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HomeMy WebLinkAboutStaff Report 110-11TO: FROM: DATE: REPORT TYPE: SUBJECT: HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT: PLANNING AND COMMUNITY ENVIRONMENT CMR: 110:11 JANUARY 10,2011 STUDY SESSION Update on Snstainable Commnnities Strategy (SB375) and Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA) Process RECOMMENDATION: Staff recommends that the City Council discuss the status of the Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) and the Regional Housing Needs Allocation Process (RHNA) and provide comments in anticipation of further actions in February through August. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: This staff report describes Senate Bill 375, the Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) and the effect of the law on local goverrunents as well as the Bay Area as a region, and is based largely on information provided by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Goverrunents (ABAG). The SCS will be developed in paJinership with regional agencies, local jurisdictions and Congestion Management Agencies (CMAs), such as the Valley Transportation Authority (VTA), through an iterative process. The regional agencies have acknowledged that input from local jurisdictions with land use authority is essential to create a feasible SCS. The SCS does not, however, alter the authority of jurisdictions over local land use and development decisions. The pUlpose of this report is to provide Palo Alto City Council members with an overview of the SCS in relation to local land use policies, transportation implications, and implementation needs, and will address key policy considerations for the City of Palo Alto. The City will provide input to several components of the SCS and RHNA processes in the next 6 months, including: a) the formulation of the regional housing allocation methodology; b) whether to form a subregional housing allocation effort with other Santa Clara County cities; c) characterization of the "place types" in Palo Alto that might accommodate increased development over the next 25 years; and d) response to the Initial Vision Scenario and subsequent iterations to outline the form of development throughout the region. CMR: 110:11 Page 1 of 9 BACKGROUND: Senate Bill 375 (SB375) was enacted in 2008 and is considered landmark legislation for California relative to land use, transportation and environmental planning. SB375 is intended to help to implement AB32 (Global Warming Solutions Act), approved in 2006 and requiring actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2020 and by 80% below 2005 levels by 2050. While much of AB32 focuses on emissions from stationary sources (industrial facilities) or diesel trucks, SB375 is focused on emissions from automobiles and light trucks and the reduction in vehicle-miles traveled due to more compact land use patterns and potential mode shifts. A summary of the impacts ofSB375 has been prepared by the Urban Land Institllte (ULI) and is included as Attachment E. The legislation calls for the development of a Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) in all metropolitan regions in California. Within the Bay Area, the law assigns joint responsibility for the SCS to the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG). These agencies will coordinate with the Bay Area Air QlIality Management District (Air District) and the Bay Conservation and Development Commission (BCDC). The SCS integrates several existing planning processes and IS reqllired to accomplish the following objectives: I. Provide a new 25-year land use strategy for the Bay Area that is realistic and identifies areas to accommodate all of the region's population, including all income groups; 2. Forecast a land use pattern, which when integrated with the transportation system, reduces greenhouse gas emissions from automobiles and light trucks and is measured against the regional target established by the California Air Resources Board (CARB). The California Air Resources Board (CARB), in response to the mandates of SB375, has set target GHG emissions from light trucks and passenger vehicles for each of the region's subject to the provisions of SB375. For the ABAG area, the CARB set targets for a 7% reduction in emissions by 2020 and a 15% reduction in emissions by 2035. The SCS is also required to be included as part of the Bay Area's 25-year Regional Transportation Plan (RTP). By federal law, the RTP must be internally consistent and, therefore, the $200+ billion dollars of transportation investments typically included in the RTP must align with and support the SCS land-use pattern. SB375 also requires that an updated eight-year regional housing needs allocation (RHNA) prepared by ABAG is consistent with the