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HomeMy WebLinkAboutStaff Report 140-08City of Palo Alto C ty Manager’s Report TO: ATTN: CITY COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE FROM: DATE: SUBJECT: CITY MANAGER FEBRUARY 5, 2008 RESPONSE TO DIRECTION ON BUILDING DEPARTMENT: ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES CMR: 140:08 FINANCE COMMITTEE QUESTIONS AND FINANCING OPTIONS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that the Finance Committee review the responses to the questions and direction received during the January 15, 2008 FC meeting on financing options for the Public Safety Building and recommend a financing strategy to the City Council. BACKGROUND On November 19, 2007, the City Council directed staff to investigate the use of Certificates of Participation (COPs) to finance the purchase of a 1.27 acre parcel and construction of a Public Safety Building (PSB). This required staff to identify internal and new revenue resources, "self- financing" the PSB without relying on general obligation bonds. On January 15, 2008, the Committee reviewed staff’s report on financing options for the Public Safety Building (CMR: 114:08) "Financing Options for Public Safety Building" and Attachment A). In general, the Committee raised questions about funding the Public Safety Building using COPs exclusively. A goal of issuing a combination of general obligation bonds and COPs for both the PSB and Library facilities was expressed. This goal was cited, in part, because of concerns about the financial pressures that would be brought to bear on the General Fund by issuing COPs. In using COPs, the estimated armual debt service cost of $5.2 million was cited in the staff report. Some of the concerns centered on the possibility that if expected revenue sources did not materialize as anticipated, additional operating expense reductions would be necessary to meet debt service obligations. In addition, the Committee indicated that relying on new development revenues, such as those from the expansion of the Stanford Shopping Center, in meeting annual debt service obligations was inappropriate since the expansion has not been formally approved by Council. Council Member Yeh indicated that General Obligation Bonds would not only provide a guaranteed tax strea~n to pay debt service, but would also result in lower debt service costs. He asked about the cost tradeoff between maintaining a debt service reserve (as proposed in the COPs financing) or purchasing bond insurance to assure investors of their bond payments. Council Member Burt requested more refined information on the revenue generated by the recent 2 percent increase in the transient occupancy tax and on potential rent from leasing the Civic Center’s police wing. A question about creating a 911 response service fee to raise additional resources to pay COPs debt service was also raised. crnr 114:08 Page 1 of 6 Finally, several Council Members raised the policy and funding issue that there are numerous City priorities competing for limited resources. They recommend that any available resources identified by staff to pay for COPs be used as "matching funds" to supplement GO bonds approved by the voters for the PSB and library facility projects, and perhaps for other needs. The issue of General Fund priorities and resource challenges has been discussed in recent reports to the Council on a sustainable budget (CMR:387:07) and in the 2008-2018 Long Range Financial Forecast (CMR:462:07). DISCUSSION The question of whether to mix and match COPs and GO bonds to finance the PSB and Library improvements is strictly a policy decision. To address the technical information request about using a combination of GO bonds and COPs, staff researched a 50 percent funding mix for the PSB. As previously stated, by the time of building construction, it is expected this project will cost $69 million. The following table compa’es all-COPs financing to the equal combination of COPs and GO bonds. TABLE I: Corn ~arative Debt Structures for PSB Terms COPs 50 Percent 50 Percent Total of ExclusiveS,COPs GO GO and COPs Project Cost $69 million *$34.5 million $34.5 million $69 million Principal of $81.2 m.$40.8 m.$34.5 m.$75.3 m. Issue Bonowing 30 years 30 years 30 ?,ears 30 years Tern~ (3’ears) Fixed Interest 4.94%4.94%4.84% Rate Average $5.2 million $2.6 million $2.2 million $4.8 million Annual Debt Sen, ice * This figure includes property acquisition costs, building construction (adjusted for inflation), project development costs, and contingencies ~’pically used in cost estimating of this magnitude. Note that this figure also included fixtures, furniture and equipment (FF&E). FF&E can be financed through COPS, but not through GO bond proceeds. The cost to the General Fund, based on 50 percent COPs, would equal $2.6 million annually compared to the $5.2 million in an all-COP alternative. This combination would save the GF $2.6 million. Residential and commercial properties would pay taxes for the remaining $2.2 million in GO bond debt sen,ice should voters approve the appropriate measure. It should be noted that furniture, fixtures, and equipment (FF&E) cannot be funded via GO bonds, so these costs would be folded into the COP issue. By issuing a 50 percent mix of COP and GO bond debt, the mmual debt service the City would have to cover would be $4.8 million versus the $5.2 million for COPs alone, a difference of $400,000 annually. This difference is primari.ly due to the high issuance costs associated with a COP. \Vhereas COPs require capitalized interest and a debt service reserve, which is currently estimated to be approximately $11 million based on COPs exclusively, a GO bond issue does not require them. The COPs debt service reserve, cmr 1 !4:08 Page 2 of 6 however, will earn interest to offset debt service and will be used for the final debt service payment. Two artaclm~ents are provided to inform the Finance Committee about the potential resources and the timing of those resources with respect to covering anticipated COPs debt ser’,,ice. Each of these attacbanents can be used to determine resources available to cover an all COPs scenario and a 50 percent COPs/GO bond scenario. Attachment B depicts possible resources, with Option 1 showing staffs