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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2017-04-04 Finance Committee Agenda PacketFinance Committee 1 MATERIALS RELATED TO AN ITEM ON THIS AGENDA SUBMITTED TO THE CITY COUNCIL AFTER DISTRIBUTION OF THE AGENDA PACKET ARE AVAILABLE FOR PUBLIC INSPECTION IN THE CITY CLERK’S OFFICE AT PALO ALTO CITY HALL, 250 HAMILTON AVE. DURING NORMAL BUSINESS HOURS. April 4, 2017 Regular Meeting Community Meeting Room 7:00 PM Agenda posted according to PAMC Section 2.04.070. Supporting materials are available in the Council Chambers on the Thursday 10 days preceding the meeting. PUBLIC COMMENT Members of the public may speak to agendized items. If you wish to address the Committee on any issue that is on this agenda, please complete a speaker request card located on the table at the entrance to the Council Chambers/Community Meeting Room, and deliver it to the Clerk prior to discussion of the item. You are not required to give your name on the speaker card in order to speak to the Committee, but it is very helpful. Call to Order Oral Communications Members of the public may speak to any item NOT on the agenda. Action Items 1. Finance Committee Discussion and Recommendation That Council Adopt (as Part of the Fiscal Year 2018 Annual Budget) a Resolution Amending the Residential Refuse Rates for Fiscal Year 2018 to Cover Program Costs and Keeping all Other Rates the Same 2. Utilities Advisory Commission Recommendation That the City Council Adopt: (1) a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan; and (2) a Resolution Increasing Water Rates by Amending Rate Schedules W-1 (General Residential Water Service), W-2 (Water Service From Fire Hydrants), W-4 (Residential Master- Metered and General Non-Residential Water Service), and W-7 (Non- Residential Irrigation Water Service) and Removing the Drought Surcharge 3. Utilities Advisory Commission Recommendation That the City Council Adopt a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan Future Meetings and Agendas Adjournment 2 April 4, 2017 MATERIALS RELATED TO AN ITEM ON THIS AGENDA SUBMITTED TO THE CITY COUNCIL AFTER DISTRIBUTION OF THE AGENDA PACKET ARE AVAILABLE FOR PUBLIC INSPECTION IN THE CITY CLERK’S OFFICE AT PALO ALTO CITY HALL, 250 HAMILTON AVE. DURING NORMAL BUSINESS HOURS. AMERICANS WITH DISABILITY ACT (ADA) Persons with disabilities who require auxiliary aids or services in using City facilities, services or programs or who would like information on the City’s compliance with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) of 1990, may contact (650) 329-2550 (Voice) 24 hours in advance. Finance Committee Items Tentatively Scheduled Meeting Date Line No. Item Title Referral Date 4/18/2017 1 Recommendations on Proposed Fiscal Year 2018 Community Development Block Grant Funding Allocations and the Draft Fiscal Year 2018 Annual Action Plan (Planning) 2 GULP Update (Utilities) 5/16/2017 3 Electric FY 2018 Financial Plan and Rate Adjustments (Utilities) 4 Gas FY 2018 Financial Plan and Rate Adjustments (Utilities) 6/6/2017 5 3rd Quarter Financial Status Report 12/5/2017 6 Presentation of FY2017 CAFR City of Palo Alto (ID # 7724) Finance Committee Staff Report Report Type: Action Items Meeting Date: 4/4/2017 City of Palo Alto Page 1 Council Priority: Environmental Sustainability Summary Title: Finance Committee Recommendation to Adopt the Refuse Rates for FY 2018 Title: Finance Committee Discussion and Recommendation That Council Adopt (As Part of the Fiscal Year 2018 Annual Budget) a Resolution Amending the Residential Refuse Rates for Fiscal Year 2018 to Cover Program Costs and Keeping All Other Rates the Same From: City Manager Lead Department: Public Works Recommendation Staff recommends the Finance Committee: Recommend Council adopt (as part of the Fiscal Year 2018 Annual Budget) the attached resolution (Attachment A) amending Utility Rate Schedule R-1 (Residential Refuse Rates)(Attachment B). Executive Summary Staff proposes a 5% increase in FY 2018 to complete the three-year plan of residential rate adjustments,balancing residential sector revenues and expenses (SR #5566). The proposed residential rate increase of 5% is less than the previously projected third-year rate increase of 8%due to program expense reductions. The 5% residential rate increase brings residential revenues fully in line with that sector’s expenses, consistent with state law requirements. Staff is not proposing any changes to the commercial rate at this time. Background Refuse Services Residential and commercial refuse rates pay for more than just garbage City of Palo Alto Page 2 collection,including the following: ·Garbage service –Curbside collection of the black garbage cart, processing the garbage at the Sunnyvale Material and Recovery Transfer (SMaRT) Station and landfilling the residual at Kirby Canyon Landfill in San Jose. ·Recycling service –Curbside collection of the blue recycling cart, sorting the recyclables into saleable commodities at the GreenWaste Recovery Charles Street Material Recovery Facility (MRF). ·Compost service –Curbside collection of the green cart;processing and anaerobic digestion of yard trimmings and food scraps at the Zero Waste Energy Development (ZWED) facility in north San Jose to produce compost and green energy. ·Street Sweeping service –Weekly street sweeping services during the leaf season and bi-weekly sweeping the rest of the year. ·Annual Clean Up Day – Once a year each single-family residential refuse customer can contact GreenWaste to pick up four large items that cannot fit in the black garbage cart, in addition to contained garbage, recyclables and yard trimmings. ·Zero Waste Palo Alto support – Residents and businesses can contact Zero Waste staff to gain valuable information on home composting, reducing food waste and zero waste events. ·Household Hazardous Waste (HHW) service –Weekly collection program at the HHW Station located at the Palo Alto Regional Water Quality Control Plant. ·Palo Alto Landfill post closure maintenance and monitoring – Ongoing maintenance and monitoring at the now-closed Palo Alto Landfill. The cost of refuse services for each program area is listed in Table 1. Zero waste program support is included in the “Solid Waste” category. Table 1.Refuse Program Costs Preliminary Budget FY 2018 $31.1 million* Solid Waste Recycling Compost Landfill Hazardous Waste Street Sweeping $15.6 m $4.0 m $5.6 m $3.9 m $0.6 m $1.4 m *The final FY 2018 budget amounts may differ from these estimates. Single-Family Residential Refuse Rates (R-1) City of Palo Alto Page 3 In 2015, the City contracted with a consultant to prepare a Solid Waste Rate Structure and Analysis Report. The report noted the revenue collected from residential refuse customers was less than the cost to service the residential customers. The Finance Committee approved staff’s proposed plan to increase residential rates 28% (for most customers) over three years to provide sufficient revenue to cover all residential expenses by FY 2018 (SR #5566). Residential rates were increased 9% in FY 2016, 9% in FY 2017,and in FY 2018 staff proposes a 5% increase to complete the three-year balancing plan. Discussion Commercial Rates (RC) No changes are recommended to commercial rates at this time. Single-Family Residential Rates This proposed 5%rate increase is less than the previously projected increase of 8% primarily due to GreenWaste depreciation expenses and reductions in the Sunnyvale Materials and Recycling Transfer (SMaRT) Station debt services budget. As the initial projected FY 2018 budget of $31.1 million is roughly $300,000 more than the FY 2017 budget of $30.8 million, a 5% rate increase is all that is needed to fully fund the residential sector refuse expenses. Although a small proportion of customers will “downsize” their garbage cart, staff does not anticipate this significantly impacting overall revenue. Table 2 lists the various garbage cart sizes available and current corresponding rates and recommended rate increases. Table 2: Recommended FY 2018 Adjustments (R-1 Single-Family Residential Rate Schedule) Cart Size Current Rates (monthly) Recommended FY 2018 Rates (monthly) Dollar Increase Percentage Increase 20 gal $26.48 $27.81 $1.33 5% 32 gal $47.69 $50.07 $2.38 5% 64 gal $95.38 $100.15 $4.77 5% 96 gal $143.07 $150.22 $7.15 5% To cover projected expenses through FY 2021, staff projects residential rate increases of 5% in FY 2018, 3% in FY 2019, 3% in FY 2020, and 3% in FY 2021. City of Palo Alto Page 4 The City offers one of the most comprehensive Refuse,Zero Waste, street sweeping and household hazardous waste collection programs in the region. Nonetheless, the City’s least expensive rate option, a mini-can,is priced within the range of neighboring cities (Table 3). The Palo Alto rates are proposed for July 1, 2017. Cities with lower monthly rates generally offer fewer