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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1996-04-08 City Council (18)City of Palo Alto City Manager’s Summary Report TO:HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL FROM:CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT: Planning and Community Environment AGENDA DATE: April 8, 1996 CMR:212:96 SUBJECT:Comprehensive Plan Update -- Incorporation of Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study REQUEST This staff report discusses actions taken at the March 12, 1996 Policy and Services Committee meeting, including the Committee request that staff suggest modifications to the Committee’s recommendations. The Committee reviewed alternative ways of incorporating the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study into the forthcoming Draft Comprehensive Plan. RECOMMENDATIONS Staff’s recommendation is in the attached March 12, 1996 staff report. If the Council wishes to approve the Policy and Services Committee’s recommendation, the following goal, policy and program are recommended for inclusion in the Draft Comprehensive Plan: Goal:Assure a balance between supporting businesses, maintaining residential character, and preserving the environment. Policy:Maintain the limit of 3,257,900 square feet of new development for the nine planning areas evaluated in the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study, with the understanding that the City Council can make modifications to specific property regulations that permit modest additional growth. The additional growth can either count toward the 3,257,900 square-foot maximum or toward a higher number if the City Council amends the Comprehensive Plan. Program:Establish a system to monitor the rate of new development, and if the rate of growth reaches the point where the Citywide maximum might be CMR:212:96 Page 1 of 20 reached, the City shall re-evaluate development policies and regulations. (The point at which policies and regulations shall be re-evaluated will be determined during review of the Draft Comprehensive Plan and its Environmental Impact Report). POLICY IMPLICATIONS The Policy and Services Committee’s recommendation is to incorporate the Citywide Study development maximum into the Draft Comprehensive Plan, with recognition of the potential for modest additional growth to the limits. The policy implications of the recommendation vary by the specificity of the implementation approach. If the overall development maximum identified in the Citywide Study is broken down and applied to each of the nine Citywide Study planning areas, there could be substantial impacts on the ability of the City to approve new development in various areas without further Comprehensive Plan amendments. If the Citywide Study development maximum is treated as staff understands the intent of the Policy and Services Committee, the limit will be a more general gauge for tracking City development activity. This approach has fewer potential policy problems, in part because the likelihood of the City approving this level of development in the next fifteen to twenty years is regarded by staff as very unlikely. However, a concern of staff is that the Citywide Study was never structured to be a development cap, and after-the-fact conversion of the Citywide Study into a development cap will probably have unintended consequences that will emerge during implementation of the Comprehensive Plan. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The attached March 12, 1996 staff report, "Comprehensive Plan Update -- Incorporation of Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study" (CMR: 175:96) was reviewed by the Policy and Services Committee on March 12, 1996. The staff report reviews the objectives and results of the 1989 Citywide Study. The March 12 Committee meeting included considerable discussion of traffic data and issues. A companion April 8, 1996 staff report "Comprehensive Plan Update -- Traffic Related Reference Information" (CMR:218:96) discusses in more detail traffic-related issues and questions raised at the Committee meeting. The Policy and Services Committee recommended the following Draft Comprehensive Plan goal, two policies and program, with the understanding that staff would address a number of wording and implementation issues: Goal:Assure a balance between supporting businesses, maintaining residential character, and preserving the environment. CMR:212:96 Page 2 of 20 Policy:Maintain the limits of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study, with the understanding that modifications to the limits that permit modest additional growth may be made as the result of future (area studies). Policy:Maintain an overall Citywide limit of 3,257,900 square feet. Program:Develop a development monitoring and early warning system such that if the rate of growth is high enough to overtake the limits, the City would re- evaluate development policies. Within the context of the Policy and Services Committee recommendation to formalize the overall Citywide Study development maximum in the Comprehensive Plan, staffunderstands that the Committee’s intent is to allow some "modest additional growth" above the Citywide number. Staff concludes that two approaches should be combined. First, property-specific changes to the Comprehensive Plan land use designation and zoning should be able to proceed through the traditional City processes and not have new process requirements.. Second, the Council should have the opportunity to amend, if desired, the Citywide maximum for larger, site-specific projects and planning studies. There are a variety of technical issues that are important if the development maximums identified in the Citywide Study are to become part of the Comprehensive Plan and future development is to be monitored and credited toward the maximum. The attached in-depth staff report reviews a variety of these issues and concludes that the following guidelines should be used in identifying development that counts toward the Citywide limit: Development approvals be counted from September 1, 1989 forward. Development approvals to be counted for the areas within the City Study as identified on the attached eight maps plus the CD-zoned areas in the Downtown. °350,000 square feet of the development limit be allocated to the Downtown CD-zoned area. The floor area of the former Maximart site not be deducted from the 3,257,900 square foot total. This approach can be argued to have some inequities (e.g., replacement of the Palo Alto Hyatt and/or the Medical Foundation with housing will not create a square footage credit against the Citywide number; the potential for the recent 30,000-square-foot Children’s Health Council addition was not identified in the Citywide Study but will still count toward CMR:212:96 Page 3 of 20 the maximum square footage; the former Maximart site could be counted toward the maximum). However, by relying on the maps from the Citywide Study, a clear geographical base will be established which will make furore tracking of development approvals easier for the public and the City. Data on non-residential development since the Citywide Study is identified on pages 13 through 16 of the attached March 12 staffreport. Based on that data, approximately 554,000 square feet of development approved between September 1989 and September 1995 would count against the 3,257,900 square feet of Citywide Study development potential. (The 554,000 number includes Downtown development since the 1986 adoption of the Downtown Study.) The Policy and Services Committee recommendation includes a program to have annual monitoring of development activity and an automatic restudy trigger based on the Downtown regulations. Staff noted at the Committee meeting that the details of the monitoring and restudy requirements should be developed as part of the preparation and public review of the Draft Plan and Draft EIR. FISCAL IMPACT To the extent that the alternative of translating the Citywide Study into specific area development caps could restrict future efforts to revitalize some areas, the issues raised in this staff report could have fiscal impacts. The issue of Fiscal Impact will be addressed when the Draft Comprehensive Plan is prepared. ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT The Draft Comprehensive Plan will be the subject of an Environmental Impact Report. The issues before the City Council involve identification of policies and programs for inclusion into the Draft Plan. As such, no environmental review or findings are necessary at this time. STEPS FOLLOWING...APPROVAL The City Council’s recommendations will become part of the Draft Comprehensive Plan. The Draft Plan is tentatively scheduled for publication and distribution by September 1996. Extensive public review will follow release of the Draft Plan, including public hearings by the Planning Commission and City Council. PREPARED BY: Kenneth R. Schreiber DEPARTMENT HEAD REVIEW: KENNETH R. SCHREIBER Director of Planning and Community Environment CMR:212:96 Page 4 of 20 CITY MANAGER APPROVAL: City CMR:212:96 Page 5 of 20 CMR:212:96 Page 6 of 20 C ty City of Palo Alto Manager’s Report SUBJECT:Comprehensive Plan Update -- Incorporation of Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study REQUEST This staff report discusses actions taken at the March 12, 1996 Policy and Services Committee meeting, including the Committee request that staff suggest modifications to the Committee’s recommendations. The Committee reviewed alternative ways of incorporating the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study into the forthcoming Draft Comprehensive Plan. RECOMMENDATIONS Staff’s recommendation is in the attached March 12, 1996 staff report. If the Council wishes to approve the Policy and Services recommendation, the following goal, policy and program are recommended for inclusion in the Draft Comprehensive Plan : Goal:Assure a balance between supporting businesses, maintaining residential character, and preserving the environment. Policy:Maintain the limit of 3,257,900 square feet of new development for the nine planning areas evaluated in the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study, with the understanding that the City Council can make modifications to specific property regulations that permit modest additional growth. The additional growth can either count toward the 3,257,900 square-foot maximum or toward a higher number if the City Council amends the Comprehensive Plan. Program:Establish a system to monitor the rate