original recommendation and Option 2 excluding development resources (e.g., Stanford Shopping Center expansion sales taxes). Option 2 shows total resources of $6.3 million, which would be sufficient to cover annual debt service at some point in time. This option, however, has several items that need additional research and are subject to negotiation. This includes, for example, the rental of the police wing and the leasing of the City’s Cubberley site to Foothill College. Attaclvnent C shows the expected timing of receipt of the resources identified in Option 2. Several do not coincide with the onset of PSB debt service payments in 2010-11. In the year 2010-11, resources are sho~ which come close to covering the expected $3.2 million in principal that must be paid under an all-COPs scenario. In the year 2011-12, when full principa! and interest of $5.2 million is due, there appear to be sufficient resources based on cm’rent projections. Should resources fall short of ammal debt service in a COPs scenario, either a new revenue source or expense reductions would be required to meet the City’s commitment. Staff has identified some options that could provide a steady stream of resources over time: retired Civic Center debt savings of $0.4 million; a target of $1.0 million in expense reductions; and $0.5 million by pre-paying retirement and retiree medical payments to PERS. A new Genera! Fund revenue som’ce, such as a business license tax, of $400,000 to $2,500,000 would be useful in meeting the City’s financial needs. A target of $1.5 million is cited in the attachments. During the meeting, additional information and clarification on a number of items was requested. The following responds to those requests. Except for GO bonds, which require no debt service reserve, a debt issue requires a net present value analysis to determine whether a debt sera, ice reserve or insurance is the optimal means for guaranteeing continuing bond payments. The decision to use a reserve or insurance is strictly based on which is less costly in cmTent dollar terrns. In the current market and with concerns about the financial condition of insurers such as AMBAC and MBIA, obtaining insurance is problematic and extremely expensive at best. Bond investors will expect a debt reserve fund or insurance policy regardless of the credit rating of the issuer. Staff has refined numbers and gathered additional information on several potential revenue sources to pay for COPs debt. Space available for a lease of the cun’ent Police wing equals about 19,081 square feet. Based on a recent tour of the wing by two loca! developers, it is estimated that a lease rate of between $3.50 and $4.00 could be expected. Using the midpoint, this could yield $860,000 annually. Further research into how much net space can be made available, cmTent market rate, potential tenant uses, as well as the cost of improvements necessary to occupy that space may well result in changes to the preliminary lease revenue estimate. If the Development Center (DC) were moved to the Police wing, the General Fund could recoup some of its building expenses through development fees but probably would not be able to recoup the full fair market value. The allowable expenses include utility, phone service, maintenance, and cmr 114:08 Page 3 of 6 an annual depreciation cost. Should capital improvements be made to the wing, then these costs will be amortized and passed on to DC customers. Additional analysis would have to be conducted to determine total cost for occupancy. A comparison of a commercial or market rate rental to occupancy with a cost recovery approach could then be made. At this time, staff does not believe that there would be material savings from currently used City or rental space used for storage that could be transferred to the Police wing. Moreover, occupancy of the wing by a tenant may raise accessibility issues. Staff will continue, however, to investigate this option. Council Member Burt requested that staff revisit the revenue estimate provided for the recent 2 percent TOT increase. Based on 2006-07 actual revenues of $6.7 million, and holding all other factors constant, an additional $1.3 million could be raised by the rate change. To be somewhat conservative in light of a softening economy, staff believes at least $1.2 million can be expected. It is important to note, however, that staff’s earlier recommendation was to use this revenue grox~h to cover rising health care, infrastructure, and other General Fund expenses. This revenue was incorporated into the City’s Long Range Financial Forecast. In addition, since the TOT is a general tax (rather than a special tax) it cannot be dedicated to any particular use. It was requested that staff investigate implementing a 911 service fee to help pay for the PSB. Santa Clara’s Board of Supervisors has recently passed such a fee while San Jose and San Francisco have one in place. There is currently litigation over whether this fee can be adopted by Council or whether it is a tax subject to voter approval. Potential revenue estimates for this tax are in the process of being developed. There will be additional operating expenses for the PSB, libraries and Mitchell Park community center. It is currently estimated that utility, custodial, and maintenance expenses for any new" building will cost approximately $8.00 per square foot. Since the facilities are still in the design process, additional operating costs have yet to be determined. For example, landscaping costs have not been calculated to date. Although furniture, fixtures and equipment could be included in a COP issue, there may be additional unidentified needs that would not be eligible for COP or GO bond financing. As the projects are further defined, staff will be able to refine the operating and maintenance cost estimates and identify potential funding sources. In addition to the $62 million in costs cited in this report for the PSB, an estimated $1.7 million has been expended for this project. These expenses are potentially reimbm’sable from the proceeds of COPs or General Obligation bonds and can be included in a debt issue. This would increase the amount of principal to be borrowed by $1.7 million as well as interest costs. Staff requests Council’s direction on