services. Table 3: Regional Single-Family Residential Monthly Rate+Comparison City Least Expensive Rate Palo Alto $27.81 Menlo Park $13.99 Mountain View $20.05 San Jose $32.07* Santa Clara $19.93 Sunnyvale $38.23* +As of March 2017 * Does not offer a minican/20 gallon cart To minimize the need for rate increases, staff implemented several significant cost saving measures in recent years, including but not limited to (1) accelerating the filling and closing of the City’s landfill; (2) contracting street sweeping operations and moving to less frequent sweeping during the non-leaf season; and (3) improvements and efficiencies gained in the City’s household hazardous waste collection program. Note, approximately two-thirds of Refuse Program expenses are based on CPI increases built into respective agreements. The projections for FY 2018 and near- term future are based on these 3% CPI increases and are addressed in the recommended rates. Timeline Refuse Rate Implementation Schedule Task Schedule Finance Committee final rate approval as part of the budget process April 4, 2017 Proposition 218 notices mailed May 1, 2017 Council approval June 12, 2017 New Refuse Rates take effect July 1, 2017 City of Palo Alto Page 5 Resource Impact The impacts of the proposed FY 2018 refuse rate increases will implement the third year of a three-year phased program to realign rates between the residential, commercial and roll-off sectors so that residential revenues are sufficient to cover expenses. Rates in all sectors are sufficient to cover expenses and continue rebuilding refuse reserves to appropriate levels. Policy Implications There are no policy changes contained in the adoption of the proposed new Refuse Rates. Environmental Clearance/CEQA Adjustments of rates are statutorily exempt from the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) (Section 21083, Public Resources Code; Reverence Section 21080(b)(8), Public Resource Code. Attachments: ·Attachment A: Refuse Rates Resolution ·Attachment B: R1 7-1-2017 Attachment A Resolution No. ______ Resolution of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Amending the Utility Rate Schedule R-l for a Refuse Rate Increase RECITIALS A. Pursuant to Chapter 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, the City Council may by resolution adopt rules and regulations governing utility services and the fees and charges therefore; and B. The Council has considered the need for an adjustment in refuse collection rates to avoid a decrease in the Refuse Fund Rate Stabilization Reserve levels; and C. Pursuant to Article XIIID Sec. 6 of the California Constitution, on June XX, 2017 the Council of the City of Palo Alto held a public hearing to consider all protests against the proposed refuse rate fee increases; and D. The total number of written protests presented by the close of the public hearing was less than fifty percent (50%) of the total number of customers subject to the proposed refuse rate fee increases. The Council of the City of Palo Alto RESOLVES as follows: SECTION 1. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule R- l (Domestic Refuse Collection) is hereby amended to read in accordance with Sheets R-l-l, R-1-2,attached hereto and incorporated herein. The foregoing Utility Rate Schedules, as amended, shall become effective on July 1, 2017. SECTION 2. The rates contained in the attached Rate Schedules shall be in effect until Council adopts a new rate structure. SECTION 3. The Council finds that the revenue derived from the authorized adjustments of the refuse collection rates shall be used only for the purposes set forth in Article VII, Section 2, of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto. / / / / / / / / SECTION 4. The Council finds that the adoption of this resolution does not constitute a project under the California Environmental Quality Act, California Public Resources Code section 21080, subdivision (b)(8). INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST: _______________________________________________________ City Clerk Mayor APPROVED AS TO FORM:APPROVED: _______________________________________________________ City Attorney City Manager _____________________________ Director of Public Works / City Engineer _____________________________ Director of Administrative Services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SPECIAL CART CHARGES: JDOORQFDUWUHQWDO ««««««««««« JDOORQFDUWUHQWDO ««««««««««« JDOORQFDUWUHQWDO ««««««««««« JDOORQFDUWSXUFKDVH JDOORQFDUWSXUFKDVH«««««««««««««««««««««««  JDOORQFDUWSXUFKDVH«««««««««««««««««««««««  JDOORQFDUWSXUFKDVH«««««««««««««««««««««««  &DUWZDVK««««««««««««««««««««««««««««  &RPSRVWFDUWFRQWDPLQDWLRQ HQWLUHFDUWGXPSHG 5HF\FOLQJFDUWFRQWDPLQDWLRQ HQWLUHFDUWGXPSHG «««««««««««« 'DPDJHGFDUWH[FKDQJH RQHDOORZHGSHUFXVWRPHUHDFKFDOHQGDU\HDUDWQRFRVW  0RQWKO\NH\VHUYLFH FXVWRPHUSURYLGHGORFN ««««««««««««««« /RFN &ROOHFWRUSURYLGHG «««««««««««««««««««««« &DUWORFNLQVWDOODWLRQ««««««««««««««««««««««««  0RQWKO\FKDUJHIRUHDFK DGGLWLRQDOFDUWR IVHUYLFHDERYHWKUHHFDUWVIRUWKHFRP SRVWDEOHPDWHULDOVRUUHF\FOLQJFDUW City of Palo Alto (ID # 7854) Finance Committee Staff Report Report Type: Action Items Meeting Date: 4/4/2017 City of Palo Alto Page 1 Summary Title: FY 2018 Water Financial Plan and Rate Proposals Title: Utilities Advisory Commission Recommendation That the City Council Adopt: (1) a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan; and (2) a Resolution Increasing Water Rates by Amending Rate Schedules W-1 (General Residential Water Service), W-2 (Water Service From Fire Hydrants), W-4 (Residential Master-Metered and General Non- Residential Water Service), and W-7 (Non-Residential Irrigation Water Service) and Removing the Drought Surcharge From: City Manager Lead Department: Utilities Recommendation Staff and the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) request that the Finance Committee recommend that the Council: 1. Adopt a resolution (Attachment A) approving the fiscal year (FY) 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan (Attachment B); and 2. Transfer $1.877 million from the Rate Stabilization Reserve to the Operations Reserve; and 3. Adopt a resolution (Attachment C) increasing water rates by amending Rate Schedules W-1 (General Residential Water Service), W-2 (Water Service from Fire Hydrants), W-4 (Residential Master-Metered and General Non-Residential Water Service), and W-7 (Non-Residential Irrigation Water Service) and removing the drought surcharge; Executive Summary The FY 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan includes projections of the utility’s costs and revenues for FY 2018 through FY 2027. Costs are projected to rise by about 3% per year over the next several years, primarily due to increasing water supply costs. As a result, staff projects the need for a 4% water rate increase on July 1, 2017 and 6% rate increases in FY 2019 through FY 2023. Uncertainty about the persistence of lower water usage achieved during the recent drought makes these rate projections uncertain. The 4% increase for 2017 is needed to bring the unit cost of water in line with the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC)’s preliminary City of Palo Alto Page 2 estimates of FY 2018 wholesale water costs ($4.37/CCF). In addition, as discussed in last year’s financial plan, staff still recommends the transfer of $1.877 million from the Rate Stabilization Reserve to the Operations Reserve in FY 2017. This action will reduce the Rate Stabilization Reserve to zero. The UAC reviewed the Water Financial Plan and Rate Proposals at its meeting on March 1, 2017, and unanimously recommended approval of the proposed rates and financial plan. Background Every year staff presents the UAC with Financial Plans for its Electric, Gas, Water, and Wastewater Collection Utilities and recommends any rate adjustments required to maintain their financial health. These Financial Plans include a comprehensive overview of the utility’s operations, both retrospective and prospective, and are intended to be a reference for UAC and Council members as they review the budget and staff’s rate recommendations. Each Financial Plan also contains a set of Reserves Management Practices describing the reserves for each utility and the management practices for those reserves. The Finance Committee reviewed preliminary financial forecasts at its March 21, 2017 meeting. Staff has not revised the preliminary projections presented at that meeting. Discussion Staff’s annual assessment of the financial position of the City’s water utility is completed to ensure adequate revenue to fund operations, in compliance with the cost of service requirements set forth in the California Constitution (Proposition 218). This includes making long-term projections of market conditions, the physical condition of the system, and other factors that could affect utility costs, and setting rates