION OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO AMENDING UTILITY RATE SCHEDULES G-l,G-2, AND G-6 OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES RATES AND CHARGES PERTAINING TO GAS RATES The Council of the City of Palo Alto does RESOLVE as follows: SECTION i. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule G-I (Residential Gas Service) is hereby amended to read in accordance with sheet G-l- i, attached hereto and incorporated herein. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedule, as amended, shall becomeeffective January i, 2005. SECTION 2. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule G-2 (Commercial Gas Service) is hereby amended to read in accordance with sheet G-2- i, attached hereto and incorporated herein. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedule, as amended, shall becomeeffective January i, 2005. SECTION 3. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule G-6 (Municipal Gas Service) is~hereby amended to read in accordance with sheets G- 6-1 and G-6-2, attached hereto and incorporated herein. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedule, as amended, shall become effective January i, 2005. SECTION 4. The Council finds that the revenue derived from the authorized adoption enumerated herein shall be used only for the purpose set forth in Article VII, Section 2, of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto. // // // // // // 041108 cl 0072465 1 ***NOT YET APPROVED*** SECTION 5. The Council finds that this is not a project under the California Environmental Quality Act and, therefore, no environmental impact assessment is necessary. INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST: City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: Mayor APPROVED: Senior Asst. City Attorney City Manager Director of Utilities Director of Administrative Services 041108 cl 0072465 2 ORDINANCE NO. XXXX ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF PALO ALTO AMENDING THE BUDGET FOR THE FISCAL YEAR 2004-05TO PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL APPROPRIATION OF $3,360,000 FORGAS FUND COMMODITY PURCHASE COSTS The Council of the City of Palo Al[o does ORDAINas follows: SECTION I. The Council of the City of Palo Alto findsand determines as follows: A. Pursuant to the provisions of Section 12 of Article III of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto, the Council on June 28, 2004 did adopt a budget for fiscal year 2004-05; and B. The Gas utility’s adopted budget for fiscal year 2004-05 is based on prevailing forward market prices existing at the time the budget was adopted; and C. Gas commodity prices have risen steadily since the time the budget was adopted due to severa! external factors and an overall constriction of supply; and D. An estimated additional $3,360,000 beyond the amount appropriated in the budget is required for gas commodity purchases; and E. An 18.6 percent gas rate increase for pooled customers, effective January i, 2005, is expected to generate an additional $2,000,000 in gas sales revenue for the remainder of fiscal year 2004-05, partially offsetting the rise of gas commodity costs for pooled customers by $1,652,000 as well as adding to the Gas Supply Rate Stabilization ~Reserve by $348,000; and F. For non-pooled customers, market-based rate increases, which fluctuate with gas commodity cost increases, will generate an estimated additional $1,708,000 in gas sales revenue to offset gas commodity costs attributable to non-pooled customers; and G. City Council authorization is needed to amend the 2004-05 budget to make an additional appropriation of $3,360,000 for gas commodity purchases as hereinafter set forth. SECTION 2. The sum of Three Million Three Hundred Sixty Thousand Dollars ($3,360,000) is hereby appropriated to commodity purchases expense in the Supply Resource Management Functional Area in the Gas Fund. SECTION 3. Gas Fund revenues are hereby increased by Three Million Seven Hundred Eight Thousand Dollars ($3,708,000) to reflect the increased revenues expected from the rate increase to pooled customers and the market-based rate increase to non-pooled customers. SECTION 4. The revenue and expenditure transactions related to the rate increase are expected to increase the Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve by $348,000-from $6,822,000 to $7,170,000. SECTION 5. As specified in Section 2.28.080(a) of the Palo Alto Municipal~ Code, a two-thirds vote of the City Council is required to adopt this ordinance. SECTION 6. The Council of the City of Palo Alto hereby finds that this is not a project under the California Environmental Quality Act and, therefore, no environmental impact assessment is necessary. SECTION 7. As provided in Section 2.04.330(b) of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, this ordinance shall become effective upon adoption.