whether to include these expenditures in a future debt issue. In conclusion, this repor~ addresses the FC’s direction to examine using a combination of COPs and GO bonds for the PSB. Staff requests that the FC direct staff to send the Committee’s recommendations on this report to the Council for consideration at the February 11 meeting. RESOURCE IMPACT By the time construction begins, and based on current construction index inflation rates, the estimated final cost to build a new public safety building is $69 million (including FF&E). It is critical to note that for each month the PSB project is delayed beyond the scheduled construction crnr 114:08 Page 4 of 6 date cited below, it is expected that project costs will increase by an estimated $500,000 to $600,000 per month. Attactmaent D shows the PSB costs that would be covered under a GO bond and under a COPs issue. This information is provided to show- the components of the project and to facilitate the strategic decision on how to mix and match these financing vehicles. Am~ual debt service costs vary according to the debt instrument selected. As is sho~a in Table I, a total COP issue is expected to result in annual payments of $5.2 million. The mix of a 50 percent GO and COP combination is expected to result in amual citywide debt service of $4.8 million, of which the City must find resources to cover $2.6 million in debt. The remainder would be paid through property taxes. Resource options are presented in Attactvnent A and are subject to further analysis and research. In order to proceed along the project timeline outlined below, a $4 million appropriation will be required for the public safety building project. This amount will cover $3 million in architectural fees (design work) as well as $1 million in construction management and other expenditures. This additional funding will be requested through a Budget Amendment Ordinance in the coming months. These costs are pat of the $69 million project and will be reimbursed through COPs or bond proceeds. As stated above, there will be operating costs associated with the new PSB. For maintenance, custodial and utility costs, a cost of $8.00 per square foot is estimated at this time. As this project is further defined, staff will have better cost estimates and identify potential funding sources. Operating costs are not included in the COP or GO bond amounts above. Also stated above is that in addition to the $62 million in costs cited in this report an estimated $1.7 million has been expended for this project. These expenses can be treated as reimbursable expenses from the proceeds of COPs or General Obligation bonds, or as prior capital expenditures that the General Fund has absorbed. Naturally, by including the $1.7 million, the amount of principal to be borrowed will increase as will interest costs. POLICY IMPLICATIONS This recommendation is consistent with Council’s establishment of securing funding for the Library/Community Center and Public Safety projects as a Top 4 priority for 2008. TIMELINE The following timeline below is based on Council providing direction to proceed with the project by February, 2008 using COP debt financing only. March to November 2008 Complete design and prepare construction documents for bidding (nine months). This timeline is based on one-time reviews by City Boards and Commissions. Additional reviews will push the entire timeline into the future December 2008 to February 2009 Bid project including addendums and bid opening (three months) cmr 1!4:08 Page 5 of 6 April 2009 Council awards construction contract April 2011 PSB construction (2 years) and occupancy of facility ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW An Enviromnental Impact Report was certified by the Council on November 18, 2007 pursuant to the California Environmental Quality Act. ~ " ~" "PREPARED BY: JO S,E,PH SA~CIO Dep~yDir " ’ ~ ""eS ~irector, Adm~e Services¯( ) CITY MANAGER APPROVAL:( / ~ ~ [ O~.. gJ dA iSO Assist~t City Manager ATTACHMENTS Attactnnent A: Attachment B: Attaclm~ent C: Attacl~nent D: CMR: 114:08 ~Financing Options for Public Safety Building" Table of Financial Resom’ces Available to Pay Certificates of Participation Timing of Project, Debt Service Payments (All COP), and Resources Available to Pay Debt Service Comparison of GO Bond & COPs Cost Coverage cmr 114:08 Page 6 of 6 ATTACHMENT A TO:CITY COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE FROM: DATE:JANUARY 15, 2008 SUBJECT: FINANCING OPTIONS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY BUILDING RECOMMENDATION S~aff recommends the Finance Committee review the funding alternatives for a new public safety building presented in this repor~ and provide recommendmions to file Cib~ Council. BACKGROUND In December 2005, the City Council directed the Mayor to appoint a communky-based Blue Ribbon Task Force (BRTF) to evaluate the need, size, cost, and site for a new public safety building (PSB). The BRTF presemed its recommendations ~o Council in June 2006 and the Council approved the following recommendations: To build a new Public Safety: Building totaling 49,600 square feet Pursue purchase of a two parcel site located on Park Boulevard. During September 2006, Council approved a fourth amendment to the City’s contract with RossDrulisCusenberry (RDC) Inc. to prepare preliminary architectural design concepts and an Environmental Impact report (EIR) for the new public safety building. Specifically, the building was to agcommodate the City’s Police Department, an Emergency Operations Center (EOC), and a 9-1-1 Communications Center. On February 8, 2007 an EIR scoping meeting was held to obtain community comments and input on the potential environmental impacts that would require discussion in the draft EIR. In July 2007, the draft EIR was released, beginning a 45 day comment period. On August 22, a public hearing with the Plarming and Transportation Commission (P&TC) was held to obtain comments on the adequacy of the Draft EIR for two project options: cmr 114:08 Page i of i3 ~ Option A - a two-story building design concept using a two parcel, 1.59-acre site, and ¯Option B - a design concept similar to Option A, but using only one parcel, the larger 1.27-acre site Both option A and B required a City, owned .04-acre