adequate to recover these costs. The current rate proposals are also based on the cost of service methodology described in the 2012 Palo Alto Water Cost of Service & Rate Study, the 2015 Study update, and the 2015 Drought Rate memorandum completed by Raftelis Financial Consultants. Staff proposes to adjust water rates to the levels shown in Tables 1 and 2, below, effective July 1, 2017, to recover projected increases in the wholesale cost of water the City purchases from the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission. These changes are projected to increase the system average water rate by roughly 4%. These rate changes are included in the proposed amended rate schedules in Attachment D. Prices are increasing by the same amount across all rates as the underlying commodity cost is the same for all customers. City of Palo Alto Page 3 Table 1: Water Consumption Charges in $/CCF (Current and Proposed) Current (7/1/16) Proposed (7/1/17) Change* $/CCF % W-1 (Residential) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Tier 1 Rates 6.30 6.66 0.36 6% Tier 2 Rates 8.82 9.18 0.36 4% W-2 (Construction) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Uniform Rate 7.32 7.68 0.36 5% W-4 (Commercial) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Uniform Rate 7.32 7.68 0.36 5% W-7 (Irrigation) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Uniform Rate 8.72 9.08 0.36 4% Table 2: Current and Proposed Monthly Service Charge (No Change) Meter Size Monthly Service Charge ($/month based on meter size) Residential (W-1) Commercial (W-4) Irrigation (W-7) Fire Services (W-3) 5/8” $16.77 N/A 3/4” $22.60 N/A 1” $34.26 N/A 1 ½” $63.40 N/A 2” $98.37 $3.79 3” $209.11 N/A 4” $372.31 $23.42 6” $762.81 $68.03 8” $1,403.94 $144.97 10” $2,219.92 $260.70 12” $2,919.34 $421.11 Bill Impact of Proposed Rate Changes Table 5 shows the impact of the proposed July 1, 2017 rate changes on residential bills. The average increase is projected to be about four percent, which is related to commodity cost increases. The increase represents the difference between what was projected by staff during the FY 2017 forecasting process ($4.01/ccf) to the current estimate of what the FY 2018 SFPUC W-25 (Wholesale Use with Long-Term Contract) rate will be. While staff forecast $4.01/ccf based on preliminary figures provided by the SFPUC, the final rate SFPUC adopted for FY 2017 was $4.10/ccf, with reserves used to cover the difference in the City’s costs vs. revenues. City of Palo Alto Page 4 In early January, the SFPUC provided a preliminary range for their FY 2018 increase to the W-25 wholesale rate ($4.10 to $4.37/ccf). The SFPUC will not determine the final rate until May or June. However, in order to have the City’s rates in place for July 1, staff must provide notice to customers by the end of April. Staff has chosen to conservatively forecast at the high end of the SFPUC estimate. To calculate the rate increase needed as a result of the City’s increased commodity costs, staff, in coordination with the City’s cost of service consultant, applied the per unit commodity cost to the volumetric component of the rates, based on the analysis and methodology from the cost of service study. The per-unit commodity cost is the same for all classes of customers and across all usage levels. As this proposed increase only reflects changes to commodity costs, volumetric rates will increase by the same amount per ccf, regardless of customer type or usage tier. Table 5 shows the impact of the proposed changes. As the State has removed mandatory usage restrictions for California agencies, the SFPUC has adequate water supplies, and as the Water Fund’s reserves are within guideline levels, staff is recommending that Council deactivate the drought surcharge at this time. The bill comparison below assumes the deactivation of the drought surcharge. Table 5: Impact of Proposed Rate Changes on Residential Bills (no drought surcharge) Usage (CCF/month) Bill under Existing Rates (7/1/16) Bill under Proposed Rates (7/1/17) Change $/mo. % 4 $41.97 $43.41 $1.44 3.4% (Winter median) 7 63.39 65.91 2.52 4.0% (Annual median) 9 81.03 84.27 3.24 4.0% (Summer median) 14 125.13 130.17 5.04 4.0% 25 222.15 231.15 9.00 4.1% Table 6 shows the impact of the proposed July 1, 2017 rate changes on various representative commercial customer bills. As with residential rates, this comparison assumes the discontinuation of the drought surcharge. City of Palo Alto Page 5 Table 6: Impact of Proposed Rate Changes on Commercial Bills Usage (CCF/month) Bill under Current Rates (7/1/16) Bill under Proposed Rates (7/1/17) Change $/mo. % Commercial (W-4) (5/8” meters) (Annual median) 12 $104.61 $108.93 $4.32 4% (Annual average) 64 485.25 508.29 23.04 5% Irrigation (W-7) (1 ½” meters) (Winter median) 9 142 145 3 2% (Summer median) 37 386 399 13 3% (Winter average) 56 552 572 20 4% (Summer average) 199 1,799 1,870 72 4% FY 2018 Financial Plan’s Projected Rate Adjustments for the Next Five Fiscal Years Table 7 shows the projected rate adjustments over the next five years and their impact on the annual median residential water bill. Table 7: Projected Rate Adjustments, FY 2018 to FY 2022 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 Water Utility 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% Estimated Bill Impact ($/mo)* $3.24 $5.06 $5.36 $5.68 $6.02 * estimated annual impact on median residential water bill, which is currently $81.03. The main driver for the increase in the water utility’s costs (and therefore rates) over the next several years is the cost of water. Wholesale water costs are adopted by the SFPUC, and generally change on an annual basis. Last year the SFPUC’s wholesale rate rose by 9%, and current projections range from 0% to 7%. Over the forecast period, though, it is projected to rise by two to three percent per year. If lower usage persists from the drought, the magnitude of future increases will be difficult to predict. What is certain is that the SFPUC’s costs to operate the Regional Water System are primarily fixed costs, so the water rate charged to wholesale customers like the City of Palo Alto is highly dependent on usage by users of the Regional Water System. The City’s FY 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan assumes that, while the drought has ended and usage has started to increase, based on CPAU’s experience, consumption is not anticipated to return to pre-drought levels. The Water Utility may also see a $1 million increase in operating costs for a capital lease for emergency generators for wells and pump stations. Aside from that, operating and CIP costs are projected to rise roughly 2% to 4% annually over that time. There remains some uncertainty in the forecasts of capital costs for the water utility in coming years. Water main replacement costs have risen substantially in recent years, and it is possible higher CIP expenditures will be required in the future. Higher bid costs and delays in project schedules have resulted in a projected deferment of main replacement projects by two years, City of Palo Alto Page 6 starting in FY 2017, meaning that capital investment costs will be lower for those two years. This delay in main replacement, along with the proposed rate trajectory, should allow for the Operations Reserve to remain well within the reserve guidelines throughout the forecast period. Water Bill Comparison with Surrounding Cities Table 8 compares water bills for residential customers to those in surrounding communities as of February 1, 2017 (under current the City’s current water rates). Palo Alto customers have the highest monthly bills of the group, although bills for smaller water users are lower than in some surrounding communities. It is unclear at this time what water rate changes may be implemented in these communities for FY 2018. Table 8: Residential Monthly Water Bill Comparison Usage (CCF/month) Residential monthly bill comparison ($/month)* As of February 2016 Palo Alto Menlo Park Mountain View Hayward Redwood City Santa Clara 4 43.69 44.46 46.47 34.63 33.37 19.80 (Winter median) 7 67.18 63.03 65.43 53.68 45.20 34.65 (Annual median) 9 87.24 75.43 78.07 66.38 53.09 44.55 (Summer median) 14 137.39 107.95 119.47 98.13 73.81 69.30 25 247.72 180.33 229.94 206.08 119.91 123.75 Based on the FY 2013 BAWSCA survey, the fraction of SFPUC as the source of potable water supply was 100% for Palo Alto, 95% for Menlo Park, 100% for Redwood City, 87% for Mountain View, 10% for Santa Clara and 100% for Hayward. Changes from Preliminary Financial Forecast After presenting the preliminary financial forecast to the UAC on February 1, 2017, staff re- evaluated reserve and cost positions and determined a commodity-only increase could be performed without negatively impacting the financial health of the utility. The final SFPUC wholesale rate is not determined until May or June, well after Palo Alto needs