of new development, and if the rate of growth reaches the point where the Citywide maximum might be reached, the City shall re-evaluate development policies and regulations. (The point at which policies and regulations shall be re-evaluated will be determined during review of the Draft Comprehensive Plan and its Environmental Impact Report). BACKGROUND The attached March 12, 1996 staff report, "Comprehensive Plan Update -- Incorporation of Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study" (CMR: 175:96) was reviewed by the Policy CMR:212:96 Page 7 of 20 and Services Committee on March 12, 1996. The staff report reviews the objectives and results of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study. Non-residential development since 1987 is identified by the nine planning areas incorporated into the Citywide Study. Major conclusions identified in the staff report include: The Draft Comprehensive Plan goals, policies and programs, to a very considerable degree, are consistent with the objectives and general results of the Citywide Study. Within the nine planning areas evaluated in the Citywide Study, there are numerous potential variations between the Study and the Draft Comprehensive Plan. For two of the nine planning areas, City development approvals since adoption of the Citywide Study in August 1989 have exceeded the future development identified in the Citywide Study. The Citywide Study focused on commercial and industrial zones and did not incorporate relatively smaller amounts of development activity resulting from Planning Community zones (e.g., Holiday Inn, Palo Alto Medical Foundation, Palo Alto Hyatt) and from some governmental activities (e.g., airport, City facilities, Veterans Administration Hospital). The Citywide Study did not establish a Citywide development cap (the 3,257,900 square feet of Development Potential identified in the Citywide Study is a reasonable buildout calculation for the zones evaluated in the Study). At the March 12 Committee meeting, staff distributed the attached table comparing 1985 and 1995 peak hour and peak three-hour traffic counts at the 11 key intersections identified in the Citywide Study. Recognizing that traffic counts can vary by up to 10 percent during the normal course of a week, month or year, only one intersection (Middle fiel!!University) has had a discernible increase between 1985 and 1995 during the peak hour and three intersections (Middle fiel!!University, Middle field/San Antonio, and Foothill/Page Mill) have a discernible increase between 1985 and 1995 during the peak three hours. Traffic counts and related information is discussed in more detail in a companion April 8 staff report (CMR:218:96, "Comprehensive Plan Update -- Traffic Related Reference Information). Included in that staff report is information on questions raised during public testimony, including accident rate data, average speed data, the spreading of the commute period beyond the traditional one hour, and daily traffic volumes. The Policy and Services Committee recommended a Draft Comprehensive Plan goal, two policies and a program, with the understanding that staff would address a number of wording and implementation issues. CMR:212:96 Page 8 of 20 POLICY IMPLICATIONS The Policy and Services Committee’s recommendation is to incorporate the Citywide Study development maximum into the Draft Comprehensive Plan, with recognition of the potential for modest additional growth to the limits. The policy implications of the recommendation vary by the specificity of the implementation approach. If the overall development maximum identified in the Citywide Study is broken down and applied to each of the nine Citywide Study planning areas, there could be substantial impacts on the ability of the City .to approve new development in various areas without further Comprehensive Plan amendments. If the Citywide Study development maximum is treated as staff understands the intent of the Policy and Services Committee, the limit will be a more general gauge for tracking City development activity. This approach has fewer potential policy problems, in part because the likelihood of the City approving this level of development in the next fifteen to twenty years is regarded by staff as very unlikely. However, a concern of staff is that the Citywide Study was never structured to be a development cap, and after-the-fact conversion of the Citywide Study into a development cap will probably have unintended consequences that will emerge during implementation of the Comprehensive Plan. DISCUSSION The March 12 Policy and Services Committee recommendations included: Goal: Policy: Assure a balance between supporting businesses, maintaining residential character, and preserving the environment. Maintain the limits of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study with the understanding that modifications to the limits that permit modest additional growth may be made as the result of future (area studies). Policy:Maintain an overall Citywide limit of 3,257,900 square feet. Program:Establish a system to monitor the rate of new development, and if the rate of growth reaches the point where the Citywide limit might be reached, the City shall re-evaluate development policies and regulations. The Committee-identified problem with the first policy is the use of "area studies," which carries with it the implication of a specific planning process (i.e., coordinated area plans). The Committee asked staffto identify the ways that changes to specific regulations could be initiated and provide policy wording, that would allow the Council flexibility to approve square footage above that contained in the specific regulations approved with the Citywide Study. Staff understands that the Committee was receptive to acknowledging the ability of a City Council to amend the 3,257,900 square-foot limit to "permit modest additional CMR:212:96 Page 9 of 20 growth." Examples of increased floor area cited at the meeting included the possible need for additional development potential in the Midtown area and the recently-approved Palo Alto Medical Foundation project. Ways in which the Council could be presented with changes to site-specific development regulations include: Property owner-initiated zone changes: Change to a zoning classification with a higher floor area ratio (e.g., the recent Palo Alto Medical Foundation Urban Lane Campus rezoning from Service Commercial to Public Facilities); Change to a Planned Community zone; Property owner-initiated studies and development proposals for a variety of parcels (e.g., the pending Sand Hill Corridor package of development proposals); -City-initiated land use studies (which may or may not be coordinated area plans); and -City-initiated rezonings of a particular parcel. Proposals that change (and increase) the amount of floor area on non-residential sites can range from the very small to the very large and complicated. Large changes will tend to require an environmental impact report that addresses not only project-specific but cumulative development impacts. City procedures require that environmental impact reports be reviewed and, if acceptable, certified by the City Council. Within the context of the Policy and Services Committee recommendation to formalize the overall Citywide Study development maximum in the Comprehensive Plan, staff understands that the Committee’s intent is to allow some "modest additional growth" above the Citywide limits. Staff concludes that two approaches should be combined. First, property-specific changes to the Comprehensive Plan land use designation and zoning should be able to proceed through the traditional City processes and not have new process requirements. Second, the Council should have the opportunity to amend, if desired, the Citywide maximum floor area for larger, site-specific project and planning studies. Staff concludes that requiring smaller projects, usually involving no significant environmental impacts, to conduct broader, "area study" type analysis disproportionate to the size of the project will be regarded as unwarranted and unfair. For example, the 1995 approval of the expansion of the Children’s Health Council (CHC) involved 30,000 square CMR:212:96 Page 10 of 20 feet of new development that, while consistent with the zoning, was beyond the Citywide limits for both the parcel and the particular Citywide Study planning area. To require the CHC to undertake a substantially broader Sand Hill Road analysis would have been regarded as an excessive City requirement. Other examples include minor amendments of Planned Community zones that fall within the scope of the Citywide Study. On the other hand, larger land use change issues, whether site specific (e.g., the vacant site at Page Mill Road and E1 Camino Real) or a group of parcels (e.g., Midtown, other area studies) could be perceived as going beyond the Citywide Study and, under the new Comprehensive Plan, warranting exception from the Citywide Study’s development maximum. A recognition of the ability of the Council to approve land use changes and expand the Citywide Study’s development maximum should be incorporated into the new Comprehensive Plan. However, the Council should also have the ability to approve larger developments and have the new floor area count toward the Citywide Study maximum floor area number. Technical Issues The Committee’s discussion did not include the process/technical questions identified on pages 19 and 20 of the attached staff report. These questions include: | What is the start date for counting development toward a cap? What development counts toward the cap? The Citywide Study began in 1985, uses a 1987 existing development base and calculates future development potential based on zoning amendments adopted in August of 1989. Traditionally, the impact of land use studies and the potential for development under new regulations that are associated with the study is calculated from the adoption of the study. In this case, development that would count toward the Citywide maximum would be approvals from September 1, 1989. The issue of what development counts toward the Citywide maximum can be addressed in several ways. First, eight of the nine Citywide Study planning areas have detailed maps, which are attached. Area 1, the Downtown, did not have a map because the Citywide Study incorporated the 1986 Downtown Study and did not address Downtown issues in any substantive manner (including the existing Palo Alto Medical Foundation site, which was outside of the Downtown Study and also excluded