SCS. The SCS, RTP and RHNA will be adopted simultaneously in early 2013. The Council and Planning and Transportation Commission have each conducted study sessions in the past year to better understand the background of SB375, and staffs Comprehensive Plan Speaker Series included a presentation by ABAG representatives regarding the legislation. In addition, four Councilmembers and the City Manager and Planning Director attended a meeting sponsored by the Santa Clara County Cities Association, also involving an ABAG overview of the objectives and process for developing the Sustainable Communities Strategy. CMR: 110:11 Page 2 of 9 DISCUSSION: The goal of the SCS is not only is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, but to build a Bay Area that continues to thrive and prosper under the changing cireumstanees of the twenty-first century. By directly confronting the challenges associated with population growth, climate change, a new economic reality and an increasing public-health imperative, the SCS is intended to support a Bay Area that is both more livable and more economically competitive on the world stage. A successful SCS will: • Recognize and support compact, walkable places where residents and workers have access to services and amenities to meet their day-to-day needs; • Reduce long commutes and decrease reliance on fossil fuels, increasing energy independence and decreasing the region's carbon consumption; • Support complete communities that remain livable and aflbrdable for all segments of the population, maintaining the Bay Area as an attractive plaee to reside, start or continue a business, and create jobs; • Support a sustainable transportation system and reduce the need for expensive highway and transit expansions, freeing up resources for other more productive public investments; • Provide increased accessibility and affordability to the most vulnerable populations; • Conserve water; and • Decrease our dependence on imported food stocks and their high transport costs. In recognition of the importance of these other goals, ABAG and MTC will adopt perfonnance targets and indicators that will help infonn decisions about land usc patterns and transportation investments. These targets and indicators will apply to the SCS and the RTP and will not weigh as heavily as greenhouse gas reduction, but will provide additional criteria for use in comparing the alternative SCS scenarios. The targets are scheduled for adoption by the Joint Policy Committee (ABAG, MTC) in early 2011 and the indicators will be adopted in the spring of2011. Planned Development Areas (PDAs) In many respects the SCS builds upon existing efforts in Bay Area communities to encourage more focused and compact growth while recognizing the unique characteristics and differences of the region's many varied communities. FOCUS Priority Development Areas (PDAs) are locally-identified and regionally adopted infill development opportunity areas near transit. The City of Palo Alto has identified a PDA for the California Avenue/Park Blvd.lFry's area around the California Avenue Caltrain station. The PDAs provide a foundation upon which to structure the region's Sustainable Communities Strategy. PDAs encompass only three percent (3%) of the region's land area whereas, based upon existing plans, resources, and incentives, the PDAs can collectively accommodate over fifty percent (50%) of the Bay Area's housing need through 2035. PDAs have been supported by planning grants, capital funding and technical assistance grants from MTC. The current RTP allocates an average of$60 million a year to PDA incentivc-related funding. Future RTPs, consistent with the SCS, will be structured to provide policies and funding CMR: 110:11 Page 3 of 9 that is supportive of PDAs and potentially other opportunity areas for sustainable development in the region. In Palo Alto, the California Avenue Area PDA is coterminous with the City's ongoing Concept Area Plan for that area. City staff has provided input to ABA G regarding both the existing development levels and the potential for growth in housing and employment. The PDA analysis identifies "place types" for different land uses and densities, and the "Transit Neighborhood" place type has been tentatively designated for the California Avenue Area PDA. This plan envisions a broad range of development possibilities, with up to 20-50 units per acre of residential and floor-to-area ratio (FAR) of up to 2.0. These are estimates based on existing Pedestrian-Transit Oriented Development (PTOD) zoning for the area. If the ongoing planning for the area results in increased intensity levels, staff will forward that information to ABAG. In addition to the City'S PDA for the California Avenue Area, VTA has designated all of the El Camino Real corridor and the