// // /! INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSTENTIONS: ABSENT: ATTEST:APPROVED: City Clerk Mayor City Manager APPROVED AS TO FORM: Director of Services Administrative. City Attorney Director of Utilities City of Palo Alto ATTACHMENT C Budget Amendment Ordinances Impacting Utilities Rate Stabilization Reserves Approved To Date in 2004-05 11/10/04 Gas Fund Estimated Gas Distribution Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance $6,703,000 gotal BAOs RsR Balance After BAO°s Gas Fund Estimated Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Balance $0 $0 $0 $0 $6,703,000 BAO to increase gas rates effective 1/1/2005 $6,822,000 $348,000 Jtal BAOs RSR Balance After BAO’s Estimated Net Gas Fund RSR Balance $0 $0 $0 $348,000 $0 $7,170,000 $13,873,000 RESIDENTIAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-1 AQ APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to natural gas sex-vice to individually metered single family premises, including those separately metered in a multi-family complex. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. RATES:Per Meter Per Month (A) (B) Summer Rates (May 1 to October 31): 0-20 therms per therm ........................................................................$0.862 Over 20 thenns per therm ........................................................................$1.321 Winter Rates (Nov. 1 to April 30): 0-96 thenns per therm Over 96 therms per therm ........................................................................$0.862 .........................................................................$1.321 Do SPECIAL NOTES: Seasonal rate changes: The sunm-~er period is effective May 1 to October 31 and the winter period is effective from November 1 to April 30. When the billing period is partly in the summer period and partly in the winter period, the billing will be computed by prorating the total therm usage and the applicable rates thereto between the two seasonal periods, according to the ratio of the number of days in each seasonal period to file total number of days in the billing period. Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by inten-uption of service, if the intelTuption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supercedes Sheet No. G-1-1 dated 7-1-2004 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTiLiTIES Effective 1-1-2005 Sheet No. G-l-1 COMMERCIAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-2 APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to non-residential customers who use less than 250,000 therms per year at a single address. This schedule may include service to master-metered multi-family facilities. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. Co RATES: All year-round delivered COlaalaaodity:Per Meter Per Month Per Therm ........................................................................................................................$1.028 Do SPECIAL CONDITIONS: Service under this schedule is subject to discontinuance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by interruption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No.G-2-1 dated 7-1-2004 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-1-2005 Sheet No. G-2-1 MUNICIPAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-6 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to selwice buildings and facilities owned and/or operated by the City of Palo Alto and not cun’ently served under G-11 or G-12. B. TERRITORY: Within the service area of the City of Palo Alto and on land owned or leased by the City. C.RATES:Per Therm Supply Charges: 1.Commodity Charge .............: ..........................................................................$0.603 2.Administrative Fee ..................................~ ......................................................$0.018 3.PG&E Local Transportation ..........................................................................$0.021 Total Supply Charges .....................................................................................$0..642 Distribution Charge: 1. Palo Alto Local Distribution .......................................................................... $0.237 D.SPECIAL CONDITION: Service under this schedule is subject to discontilmance in whole or in part, for operational reasons or if the City experiences supply or capacity shortages. The City will exercise reasonable diligence and care to furnish and deliver continuous service and a sufficient quantity of gas to customers, but does not guarantee continuity of service or sufficiency of quantity. The City shall not be liable for any damage caused by inten-uption of service, if the interruption of service is caused by an act of God, Fire, Strikes, riots, war, or any other cause that is beyond the City’s control. The Administrative fee is equal to the allocable administrative and overhead