from the Citywide Study). The preciseness of the maps (including the attached Downtown Study map included in the Zoning Ordinance) means that non-residential development within the nine planning areas can be tracked. It also means that development outside of the Planning areas was not counted toward the future development potential calculated in the Citywide Study. Examples of sites outside the Planning areas included: CMR:212:96 Page 11 of 20 Area 1 -Palo Alto Medical Foundation (expansion approved in 1990) Area 2 -Holiday Inn (expansion approved in October 1989) Downtown transit station area Area 4 - Area 5 - The Airport and the Water Quality Control Plant (Victor Aviation proposed expansion is a forthcoming application) The three Planned Community-zoned sites at Middlefield Road and San Antonio Road (one of which recently received approval for a small expansion) Area 6 -Palo Alto Hyatt The former Rudolfo’s restaurant Area 8 - Area 9 - Veterans Administration Hospital (which is undergoing an expansion that, because of the federal government status, was not subject to City approval) Stanford Barn Another way of viewing the Citywide Study maximum floor area is to identify the zoning districts that formed the basis for calculating the 3,257,900 square feet of development potential cited as remaining as a result of the Study. Inclusion of all commercial (CD, CS, CN, CC), office (OR) and industrial (GM, LM) zones is easily determined by reviewing the Citywide Study, and these zones are the basis for the 3,257,900 square-foot calculation. More confusing is the Citywide Study treatment of Planned Community and Public Facility zones. Some PC zones are included in the existing development square footage (e.g., Page Mill Square, four PC zones on Embarcadero east of Bayshore) and others are excluded (e.g., Stanford Barn, existing Palo Alto Medical Foundation, three zones at Middlefield and San Antonio, Holiday Inn). Most PF-zoned parcels are excluded from the Study (e.g., City facilities east of Bayshore, Veterans Administration Hospital) but some are included (e.g.,. Cubberley, Stanford Medical Center including the Hoover Pavilion, and the former Children’s Hospital site). Regarding City boundaries, the Citywide Study did not address land outside of the City except the land use designation of Stanford-owned sites on Quarry Road on either side of Arboretum Road. A final problem is how nonconforming uses whose amortization (i.e., use termination) date has been extended are handled. The extended term for the Linus Pauling Institute is not a CMR:212:96 Page 12 of 20 problem, because the non-residential use is planned to cease well within the time frame of the new Plan. However, the former Maximart site’s extended termination date from 1999 to 2019 means that the commercial uses are likely to remain during the life of the new Comprehensive Plan. The 255,000 square feet contained on the former Maximart site were deducted in calculating the 3,257,900 square feet of future development potential. The calculation of development approvals that count toward the Citywide development limits should be kept as clear and easy to track as possible. Further, as noted in the March 12 staff report, staff does not expect the 3,257,900 square foot amount cited in the Citywide Study to be exceeded in the life of the next Comprehensive Plan and probably for years beyond that. Staff concludes that the following guidelines should be used in identifying approved development that counts toward the Citywide maximum: ¯Development approvals be counted from September 1, 1989 forward. °Development approvals to be counted for the areas within the City limits as identified on the attached eight maps plus the CD-zoned areas in the Downtown. °350,000 square feet of the development limit be allocated to the Downtown CD-zoned area. °The floor area of the former Maximart site not be deducted from the 3,257,900 square foot total. This approach can be argued to have some inequities (e.g., replacement of the Palo Alto Hyatt and/or the Medical Foundation with housing will not create a square footage credit against the Citywide limit; the potential for the recent 30,000 square-foot Children’s Health Council addition was not identified in the Citywide Study but will still count toward the limit; the former Maximart site could be counted toward the limit). However, by relying on the maps from the Citywide Study, a clear geographical base will be established, which will make future tracking of development approvals easier for the public and the City. Data on non-residential development since the Citywide Study is identified on pages 13 through 16 of the attached March 12 staff report. Based on that data, approximately 554,000 square feet of development approved between September 1989 and September 1995 would count against the 3,257,900 square feet of Citywide Study development potential. CMR:212:96 Page 13 of 20 Annual Monitoring ,,,and an Early Warning ,,,,System The Policy and Services Committee recommendation includes a program to have annual monitoring of development activity and an automatic restudy trigger based on the Downtown regulations. Staff noted at the Committee meeting that the details of the monitoring and restudy requirements should be developed as part of the preparation and public review of the Draft Plan and Draft EIR. As noted in the March 12 staff report, staff annually updates a simple spreadsheet of development approvals. The effort is not cross-checked against building permits and thus is reasonably, but not precisely, accurate. This effort would need to be modified based on inclusion of the Citywide Study floor area maximum in the adopted Comprehensive Plan. More precise data collection work should be connected into a computerized permit tracking system that staff is working on. Recommended Ways ofAddressing.~he Ci ..tywide Study Development Square Footage Limit Important decisions include: ¯Should the Citywide Study development potential apply to the nine study areas reviewed in the Citywide Study or to all non-residential land development in the City? As noted previously, staffwould recommend that the Citywide Study development potential be focused on the areas studied in the Citywide Study. The alternative is to include all commercial, industrial and public facilities designated land. Is the 3,257,900 square feet of future development potential cited in the Citywide Study to be a limit that can be modified only through a future "Citywide Study," or can the number be modified through Comprehensive Plan amendments resulting from area studies (which may or may not be coordinated area plans) and individual development proposals? Staff believes that the Policy and Services Committee intends that the Draft Comprehensive Plan incorporate the 3,257,900 number, and changes to specific property (e.g., PAMF) or area (e.g., Midtown) regulations could be made by the Council, with the understanding that additional development approvals could include amendment of the Citywide Study square footage number. In the long term, restrictions on amending the Citywide square footage number means that the Stanford Research Park and the San Antonio/East and West Bayshore area become the "holding basins" from which increased development potential is subtracted, given that these two areas contain about 75 percent of the future development potential cited in the Citywide Study. However, as noted before, staff concludes that the total square footage cited in the Citywide Study is unlikely to be developed during the next 15 to 20 years. CMR:212:96 Page 14 of 20 ¯The third major issue is the process through which development regulations for specific properties and areas are considered for change. The March 12 staff report noted that two of the nine Citywide Study areas have received approval of more development than recognized by the Citywide Study. With the January 1996 approval of the PAMF Urban Lane project, three of the areas are in this situation. 1. Urban Lane -New floor area exceeds the Citywide Study number before the PAMF approval if the Holiday Inn expansion is counted and with PAMF if Holiday Inn is not counted (because Holiday Inn is outside of the Urban Lane area mapped in the Citywide Study). 2. Central Palo Alto -The Citywide Study identified a net loss of 6,200 square feet because of the closure of the former Maximart site by 2000 and the area has had 4,865 new square feet added. 3. Sand Hill Road Corridor - The Citywide Study included the Children’s Health Council (CHC) and Ronald McDonald House as part of Children’s Hospital, when in fact they are separate entities. The recent approval of a 30,000- square-foot addition to CHC pushed approved development beyond the 121,800 square feet of new floor area identified in the Citywide Study. As noted earlier in this staff report, staff concludes that consideration of changes to specific property regulations should proceed through the traditional City processes and not have new process requirements. Smaller projects should not bear the burden of new analysis requirements. Larger projects will usually have a Comprehensive Plan change and often an environmental impact report and thus require evaluation of broader cumulative growth issues and Council review and action. Modifications to Policy and Services Committee Recommendations Committee-recommended Goal." Assure a balance between supporting maintaining residential character, and preserving the environment. businesses, Staff sees no need to modify the recommended goal. CMR:212:96 Page 15 of 20 Committee-recommended Policy: Maintain the limits of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study with the understanding that modifications to the limits that permit modest additional growth may be made as the result of future (area studies). Committee-recommended Policy: Maintain an overall Citywide limit of 3,257,000 square feet. The unresolved problem with the above wording is identification of what would be the basis (e.g., area studies, City-initiated studies, private development applications) for modifying the Citywide limits. Given the range of actions that can trigger modification of specific property regulations (e.g., from the Midtown Study to the PAMF application), staff concludes that it would be inappropriate to try to identify in the policy the range of possible future actions. As noted earlier, staff recommends that the following guidelines be used in totaling approved development: o Development approvals be counted from September 1, 1989 forward. Development approvals to be counted for the areas within the City Study as identified on the attached eight maps plus the CD-zoned areas in the Downtown. 