to propose and notice its rate changes to the public under Proposition 218. In the future, staff may recommend that the SFPUC Schedule W-25 (Wholesale Cost with Long-Term Contract) commodity cost to Palo Alto be automatically passed -through to ratepayers, similar to how gas commodity costs are passed through on a monthly basis. Allowing commodity costs to automatically adjust via a pass-through charge would better match revenues to the City’s wholesale costs and avoid having to reconcile SFPUC’s commodity cost changes many months after they are imposed. California law implementing Prop. 218 (Government Code 53766) allows for automatic adjustments that pass-through increases or decreases in the City’s wholesale water costs, so long as customers are informed of the rate adjustment at least 30 days in advance of each rate adjustment. Customers would be informed of the City’s initial intent to automatically adjust City of Palo Alto Page 7 these costs via the standard Proposition 218 notice and hearing process. If no majority protest occurred and Council adopted the proposed rates, future changes to the wholesale rate could be passed through to customers upon 30 days’ notice to customers, and such notice is typically included on the utility bill. The automatic pass-through adjustment would need to be reapproved, via a new Proposition 218 notice and public hearing process, every five years. Changes from Last Year’s Financial Forecast Table 9 compares current rate projections to those projected in the last two year’s Financial Plans. As shown, the FY 2018 rate projections are somewhat lower than projected last year. The cumulative projected increase in rates through FY 2026 is similar to last year’s projections. In this year’s projection, however, higher reserves allow rates to be increased gradually over the entire forecast period, rather than increased quickly in FY 2018, FY 2019, and FY 2020, as in last year’s projection. The overall rate increase over the forecast period is higher than projected in the FY 2016 Financial Plan, however, and this is due to the high likelihood of some of the water conservation habits established during the drought persisting long term, leading to lower consumption. Table 9: Projected Water Rate Trajectory for FY 2018 to FY 2027 Projection FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Current (FY 2018 Financial Plan) 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 2% 2% 2% 1% Last year (FY 2017 Financial Plan) 9% 9% 6% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 3% N/A Two years ago (FY 2016 Financial Plan) 8% 8% 3% 1% 2% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A Commission Review and Recommendation The UAC reviewed this proposal at its March 1, 2017 meeting. Staff noted that the rate projection had changed since the February 1, 2017 meeting as a result of new projections for the balance of the Operations Reserve. The original six percent increase was amended down to a four percent increase instead. After brief discussion the UAC voted to recommend that the Council adopt resolutions approving the FY 2018 Water Financial Plan and increasing water rates by amending Rate Schedules W-1, W-2, W-4 and W-7. The vote was unanimous (7-0). The draft excerpted minutes from the UAC’s March 1, 2017 meeting are provided as Attachment E. Timeline Assuming the Finance Committee supports staff’s recommendation, notification of the rate increases will be sent to customers as required by Article XIIID of the State Constitution (added by Proposition 218). The Financial Plans and rate schedules will then go to the City Council with City of Palo Alto Page 8 the FY 2018 budget for adoption, at which time the public hearing required by Article XIIID of the State Constitution will be held. All residents and other interested persons may submit written or oral testimony at the hearing, and may also submit written protests to any or all of the proposed rate increases. Council may adopt the proposed rates unless written protests are filed by a majority of the affected customers. Assuming the rate changes are approved, they will become effective July 1, 2017. Resource Impact Normal year sales revenues for the Water Utility are projected to increase by roughly 4% ($1 million) as a result of these rate increases. See the attached FY 2018 Water Financial Plan for a more comprehensive overview of projected cost and revenue changes for the next ten years. Policy Implications The proposed water rate adjustments are consistent with Council-adopted Reserve Management Practices that are part of the Financial Plans, and were developed using a cost of service study and methodology consistent with the cost of service requirements of Proposition 218. Environmental Review The Finance Committee’s review and recommendation to Council on the FY 2018 Water Financial Plans and rate adjustments does not meet the definition of a project requiring California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) review, under Public Resources Code Section 21065 and is exempt from CEQA review under Public Resources Code Section 21080(b)(8) as an adoption of rates to meet operating expenses, purchase supplies, meet reserve needs and obtain capital improvement funds). Attachments:  Attachment A: Resolution Approving the FY 2018 Water Financial Plan  Attachment B: Proposed FY 2018 Water Financial Plan  Attachment C: Resolution of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Increasing Water Rates by Amending Rate Schedules W-1, W-2, W-4, and W-7 and Deactivating the Level 2 Drought Surcharge  Attachment D: Proposed Amendments to Rate Schedules W-1_W-2_W-4, and W-7 effective 7-1-2017  Attachment E: Excerpt of Draft March 1, 2017 Utilities Advisory Commission Minutes Attachment A * NOT YET APPROVED * 170216 jb 6053918 Resolution No. ______ Resolution of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Approving the FY 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan R E C I T A L S A. Each year the City of Palo Alto (“City”) regularly assesses the financial position of its utilities with the goal of ensuring adequate revenue to fund operations. This includes making long-term projections of market conditions, the physical condition of the system, and other factors that could affect utility costs, and setting rates adequate to recover these costs. It does this with the goal of providing safe, reliable, and sustainable utility services at competitive rates. The City adopts Financial Plans to summarize these projections. B. The City uses reserves to protect against contingencies and to manage other aspects of its operations, and regularly assesses the adequacy of these reserves and the management practices governing their operation. The status of utility reserves and their management practices are included in Reserves Management Practices attached to and made part of the Financial Plans. The Council of the City of Palo Alto does hereby RESOLVE as follows: SECTION 1. The Council hereby adopts the FY 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan. SECTION 2. The Council hereby approves the transfer of $1.877 million in FY 2018 from the Rate Stabilization Reserve to the Operations Reserve, as described in the FY 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan approved via this resolution. SECTION 3. The Council finds that the adoption of this resolution does not meet the definition of a project requiring California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) review, under / / / / / / / / / / Attachment A * NOT YET APPROVED * 170216 jb 6053918 California Public Resources Code 21065 and CEQA Guidelines Section 15378(b)(5), because it is an administrative governmental activity which will not cause a direct or indirect physical change in the environment. INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST: ___________________________ ___________________________ City Clerk Mayor APPROVED AS TO FORM: APPROVED: ___________________________ ___________________________ Senior Deputy City Attorney City Manager ___________________________ Director of Utilities ___________________________ Director of Administrative Services FY 2018 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2018 TO FY 2027 ATTACHMENT B WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 2 | P a g e FY 2018 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2018 TO FY 2027 TABLE OF CONTENTS Section 1: Definitions and Abbreviations................................................................................ 4 Section 2: Executive Summary and Recommendations ........................................................... 4 Section 2A: Overview of Financial Position .................................................................................. 4 Section 2B: Summary of Proposed Actions .................................................................................. 