University Avenue station area as potential opportunities for further development ("potential PDAs"). Staff has identified the El Camino Corridor as a "Mixed Use Corridor" place type and the University Avenue transit area as a "Transit Town Center" for initial forecasting. Staff has notified ABAG that the City does not consider the San Antonio Avenue transit station to result in a place type with increased development in Palo Alto. Attachment D depicts the concept of "pI ace types" used in the fornmlation of the SCS. Partnership with Local Jurisdictions To be successful, the SCS will require a partnership among regional agencies, local jurisdictions, Congestion Management Agencies (CMAs), transit agencies, and other regional stakeholders. MTC and ABAG are engaged in an exchange of information with County-Corridors Working Groups throughout the Bay Area. These Groups are organized by county, by sub-regions within counties, and by corridors that span counties. They typically include city and county planning directors, CMA staff, and representatives of other key agencies such as transit agencies and public health departments. Working Group members are responsible for providing updates and information to their locally elected policymakers through regular reports like this one and eventually through recommended councilor board resolutions that acknowledge and respond to the implications of the SCS for each jurisdiction. Each county has established an SCS engagement strategy and the composition of a County/Corridor Working Group according to its needs and ongoing planning structure. The City of Palo Alto Planning Director is working with the Santa Clara County Association of Planning Officials (SCCAPO), primarily composed of planning directors from each city and from Santa Clara County, to address these issues. Other City staff members are involved in working groups of planners and transportation officials coordinated by and supported technically by the Valley Transportation Authority (VTA). The City/County Managers Association and the Santa Clara County Cities Association are also active in reviewing key policy actions related to the SCS. In addition to the County-Corridor Working Groups, a Regional Advisory Working Group (RA WG), composed of local government representatives and key stakeholders throughout the region, provides technical oversight at the regional level. The Planning Director is a participant in those meetings on a monthly basis. CMR: 110:11 Page 4 of 9 Development of SCS Scenarios The SCS will be the product of an iterative process that includes a sequence of growth and supportive transportation scenarios. An Initial Vision Scenario will be presented in February 20 II, followed by more detailed SCS scenarios that refine the Initial Vision Scenario (Spring and Fall 2011), with a final draft for review in early 2012. The draft project timeline is outlined in more detail in the "Next Steps" section below and a draft schedule of 2011 milestones and opportunities for City input is provided as Attachment A. Initial Vision Scenario ABAG and MTC will release an Initial Vision Scenario in February 201 1, based in large part on input from local jurisdictions through the county/corridor engagement process and information collected through December 2010. The Vision Scenario will encompass an initial identification of places (place types), policies and strategies for long-term, sustainable development in the Bay Area. Local governments will identify places with potential for sustainable development, including PDAs, transit corridors, and employment areas, as well as infill opportunity areas that lack transit services but offer opportunities for increased walkability and reduced driving. The Initial Vision Scenario will: • Incorporate the 25-year regional housing need encompassed in the SCS; • Provide a preliminary set of housing and employment growth numbers at regional, county, jurisdictional, and sub-jurisdictional levels; • Be evaluated against the greenhouse gas reduction target as well as the additional performance targets adopted for the SCS. For Palo Alto, the place types factored into the Vision Scenario will include the California Avenue Area PDA and the El Camino Real corridor and University Avenue transit area, as outlined previously. The intent of this initial Vision Scenario is to show a development pattern "unconstrained" by public service limitations, fiscal, transportation, or other infrastructure. Detailed Scenarios By the early spring of2011, local governments and regional agencies will evaluate the feasibility of achieving the Initial Vision Scenario and will produce a series of Detailed Scenarios for review. The Detailed Scenarios will take into account constraints that might limit development potential, and will identify the infrastructure and resources that can be identified and/or secured to support the scenario. MTC and ABAG expect to release a first round of Detailed Scenarios by July 2011, following multiple discussions and workshops in response to the Initial Vision Scenario. The County/Corridor Working Groups as well as the RA WG will facilitate local input into the scenarios, with the release of a Preferred Scenario by the end of 20 II. The analysis of the Detailed Scenarios and Preferred Scenario will evaluate benefits of the land use alternatives in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and vehicle-miles traveled, and will also consider the Perfonnance Targets and Indicators as additional criteria. Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA) As described above, the eight-year RHNA must be consistent with the SCS. Planning for affordable housing in the Bay Area is one of the essential tasks of sustainable development. In the SCS, this task becomes integrated with the regional land use strategy, the development of CMR: 110:11 Page 5 of9 complete communities and a sustainable transportation system. The county/corridor engagement process will include discussions ofRHNA, since both the SCS and RENA require consideration of housing needs by income group. The process to update the RHNA will begin in 20 11: o A Housing Methodology Committee for the region will be appointed in January 2011. Meetings will continue through September 2011. o Cities must detennine whether they want to fonn a sub-regional RHNA group by March 2011. If so, they must follow the same timeline for fonnulation as the Methodology Committee. o Local jurisdictions will provide input prior to the adoption of the RHNA methodology by September 20 II. o The final housing numbers for the region will be issued by the State Department of Housing and CommWlity Development (HCD) by September 2011. o The Draft RENA will be released by spring 2012. o ABAG will adopt the Final RHNA by the end of summer 2012. o Local governments will address the next round of RHNA in their next Housing Element update (2014-2022). The distribution of housing needs will then infonn the Detailed SCS Scenarios. Councilmember Scharff has been nominated (and has a good likelihood of being appointed) to the RHNA Methodology Committee. The Committee will include 2 staff from cities (San Jose and Morgan Hill) and 2 alternates (Cupertino and Sunnyvale), and a staff member from Santa Clara County. Staff hasn't heard if any City Managers will be selected. While still not proportional to the County's population or employment, this is an improvement over the last round of housing review, when only I city staff, 1 county staff, and I Council member were included across the entire Santa Clara County. The County Planning Directors emphasized the need for increased numbers and diversity across the representatives from this county, including an elected official from north County. Regional Transportation Plan (RTP) The SCS provides an explicit link between land use choices and the transportation investments in the region. The regional agencies indicate they will work closely with the VTA and other CMAs, transportation agencies and local jurisdictions to define financially constrained transportation priorities in their response to a can for transportation projects in early 2011 and a detailed project assessment that will be eompleted by July/August 2011. The project assessment will be an essential part of the development of Detailed SCS Scenarios. The RTP will be analyzed through 2012 and released for review by the end of 2012. ABAG is expected to approve the SCS by March 2013, and MTC would follow with adoption of the final RTP and SCS by April 2013. Environmental Review Regional agencies will prepare one Enviromnentallmpact Report (ErR) for both the SCS and the RTP. This EIR might assist local jurisdictions in streamlining the environmental review process for some of the projects that are consistent with the SCS. Regional agencies are investigating the CMR: llO:l1 Page 6 of 9 scope and strategies for an EIR that could provide the most effective support for local governments. Additional Regional Tasks MTC, ABAG and the Bay Area Air Quality Management District are coordinating the impacts of CEQA thresholds and guidelines recently approved by the Air District. The Air District is currently developing tools and mitigation measures related to the CEQA thresholds and guidelines to assist with development projects in PDAs. The four regional agencies will be coordinating other key regional planning issues including any adopted climate adaptation-related policy recommendations or best practices suggested by BCDC, Palo Alto Role in Developing and Implementing the Sustainable Communities Strategy The City staff, Planning and Transportation Commission, and Council will be asked to respond to several key questions over the coming year and beyond, such as (but not limited to): I. How much housing and employment should/can the City accommodate to provide a meaningful contribution to smart growth and sustainable development mandates of the Bay Area and balance new growth opportunities with the existing character of the City of Palo Alto? 2. Where does the City desire/expect to accommodate new housing and employment within the next 25 years? 