350,000 square feet of the development limit be allocated to the Downtown CD-zoned area. ¯The floor area of the former Maximart site not be deducted from the 3,257,900 square foot total. Further, staff concludes that the best approach to incorporation of the Citywide Study development potential into the Draft Comprehensive Plan is to establish a Citywide commercial, industrial and public facility development maximum of 3,257,900 square feet, as of September 1989, for the nine areas identified in the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study, with the Council to determine what specific property regulations can be modified and whether additional growth allowed by new regulations counts toward the current maximum or warrants amendment of the maximum. With this approach, the policy could be reworded to: Revised Policy: Maintain the limit of 3,257,900 square feet of new development for the nine planning areas evaluated in the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study, with the understanding that the City Council can make modifications to specific property regulations that permit modest additional growth. The additional CMR:212:96 Page 16 of 20 growth can either count toward the 3,257,900 square-foot maximum or toward a higher number, if the City Council amends the Comprehensive Plan. This revised policy merges the Committee’s two policy recommendations. Committee-recommended Program: Establish a system to monitor the rate of new development, and if the rate of growth reaches the point where the Citywide maximum might be reached, the City shall re-evaluate development policies and regulations. As discussed at the Committee meeting, staff would recommend that the specific trigger point for re-evaluating development policies and regulations should be determined during review of the Draft Plan, and especially the Draft EIR. Treatment of the Citvwide Study Development Maximum in the Draft Plan’s Environmental Impact Report The Draft Comprehensive Plan’s EIR will have a project and three alternatives, including No Project and lower development and higher development alternatives. The project includes the goals, policies and programs identified by the Council; the existing Land Use Plan Map, except for changes identified by the Council; and growth assumptions based on projections developed by the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG), as modified by the Santa Clara County Center for Urban Analysis as part of their work for County transportation planning and policy changes identified in the Draft Plan. Staff has reviewed all segments of the City and identified estimates of additional non- residential and residential development for the Draft EIR’s project and three alternatives. The High Development alternative will include non-residential growth compatible with the overall Citywide Study development maximum. Staff discussions of the Plan’s Draft EIR have identified a significant issue related to the Citywide Study and the recent Policy and Services Committee discussion. The Citywide Study identified traffic impacts and related transportation mitigations. The new Comprehensive Plan and its EIR will establish a new basis of projected impacts and desired mitigations. Since adoption of the Citywide Study in 1989, the rate of new development, especially in the Stanford Research Park (because of the 1990-1994 recession and underlying labor supply constraints, among other factors), has not been great enough to yield a flow of mitigation funds necessary to make substantial headway toward implementing the list of major intersection mitigations adopted with the Citywide Study. Thus, the flip side of not having traffic increase substantially at nearly all of the 11 key Citywide Study intersections is that the City is not making great progress toward solving current and anticipated intersection problems. CMR:212:96 Page 17 of 20 Consideration of the new Comprehensive Plan will require the City to reassess intersection and other transportation mitigations, including the likelihood of funding improvements identified in the Plan’s Draft EIR. This raises the possibility and perhaps the desirability of finding alternative funding sources (e.g., assessment districts) to continued primary reliance on new development impact fees. Staff will continue to explore this issue during preparation and subsequent public review of the Draft Comprehensive Plan and its Draft EIR. ALTERNATIVES Alternatives to the Committee recommendation as elaborated on in this staff report include: Incorporate into the Comprehensive Plan the general objectives of the Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study, but do not include specific square footage numbers. This is the recommendation of the attached March 12, 1996 staff report. Staff continues to have concerns that the 1989 Citywide Study was never intended to be a development cap, and there will be unintended consequences of establishing a development maximums that will become evident in future years and in the context of specific development applications. Treat the Comprehensive Plan as a new starting point for City policies and do not incorporate the 1989 Citywide Study, except through policies developed in the new Plan. As staff has previously noted, the goals, policies and programs of the Draft Plan are consistent with the Citywide Study. However, there are numerous differences among the details. Treating the Comprehensive Plan as a new basis for City land use policy would avoid the possible problems of treating the Citywide Study as extraordinarily important. Allocate in the Comprehensive Plan the Citywide Study floor area to the nine planning areas. 3A.Future changes to the limits would require Council approval 3B.Future changes to the limits would be accomplished through a private sector transfer of development rights mechanism. As noted earlier in this report, City actions since September 1989 have resulted in actual development exceeding the Citywide area specific development figures for three of the Citywide Study’s nine planning areas (Urban Lane, Central Palo Alto and Sand Hill Road Corridor). Allocation of the remaining floor area under a 3,257,900 CMR:212:96 Page 18 of 20 maximum would need to involve additional analysis of development potential. The transfer of development rights alternative would make the initial allocation process more difficult. In either alternative 3 option, additional staff work would be necessary and some delay in publishing a Draft Plan would be experienced. Staff does not believe that alternative 3 fits the intent of the Policy and Services Committee. o Establish in the Comprehensive Plan an identified amount of additional floor area (e.g., 15 percent) that the Council could allocate, based on area studies or other proposals approved by the Council. The problem with this alternative is establishing the amount of additional floor area. An arbitrary percentage has little, if any, basis in reality. Using the Comprehensive Plan Advisory Committee workshop results for Midtown, South E1 Camino Real and Cal-Ventura would place too much reliance on a one-day process, attempt to prejudge a furore citizen process and likely establish the sense of a new cap within which future land use studies would function. Finally, as noted in the March 12 staff report, staff concludes that exceeding the 3,257,900 square foot level during the next 15 years is quite unlikely. Either apply the Citywide Study maximum to all commercial, industrial and public facility development as of September 1, 1989 or establish a new development maximum incorporating, the areas and zones not covered in the Citywide Study. Either of the alternative 5 options has the simplicity of incorporating all new development rather than development in the nine Citywide Study planning areas. Without adjusting the Citywide limit, this alternative would expand the floor area number to areas not covered in the Study and effectively dilute the Citywide Study results. If the Citywide Study limit is to be increased in recognition of new areas, the problem is identifying the appropriate levels of development for the areas and the increase to the development maximum. FISCAL IMPACT To the extent that the alternative of translating the Citywide Study into specific area development caps could restrict future efforts to revitalize some areas, the issues raised in this staff report could have fiscal impacts. The issue of Fiscal Impact will be addressed when the Draft Comprehensive Plan is prepared. ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT The Draft Comprehensive Plan will be the subject of an Environmental Impact Report. The issues before the City Council involve identification of policies and programs for inclusion into the Draft Plan. As such, no environmental review or findings are necessary at this time. CMR:212:96 Page 19 of 20 STEPS FOLLOWING APPROVAL The City Council’s recommendations will become part of the Draft Comprehensive Plan. The Draft Plan is tentatively scheduled for publication and distribution by September 1996. Extensive public review will follow release of the Draft Plan, including public hearings by the Planning Commission and City Council. ATTACHMENTS/EXHIBITS Attachment 1. CMR:175:96 Attachment 2. Table of Traffic Volumes at Eleven Key Intersections Attachment 3. Citywide Area Maps (8) Attachment 4. Downtown Study Map CC:Planning Commission CPAC Speakers at February 7, 1996 City Council Meeting Robin Bayer Herb Borock Lynn Chiapella Pria Graves Yoriko Kishimoto Bill Peterson Ed Power Emily Renzel Susie Richardson Joseph Violette Stanford University Stanford Management Company Chamber of Commerce Denny Petrosian CMR:212:96 Page 20 of 20 TO: Attention: FROM: AGENDA DATE: SUBJECT: Attachment 1 City of Palo Alto City Manager’s Report HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL Policy and Services Committee CITY MANAGER DEPARTMENT: Planning and Community Environment March 12, 1996 CMR: 175:96 Comprehensive Plan Update -- Incorporation of Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study REQUEST The issue addressed in this staff report is how to treat the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study in the forthcoming Draft Comprehensive Plan. RECOMMENDATIONS Recognize in the Draft Comprehensive Plan the policy intent and value of the Citywide Study. The Citywide Study, as a policy document, fits very well within the Draft Comprehensive Plan. The