5 Section 3: Detail of FY 2018 Rate and Reserves Proposals ....................................................... 5 Section 3A: Rate Design ............................................................................................................... 5 Section 3B: Current and Proposed Rates ..................................................................................... 6 Section 3C: Bill Impact of Proposed Rate Changes ...................................................................... 8 Section 3D: Proposed Reserve Transfers ................................................................................... 10 Section 4: Utility Overview .................................................................................................. 10 Section 4A: Water Utility History ............................................................................................... 10 Section 4B: Customer Base ........................................................................................................ 11 Section 4C: Distribution System ................................................................................................. 11 Section 4D: Cost Structure and Revenue Sources ...................................................................... 11 Section 4E: Reserves Structure ................................................................................................... 12 Section 4F: Competitiveness ...................................................................................................... 13 Section 5: Utility Financial Projections ................................................................................. 13 Section 5A: Load Forecast .......................................................................................................... 13 Section 5B: FY 2012 to FY 2016 Cost and Revenue Trends ........................................................ 15 Section 5C: FY 2016 Results ....................................................................................................... 16 Section 5D: FY 2017 Projections ................................................................................................ 16 Section 5E: FY 2018 – FY 2027 Projections ................................................................................ 16 Section 5F: Risk Assessment and Reserves Adequacy ............................................................... 18 Section 5G: Alternate ScenarIOS ................................................................................................ 19 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 3 | P a g e Section 5H: Long-Term Outlook ................................................................................................. 19 Section 6: Details and Assumptions ..................................................................................... 20 Section 6A: Water Purchase Costs ............................................................................................. 20 Section 6B: Operations .............................................................................................................. 21 Section 6C: Capital Improvement Program (CIP) ....................................................................... 22 Section 6D: Debt Service ............................................................................................................ 24 Section 6E: Other Revenues ....................................................................................................... 26 Section 6F: Sales Revenues ........................................................................................................ 26 Section 7: Communications Plan .......................................................................................... 26 Appendices ......................................................................................................................... 28 Appendix A: Water Utility Financial Forecast Detail ................................................................. 29 Appendix B: Water Utility Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Detail ..................................... 31 Appendix C: Water Utility Reserves Management Practices ..................................................... 33 Appendix D: Description of Water Utility Operational Activities ............................................... 36 Appendix E: Sample of Water Utility Outreach Communications ............................................. 37 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 4 | P a g e SECTION 1: DEFINITIONS AND ABBREVIATIONS BAWSCA Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency CCF The standard unit of measurement for water delivered to water customers, equal to one hundred cubic feet, or roughly 748 gallons. CIP Capital Improvement Program CPAU City of Palo Alto Utilities Department O&M Operations and Maintenance RFC Raftelis Financial Consultants, Inc. SFPUC San Francisco Public Utilities Commission SFWD San Francisco Water Department UAC Utilities Advisory Commission WSIP The SFPUC’s Water System Improvement Program to seismically strengthen the transmission lines of the Hetch Hetchy regional water system. SECTION 2: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS This document presents a Financial Plan for the City’s Water Utility for the next ten years. This Financial Plan provides revenues to cover the costs of operating the utility safely over that time while adequately investing for the future. It also addresses the financial risks facing the utility over the short term and long term, and includes measures to mitigate and manage those risks. SECTION 2A: OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL POSITION Overall costs in the Water Utility are expected to rise by about 3% per year from fiscal year (FY) 2017 to 2027. Excluding FY 2018 (which, unlike a normal year, does not include a water main replacement project), most costs are projected to rise by two to three percent annually through the projection period. The costs for the Water Utility are shown in Table 1 below. Table 1: Expenses for FY 2016 to FY 2027 (Thousand $’s) Expenses ($000) FY 2016 (act.) FY 2017 (est.) FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Water Purchases 17,626 19,246 21,347 22,756 22,850 22,933 23,016 23,120 23,367 23,625 23,890 24,495 Operations 15,895 17,601 18,064 18,535 19,023 19,475 19,905 20,349 20,798 21,260 21,734 22,220 Capital Projects 9,082 4,110 4,082 10,314 10,067 10,364 10,671 10,986 11,310 11,645 11,989 12,343 TOTAL 42,603 40,610 43,494 51,605 51,940 52,773 53,591 54,455 55,475 56,529 57,613 59,059 This proposed financial plan projects that the rate increases shown in Table 2 are needed to ensure that revenues cover rising costs and reserves remain healthy. The table also shows rate projections from last year’s Financial Plan. Last year’s plan projected earlier, more aggressive rate increases. However, the delay of the planned FY 2017 and FY 2018 water main replacement projects resulted in an increase in reserves, which enabled the more gradual WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 5 | P a g e increases projected in the current plan. This also means that the Rate Stabilization Reserve will be drawn down over a longer time frame than projected in last year’s financial plan. Table 2: Projected Water Rate Trajectory for FY 2018 to FY 2027 Projection FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Current 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 2% 2% 2% 1% Last year 9% 9% 6% 2% 2% 2% 3% 5% 3% N/A 2 years 8% 8% 3% 1% 2% 3% N/A N/A N/A N/A The Water Utility has a Rate Stabilization Reserve that can be used to smooth rate increases over several years. This Financial Plan projects that these reserves will be exhausted by the end of FY 2017. The Water Utility also has a Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Reserve that can be used to offset one-time unanticipated capital costs. This Financial Plan assumes that the CIP Reserve will be used for unanticipated capital expenses or returned to the Operations Reserve by the end of FY 2020. Table 3 shows the projected reserve transfers over the forecast period. Table 3: Transfers To/(From) Reserves for FY 2017 to FY 2027 ($000) Reserve FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 to FY 2027 Capital Improvement - (2,726) Rate Stabilization (1,877) - - Operations 1,867 - 2,726 SECTION 2B: SUMMARY OF PROPOSED ACTIONS Staff proposes the following actions for the Water Utility in FY 2018: 1. Increase rates by 4%, reflecting proposed increases to SFPUC wholesale rates. This is described in more detail in Section 3B: Current and Proposed Rates. 