3. What are the key local sustainable development issues/strategies that might be advanced through the SCS (e.g., type (clean tech) and extent of employment growth, affordable housing, enhanced commercial revenues, etc.)? 4. What are the primary constraints to providing for sustainable development opportunities in Palo Alto (e.g., enhanced school facilities, open space, transportation and transit infrastructure, etc.)'1 What key investments would be needed? 5. How should Councilmembers, the Planning and Transportation Commission, and staff participate in this process? The SCS provides an opportunity for the City of Palo Alto to advance local goals as part of a coordinated regional framework. The SCS may help comlect local concerns-such as new housing, jobs, and traffic-to regional objectives and resources. As such, it may serve as a platform for cities and counties to discuss and address a wide spectrum of challenges, including high housing costs, economic development, affordable and accessible transportation, and public health, and identify local, regional, and state policies to address them. The bottom line is that the SCS is likely to reward those cities whose decisions advance not only local goals but also benefit quality of life beyond their borders-whether to create more affordable housing, new jobs, or reduce driving. TIME LINE AND NEXT STEPS: The Next Steps below outline and as shown in Attachment A outline the City of Palo Alto's expected timeline for key participation and response in the coming year (2011). The City Council, Planning and Transportation Commission, staff, and the Palo Alto community will be actively engaged at several points in the SCS and RHNA process over the coming year: CMR: 110:11 Page 7 of9 COURTESY COPIES: Planning and Transportation Commission Ezra Rapport, Executive Director, Association of Bay Area Governments Ken Kirkey, Director of Planning, Association of Bay Area Governments CMR: IIQ:II Page 9 of9 January 9, 2008 ABAG Executive Board c/o Henry Gardner, Secretary -Treasurer Association of Bay Area Goverrunents P.O. Box 2050 Oakland, CA 94604-2050 Dear Mr. Gardner: ATTACHMENT B G!tx O~ Palo~t~ Department of Planning and Community Environment The City of Palo Alto thanks you for providing us with the opportunity to review and comment on the revised Draft Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA), which was adopted by the ABAG Executive Board on November 15,2007. .. The City acknowledges ABAG's modificationio Palo Alto's RHNA to address the City's Sphere of Influence circumstance with the County ,of Santa 'Clara and Stanford Ulliv~rsity.,However, our City Council, the Planning and Transportation Comm.ission and slaffhave alldeteimined that the RHNA of 2,860, even after the reduction of 645 units, is completely unachievable in Palo Alto given the lack of available land, the high cost of land acquisition, and·the impacts of that . amount of growth on the City's neighborhoods and infrastructure. Setting these requirements that cannot be achieved threatens the credibility and viability of important public institutions and becomes simply an exercisdnfutility. . Palo Alto has an extensiveand long history ofleading and implemen(i)lg affordable housing in an area highly impacted by tltehigh cost of housing. We I'o,'¢i'f .the first to implement inclusionary zoning in this region and Palo. Alto Housing Corpor~t!.9~ was established back in 1970 as a non-profit affordable housing provider. Although the .Cityof Palo Alto has adopted zo ning and programs supporting core concepts behind the allocation method such as smart growth, infill developmen't, protection of open space and rurakwe~s,i~l:ricting urban sprawl, and transit oriented development, there should be a reasonable expei:ialioJio[ success in meeting goals when assigning allocations to cities. . .... ,.. . '; ','. Factors such as essential infhlstruchire ne.eds and service reqiiit~i,lienls~lsd:i):e~¢ to be taken into ..... consideration. Many comp,qnents of the City's infrastructur,;¥~'aii~adyatta;pacity and another critical factor is the capacity limitations of the Palo Alto UnitiedSchpol Dis(rict. The cutrent school population has already pushed the present facilities bey6nd capacity so that every elementary school now has muliiple portables. Stlldents