parcel on the northeast corner of the site. Given a variety., of factors which included environmental impacts and the increased costs associated with the second, smaller parcel in Option A, the preferred and recommended option was Option B, the larger, single parcel. In November 2007, the Council adopted a resolution certifying the Final Environmental Impact Report (FEIR) for the Palo Alto Public Safety, Building project and approved a 30 month purchase option agreement with Essex Park Boulevard, LLC to acquire the 1.27-acre site (Option B) located at 2785 Park Boulevard. The agreement calls for option payments at $436,000 for the first year and $36,333 per month thereafter with a total purchase price of $10.9 million. The option to purchase may be exercised at any time within the 30 month period and all option payments will be credited toward the purchase price. Simultaneous with the design and environmental work, staff has been considering different financing options for the public safety, building, including placement of a General Obligation bond measure on the ballot. In December 2006, the Council directed staff to proceed with community, polling prior to making any final decisions about facility, enhancements for both libraries and public safety,. The initial voter poll was conducted in February 2007 and the polling consultant presented the results to Council on March 1. That poll demonstrated that solid majorities of Palo Alto voters supported potential bond measures to improve public safety and library facilities but that support for a library bond was somewhat stronger than support for a public safety building bond. The consultant recommended that the City consider a November 2008 election date, instead of June 2008, to allow an opportunity, to inform local residents about the need for library and public safety facility, improvelnents and the work that has been done to develop proposals to address those needs. The polling strongly suggested that the City should not place both a library and a public safety measure on the same ballot. If the City wished to place a measure on the June 2008 ballot, the Council would need to adopt a resolution in early March that would finalize all decisions regarding the size, scope, and cost of the project. For a November 2008 election, these decisions would need to be made by early August 2008. DISCUSSION On November 19, the City, Council directed staff to investigate the use of Certificates of Participation (COPs) to finance the purchase of the 1.27 acre parcel and construct the Public PSB (for a brief summary of the variety of a local jurisdiction’s debt financing options see Attachment A). COPs allow a public agency to undertake a capital project by entering into a tax- exempt lease with a non-profit corporation. Such a corporation already has been formed by the City,, the Public Improvement Corporation (PIC). This body consists of all Council members, but meets as a separate entity, after the adjournment of regular Council meetings. The PIC raised funds for Civic Center and golf course improvements by selling "certificates" to investors and then constructing facility improvements. The City,, in turn, pays "rent" or "lease payments" to cmr 114:08 Page 2 of 13 the PIC who then, through a Trustee, pays holders of the certificates principal and interest. The City also used COPs to construct the retail building adjacent to the S/L parking garage on L?~on and Bryant streets. Currently, the City has outstanding COP debt of $11.8 million with associated annual debt service of $1.2 million. Issuing COPs does not require voter approval as do the other financing vehicles described in Attachment A. Unlike General Obligation (GO) or Assessment District bonds, COPs do not raise new revenues through a new property tax or assessment. COPs must be paid from existing or newly created General Fund revenue streams or resources. Issuing COPs requires a pledge of a physical asset as credit backing for investors, but COP holders look to the City’s good faith and its General Fund to make annual payments. The City’s high credit rating is evidence that bondholders think highly of Palo Alto debt and expect the City to meet its financial commitments. It is important to note that COP proceeds can be used to purchase moveable equipment and furnishings, which is not allowable with GO bonds. The primary purpose of this report is to examine various COP debt structures and potential resources that will allow the City., to meet its annual debt obligations for a public safety building. Several options or alternatives for resources are explored below and they can be categorized as one-time to reduce the amount of a borrowing, and revenue enhancements, and/or expenditure reductions to pay debt service. Some options may include a measure of risk to the City, while others may involve policy or program choices. In addition, the timing of resource availability to pay debt service varies among the options. Staff has listed all options in Attachment B with its recommendations. Some options and their associated resources will require additional analysis. COP Debt and Debt Structure for Public Safet’,, Buildin~ Since the City is still in the process of finalizing total costs for the public safety building and total costs will be affected by the length of the City’s approval process, staff has assumed an estimated construction, furnishing, and land acquisition (cost "known) cost of $69 million. To these project expenditures must be added: capitalized interest costs for an assumed 18 month construction period ($5.8 million); a Debt Service Reserve Fund ($5.2 million); an underwriters discount fee ($0.8 million); and attorney, financial advisor, and other fees ($0.3 million). Hence, it is assumed for this report that a total of $81.2 million will be needed to fund this project. This principal amount will change as cost estimates are refined and as one-time options for buying down the principal amount are identified (see "Resource Options to Reduce Borrowing and Pay Annual Debt Service" section below). The City has several options in structuring its COP debt. These can result in lower or higher annual debt payments, or payments that can rise over time as additional or new resources are realized. These options