2. Transfer $1.877 million from the Rate Stabilization Reserve to the Operations Reserve. See Section 3D: Proposed Reserve Transfers for more details. SECTION 3: DETAIL OF FY 2018 RATE AND RESERVES PROPOSALS SECTION 3A: RATE DESIGN The Water Utility’s rates are evaluated and implemented in compliance with the cost of service requirements and procedural rules set forth in the California Constitution under Article 13 (per Proposition 218). Current rates were structured based on staff’s assessment of the financial position of the Water Utility, and updated using the methodology from the March 2012 Palo Alto Water Cost of Service & Rate Study by Raftelis Financial Consultants, Inc. (Staff Report 2676), as well as Raftelis’ 2015 Memorandum: Proposed Water Rates updating the 2012 Study and analyzing drought rates (Staff Report 5951). Staff plans to review and update this cost of service study in 2 to 3 years, unless any major changes occur to the utility’s operations or customer base that would necessitate an earlier study. Before conducting any new cost of WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 6 | P a g e service study, staff will review current rates and the scope of the study with the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) and Council to determine the City’s policy priorities. In 2015 Council adopted a drought surcharge to assist the water utility in recovering its costs due to decreased revenue due to lower water consumption resulting from conservation measures. Recent rains have dramatically improved the water supply outlook for the Hetch Hetchy system, eliminating local drought impacts. Mandatory usage restrictions have been lifted by the State of California, and while voluntary measures may still remain in place , customers’ usage of water has started to increase. The increasing usage, the end of the drought, and the healthy level of Operations reserves indicate to staff that the drought surcharge can be removed at this time. SECTION 3B: CURRENT AND PROPOSED RATES The current rates and surcharges were effective on July 1, 2016. Rates were adjusted in accordance with the results of an updated cost of service study performed by Raftelis Financial Consultants, Inc. (RFC) in 2015. The 2015 study both developed the drought surcharges and validated the City’s water rate methodology and structure in light of court decisions interpreting provisions of the State Constitution applicable to water rates. RFC recommended only minor adjustments to ensure that peaking costs were equitably allocated to each customer class and residential rate tier. CPAU has five rate schedules: one for separately metered residential customers (W-1), one for commercial and master-metered multi-family residential customers (W-4), and specific schedules for irrigation-only services (W-7), services to fire sprinkler systems in buildings and private hydrants (W-3), and for service to fire hydrant rental meters used for construction (W- 2). All customers pay a monthly service charge based on the size of their inlet meter. This charge represents meter reading, billing, and other customer service costs, but also the cost of maintaining the capability to deliver a peak flow for that customer corresponding to their meter size. All customers are also charged for each CCF (one hundred cubic feet) of water used. Separately metered residential customers are charged on a tiered basis, with the first 0.2 CCF per day (6 CCF for a 30 day billing period) charged at the base price per CCF, and all additional units charged a higher price per CCF. Commercial customers pay a uniform price for each CCF used, and a higher price for separately metered irrigation service. Table 4 shows the current and proposed consumption charges. The average increase is projected to be about four percent, which is related to commodity cost increases. The increase represents the difference between what was projected by staff during the FY 2017 forecasting process ($4.01/ccf) to the current estimate of what the FY 2018 SFPUC W-25 (Wholesale Use with Long-Term Contract) rate will be. While staff forecast $4.01/ccf based on preliminary figures provided by the SFPUC, the final rate adopted for FY2017 was $4.10/ccf, with reserves used to cover the difference in cost vs. revenues. In early January, the SFPUC provided a preliminary range for their FY 2018 increase to the W-25 wholesale rate ($4.10 to $4.37/ccf). The SFPUC will not determine the final rate until May or WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 7 | P a g e June. However, in order to have rates in place for July 1, staff must notice customers by the end of April. Staff has chosen to conservatively forecast at the high end of the SFPUC estimate. The SFPUC does not typically provide it’s final, annual change to its wholesale rate until the City’s retail rate is already proposed to Council for adoption. To meet Palo Alto’s timeline to increase rates by July 1, staff has historically set retail rates based on early estimates from the SFPUC, which are subject to change. Changes in the SFPUC’s wholesale rate require staff to reconcile costs and revenues well after the fact. To calculate the rate increase needed as a result of the City’s increased commodity costs, staff, in coordination with the City’s cost of service consultant, applied the per-unit commodity cost to the volumetric component of the rates, based on the analysis and methodology from the cost of service study. The per-unit commodity cost is the same for all classes of customers and across all usage levels. As this proposed increase only reflects changes to commodity costs, volumetric rates will increase by the same amount per ccf, regardless of customer type or usage tier. California law implementing Prop. 218 (Government Code 53766) allows for automatic adjustments that pass-through increases or decreases in the City’s wholesale water costs, so long as customers are informed of the rate adjustment at least 30 days in advance of each rate adjustment. Customers would be informed of the City’s initial intent to automatically adjust these costs via the standard Proposition 218 notice and hearing process. If no majority protest occurred and Council adopted the proposed rates, future changes to the wholesale rate could be passed through to customers upon 30 days’ notice, which is typically included on the utility bill. The automatic pass-through adjustment would need to be reapproved, via a new Prop. 218 notice and public hearing process, every five years. Table 4: Current and Proposed Water Consumption Charges Current (7/1/16) Proposed (7/1/17) Change* $/CCF % W-1 (Residential) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Tier 1 Rates 6.30 6.66 0.36 6% Tier 2 Rates 8.82 9.18 0.36 4% W-2 (Construction) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Uniform Rate 7.32 7.68 0.36 5% W-4 (Commercial) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Uniform Rate 7.32 7.68 0.36 5% W-7 (Irrigation) Volumetric Rates ($/CCF) Uniform Rate 8.72 9.08 0.36 4% Table 5 shows the current monthly service charges for all rate schedules. Staff is not recommending a change to the monthly service charge schedule at this time, as they are not affected by the SFPUC’s wholesale water rate changes. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 8 | P a g e Table 5: Current Monthly Service Charges Meter Size Monthly Service Charge ($/month based on meter size) Residential (W-1) Commercial (W-4) Irrigation (W-7) Fire Services (W-3) 5/8” $16.77 N/A 3/4” $22.60 N/A 1” $34.26 N/A 1 ½” $63.40 N/A 2” $98.37 $3.79 3” $209.11 N/A 4” $372.31 $23.42 6” $762.81 $68.03 8” $1,403.94 $144.97 10” $2,219.92 $260.70 12” $2,919.34 $421.11 SECTION 3C: BILL IMPACT OF PROPOSED RATE CHANGES Table 6 shows the impact of the estimated July 1, 2017 rate changes on the median residential bill. The average increase is projected to be about four percent, but some customers may see slightly higher or lower increases due to slight changes in the composition of the utility’s costs. To allow for effective comparison, the sample bills shown in Table 6 do not include the temporary drought surcharge, since this would make the bills based on the July 1, 2016 rates appear artificially high and obscure the effects of the increases to long-term rates effective July 1, 2017. In reality, though, many customers will see a decrease in their bills due to the removal of the drought surcharge. This is shown in Table 7. Table 6: Impact of Proposed Water Rate Changes on Residential Bills (no surcharge) Usage (CCF/month) Bill under Current Rates (7/1/16) Bill under Proposed Rates (7/1/17) Change $/mo. % 4 $41.97 $43.41 $1.44 3.4% (Winter median) 7 63.39 65.91 2.52 4.0% (Annual median) 9 81.03 84.27 3.24 4.0% (Summer median) 14 125.13 130.17 5.04 4.0% 25 222.15 231.15 9.00 4.1% WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 9 | P a g e Table 7: Impact of Proposed Water Rate Changes on Residential Bills (with 20% drought surcharge) Usage (CCF/month) Bill under Current Rates (7/1/16) Bill under Proposed Rates (7/1/17) Change $/mo. % 4 $43.69 $43.41 ($0.28) -0.6% (Winter