costs incurred by the City in providing the gas service. PG&E Local transportation charge is equal to the cost of transporting gas from the PG&E’s City Gate to the Palo Alto City Gate. CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supercedes Sheet No. G-6-1 dated 7-1-2004 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 1-01-2005 Sheet No. G-6-1 MUNICIPAL GAS SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE G-6 (Continued) The total monthly charge = therms used during the month X (commodity charge + administrative fee + PG&E local transportation charge + Palo Alto local distribution charge). Customers served under this rate schedule are not eligible for gas direct access and cannot request a rate schedule change to any full-service rate applicable to customers who are eligible for gas direct access (i.e. G-3, G-11, or G-12). {End} CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Effective 3-1-2002 Original Sheet No, G-6-2 TO: MEMORANDUM UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION 4 FROM:UTIITIES DEPARTMENT DATE: SUBJECT: NOVEMBER 3, 2004 PROPOSED GAS RATE INCREASE RECOMMENDATION This report requests that the Utilities Advisory Cormnission (UAC) recon~nend that the City Council approve natural gas rate increases of between 17 and 22 percent (based on customer usage), equivalent to a projected $2.5 million increase for the period between January 1 and June 30, 2005. This rate increase will offset cun’ent andprojected increases in higher natural gas supply costs in FY 2004-05 and beyond, and lnaintain a prudent Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve (SRSR). This proposed rate increase will not apply to gas distribution costs. BACKGROUND In June 2004, the City Council approved a FY 2004-05 budget with gas supply costs based on prevailing forward market prices at the time the budget was developed. However, since December 2003, natural gas prices have been steadily rising. The increase has been attributed to several factors including hurricane Ivan that damaged some production facilities in the Gulf of Mexico, an almost doubling of crude oil prices, and an overall gas supply squeeze. While the gas "laddering" strategy has mitigated some of this risk, it also exposed a portion of the City,s load to market risk at the time of, and subsequent to, budget approval .......... Residential and commercial customers comprise the gas "pool", whereby the Gas Utility purchases and manages gas supply for them, ratl~er than merely "pass thru" market costs. Industrial customers can select between Gas Schedule G-3 (a floating rate tied to a market index) or a fixed-term, fixed price contract. Gas commodity for the City’s pool customers is purchased according to a gas laddering strategy (original CMR:196:01; revised in CMR: 167:04). The laddering strategy is to continuously procure 60% to 100% of the load purchased at fixed prices for thenearest 18-month period, 40% to 75% of the load purchased at fixed prices for 19 to 27 months from now, and 20% to 50% of the load purchased at fixed UAC 11-03-04 Item 4: Proposed Gas Rate Increase Page I of 5 prices for 28 to 36 months frO1Tl now. On December 15, 2003, the Council adopted the Finance Committee recommendation for adoption of two Resolutions to revise Utility Rate Stabilization Reserve (RSR) Guidelines and to terminate Gas Rate Schedule G-7 (CMR:483:03). The affected Reserves included Electric Supply, Electric Distribution, Gas Supply, Gas Distribution, and Water and Wastewater Collection. The new Guidelines served to establish a financial minimum ($6.3 million) and maximum ($12.6 million), and a midrange Target ($9,4 million) for the Gas Supply RSR. The FY 2004-05 starting balance (unaudited) for the Gas SRSR was $6.8 million. DISCUSSION Due to the highly volatile wholesale gas market, resulting in continuing increases in the forward price curves for gas purchases, target purchasing levels were changed to 100% of expected pool needs for winter 04/05 to decrease the gas supply cost uncertainty for the reminder ofFY2004-05. Therefore, in accordance with adopted risk management guidelines, CPAU has locked in our gas supply costs for the remainder of FY 2004-05. Current retail rates are insufficient to recover the projected wholesale cost of gas for FY 04-05, and to maintain prudent reserves. During the current fiscal year, according to the laddering strategy, the majority ofPalo Alto’s wholesale gas cost has been fixed, and will vary only if the load differs from the forecast. Because purchases under the laddering strategy are made over a period of time, the continuing increases in the forward price curves for wholesale gas continues to increase the cost of gas supply for the pool. Consequently, pool gas supply costs are projected to be higher than budgeted for FY 2004-05 by approximately $1.1 million and higher by $3.5 million in FY 2005-06. Without a