from an additftmal 2,860 .housing units simply cannot be accommodated with The eiiistiQg'fac:ilities"and budget. . Given that the s"hoo\ district is at capacity, and there is n()a~ailabl~ funding ' toaccommOdateihe increased'stUdent population from the allocation, these requirements Wouldampunt to an unfundedtnandate fPr Palo Alto. '. Planning 250 Hamilton Avenue P.O. Box 10250 Palo Alto, CA 94303 650.329.2441 650.329.2154 Transportation 250 Hamilton Avenue P.O. Box 10250 Palo Alto, CA 94303 650.329.2520 650.617.3108 BUilding 285 Hamilton Avenue P.O. Box 10250 Palo Alto, CA 94303 650.329.2496 650.329.2240 Mr. Henry Gardner Page 2 of4 January 9, 2008 As staff has indicated previously in transmittals to ABAG, the population and household growth projections for Palo Alto will not be realized and should be adjusted to reflect a population growth rate of approximately 3.0 % over the next RHNA period within our jurisdictional bOlmdary. ABAG's Projections 2007 assumes a population growth rate of approximately 7% during the next 7 years in our jurisdictional boundary. Historically, the City of Palo Alto's population has grown only by approximately 4.7% over the last thirty years. We understand that the methodology uses Sphere of Influence population projections but we believe that the population trend within our Sphere of Influence is proportional to the historic jurisdictional boundary population trends. Although the City has experienced a growth rate of approximately 8% during the last seven years, this has been a period when Palo Alto has constructed significant new housing development well in excess of historic averages and that rate cannot be sustained given Palo Alto's limited land availability and redevelopment potential. Therefore, it's very likely that the, City'S population growth will remain far below ABAG's projections since it will be very difficult for Palo Alto to continue the housing development it has experienced in the last seven years. During the last RHNA period, the City's popUlation growth was largely attributable to a single development of approximately 1,000 units on the City's only remaining vacant large residential site. This City's housing growth occurred during a temporary period of substantial decline in the market for commercial development and increasing demand for housing. Taking this anomaly and extrapolating this into the future is not appropriate. By using its own overestimated Projections 2007 population numbers, the RHNA methodology compounds this error by assigning a 45% weight to the population projections that ABAG itself created. This logic appears circular in that the driver behind this growth appears to be the mandate from ABAG. Additionally, the City should receive credit in this RHNA cycle for the 1,036 units that were built during that last RHNA period that exceeded the City's assigned allocation. The City exceeded its above moderate allocation by 1,282 units and its low allocation by 14 units with a deficit of 51 units in the very low category and 208 in the moderate category. Palo Alto has also protected and retained existing units that are more affordable and should receive further credit to offset the City's RHNA requirements. The City also continues to oppose the inclusion of an additional Transit Oriented Development (TOD) factor in the allocation methodology to the extent that it would disproportionately assign housing to cities like Palo Alto that have shown a commitment to TOD, in effect penalizing cities that have developed smart growth policies. Additional growth requirements for built out cities like Palo Alto should be predominantly TOD housing, not the core ABAG allocation plus TOD housing. The emphasis of transit use in the methodology is illlrealistic at least for Palo Alto. Transit at the University and California Avenue stations is used more efficiently by commuters and not Mr. Henry Gardner Page 3 of 4 January 9, 2008 so efficiently by residents; many more people take transit TO Palo Alto than FROM Palo Alto. A greater eoncentration of jobs in the vicinity of transit will promote mass transit in Palo Allo more effectively than the eoncentration of housing. Furthennore, Palo Alto has been assigned additional units based on transit access from the San Antonio Avenue station. However, this station is located in and serves primarily Mountain View, not Palo Alto. Also, Caltrain only services the San Antonio Cal train station once per hour during rush hours further reducing its TOD effectiveness. Palo Alto has promoted smart growth in its Comprehensive Plan policies and its Pedestrian and Transit Oriented Development (prOD) zoning all in the midst of VTA reducing bus services to Palo Alto neighborhoods and with little or no projected additional funding for transit to support the TOD aspects