four objectives of the Citywide Study are consistent with the Draft Plan. Reduce future commercial and industrial development potential to minimize deteriorating traffic conditions; 2.Preserve existing businesses; o Encourage desirable uses such as housing by identifying commercial and industrial sites or areas suitable for mixed-use or housing projects; and o Identify appropriate traffic mitigations in major employment areas and necessary physical traffic improvements. CMR:175:96 Page 1 of 21 The Draft Plan should recognize the importance of the Citywide Study by acknowledging the Study’s objectives and the importance of the zoning and other actions taken in 1989. The Draft Plan should include the following policy with supporting Plan text that indicates that consideration of changes to the specific features of the Citywide Study needs to include evaluation of the benefits to be gained from the change. Policy: In evaluating potential increases in non-residential growth limits, consider the objectives of the 1989 Cit?.axide Land Use and Transportation Study. POLICY IMPLICATIONS The Draft Comprehensive Plan goals, policies and programs, to a very considerable degree, are consistent with the objectives and general results of the Citywide Study. Both documents seek to limit non-residential development and control the growth in traffic. Both documents encourage development of more housing, including use of non-residential land for residential use. Both documents recognize the need for limited intersection improvements and agree that the City cannot build itself out of existing and future congestion. The Cit3~wide Study was not developed or implemented as a development cap. The Study addressed most, but not all, non-residential development. The Study excluded most, but not all, governmental facilities (e.g., airport, Water Quality Plant, Veteran’s Administration Hospital) and non-residential Planned Community zones such as the Holiday Inn, Palo Alto Medical Foundation and the Palo Alto Hyatt Hotel. Thus the development potential cited in the Study relates to the build out under the City’s commercial and industrial zones, which is close to, but not the same as, the build out of areas designated for commercial, industrial or public sector employment activities in the Comprehensive Plan. The Citywide Study was an important summation of the numerous planning studies that were undertaken by the City in the 1980s. As such, the Study serves as an important set of modifications to the current Comprehensive Plan and a key element in setting the stage for the current Comprehensive Plan effort. The objectives and broad results of the Study should not be lost. However, staff concludes that the next Comprehensive Plan would not well serve the community if the details of the Study were continued in the new Plan as a narrow limit on future flexibility. The only development cap identified in the draft goals, policies and programs reviewed by the Council is the downtown development cap resulting from the 1986 Downtown Study and incorporated into the zoning ordinance. Staff does not recommend creation of more development caps. As described in the staff report, the pace at which new additional floor area (i.e., floor area beyond replacement of demolished floor area) is being created has been CMR: 175:96 Page 2 of 21 relatively slow since completion of the Citywide Study in 1989. The goals, policies and programs identified for the Draft Plan incorporate in many ways and places the philosophy of the Citywide Study. New development caps would lead to furore zoning complexity and, if drawn too tightly, could conflict with efforts to revitalize areas such as Midtown and South El Camino Real. If the City Council is interested in pursuing development caps, the alternatives are a citywide development limit or area-specific limits. A citywide limit, given the size and configuration of Palo Alto, would not be a particularly meaningful number. Area-specific limits would need to go beyond the Citywide Study for several reasons. First, as noted above, the Citywide Study did not include all non-residential land uses. Second, for the area bounded by University Avenue, E1 Camino Real, Embarcadero Road and the railroad tracks, development approvals have exceeded the square footage numbers in the Citywide Study. Third, the draft goals, policies and programs that the Council has directed be incorporated into the Draft Plan encourage area studies (Midtown, Cal-Ventura, South E1 Camino Real, PAMF/SOFA and the University Avenue Multi-modal Transit area) that could result in modification of regulations to permit some additional development. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study resulted in a substantial reduction in development potential by reducing the floor area ratios (FAR) of four nonresidential zones (Service Commercial, Neighborhood Commercial, Office Research and General Manufacturing) and reducing the amount of additional floor area that could be constructed at the Stanford Shopping Center and Town and Country Village. A variety of other changes were made to the zoning regulations, and the land use designation was changed at ten sites. The Citywide Study did not establish a development cap and did not evaluate all non- residential development. Between adoption of the Citywide Study in August 1989 and September, 1995, the City approved about 451,000 square feet of additional floor area in the areas and zones evaluated in the Citywide Study. Three developments outside the scope of the Study (Holiday Inn Expansion, 1050 Arastradero and the Veterans Administration Hospital) have added about another 289,000 square feet of floor area. The Citywide Study’s objectives are, to a very considerable degree, consistent with the goals, policies and programs identified by the City Council for inclusion in the Draft Comprehensive Plan. Both documents seek to limit non-residential development and control the growth in traffic. Both documents encourage development of more housing, including use of non-residential land for residential use. Both documents recognize the need for limited intersection improvements and agree that the City cannot build itself out of existing and future congestion. CMR: 175:96 Page 3 of 21 There are, however, subtle but important differences between the 1989 Citywide Study and 1996 planning policies. In 1996, there is greater understanding that Palo Alto exists in a very competitive commercial and industrial environment. Just because land is located in Palo Alto does not ensure economic success. There is also a notable difference between the expected handling of follow-up studies in 1996 versus 1989. The coordinated area planning concept envisions greater public participation, much more emphasis on economics and receptivity to regulations that include three-dimensional representations of desired new development rather than reliance on traditional zoning tools. Follow-up studies are to be conducted with greater receptivity to the need for, value of, and economic requirements of physical change. The hope is that by combining extensive and intensive public participation, economic and planning expertise and more visually understandable regulations, ways can be found to rejuvenate and redevelop areas that are experiencing significant economic and physical problems. Thus, there is more receptivity to potential physical change in 1996 than 1989 and a recognition that upgrading parts of the community may need to involve changing City land use regulations, including the possibility of, in selective locations, some increases in development intensity. Finally, there is greater awareness in 1996 than 1989 of the value to the City (and School District) revenue base of certain types of economic activities. Within the nine areas evaluated in the Citywide Study, there are potential variations between the Study results and the Draft Comprehensive Plan. Many of these differences reflect the identification of five areas for future area studies (University Avenue Multimodel Train Station Area, Midtown, Cal-Ventura, PAMF/SOFA, and South E1 Camino Real). Other differences include the 1989 Holiday Inn expansion and the recent PAMF Urban Lane Campus approvals in the Urban Lane area, the extension of the nonconforming use of the former Maximart site, and some of the Land Use Plan Map changes considered by the Council on February 29. Staff concludes that the Citywide Study was an important summation of the numerous planning studies that were undertaken by the City in the 1980s. As such, the Study serves as an important set of modifications to the current Comprehensive Plan and a key element in setting the stage for the current Comprehensive Plan effort. The objectives and broad results of the Study should not be lost. However, the next Comprehensive Plan would not well serve the community if the details of the Study were continued in the new Plan as a narrow limit on future flexibility. Therefore, staff recommends recognition in the Draft Comprehensive Plan of the policy intent and value of the Citywide Study without incorporation of the Study’s detailed zoning limits and restrictions. FISCAL IMPACT To the extent that the alternative of translating the Citywide Study into specific area development caps could restrict future efforts to revitalize some areas, the issues raised in CMR:175:96 Page 4 of 21 this staff report could have fiscal impacts. The issue of fiscal impact will be addressed when the Draft Comprehensive Plan is prepared. ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT The Draft Comprehensive Plan will be the subject of an Environmental Impact Report. The issues before the Policy and Services Committee involve identification of policies and programs for inclusion in the Draft Plan. As such, no environmental review or findings are necessary at this time. PREPARED BY: Ken Schreiber DEPARTMENT HEAD REVIEW: KENNETH R. SCHREIBER Director of Planning and Community Environment CITY MANAGER APPROVAL: CMR:175:96 Page 5 of 21 SUBJECT:Comprehensive Plan Update -- Incorporation of Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study REQUEST The issue addressed in this staff report is how to treat the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study in the forthcoming Draft Comprehensive Plan. RECOMMENDATIONS Recognize in the Draft Comprehensive Plan the policy intent and value of the Citywide Study. The Citywide Study, as a policy document, fits very well within the Draft Comprehensive Plan. The four objectives of the Citywide Study are consistent with the Draft Plan. Reduce future commercial and industrial development potential to minimize deteriorating traffic conditions; 2.Preserve existing businesses; Encourage desirable uses such as housing by identifying commercial and industrial sites or areas suitable for mixed-use or housing projects; and Identify appropriate traffic mitigations in major employment areas and necessary physical traffic improvements. The Draft Plan should recognize the importance of the Citywide Study by acknowledging the Study’s objectives and the importance of the zoning and other actions taken in 1989. The Draft Plan should include the following Policy with supporting Plan text that indicates that consideration of changes to the specific features of the Citywide Study needs to include evaluation of the benefits to be gained from the change. Policy: In evaluating potential increases in nonresidential growth limits, consider the objectives of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study. BACKGROUND On February 7, 1996, the City Council reviewed a staff report (CMR: 129:96) that identified inconsistencies, conflicts and gaps in the Council’s review of draft goals, policies and progams for the Comprehensive Plan. The Council referred to the Policy and Services Committee further consideration of the issue of how to treat in the new Plan the 1989 City,vide Land Use and Transportation Study. CMR:175:96 Page 6 of 21 The February 7, 1996 staff report addressed the issue of the Cityvcide Study in the following way: "Page 10, BE-9: Goal BE-9 is Maintain the limits of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study with a notation that "Staff is to bring back modifications to the Study necessary to have a consistent Comprehensive Plan. " "DISCUSSION: For most nonresidential areas, the proposed Draft Plan’s goals, policies and programs are consistent with the 1989 Citywide Study’s nonresidential floor area limits. Modifications to the Citywide Study could occur with area and large site plans (e.g., Cal- Ventura, Midtown, Stanford Medical Center) and a few other site and/or use specific changes (e.g., conference hotel at Page Mill Road and El Camino Real, Stanford Shopping Center). Staff would not expect the overall Citywide limits contained in the Citywide Study to be exceeded in the life of the next Comprehensive Plan and probably for years beyond that. "RECOMMENDATION: Goal BE-9 should be modified to reflect that the 1989 Citywide Study floor area ratios are not considered to be site specific limits. The Economic Balance vision statement on page 10 could become a goal with a related policy addressing the 1989 Study. "GOAL: Assure a balance between supporting businesses, maintaining residential character and preserving the environment. "POLICY: In evaluating potential increases in nonresidential growth limits, consider the objectives of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study." POLICY IMPLICATIONS The Draft Comprehensive Plan goals, policies and programs, to a very considerable degree, are consistent with the objectives and general results of the Citywide Study. Both documents seek to limit non-residential development and control the growth in traffic. Both documents encourage development of more housing, including use of non-residential land for residential use. Both documents recognize the need for limited intersection improvements and agree that the City cannot build itself out of existing and future congestion. The Citywide Study was not developed or implemented as a development cap. The Study addressed most, but not all, non-residential development. The Study excluded most, but not CMR: 175:96 Page 7 of 21 all, governmental facilities (e.g., airport, Water Quality Plant, Veteran’s Administration Hospital) and non-residential Planned Community zones such as the Holiday Inn, Palo Alto Medical Foundation and the Palo Alto Hyatt Hotel. Thus the development potential cited in the Study relates to the build out under the City’s commercial and industrial zones, which is close to, but not the same as, the build out of areas designated for commercial, industrial or public sector employment activities in the Comprehensive Plan. The Citywide Study was an important summation of the numerous planning studies that were undertaken by the City in the 1980s. As such, the Study serves as an important set of modifications to the current Comprehensive Plan and a key element in setting the stage for the current Comprehensive Plan effort. The objectives and broad results of the Study should not be lost. However, staff concludes that the next Comprehensive Plan would not well serve the community if the details of the Study were continued in the new Plan as a narrow limit on future flexibility. The only development cap identified in the draft goals, policies and programs reviewed by the Council is the downtown development cap resulting from the 1986 Downtown Study and incorporated into the zoning ordinance. Staff does not recommend creation of more development caps. As described in the staff report, the pace at which new additional floor area (i.e., floor area beyond replacement of demolished floor area) is being created has been relatively slow since completion of the Citywide Study in 1989. The goals, policies and programs identified for the Draft Plan incorporate in many ways and places the philosophy of the Citywide Study. New development caps would lead to future zoning complexity and, if drawn too tightly, could conflict with efforts to revitalize areas such as Midtown and South El Camino Real. If the City Council is interested in pursuing development caps, the alternatives are a citywide development limit or area-specific limits. A citywide limit, given the size and configuration of Palo Alto, would not be a particularly meaningful number. Area-specific limits would need to go beyond the Citywide Study for several reasons. First, as noted above, the Citywide Study did not include all non-residential land uses. Second, for the area bounded by University Avenue, E1 Camino Real, Embarcadero Road and the railroad tracks, development approvals have exceeded the square footage numbers in the Citywide Study. Third, the draft goals, policies and programs that the Council has directed be incorporated into the Draft Plan encourage area studies (Midtown, Cal-Ventura, South E1 Camino Real, PAMF/SOFA and the University Avenue Multi-modal Transit area) that could result in modification of regulations to permit some additional development. CMR: 175:96 Page 8 of 21 DISCUSSION Purposes and Outcomes of the Ci ~tywide Land Use and Transportation Study The Citywide Study, which began in 1986 and concluded in August 1989, was initiated to address community wide concerns about increasing traffic congestion. It is important to remember that the early 1980s witnessed a major growth in commercial and industrial development. The City’s initial planning responses focused on area-specific studies (i.e., East Bayshore Study - 1984, Park Boulevard GM Area Study - 1985, California Avenue Study - 1985, San Antonio/West Bayshore Study - 1986, and Downtown Study - 1986). The Citywide Study followed these area studies and had four main objectives: Reduce future commercial and industrial development potential to minimize deteriorating traffic conditions; 2.Preserve existing businesses; Encourage desirable uses, such as housing, by identifying commercial and industrial sites or areas suitable for mixed-use or housing projects; and Identify appropriate traffic mitigations in major employment areas and necessary physical traffic improvements. Several conclusions from the Study process are important to emphasize: Under previous zoning regulations, the City had the potential to roughly double the existing approximately 25,000,000 square feet of commercial and industrial development; The Study focused on commercial and industrial zoning and did not incorporate relatively smaller amounts of employrnent-generating activity resulting from Planned Community zones (e.g., Holiday Inn, Palo Alto Medical Foundation, Palo Alto Hyatt) and from some governmental activities (e.g., airport, City facilities, Veteran’s Administration Hospital); While 25,000,000 additional square feet of development could not have been physically accommodated, future growth levels were assumed to be high, especially based on the development activity of the early 1980s; CMR:175:96 Page 9 of 21 Three reduced-development scenarios were evaluated in the Citywide Study, ranging from an additional 2,030,000 square feet of development to 4,937,000 square feet of development; Relatively little difference was found among the traffic impacts of the reduced- development scenarios; Peak hour traffic conditions were found to be poor on major routes, getting worse, and would continue to deteriorate, even with no new development; and The set of adopted regulation and land use changes would result in a maximum additional development of about 3,258,000 square feet for the zoning districts included in the Study. The major results of the Citywide Study included: Zoning Regulation changes - Four zones had their floor area ratios reduced (Service Commercial from 2:1 to 0.4:1, Neighborhood Commercial from 1:1 to 0.4:1, Office Research from 0.75:1 to 0.5:1, and General Manufacturing from 1:1 to 0.5:1); Special provisions were added to further reduce FARs at specific sites (a 0.35:1 FAR at the Town & Country Shopping Center, a maximum addition of 65,000 square feet to the Stanford Shopping Center, and a 0.25:1 FAR for Hoover Pavilion); Office size limits were added to the Service Commercial and Neighborhood Commercial zones and to Town & Country Village Shopping Center; A Hotel (H) Combining zone was created with an FAR of 0.6:1 and applied to the Rickey’s Hyatt and Dinah’s Motor Lodge sites; The housing provisions in the non-residential zones were modified; and A variety of other changes were made, including the creation of a Neighborhood Business Service use, modifications to the noncomplying facility provisions and elimination of three combining zones. Comprehensive Plan Land Use Plan Map and related zoning changes - CMR:175:96 Page 10 of 21 Five sites were redesignated from commercial to housing (Elks Club, Fiesta Lanes, a portion of the Traynor/Hill property at El Camino Real and Charleston, a property on Maybell behind 4170 E1 Camino Real and the Mayfield School/service station/restaurant site at Page Mill Road and E1 Camino Real); Service Commercial property on the west side of E1 Camino Real between California Avenue and Stanford Avenues was changed to Neighborhood