rate increase, the Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve balance for June 30, 2005 is projected to be $5.2 million, well below the $9.4 million Reserve Target Guideline, and below the $6.3 million Minimum Reserve Guideline. This proposed rate increase to the gas supply portion of the Customer gas bill wilI increase the average residential customer bill, who uses 100 Therms in the winter and 30 Therms in the summer, by $10.40 per month (from $49.95 to $60.35 per month). The impact on residential bills will be an increase between 17 to 22 percent depending on customer usage. The average commercial customer (Gas Rate Schedule G-2; G-2 @ 1000 Therms/Month) will see an average increase of 18.1 percent, or $160 per month. Based on November, 2004 PG&E rates, this proposed gas supply rate increase results in Palo Alto’s residential gas customers continuing to have overall gas bills (supply plus distribution) that are 19.6 percent below PG&E. The following table shows the impact.of this rate proposal on a typical monthly bill for the various customer classes. UAC 11-03-04 Item 4: Proposed Gas Rate htcrease Page 2 of 5 TABLE 1 Impact of Proposed Rate Increases on Customer Natural Gas Bills Customer / Season Residential/Winter Residential/Winter Residential/Summer Residential/Summer Commercial G-2 Industrial G-2 Usage Therms 100 150 3o 4O 5OO 1000 Current Monthly Bill $73.74 132.64 26.16 37.94" 442.50 8,850.00 Proposed Monthly Bill $89.74 156.64 30.96 44.34 522.50 10,450.00 Amount of Increase $16.00 241OO 4,80 6.4O 80.00 1,600.00 Proposed Percent Increase 21,7% 18,1 18.3 16.9 18.1 18,1 Projected Percent CPAU (Below) or Above PG&E (based on 11/04published PG&E rates) (22:1°/o)¯ (13.2) (11.5) (7,7) (2,7) 6,8 City departments are being charged under Gas Rate Schedule G-6. The gas supply component of this rate schedule is cun’ently below the Utilities wholesale cost of gas. In order to recover the increased supply costs, the G-6 gas supply rate will increase by 58 percent to match the cost of gas. The net impact is projected as a $60,000 cost increase between January and June 2005. Non-pool customers charged under Gas Rate Schedule G-3 are not included in this rate increase since they are charged market rates. Staff recommends the approval of a Commission recommendation to Council for natural gas rate increases of between 17 and 22 percent (based on customer class and usage), which are reflective of an overall 30 percent gas supply rate increase, to be effective January 1, 2005. If the City Council approves this rate increase, staff projects the Gas SRSR to end the FY 2004-05 with a balance of $8.6 million, $2.3 million above the $6.3 Minimum Guideline, but below the Target Guideline by $ 890 thousand. Combined with the current projected gas costs for FY 2005-06, this rate increase is also projected to reach the Gas Supply Rate Stabilization Reserve Target Guideline for FY 2006-07 of $11.9 million by mid-year of FY2006-07. ALTERNATIVES Staff evaluated the following rate options: Option A) To forgo any rate increase, the Gas SRSR balance is projected to be $1.1 million below the FY2004-05 Minimum Guideline of $6.3 million by June 30, 2005, and $ 4.2 UA C 11-03-04 Item 4: Proposed Gas Rate Increase Page 3 of 5 million below the FY2004-05 Target Guideline by June 30, 2005. Option B) Im order to recoup the increased cost of gas and to bring the Gas SRSR to the FY 2004-05 Minimum Guideline, an increase of 20 percent in gas supply rates would be needed, rather than the proposed 30 percent increase. This rate increase would increase the average residential bill by approximately $9.29 or 18.6 percent rather than the proposed $10.40. However, it will not bring the balance of the SRSR to the Target Guideline without another supply rate increase in the fi.~ture. Option C) To increase rates to cover the cost of gas and to bring the Gas SRSR balance to the Target Guideline during FY2004-05, would require an increase in the gas supply rate of 42 percent. This rate increase would .increase the average residential bill by approximately $14.95 or 30 percent rather than the proposed $10.40. Such a large rate increase in mid- winter may result in an economic shock to customers, especially when combined with the Council-approved 8.5 percent Electric rate increase also scheduled for January 1, 2005. RESOURCE IMPACT Approval of natural gas rate increases of between 17 and 22 percent (based on customer class and usage), which are reflective of an overall 30 percent gas supply rate increase, to be effective January 1, 2005, would increase the projected Gas Fund supply sales revenues by approximately $2.5 million from January 2005 through June 2005. POLICY IMPLICATIONS These recommendations do not represent a change in current City policies. The proposed rate increase is consistent with the Utilities Strategic Plan approved by the Council "to provide superior financial perfola-nance to the City and competitive rates to customers". TIMELINE The effective date of the proposed rates is effective January 1, 2005. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW The adoption of the resolution does not constitute a project under the Environmental Quality Act, therefore, no environmental assessment is required. California UAC 11-03-04 Item 4: Proposed Gas Rate htcrease Page 4 of 5 ATTACHMENTS A: Gas Rate Schedules G-1, G-2, and G-6. PREPARED BY: Lucie Hirmina, Rates Manager REVIEWED BY:Girish Balachandran Assistant Director, Resource Management Tom Auzenne Assistant Director, Utilities Customer Support Services DEPARTMENT HEAD: JOHN ULRICH Director of Utilities UAC 11-03-04 Item 4: Proposed Gas Rate lncrease Page 5 of 5 CMR:478:04 ATTACHMENT F NO.4: PROPOSED GAS RATE INCREASE - Action Lucie Hinnina handed out materials while Ulrich began the presentation. Ulrich explained that a month ago staff did not think a gas rate increase would be needed. Staff now believes it is appropriate to have a rate increase at an average of 20% beginning January 1, 2004.. , Ulrich gave a brief summary of the report including a graph which details the differences in estimated annual purchase costs of gas. The graphic illustrates the future purchase costs of gas; June 2004 it will be about $i7 million, June 2005 close to $20 million, and June 2007, the purchase cost will be at $22 million. Staff have been looking at how are we going to collect that kind of revenue. Currently we are collecting with about $7 million left in the reserves. With the current rate, the reserves will become negative beginning 2007. Palo Alto is virtually at the minimum now. Staff’s recommendation is to have a 20% rate increase (to the customer) that will allow us to pay for the gas and get closer to the reserve target by June 2007. Other alterna[ives staff looked at would be a 30% increase (supply cost). Ulrich pointed out that the Commission can see the need for the rate increase based on staff’s recommendation. Budget projections in January 2004 - by October 25th there is a nmch higher forward price curve. A gas rate increase is needed to pay for future purchases of gas that the City needs with the goal being to maintain a reserve as close to the reserve target as possible. The net effect is the reserve rate will still be about 20% below PG&E rates in the surrounding communities. We’ve updated our monthly utility bill projections to see what the impact will be on the customer. $10.40 increase per month for gas for a 20% overall increase to the customer to get the 30% increase in supply cost. The next impact overall to the customers will be about $15.30. Dawes stated that at the time the budget was put together a certain percentage of gas had been purchased and since then have purchased more. He asked what percentage had been committed at the time the budget, was put together and are these figures the balance of the unheeded portfolio? Auzenne replied that it was about at approximately 75%. The laddering strategy calls for an un- hedged balance of about 40%. Ulrich asked the Commission to direct their attention to the Quarterly Report, Page 2 of 10, Attachment B as Karla Dailey describes our laddering strategy and what we are trying to buy. Daily said we are not in terrible shape at the end of 04/05 but because we plan for more than one year at a time, if we don’t do something about our rates now, in the next three year time frame the City will be in bad shape. Dawes asked about the magnitude of the price increase. Daily reiterated we are talking about three years out, our current fiscal year and the next fiscal year as well. Dawes asked about the distribution RSR and lack of plans to add to that reserve. Ulrich said we always have the ability to ask to move from one area to another. The Commission should understand that when Karla is buying gas, she is buying out 1, 2, and 3 years going forward. We are in the real-world prices that we don’t have any control over. The City has the advantage by laddering to analyze and look forward and tell what is going to happen if we don’t raise the rate reserves. DRAFT EXCERPT - UAC MINUTES - NOVEMBER 3, 2004 Page 1 of 5 CMR:478:04 ATTACHMENT F Dawes asked about the recommendation: 17-22% increase based on customer cost use and distribution. The 58% increase for the City. Ulrich and Auzenne explained that rate G-6 rate will apply to service buildings and facilities owned and/or operated by the City of Palo Alto is going forward - since they were being dramatically undercharged. Melton said we are all aware of the petroleum market. He thinks what we see is that it has been fluxuating broadly in the past couple of months. Since a lot is driven by factors of supply and demand, his concern is that we may be over-reacting to what is a very volatile spot in the market. Melton stated we need