include: ¯fixed rate debt where the debt is amortized evenly over time ¯variable debt where the interest rate will vary according to a specified index ¯a mixture of fixed and variable debt e.g., 50 percent fixed and 50 percent variable ¯fixed rate but rising debt service over amortization period cmr 114:08 Pa=e ~ of 13 The following table displays these options with underlying assumptions and estimated average annual debt service levels. Interest rates are not finalized until sale of the COPs which would occur just prior to construction. The current interest rate environment has been volatile as a consequence of the dislocations in the mortgage and credit markets. If these events persist into 2008, the City could experience unusual situations in issuing COPs. Obtaining, bond insurance, for example, could prove expensive or difficult to obtain. Hence, the interest rates and costs for a COP issue that are cited below are estimates and subject to change. Telms Principal of Issue Borrowing Term (years) True Interest Rate Average Annual Debt Service Column 1 $69 Million Cost Fixed Rate $81.2 million 30 years 4.94% $5.19 million TABLE I: Column 2 $69 Million Cost Variable Rate $80.5 million 30 .’,,ears 4.56% $4.94 million COP Debt Structures Colmnn 3 $69 Million Cost 50%Fixed and 50% Variable $81.1 million 30 ‘‘‘,ears 4.75% $5.08 million Column 4 $69 Million Fixed Rising Over Time $83.5 million 30 ‘‘‘’ears 5.00% $4.1 million rising by approximately $100,000 each year to $7.6 million in year 30 The City ofPalo Alto’s practice has been to issue fixed rate debt with equal payments over time. This is a traditional and conservative approach which assures the City of stable, unchanging debt service payments until the bonds are retired. The interest rates for fixed rate debt are typically higher than for variable rate debt; hence annual payments are somewhat more expensive. cmr 114:08 Page 4 of 13 Based on a 30 year amortization period and a fixed interest rate of 4.94 percent, annual debt service for this scenario is $5.2 million (see Column 1 in Table I above). At current variable rate levels, which are currently 0.4 percent below the expected fixed rate, annual debt service is estimated at $4.9 million (see Column 2). Use of variable rates results in lower annual debt costs by approximately $250,000. This positive result should be balanced against the potential risk of spikes in variable rates which would result in higher annual payments. Variable rates have remained relatively stable and low over the past 25 years, however, and municipalities such as San Mateo and Redwood City have used this debt structure in financing capital projects. There are ways to mitigate variable rate volatility and staff can pursue these should Council want more information on this option. The City could minimize potential variable rate risk by issuing part of the debt under fixed rates and part under variable rates. For example, by using 50 percent fixed and 50 percent variable rates (Column 3 of Table I), the City reduces any exposure to rate volatility and can save an estimated $110,000 in annual debt service compared to the full fixed rate scenario in Column 1. Likewise, by including a fixed rate component, annual debt service is more expensive than the all variable rate scenario. Finally, the City has the option of ramping up its debt service payments over time (Column 4 of Table 1. Note that this scenario assumes a fixed rate). The main benefit of this structure is to keep debt service payments low in the near-term as the City identifies the resources to meet its annual obligations. This allows the City more flexibility as new revenues sources, such as those from the Stanford Shopping Center expansion become established. The drawbacks to this structure are that a marginally higher interest rate can be expected compared to an even amo~’tization; and, more importantly, that significantly higher debt service payments will result over time. In the scenario presented, annual payments would rise from $4.1 million to $7.6 million fiom year 1 to year 30. This will have the effect of reducing resource flexibility in future budgets and, in the event of a cyclical economic downturn that affects revenues, place considerable pressure on the General Fund. In such an event, the City could be forced to reduce operating expenses. In general, Columns 1-3 in Table I show an annual commitment of around $5 million for the envisioned PSB. In the scenario shown in Column 4, an initial payment of $4 million would be required and it will grow by approximately $100,000 each year until the debt is retired in 30 years with a final payment of $7.6 million. One-time resources are identified below to offset the principal amount of $69 million. Based on a 30 year borrowing and an interest rate of 4.94 percent, for every $1.0 million of principal that is not borrowed, annual debt service would decrease by approximately $78,000. For example, if the City were able to raise $10 million of principal and borrow $59 million, then annual debt service would drop from $5.2 million to $4.4 million. Resource Options to Reduce Borrowing and Pay Annual Debt Service Since the City’s long-term ability to service COP debt is in part dependent on future economic trends outside the City’s control, it is prudent to minimize the initial principal amount. There are several one-time options to achieve this. cmr t14:08 Page 5 of 13 One-Time Options ¯Reducing the General Fund Budget Stabilization Reserve To reduce the borrowing of principal and related interest expense, the City has a few one-time options. The City’s General Fund Budget Stabilization Reserve (BSR) Policy calls for maintaining a reserve in the range of 15 to 20 percent of the operating budget. The current BSR guideline is to hold the reserve near to 18.5 percent of operating expenses. By reducing the guideline to 15 percent, the Cit), could make available $3.6 million toward the PSB. By reducing the BSR further to 12.5 percent, an additional $3.6 million would be fi’eed. These withdrawals would leave $21.8 and $18.1 million, respectively, in the B SR. By reducing reserve levels there will be an impact on the City’s operating budget resources as less interest income will be earned. An estimated loss of $162,000 for each $3.6 million withdrawal should be anticipated. The general practice of the City has been to keep its reserves at relatively high and healthy levels. In economic downturns, for example, the prevailing practice has been to reduce expenditures rather than to rely on reserves to solve deficits. Healthy reserves in all City funds have been an important factor in credit agency evaluations of all General and Enterprise Fund debt. Reserve levels do differ from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and, in general, Palo Alto’s canbe described as on the high side. Still, it is important to note that the specific purpose and use of reserves is for emergencies and major one-time expenditures. 