Commercial; The service station site at Arboretum and Quarry Roads was changed from Community Commercial to Neighborhood Commercial; The unincorporated site on Quarry Road south of Arboretum Road was changed from Major Institution/University Lands/Academic Reserve and Open Space to Major Institution/University Lands/Campus; The unincorporated site on Quarry Road north of Arboretum Road was changed from Major Institution!University Lands/Academic Reserve and Open Space to Major Institution!University Lands/Campus Multiple Family Residential; and The portion of the Hewlett-Packard training center at 100 Mayfield Road that is located in Palo Alto was changed from Regional Community Commercial to Research Office Park. Traffic Mitigations Intersection capacity improvements were approved for future implementation at 27 intersections; A Transportation Impact Fee Ordinance was adopted for future development in the Stanford Research Park; and A policy to develop Transportation Demand Management programs was approved (implementation was subsequently shifted to the County Congestion Management Agency, then to the Bay Area Air Quality Management District, and then eliminated by State law). Five areas of future study were identified CMR:175:96 Page 11 of 21 Urban Lane CS parcels; East Meadow Circle LM area; Commercial/Industrial/Transport area; -395 Page Mill Road site; and -1050 Arastradero Road site. What is important to highlight is that the Citywide Study was not, in either the study or implementation phases, regarded as an effort to establish a growth cap. While development potential was evaluated for nine study areas, Planned Community zones and most governmental facilities were excluded from the analysis. For example, the Holiday Inn site was included on some Citywide Study maps of the Urban Lane area and excluded on other maps. The following Table 1 was incorporated into the Citywide Study Summary Report and identified a development potential of 34,400 square feet for the Urban Lane area. Yet, in October 1989, the City Council approved an expansion of the Holiday Inn to add 50,270 square feet of floor area. TABLE 1 Comparison of Commercial and Industrial Development Potentials Development Potential/ PreviousExisting Square Feet/May 1987 3,313,200 578,100 143,600 1,318,800 3,072,300 1,084,900 Study Area Zoning* 1. Downtown 350,000 2. Urban Lane 2,501,600 3. Midtown 253,500 4. East Bayshore 450,900 5. Southeast Palo Alto 1,567,200 6.South E1 Camino 3,356,100 Real 7. Central Palo Alto 1,878,900 2,526,900 (6,200) CMR:175:96 Page 12 of 21 Development Potential!New Zoning* 350,000 34,400 5,200 93,500 665,000 200,100 9.Stanford Research 9,555,700 2,906,800 1,794,100 ParkiECR 10.Sand Hill Road 3,941,300 11,401,600 121,800 Corridor TOTAL ~4,886,800 25,314,600 3,257,900 * Amount of development which could be added. In the 1980s, the City did adopt two development caps. The first was for the California Avenue area and established a ten year cap of 100,000 square feet. The cap was adopted in t 985 and expired last year. The second development cap is the 350,000-square-foot limit on new floor area in the downtown. That cap was incorporated into the Zoning Ordinance in May 1986 and does not have an expiration date. Non-residential Development Since the Ci .tywide Study As noted above, the Development Potential/New Zoning identified in Table 1 was based on realistic buildout of the commercial and industrial zoning classifications that were the focus of the Citywide Study. City staff has tracked development approvals since 1980, and the following information is taken from that data base as updated through September 1995. Occasionally, approved development is not implemented and time does not permit a rigorous cross-checking of development approvals and building permits. The following information is based on net floor area and does not include floor area that replaces demolished floor area. The 1980 data base does not, in some cases, correspond to the nine Citywide Study Areas and allocations need to be made. Thus the information is quite accurate, but the exact square footage may be off by a small amount. The following information is based on the nine Citywide Study areas and information is divided between two time periods: May 1987 to August 1989 (the date for existing square footage in Table 1 and the adoption of the Citywide Study) and August 1989 to September 1995. Area 1 -- Downtown The Downtown Area mapped in the Citywide Study includes the Palo Alto Medical Foundation site, which was not covered by the 1986 Downtown Study and is not part of the area that has the 350,000-square-foot development cap identified as the remaining development potential in Table 1. The area subject to the development cap had 26,914 additional square feet of development between May 1987 and August 1989 and 8,723 additional square feet from September 1989 to September 1995. CMR:!75:96 Page 13 of 21 The 1989 Palo Alto Medical Foundation Specific Plan would have permitted an additional 45,000 square feet, but that area is excluded from all further analysis because of the recent PAMF Urban Lane Campus approval. Area 2 -- Urban Lane The Urban Lane area had 1,307 additional square feet of floor area between May 1987 and August 1989 and 50,678 square feet between September i989 and September 1995. Of this amount, 50,270 square feet were approved for the Holiday Inn Planned Community zone expansion in October 1989. Area 3 -- Midtown No additional floor area was approved in Midtown from May 1987 to September 1995. Area 4 -- East Bayshore 8,500 square feet of floor area was approved between May 1987 and August 1989 and an additional 294 square feet between September 1989 and September 1995. The predevelopment review application that the Council reviewed in 1995 for Victor Aviation, if ultimately approved, would be outside of the zoning classifications included in the Citywide Study. Area 5 -- Southeast Palo Alto 112,073 square feet of additional floor area was approved between May 1987 and August 1989, including 101,257 square feet for the then-Ford Aerospace expansion. 39,287 square feet of additional floor area was approved between September 1989 and September 1995. Area 6 -- South E1 Camino Real A net loss of 1,400 square feet of floor area was recorded between May 1987 and August 1989.12,588 square feet were added between September 1989 and September 1995. Area 7 -- Central Palo Alto No floor area was added between May 1987 and August 1989 and 4,805 square feet of floor area was added between September 1989 and September 1995. CMR:175:96 Page 14 of 21 Area 8 -- Stanford Research Park and E1 Camino Real 7,614 square feet of additional floor area was approved between May 1987 and August 1989. Between September 1989 and September 1995, 491,146 square feet of floor area was approved. Of this area, the 162,540-square-foot addition to the Veteran’s Administration Hospital and the 75,980-square-foot development of 1050 Arastradero were outside the framework of the Citywide Study. Of the remaining 252,626 square feet, the bulk was in three projects approved between June 1990 and April 1991 (114,000 square feet at 3400 Hillview, 30,775 square feet at 1681 Page Mill and 46,000 square feet at 3500 Deer Creek).’ Area 9 -- Sand Hill Road Corridor 10,616 square feet of floor area was approved between May 1987 and August 1989 and 127,898 square feet between September 1989 and September 1995. The 127,898 square feet include 13,391 square feet at the Stanford Shopping Center, a 73,100- square-foot Stanford Medical Center clinic building approved in 1991, and a 30,000 square foot addition to Children’s Health Council approved in 1995. The following table summarizes the above information: TABLE 2 Citvwide Study Area Development. May 1987 to June 1.995. Development Potential after Citywide Study 350,000 May 1987 to August 1989 Increases in Floor Area Total Net Increases in Floor Area, May 1987 to September 1995 September 1989 to September t995 Increases in Floor Area 8,723 408 0 294 39,289 Increases in Floor Area Outside Scope of Citywide Study 0(1) 50,270~2~ o o o Area 1. Downtown 26,914 35,637 2. Urban Lane 34,400 1,307 51,985 3. Midtown 5,200 0 0 4. East Bayshore 93,500 8,500 8,794 5. Southeast Palo 665,000 112,073 151,362 Alto 6. South E1 200,100 (1,400)12,588 0 11,188 Carnino CMR:175:96 Page 15 of 21 Area 7.Central Palo Alto Stanford Research Park/ ECR Development Potential after Citywide Study (6,200) 1,794,100 May 1987 to August 1989 Increases in Floor Area 7,614 September 1989 to September 1995 Increases in Floor Area 4,865 252,626 Increases in Floor Area Outside Scope of Citywide Study 238,520(3) Total Net Increases in Floor Area, May 1987 to September 1995 4,865 498,760 9.Sand Hill Road 121,800 10,616 127,898 0 138,514 Corridor TOTAL 3,257,900 165,624 451,112 288,790 905,526 Does not include the 1989/90 PAMF Specific Plan. Holiday Inn Planned Community Zone. VA Hospital (162,540) and 1050 Arastradero Road (75,980). Differences Between the Citywide Study and Draft Comprehensive Plan Goals. Policies and Programs Overall Comparison - The Draft Comprehensive Plan goals, policies and programs, to a very considerable degree, are consistent with the objectives and general results of the Citywide Study. Both documents seek to limit non-residential development and control the growth in traffic. Both documents encourage development of more housing, including use of non- residential land for residential use. Both documents recognize the need for limited intersection improvements and agree that the City cannot build itself out of existing and future congestion. There are, however, subtle but important differences between the 1989 Citywide Study and 1996 planning policies. In 1996, there is greater understanding that Palo Alto exists in a very competitive commercial and industrial environment. Just because land is located in Palo Alto does not ensure economic success. There is also a notable difference between the expected handling of follow-up studies in 1996 versus 1989. The coordinated area planning concept envisions greater public participation, with much more emphasis on economics and receptivity to regulations that include three-dimensional representations of desired new development, rather than reliance on traditional zoning tools. Follow-up studies are to be conducted with greater receptivity to the need for, value of, and economic requirements of physical change. The hope is that by combining extensive and intensive public participation, economic and planning expertise and more visually understandable