median) 7 67.18 65.91 (1.27) -1.9% (Annual median) 9 87.24 84.27 (2.97) -3.4% (Summer median) 14 137.39 130.17 (7.22) -5.3% 25 247.72 231.15 (16.57) -6.7% Error! Reference source not found. shows the impact of the proposed July 1, 2017 rate changes on various representative commercial customer bills. As for the residential comparison in Table 6 above, this comparison does not include the drought surcharge. A comparison with the existing 20% surcharge is shown in Table 9. Table 8: Impact of Proposed Water Rate Changes on Commercial Bills (no surcharge) Usage (CCF/month) Bill under Current Rates (7/1/16) Bill under Proposed Rates (7/1/17) Change $/mo. % Commercial (W-4) (5/8” meters) (Annual median) 12 $104.61 $108.93 $4.32 4% (Annual average) 64 485.25 508.29 23.04 5% Irrigation (W-7) (1 ½” meters) (Winter median) 9 142 145 3 2% (Summer median) 37 386 399 13 3% (Winter average) 56 552 572 20 4% (Summer average) 199 1,799 1,870 72 4% Table 9: Impact of Proposed Water Rate Changes on Commercial Bills (with 20% drought surcharge) Usage (CCF/month) Bill under Current Rates (7/1/16) Bill under Proposed Rates (7/1/17) Change $/mo. % Commercial (W-4) (5/8” meters) (Annual median) 12 $110.97 $108.93 ($2.04) -2% (Annual average) 64 519.17 508.29 (10.88) -2% Irrigation (W-7) (1 ½” meters) (Winter median) 9 153 145 (8) -5% (Summer median) 37 432 399 (33) -8% (Winter average) 56 622 572 (50) -8% (Summer average) 199 2,047 1,870 (177) -9% WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 10 | P a g e SECTION 3D: PROPOSED RESERVE TRANSFERS In the FY 2017 Financial Plan, staff proposed transferring $1.87 million from the Rate Stabilization Reserve to the Operations Reserve in FY 2017. This transfer will exhaust the Rate Stabilization Reserve, as planned for and discussed in Section 4E: Reserves Structure, and is included in the financial projections in this Financial Plan. It will enable CPAU to maintain adequate Operations Reserve levels while moderating the pace of increase in water rates. However, a proposed $4 million transfer from the CIP Reserve to the Operations Reserve was also discussed in the FY 2016 Financial Plan. As the Operations reserve is projected to end the year at its maximum allowed level, this transfer is no longer required at this time. These funds will be retained for unexpected CIP expenses. The impact of these transfers on reserves levels can be seen in Section 4E: Reserves Structure and Appendix A: Water Utility Financial Forecast Detail. SECTION 4: UTILITY OVERVIEW This section provides an overview of the utility and its operations. It is intended as general background information and to help readers better understand the forecasts in Section 5: Utility Financial Projections and Section 6: Details and Assumptions. SECTION 4A: WATER UTILITY HISTORY The Water Utility was established on May 9, 1896, two years after the city was incorporated. Voters of the 750 person community approved a $40,000 bond to buy local, private water companies who operated one or more shallow wells to serve the nearby residents. The city grew and the well system expanded until nine wells were in operation in 1932. Palo Alto began receiving water from the San Francisco Water Department (SFWD) in 1937 to supplement these sources. A 1950 engineering report noted, “the capricious alternation of well waters and the San Francisco Water Department water…has made satisfactory service to the average customer practically impossible”. By 1950, only eight wells were still in operation. Despite this, groundwater production increased in the 1950’s leading to lower groundwater tables and water quality concerns. In 1962, a survey of water softening costs to CPAU customers determined that CPAU should purchase 100% of its water supply needs from the SFWD. A 20-year contract was signed with San Francisco, and CPAU’s wells were placed in standby condition. The SFWD later became known as the SFPUC. Since 1962 (except for some very short periods) CPAU’s entire supply of potable water has come from the SFPUC. As the city grew, so did the number of mains in the water system. The system of mains expanded along with the town, while existing sections of the system continued to age. In the mid-1980s, the number of breaks in cast iron mains installed during the 1940s and earlier started to accelerate. In FY 1994, to combat deterioration of older sections of the system, an analysis of cost effective system improvements was performed and the rate of main replacement was increased from one mile per year to three. A plan to replace 75 miles of deficient mains within 25 years was begun. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 11 | P a g e Figure 1: Cost Structure (FY 2016) 42% 37% 21% Water Purchases Operations Capital In 1999, a study of system reliability concluded that major upgrades were needed to the distribution system to provide adequate water supply during a natural disaster. This ultimately resulted in the $40 million Emergency Water Supply and Storage Project, completed in 2013, which involved a new underground reservoir in El Camino Park, the siting and construction of several emergency supply wells, and the upgrade of several existing wells and the Mayfield pump station. Upon completion, the City began to focus its reliability efforts on its system of water storage reservoirs and transmission lines in the Foothills. At the same time that CPAU was evaluating the reliability of its own system, the SFPUC, in consultation with BAWSCA members, was evaluating the reliability of the Hetch Hetchy water system, which crosses two major fault lines between the Sierras and the Bay Area. That evaluation concluded that major upgrades to the system were required. This planning process culminated in the SFPUC’s $4.8 billion Water System Improvement Project (WSIP), which is ongoing. The SFPUC continues to evaluate its aging system for other needed infrastructure improvements. SECTION 4B: CUSTOMER BASE CPAU’s Water Utility provides water service to the residents and businesses of Palo Alto, plus a handful of residential customers not in Palo Alto (Los Altos Hills, primarily). Nearly 20,300 customers are connected to the water system, approximately 16,500 (81%) of which are separately metered residential customers and 3,800 (19%) of which are commercial, master- metered residential, irrigation and fire service customers. Judging from seasonal consumption patterns, between 35% and 50% of Palo Alto’s water is used for irrigation, and that consumption is heavily weather dependent. It also varies significantly by season. As a result of these two factors, there is significant variability in the amount of water that is demanded from the system month to month and year to year. SECTION 4C: DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM To deliver water to its customers, the utility owns roughly 233 miles of mains (which transport the water from the SFPUC meters at the city’s borders to the customer’s service laterals and meters), eight wells (to be used in emergencies), five water storage reservoirs (also for emergency purposes) and several tanks used to moderate pressure and deal with peaks in flow and demand (due to fire suppression, heavy usage times, etc.). These represent the vast majority of the infrastructure used to distribute water in Palo Alto. SECTION 4D: COST STRUCTURE AND REVENUE SOURCES As shown in Figure 1, water purchase costs accounted for roughly 42% of the Water Utility’s costs in FY 2016. Operational costs represented roughly 37%, and capital investment was responsible for the remaining 21%. These percentage distributions are projected to WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 12 | P a g e Figure 2: Revenue Structure (FY 2016) 99% 1% Sales of Water Other Revenue remain roughly the same over the forecast period. The Water Utility receives nearly all of its revenue from sales of water and the remainder from capacity and connection fees, interest on reserves, and other sources. As rates increase over the next several years, the percentage of revenue from sales of water is expected to increase as well. Appendix A: Water Utility Financial Forecast Detail shows more detail on the utility’s cost and revenue structures. Roughly 15% of the utility’s revenues come from fixed service charges, though most of its costs are fixed. This is typical for California water utilities, and conforms to the Best Management Practices (BMPs) of the California Urban Water Conservation Council (CUWCC), a statewide conservation council of environmental groups, state agencies, and water utilities to which the City is a signatory. One of CUWCC’s BMPs is that a utility’s revenue from fixed service charges constitutes at most 30% of the utility’s total revenue from all charges1. SECTION 4E: RESERVES STRUCTURE CPAU maintains six reserves for its Water Utility to manage various types of contingencies. These are summarized below, but see Appendix C: Water Utility Reserves Management Practices for more detailed definitions and guidelines for reserve management:  Reserve for Commitments: A reserve equal to the utility’s outstanding contract liabilities for the current fiscal year. Most City funds, including the General Fund, have a Commitments Reserve.  