to recognize the market may go down in the future and he doesn’t want to go overboard on this. The market moves a lot faster than the rate-setting mechanism moves. Auzelme agreed the market is volatile, which is why there is a purchasing strategy and a purchased strategy in place. We have no risk going forward for the remainder of the year but we bought at a high price. We are doing cost recovery plus building the reserves. We are already committed to $1.7 million. This is a lower price than the forward market is. Ulrich said our cost of gas is less than the current spot market but a couple of years ago we drove down our reserves in order not to shock the customers with a rate increase. Our strategy with laddering is to purchase relatively small amounts to not shock our customers each month with the change. Risk is current spot market will be more than cost of buying gas. Dahlen expressed concern about the electric rates going up in January, could we post-pone another six months? Ulrich shared that staff gave this much thought, He reminded the Commission that staff recommendation was to have the electric increase earlier. He pointed out that we know that’s where the price is going to go and all of our replacement electric energy is at a higher price. We know we’re going to have to have another rate increase. It’s in~portant to be as upfront with our customer as we can. We can help the customer but we have to pass on the higher price of the conmaodity. It’s better to pass this increase on now rather than have a higher increase later on. Bechtel said part of the reason of having reserves is to weather a stoma. Looking at a 2007 purchase (projection), we’ve already deferred some purchases hoping prices would go down and next year we’re not fully exposed to the market. Given that we have a rate stabilization reserve to weather these things, perhaps we should look at this in June and not today. We don’t know what this winter will be, a severe winter would drive the prices up. We could use our stabilization reserve and let it fall to $5 million, if we did nothing it would fall to $2 million by June 2006, which would be a disaster but it would still be a $2 million reserve. Ulrich called attention to how we developed the RSR-Stabilization reserve guidelines. These were put together based on a number of estimated cost contingencies. Bechtel read from the report CMR 483:03, December 2003 on Reserve Guidelines (distributed earlier at places by Lucie Hirrnina and asked for clarification. Ulrich said it’s a matter of whether you agree with what we’ve been following or do you want to go back and change the methodology for determining the RSR. The City is at the minimum right now and the only direction to go is down. If the Commission decides you don’t want the increase now, we’ll have to go back and collect the money later or you’ll have to direct us to go DRAFT EXCERPT - UAC MINUTES - NOVEMBER 3, 2004 Page 2 of 5 CM-R:478:04 ATTACHMENT F to Council and ask them to lower our reserves which would be putting the customers at the market price. PG&E changes their rates every month. ’Hopefully we change annually unless an emergency. The purpose of a reserve is to weather two years. If prices drop in six months or one year, our reserves will fall well below where it is today because we’ve already committed that money. Most likely We will have to increase our rates again. If we defer this six months we’ve always allowed our reserves to cushion our bounces. We don’t want them to fall below the minimum. Dawes talked about .prior years of getting behind the curve. Once you get in that position, you are in serious trouble. We must not let this get out of hand. He feels it is too risky a strategy to not raise rates. MOTION: Dawes called for a motion. Seeing none, Dawes motioned that the UAC recommend to the Council to accept the staff recommendation starting January 1, 2005 with an additional adjustment for the City price increase. SECOND: Bechtel seconded the motion. Karla explained that what the PG&E customers pay is mostly a market cost. They will be paying $7-9 per MMBTU. Even with the proposed rate increase, Palo Alto customers will be paying less than PG&E customers. If you miss this opportunity, the City will be in a bad position. Karla continued by saying there is a very strong feeling in the market that this is not a spike but a fundamental change in the price and it is here to stay for several years. The mean has gone up and supply is so tight there will be additional rises. The prices we see today are our best guess for prices for the City. They are not wild estimates. The reality is our reserves are not in the condition to handle what we think it needs to be in the next three years. Melton wanted to talk about the overall impact of gas and electric. Might want to think about, given the condition of the gas reserves, did we consider deferring