regulations, ways can be CMR:175:96 Page 16 of 21 found to rejuvenate and redevelop areas that are experiencing significant economic and physical problems. Thus, there is more receptivity to potential physical change in 1996 than 1989 and a recognition that upgrading parts of the community may need to involve changing City land use regulations, including the possibility of, in selective locations, some increases in development intensity. Finally, there is greater awareness in 1996 than 1989 of the value to the City (and School District) revenue base of certain types of economic activities. Area-Specific Comparison -- The following commentary on the nine Citywide Study areas highlights the differences between the Citywide Study and the Draft Comprehensive Plan goals, policies and programs. Area 1 -- Downtown. Both the Citywide Study and Draft Plan incorporate the 1986 Downtown Study development caps. The Citywide Study did not address the Palo Alto Medical Foundation, even though preparation of the PAMF Specific Plan overlapped the main part of the Citywide Study. The Draft Plan (and recently amended PAMF Development Agreement) calls for a coordinated area plan for the PAMF/SOFA area. Area 2 -- Urban Lane. The 1989 approval of the Holiday Inn expansion was not part of the Citywide Study. The recent PAMF Urban Lane Campus approval goes beyond the additional floor area identified in the Citywide Study. Finally, the Draft Plan includes a future area study for the University Avenue Multi-modal Transit Center (i.e., Dream Team) area. Area 3 -- Midtown. The Citywide Study envisioned very minimal changes in the amount of commercial floor area in Midtown. It is still too early to tell to what extent the current Midtown Study will consider changes to floor area ratios. Area 4 -- East Bayshore. There are no differences between the Citywide Study and Draft Comprehensive Plan treatment of the East Bayshore/Embarcadero Road area. Area 5 -- Southeast Palo Alto. The only possible difference between the Citywide Study and Draft Comprehensive Plan treatment of this area is the yet to be resolved land use designation of the Spanger School site.. Area 6 -- South E1 Camino Real. El Camino Real from Charleston Road north to Curtner Avenue is identified as a future study area in the Draft Comprehensive Plan. The Citywide Study identified 200,000 more square feet of non-residential floor area for South E1 Camino Real. Area 7 -- Central Palo Alto. The Citywide Study assumed the 100,000-square-foot floor area cap for the California Avenue Area. However, this cap expired in 1995. The Draft Plan calls for adjusting downward the California Avenue Area zoning, which may result in it being CMR:175:96 Page 17 of 2I compatible with the City,vide Study. The Citywide Study assumed the closure of the former Maximart site by 2000. The Draft Plan calls for an area study of the Cal-Ventura area bounded by Page Mill Road, E1 Camino Real, the residential area south of Lambert and the railroad tracks. Area 8 -- Stanford Research Park and Adjacent E1 Camino Real. The Research Park’s floor area is the same in the Citywide Study and the Draft Plan. The major potential difference is the land use designation of the vacant site at Page Mill Road and E1 Camino Real. Area 9 -- Sand Hill Corridor. The City,vide Study implicitly assumed residential reuse of the former Children’s Hospital site and did not acknowledge that the Children’s Health Council (which had a 30,000 square foot expansion approved in 1995) and the Ronald McDonald House are not part of the former Children’s Hospital site. The current set of Sand Hill Corridor development applications includes more floor area at the Stanford Shopping Center than was incorporated into the Citywide Study. In summary, only one or two of the nine Citywide study areas are not considered for some type of non-residential land use change, either directly in the Comprehensive Plan or as part of follow-up studies identified in the Plan. While the overall objectives of the Citywide Study are incorporated into the Draft Plan, there is the likelihood of notable detailed changes. Conclusion The Citywide Study was an important summation of the numerous planning studies that were undertaken by the City in the 1980s. As such, the Study serves as an important set of modifications to the current Comprehensive Plan and a key element in setting the stage for the current Comprehensive Plan effort. The objectives and broad results of the Study should not be lost. However, the next Comprehensive Plan would not well serve the community if the details of the Study were continued in the new Plan as a narrow limit on future flexibility. Therefore, staff recommends recognition in the Draft Comprehensive Plan of the policy intent and value of the Citywide Study without incorporation of the Study’s detailed zoning limits and restrictions. Recommendation Recognize in the Draft Comprehensive Plan the policy intent and value of the Citywide Study. The Citywide Study, as a policy document, fits very well within the Draft Comprehensive Plan. As noted earlier, the four objectives of the Citywide Study are consistent with the Draft Plan. CMR:175:96 Page 18 of 21 Reduce future commercial and industrial development potential to minimize deteriorating traffic conditions; 2.Preserve existing businesses; o Encourage desirable uses such as housing by identifying commercial and industrial sites or areas-suitable for mixed-use or housing projects; and Identify appropriate traffic mitigations in major employment areas and necessary physical traffic improvements. The Draft Plan should recognize the importance of the Citywide Study, by acknowledging the Study’s objectives and importance of the zoning and other actions taken in 1989. The Draft Plan should include the following Policy and supporting Plan text that indicates that consideration of changes to the specific features of the Citywide Study needs to include evaluation of the benefits to be gained from the change. Policy: In evaluating potential increases in nonresidential growth limits, consider the objectives of the 1989 Citywide Land Use and Transportation Study. ALTERNATIVES Alternative ways of addressing the Citywide Study in the Draft Comprehensive Plan include: I.Establish a citywide non-residential growth cap. As identified in Table 1, the Citywide Study identified a future development potential of 3,257,900 square feet of floor area for the zoning districts incorporated into the Study. As noted before, there are various developments (e.g., City facilities, VA Hospital, Planned Community zones such as the Holiday Inn) that were not included in the Citywide Study. If a City growth cap was to be established, immediate questions include: What is the start date for counting development toward the cap? Alternatives include May 1987, as cited in Table 1, and August 1989, when the Study was adopted. What development counts toward the cap? Alternatives include all non- residential development, non-residential development within certain areas (remembering that the nine study areas are defined differently on different CMR: 175:96 Page 19 of 21 Citywide Study maps), or non-residential development within the zoning districts analyzed in the Citywide Study. 2.Establish sub-area growth caps. The only area in Palo Alto that has a growth cap is the downtown. Based on the Citywide Study, growth caps could be established for other areas. Numerous problems would need to be addressed, including Urban Lane, where approved development exceeds the Citywide Study, and Midtown, where the small amount of additional growth may be incompatible with efforts to rejuvenate the area. Further, the growth caps may or may not be compatible with the intent of area studies such as Cal-Ventura, where the Citywide Study assumed removal of the former Maximart site’s commercial uses by 2000, or for the University Avenue Multi-modal Transit Station area, which is outside of a Citywide Study Area. The questions addressed under Alternative 1 would also have to be answered for this alternative. Maintain the zoning restrictions incorporated into the Citywide Study. This alternative would make it more difficult to adjust floor area ratios if deemed important as part of future area studies. Further, some of the use restrictions (i.e., office limits) may prove to be undesirable. This approach would also tend to lock into place selective elements of particular zone districts (e.g., office and other commercial size limits. Another question is whether the site-specific zoning changes made in the Citywide Study would be maintained or open to change. FISCAL IMPACT To the extent that the alternative of translating the Citywide Study into specific area development caps could restrict future efforts to revitalize some areas, the issues raised in this staff report could have fiscal impacts. The issue of Fiscal Impact will be addressed when the Draft Comprehensive Plan is prepared. ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT The Draft Comprehensive Plan will be the subject of an Environmental Impact Report. The issues before the Policy and Services Committee involve identification of policies and programs for inclusion into the Draft Plan. As such, no environmental review or findings are necessary at this time. CMR: 175:96 Page 20 of 21 STEPS FOLLOWING APPROVAL The Policy and Services Committee recommendations, after review and action by the City Council, will become part of the Draft Comprehensive Plan. The Draft Plan is tentatively scheduled for publication and distribution by September 1996. Extensive public review will follow release of the Draft Plan, including public hearings by the Planning Commission and City Council. CC:Planning Commission CPAC Speakers at February 7, 1996 City Council Meeting Robin Bayer Herb Borock Lynn Chiapella Pria Graves Yoriko Kishimoto Bill Peterson Ed Power Emily Renzel Susie Richardson Joseph Violette Stanford University Stanford Management Company Chamber of Commerce Denny Petrosian CMR:175:96 Page 21 of 2! Attachment 2 Attachment 3 -34- Z Z -35- W CITYWlDE STUDY SUMMARY FIGURE A-4 AREA 5 -SOUTHEAST PALO ALTO -37- CITYWiDE STUDY SUMMARY FIGURE A-5 AREA 6 -SOUTH EL CAMINOREAL -38- CS AREAS OLD MAYF I E LD SCHOOL 600 o CITYWIDE FIGURE A-7 HA~SEN WY. EL CAMINO STANFORD L ~ RESEARCH PARK LL EXPRESSWAY STUDY SUMMARY AREA 8 -EL CAMINO/ STANFORD RESEARCH PARK -4.0- ) ;C STANFORD SHOPPING CENTER \~CC PAVILION RM-30(D) I STANFORD n M PF(L) QUARRY- ARBORETUM TRAPEZOID CITYWlDE STUDY SUMMARY FIGURE A-8 AREA SAND HILL CORRIDOR -4] - ZONING Attachment 4 18.49.130 1895