2006-07 Year End Surplus As stated to the Finance Committee on December 11, 2007 (CMR:437:2007), the General Fund had an $11 million surplus at the end of 2006-07. Much of this surplus resulted from one-time events and revenue gains that cannot be certain from year to year. For example, documentary transfer taxes (subject to volume and mix of real estate sales) and construction permit fees (sensitive to state of local economy), which were $1 million above projections, can vary significantly each year. Staff recommended a variety of uses for the surplus and these included allocating funds for infrastructure, the retiree medical fund reserve, payments for the Los Altos Treatment plant site, option payments for public safety building land, and for a loan to the Storm Drain Fund. The $3.0 million in surplus funds recommended for the Infrastructure Reserve (IR) was done in accordance with Council’s overall direction to enhance the IR given escalating construction costs and a backlog of infrastructure projects. Council has the option of redirecting this resource toward the costs of the PSB and this option is reflected in Attachment B. ¯Sale and Use of General Fund Land The General Fund (GF) owns land that it rents to the Electric and Water Funds such as substation sites. The City could realize a one-time gain from such a sale. The most likely site for a sale is the Colorado substation site rented by the Electric Fund. An analysis shows that amount of the lowered annual debt service from the sale of this site is less than the annual rental income received by the General Fund. The ongoing revenue stream and appreciation of the land value over time are additional benefits. Also noteworthy is that a sale of land to the Electric Fund, already facing higher supply costs due to the recent drought and higher transmission costs due to regulatory changes, will exert additional pressure on its rate structure. cmr 114:08 Page 6 of 13 Cubberley The City., has learned that Foothill College is interested in either purchasing or leasing long-term the City:s half of the Cubberley site. The College is proposing to construct new buildings and has indicated that it can make some space available for City programs and community activities. A move to the City site would also free space in the building Foothill currently rents (Cubberley site not owned by City). Obviously, there are numerous, complicated, and important factors to consider in evaluating this proposal. The City has the option of selling its land or leasing it long- term to Foothill College. Initial indications are that the land is worth around $35 million. Staff is roughly estimating that a significant, annual net revenue stream in the range of $1.8 million could be realized from a lease to Foothill College. As stated, the discussion with Foothill is in its early stages and there are many issues to consider before determining what resources this option can provide to the General Fund. Ideally, to pay increased and new debt service expense, the City, would identifT new revenue sources to cover its obligations. The City hopes to realize new revenues from a varieD~ of future projects. Stanford Shopping Center Stanford recently indicated, in a conservative timeframe, that the Shopping Center and partial build out of the hospitals may not be completed until 20!4-15. They are hopeful that construction will be completed earlier. In order to use part of this future and new General Fund revenue stream to cover General Fund expenses, the Stanford Shopping Center and a new hotel would have to occur within 4 years. The new and estimated revenues are displayed in the table below: cmr 114:08 Page 7 of 13 Table II: Stanford SC Expansion (Sales Tax) Stanford SC Hotel (TOT) Estimated Revenue Sources for COP Debt Service 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Anderson Honda on 101 (Sales tax and rent) Total Revenues Estimated Annual Debt Service (Fixed) $3.2 million 2011-12 $1.6 million $1.1 million $1.0 million $3.8 million $5.2 million According to the timeline (see below) for the PSB project, if the approval process moves expeditiously,, the PSB would be open for occupancy in April 2011. o Automobile Dealership Space Expansion and New Site In addition to the Stanford projects, the City’s commitment to maintain its automobile dealerships and to expand their space can yield sizeable, incremental sales tax revenues. Very,, preliminary estimates for placement of an automobile dealership along the 101 corridor indicate the City, could realize an additional $1.0 million in sales tax and rental income. ¯Business Tax Program As Council considers its financing options, the implementation of a business tax program (BTP) also could contribute resources to the General Fund. The City, of Palo Alto currently does not have a business tax program and is one of the few cities in California not to have one. Implementation of a business tax will require a vote of the electorate and extensive discussions with the business community. The business tax program and the level of a tax can be structured to meet a specified level of the City’s financial needs. Various models were tested when Council studied a Business Registry, Fee. In one model, low, medium and high revenue targets that ranged fiom $400,000 to $2,500,000 annually were developed. In this example, the tax was based on a charge per employee. In essence, the City can identify, an amount to raise and develop a tax structure to meet it. Naturally, implementation of a business tax program will require support from the Chamber of Commerce, the business