the electric rate increase. Since this is not on the agenda, we can’t consider tonight. But Melton asked if the Commission can direct John to bring this to us next month on the agenda. Other point is total utility bill impact, remind the next Council meeting there will be consideration of a ballot for increased storm drain fees that is not reflected on this sheet and that increase is supposed to happen in the February- March timeframe. That is yet another factor that City Council will be considering with both the utility rate increases and the decision from that election. This will be another hit to the Utility bill that is not reflected in the handout here. Dahlen noted that the projected utility bills looks quite high. If we go with Dexter’s thoughts to be prudent here to prevent being negative on the reserve, could we do so in a gentler way with a reduction in the anaount of the rate increase. She asked about an anaendment to the motion, what percentage would keep us at the minimum? Dawes asked to look at the numbers again. Auzenne stated that the numbers on the quarterly report were done before this current analysis. We were doing this analysis up to yesterday. Hirmina said the $5.2 million projection is too low because it would be below minimum. Dawes said if we do implement a 20% price increase, the ending reserve will stay at $5.2 million. He questioned the consistency of the two charts. DRAFT EXCERPT - UAC MINUTES - NOVEMBER 3, 2004 Page 3 of 5 CMR:478:04 ATTACHMENT F Ulrich and Auzenne clarified the chart lines. What we have on this chart is the increase to the supply, not the rate increase. It is a 30% increase in supply. Discussion and clarification were held regarding the chart. The red line is 30% supply cost increase. Reserve is after a 20% reserve increase. The Commission asked if they estimate a 10% increase would result in the blue line. Hinnina said that would be 20% rate (blue line). Ulrich outlined the three options (A, B, C) on page 4 of 5 in the Proposed Gas Rate report. Option B is an increase of 20% in gas supply rate rather than 30%, average residential bill of $9.20 which is 18.6%. There is a $1.10 difference to the customer. We are melding the winter and the summer, together to get the $10.40 rate increase. MOTION: Dahlen motioned to go with Option B. SECOND: Melton seconded. Ulrich says while this looks like only a $1 difference we’d have to come back with another recommendation for another rate increase in June or July. Staff decided to tell the UAC what we think is the appropriate amount and then showed these options to show you we also looked at other options. Dawes said the discussion seems to revolve around the idea of a lesser rate increase resulting in a plateau of our RSR rather than an expansion of our RSR is the way the Commission is thinking. Ulrich said the other main part of this is we’ve set aside money for one-time cost contingencies that are in the RSR and you should be aware of that. The other reminder is the reason we went to the laddering strategy is to keep staff from trying to speculate on buying gas, to avoid opinions of where the market is going to go. Melton said if we go with Option B now, we could always do another rate increase next spring when we review all rate increases. That is acceptable. Melton said he would rather have it then than a larger one in January. If the market forces it, then we could consider it next summer. Hirmina said staff will be proposing both a water rate increase and a waste water rate increase in the summer. Daily said it will have a larger impact on our revenue to have a rate increase in January. If you postpone a rate increase in the summer, the volume of sales is so low that the revenue will not be sufficient, Dawes called for. a vote on the earlier motion He reviewed the earlier motion: REVIEW OF MOTION: The UAC recommends Option B for proposed rate increase gas utility, and to approve the new G-6 rate for the City. MOTION PASSED UNANIMOUSLY. Melton asked if there was any interest in asking John to bring a review of the electric rate increase for January 1st to the December UAC meeting. Bechtel said that would take an emergency action of the Council which would be hard to pull off. Dawes and Dahlen were both against asking for a justification for the electric rate increase in January. No motion. DRAFT EXCERPT - UAC MINUTES - NOVEMBER 3, 2004 Page 4 of 5 ....... CM:R:478:04 ATTACHMENT F Ulrich told the group the December meeting will include the axmual public benefits plan update and a revisit of the strategic plan and measurements. He asked for any concerns about the meeting schedule of December 1, 2004. No problems expressed.. MOTION: Motion made to adjourn by Dawes. SECOND: Dahlen MOTION PASSED UNANIMOUSLY. ADJOURNMENT Meeting adjourned at 9:54 p.m. Respectfully submitted, Dee Zichowic DRAFT EXCERPT - UAC MINUTES -NOVEMBER 3, 2004 Page 5 of 5