ofRHNA. However, Palo Alto's diligence and success in implementing smart growth policies appear to have led ABAG to assume that the City has no limit to further intensifying with infill development. Given the RHNA mandate to provide housing for all income levels, it is impossible for the City to provide the 1,875 units assigned for below market rate income levels. Palo Alto prioritized affordable housing as one of the City's top five goals and built over 90 percent of the City's very low and low income housing allocation for the last RHNA cycle. However, the current RHNA methodology uses 2000 Census ineome distribution data for allocating housing based on affordability, and does not reflect the City'S success in building affordable housing over the last seven years. Instead, the current methodology allocated more affordable housing to Palo Alto compared to the region as a Whole. Additionally, due to the extraordinary cost of land in Palo Alto, all very low and low income rental housing that has been developed recently has required significant Cily subsidy. The cosl of low and very low income projects in Palo Alto are averaging $400,000 to $500,000 per unit. Recently the City has had to subsidize approximately 50% of the project cost for most low income and very low income projects. . This is in large part due to the exorbitant land costs in Palo Alto which average $10 million an acre but have been as high as $16 million an acre. In order to develop the assigned 1,234 units of low and very low income housing under current funding conditions, the City would be expected to provide a subsidy of approximately $245 to $3!O million, which is clearly unrealistic and unattainable as the City stmggles to maintain revenues adequate to support basic services to its residents and businesses. Given state subsidy restrictions, and because of the high land cos Is in Palo Alto, moderate income units are achieved only through the City's inciusionary zoning program, which requires 15 -20% affordability. As a result, approximately 70% of the ABAG allocation would need to be subsidized by Palo Alto. In order to provide the assigned 641 moderate income level units, the City would have to develop 3,205 -4,272 market rate units. The high cost to the City of providing this housing as well as supporting services and facilities, schools, transit and parks, is an unfunded state mandate. There may also be insufficient water resources available to serve this additional popUlation. Until there is state Mr. Henry Gardner Page 4 of 4 January 9,2008 subsidy available for affordable units, identifying adequate sites to meet proposed RHNA housing for lower income levels in communities like Palo Alto will be a paper exercise. The City requests that you confirm that the job growth anticipated with the proposed Stanford Shopping Center and Medical Facility expansions are included in ABAG's projections for the City's job growth for the 2007 -20 14 period, and the City will not be assigned these jobs a second time in a future RHNA regardless of those projects' occupancy dates. Finally, much discussion has occurred about thc impact of commute emissions on climate change. Palo Alto has just concluded a comprehensive climate change impact analysis. A significant finding of that report is that 11 % of Palo Alto's C02 emissions are attributable to trips into Palo Alto. Consequently, the report indicates that even an additional 2,860 units with similar commuting characteristics would impact Palo Alto C02 emissions by less that 0.1 % or 111 OOO'h Palo Alto's total C02 In closing, the City requests that ABAG revise Palo Alto's RHNA to reflect a 3% population growth over the seven-year RHNA period, exclude the San Antonio station from our transit factor, adjust the transit factor to eliminate any "double counting" and credit the City with the 1, 036 units the City built in excess of our last RHNA assignment. The City also urges ABAG to consider factors such as land costs and availability as well as community needs to provide adequate open space and essential services in developing a realistic RHNA. Given that there was no representative from the 250,000 residents of North Santa Clara County on the Housing Methodology Committee, we were not adequately represented and, therefore, unique factors prevalent in our area were not sufficiently considered in the ABAG allocations. If ABAG adopts more realistic and achievable RHNA allocation goals, this will enable cities to focus on actually providing adequate housing for Ii diverse population, a goal strongly supported by the City Council and the Palo Alto community. The City of Palo Alto appreciates your consideration of our appeal of the assigned allocation. Sincerely, ..---( ~. ~' .. " ... ----J$e-. Larry Klein Mayor cc: Paul Fassinger, ABAG Research Director