community, and the public. As one of the options in this report, staff recommends a targeted revenue level of $1.5 million. cmr 114:08 Page 8 of 13 ¯Rental of Police Wing Once the Police wing of the Civic Center becomes vacant and assuming it would not be used for other City space needs, it may be possible to rent it to a private sector tenant. One local developer indicated that this is prime downtown space that has available parking and would be attractive office space. Moreover, and subject to negotiations with a long-term tenant, it is possible the City could forego much of the renovation costs necessary to house internal staff. Alternatively, the City could consider consolidating off-site operations and/or leasing the space to an Enterprise Fund. Preliminary estimates of $500,000 in annual rental revenue appear reasonable. ° Rental of Los Altos Treatment Plant Site by Refuse Fund for Zero Waste Facility With the recent acquisition of the Los Altos Treatment Plant site by the General Fund (GF), whose use is yet to be determined, there is the option of leasing part of this site to the Refuse Fund for zero waste activities. Staff estimates that the GF could realize $60,000 annually- through such a lease. Another possibility is to lease part of this site to an outside party to yield an income stream. ° Recent Two Percent TOT Increase Estimated revenues from the recent 2 percent TOT increase have been included in the City’s update to the Long Range Financial Forecast (See Attachment C). As discussed in the forecast (CMR:425:07), these revenues plus the $5.1 million surplus realized at the end of 2006-07 will be absorbed by the purchase of the Los Altos Treatment Site, purchase option payments for the PSB Park Boulevard site, and for a short-term inter-fund loan to the Storm Drain Fund for capital improvement projects. Given these comlnitments, a potentially slowing economy, and the use of TOT revenue for higher General Fund infrastructure and other operating costs, staff does not recommend using this source for the PSB. Expenditure Reductions When issuing COP debt, it is necessary to have an ongoing stream of resources to match annual debt service obligations. While the annual amount will vary depending on loan structure and principal amount, staff has assumed an approximate $5 million annual debt service. Since this project will not have a stream of revenues associated with the improvements, it is essential to identify and maintain the means to pay investors. Although a variety, of significant revenue sources are anticipated in a 4 to 5 year time frame, the cyclical nature of these revenues (principally sales and transient occupancy taxes) argues for a solid foundation to meet debt service payments. Moreover, while the development projects are taking shape, there always remains the possibility they may not materialize or yield expected results. Therefore, staff believes that a $1 million reduction in operating expenses is prudent and strategic. This recommendation will be difficult to achieve in light of the recent reduction of $20 million and 70 positions in the General Fund. This challenging reduction is consistent, however, with the guidelines outlined in a recent report (CMR:387:07) on developing a sustainable City budget, a Council Top 4 Priority,. cmr 114:08 Page 9 of 13 ¯Pre-Payment of PERS Retiree and Medical Payments In an effort to minimize staffing and service reductions, a number of options not involving service cuts have been identified. One potential expense reduction would be to "prepay" PERS obligations for both pension and retiree medical liabilities. The City has the option of paying the full amount of its annual PERS obligations at the beginning of a fiscal year rather thanin monthly or periodic installments throughout the year. This is commonly "known as pre-payment. By prepaying, the City, can take advantage of the higher rates earned by the PERS investment portfolio relative to the City’s portfolio yield. On average, PERS earns 7.75 percent (PERS uses this expected return in calculating the City’s annual contributions) while the City, on average, earns in the range of 4.0 to 5.0 percent. Basically, by making a pre-payment, the City is effectively reducing the payment it must make to PERS. Based on information from PERS and Cit), actuaries, it appears the General Fund can realize an estimated $500,000 in annual savings. Since the City has adequate cash flow, prepayment of these liabilities is a reasonable option. This strategy is based on the understanding that, on average and over an extended period of time, the PERS portfolio will earn at least 7.75 percent. It is most likely that in particular years PERS. will earn less or more than 7.75 percent, but PERS’ historical earnings, as well as those of the stock market, suggest that this yield expectation is realistic. This interest rate earnings assumption has been used in discussions with Council in determining the City’s annual required contribution for its retiree medical liability,,. ¯Pension Obligation Bonds A second option for expenditure reductions would be for the City to issue Pension Obligation Bonds (POBs). This strategy also rests on the theory or expectation that PERS will realize, on average, a higher rate of return than the City’s portfolio. In this case, the City would issue bonds in the amount of its total liability, currently estimated at $80.5 million. The City would then deposit these proceeds with PERS for investment. Instead of the City, making annual payments to PERS, which includes a charge equivalent to its expected investment rate (7.5 percent), it will now pay debt service at taxable rate currently, estimated at 6.5 percent. Given the complexity and size of this transaction, staff needs to analyze it further and is not recommending it at this time. Preliminary indications are that there could be reasonable savings from issuing POBs. Refinancing of Existing City Debt Staff reviewed the General Fund’s debt obligations for potential refinancing opportunities, but unfortunately, due to the requirements of the debt obligations and the current interest rate environment, there was little potential for savings. In the year 2011-12, however, the City’s Civic Center COP debt obligation will be near retirement. In this year, debt service will be reduced by $352,000 and in the following year by $423,000. These funds can be used toward the payment of other General Fund debt and needs. Financial Challenges to Consider As the Finance Committee considers the options presented, it is critical to remember a variety of financial challenges that face the City, in the near and long-term. Chief among these is that the General Fund will lose $2.2 million in landfill rent in 2012-13. This event has been included in cmr !14:08 Page 10 of 13 the Long Range Financial Forecast. It will represent a major resource hole to fill and revenues expected fi’om the Stanford expansion could be quickly absorbed. Another major, potential threat is the loss of telephone utility users tax in the amount of $2.0 million. Through technology changes such as the Voice Over Internet Protocol (VOIP) or through legal and regulatory challenges, the City., could either lose all or part of this key revenue source. The PSB and Library facilities will require additional operating and maintenance expenses which have yet to be determined. One of the suggestions in the Sustainable Budget report was to proactively prioritize City programs as the City moves forward with new programs and facilities. This step would provide a path for the CitT in the event it faced difficulties in meeting debt service or in identi~Iing resources for library and police building operations. In addition to those challenges cited above, the City will continue to face a number of ongoing cost and revenue concerns. These are discussed in the Long Range Financial Forecast and include, for example: Rising health care costs Salary pressures due to competition for key personnel e.g., police staff . Internet sales siphoning sales tax fi’om brick and mortar retail outlets Potential loss of key vendors such as automobile dealerships and electronic firms Potential State of California revenue takeaways based on an expected $14 billion deficit in 2008-09 Another important point is that the City relies on its revenue growth to cover rising costs for existing programs. It is expected that the recent TOT increase will assist with this as well as provide additional funding for infiastructure work. As the City receives future revenue streams from the Stanford developments, it is necessary to remember that part of those revenues may be needed for general operational purposes. CONCLUSION In summary, options to use General Fund resources for a PSB are provided for Council consideration. It should be noted that some options require further research and that dollar amounts associated with each are estimates. Man5, of the options are dependent on a varieD; of development processes that will require considerable attention and can be delayed; hence, the timing of revenue streams may not be timed precisely time with the onset of debt service. Nevertheless, the options presented here are an important step in identifying resources that could be used for building a new facility. RESOURCE IMPACT The estimated cost to build a new public safety building is $69 million and the estimated debt service to support this and the associated financing costs is projected at $5 million annually. cmr 114:08 Page 11 of 13 Should the City identify $10 million in funds to offset the principal needed, annual debt service would be reduced to around $4.4 million. To proceed along the project timeline outlined below, an additional $4 million in funding will be required for the public safety building project. This amount will cover $3 million in architectural fees (design work) as well as $1 million in construction management and other expenditures. These costs are part of the $69 million project and will be reimbursed through COP proceeds. POLICY IMPLICATIONS This report is consistent with Council’s 2007-08 Top 4 priority on the Library Plan and Public SafeU’ Building. TIMELINE The following timeline below is based on Council providing direction to proceed with the project by February, 2008. March to November 2008 Complete design and prepare construction documents for bidding (nine months). This timeline is based on one-time reviews by City, Boards and Commissions. Additional reviews will push the entire timeline into the future December 2008 to February 2009 April 2009 April 2011 Bid project including addendums and bid opening (three months) Council Awards construction contract PSB construction (2 years) and occupancy of facilib, ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW The actions requested in this report do not constitute a project for the purposes of the California Environmental Quality Act. PREPARED BY: J~)SEPH SACCIO Deputy Director, Administrative Services cmr 114:08 Page 12 of 13 DEPARTMENT HEAD APPROVAL: L.AL0 PEREZ Director, Administrative Services CITY h4A%:AGER APPROVAL: ¯/ ........ f ." ’. n ~/1 X, E~.,~IL ¥ HARRISON Assistant CiD’ Manager ATTACHMENTS Attachment A: Attac!vaent B: Attachment C: Table of General Financing Vehicles Available for City Use Table of Financial Resources Available to Pay Certificates of Participation 2008-2018 Long Range Financial Forecast crm: 4.,o°r’age ATTACI-I~ENT C Timing of Project, COP Debt Service Payments, and Resource Availability ** (Excludes New Development Resources - Option 2 on Attachment A) Resource 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Project Construction Construction Timeline begins ends (April (April 2009)20! 1) Debt Service begins Debt Cost $3,200 $5,200 $5,200 $5,200 400 400 400, 500 500 500 500 500 500 CC debt retired PERS and Retiree Medical Prepayment Operating Expense Reductions Business License Tax Cubberley rental Police Wing Rent Totals 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,800 1,800 1,800 860 860 500 1,500 3,000 5,200 6,060 6,060 **Note that the above timelines and dollar amounts are estimates and will change Attachment D Comparison of GO Bond & COPs Cost Coverage Terms GO COPs Construction 2008 dollars $36 million $36 million Project Development $6 million $6 million Land $11 million $11 million Design & Construction $7 million $7 million Contingencies (20%) Inflation (8%/year)$6 million $6 million GO & COPs Subtotal $66 million $66 million FF&E including moving costs $0 million $3 million GO & COP’s Total $66 million $69 million