Reserve for Reappropriations: A reserve for funds dedicated to projects reappropriated by the City Council, nearly all of which are capital projects. Most City funds, including the General Fund, have a Reappropriations Reserve.  Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Reserve: The CIP reserve can be used to accumulate funds for future expenditure on CIP projects and is anticipated to be empty unless a major one-time CIP expenditure is expected in future years. This CIP can also act as a contingency reserve for the CIP. This type of reserve is used in other utility funds (Electric, Gas, and Wastewater Collection) as well.  Rate Stabilization Reserve: This reserve is intended to be empty unless one or more large rate increases are anticipated in the forecast period. In that case, funds can be accumulated to spread the impact of those future rate increases across multiple years. 1 See http://www.cuwcc.org/Resources/Memorandum-of-Understanding/Exhibit-1-BMP-Definitions-Schedules- and-Requirements/BMP-1-Utility-Operations-Programs WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 13 | P a g e This type of reserve is used in other utility funds (Electric, Gas, and Wastewater Collection) as well.  Operations Reserve: This is the primary contingency reserve for the Water Utility, and is used to manage yearly variances from budget for operational water supply costs. This type of reserve is used in other utility funds (Electric, Gas, and Wastewater Collection) as well.  Unassigned Reserve: This reserve is for any funds not assigned to the other reserves and is normally empty. SECTION 4F: COMPETITIVENESS Table 10 shows the current water bills for residential customers compared to what they would be under surrounding communities’ rate schedules. CPAU has the highest monthly bills of the group, although bills for smaller water users are less than in some surrounding communities. Note that Palo Alto’s rates include the Level 2 (20%) drought surcharge currently in effect.2 Table 10: Residential Monthly Water Bill Comparison Usage (CCF/month) Residential monthly bill comparison ($/month)* As of February 2017 Palo Alto Menlo Park Mountain View Hayward Redwood City Santa Clara 4 43.69 44.46 46.47 34.63 33.37 19.80 (Winter median) 7 67.18 63.03 65.43 53.68 45.20 34.65 (Annual median) 9 87.24 75.43 78.07 66.38 53.09 44.55 (Summer median) 14 137.39 107.95 119.47 98.13 73.81 69.30 25 247.72 180.33 229.94 206.08 119.91 123.75 * All comparisons use the 5/8” meter size. SECTION 5: UTILITY FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS SECTION 5A: LOAD FORECAST Figure 3 shows 40 years of water consumption history. Average water use has trended downward over time even as Palo Alto’s population has grown. Significant water use reductions over the 40-year history were in response to requests to reduce water use in the 1976-77 and 1988-92 drought periods. During these periods, customers invested in efficient equipment and modified behavior to achieve the water reduction goals. More recently, water sales decreased substantially during the 2007-2009 recession and during the current drought. Water use is down by similar amounts among both commercial and residential customers. Both summertime and wintertime use have decreased for all customer classes. 2 The City’s water rate schedules allow for drought surcharges to be activated by Council at Level One (10%-15% water use reduction level), Level Two (20%), or Level Three (25%) WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 14 | P a g e Figure 3: Historical Water Consumption Figure 4 shows the forecast of water consumption through FY 2027, as denoted by the dotted line. Figure 4: Forecast Water Consumption California has until recently been experiencing drought conditions, and the State had mandated a 24% water use restriction for Palo Alto up until May 2016. Customers continue to conserve, but water usage has been increasing. Based on patterns experienced in previous droughts and in recognition of continued state-level calls for conservation, this forecast assumes consumption will only return to 50% of its pre-drought levels, then resume with the previous trend of decreasing usage over time. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 15 | P a g e SECTION 5B: FY 2012 TO FY 2016 COST AND REVENUE TRENDS Figure 5 and the tables in Appendix A: Water Utility Financial Forecast Detail show how costs have changed during the last five years as well as how they are projected to change over the next decade. The annual expenses for the water utility rose substantially between 2012 and 2016. The increases were primarily related to water purchase costs, which increased 18% from $14.9 million in FY 2012 to $17.6 million in FY 2016. A more in-depth discussion of water purchase costs will be found in Section 6A: Water Purchase Costs. Operations cost increased by about 3% annually, while CIP costs stayed relatively flat, except in FY 2013 when water main replacement projects were delayed to permit completion of a backlog of projects budgeted in prior years. Figure 5: Water Utility Expenses, Revenues, and Rate Changes: Actual Costs through FY 2016 and Projections through FY 2027 Actual Projected WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 16 | P a g e SECTION 5C: FY 2016 RESULTS Forecasted revenues for FY 2016 were only slightly lower than projected ($39.4 million vs. $39.6 million) due to customers conserving more than requested during the drought. Savings in CIP spending as well as operations and maintenance expenses were the main drivers. Table 11 summarizes the variances from forecast. Table 11: FY 2016, Actual Results vs. Financial Plan Forecast Net Cost/ (Benefit) Type of change Lower sales revenues $175,000 Revenue decrease Capital improvement costs lower than expected ($1,957,000) Cost savings Admin and general costs lower than expected ($715,000) Cost savings Operations and maintenance costs lower than expected (852,000) Cost savings Net Cost / (Benefit) of Variances ($3,349,000) SECTION 5D: FY 2017 PROJECTIONS The most notable change from the FY 2017 budget identified at this time is the deferral of Water Main Replacement Project 27. Originally budgeted at $6.2 million, this project is now anticipated to start in FY 2019. Also deferred to FY 2019 will be the design phase of Project 28, budgeted at $585,000. Table 12 summarizes the changes from last year’s forecast. Table 12: FY 2016 Change in Projected Results, 2016 Forecast vs 2017 Forecast Net Cost/ (Benefit) Type of Change Higher purchase costs $343,000 Cost increase Higher sales and misc. revenues (interest income, fees) ($327,000) Revenue increase Capital project deferments ($6,106,000) Cost decrease Higher Operations budgets $536,000 Cost increase Net Cost / (Benefit) of Variances ($5,553,000) SECTION 5E: FY 2018 – FY 2027 PROJECTIONS As can be seen in Figure 5 above, costs for the Water Utility are not projected to change significantly through the rest of the forecast period. Water supply costs are the largest component, but generally projected to grow steadily by two to three percent over the coming years. Operations and capital investment costs are also expected to increase at the same rate of inflation used in the City’s long-term financial plans (2.5% to 3.0% per year), though there is still uncertainty with regard to the utility’s future costs for main replacement. See Section 6: Details and Assumptions for more detail on the costs that make up these projections, as well as the various assumptions underlying the projections. As shown in Figure 5, above, revenues are currently below normal year expenses. Revenues match expenses in FY 2017 and FY 2018 due to delays in water main replacement projects, WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 17 | P a g e leading to much lower annual CIP spending in those years. As main replacement resumes, revenues are projected to be below expenses in the future and will require annual rate increases of around 6% per year through FY 2023 to bring revenues up to match annual expenses. This forecast assumes the use of the Rate Stabilization Reserve to spread the increases over multiple years. Reserves trends based on these revenue projections are shown in Figure 6 below. The Rate Stabilization Reserve is projected to have a zero balance by the end of FY 2017, and the CIP Reserve is projected to decrease by $2.7 million by the end of FY 2019. Assuming these increases in revenue, the Operations Reserve, the main contingency reserve, is expected to remain above the minimum reserve level and will be adequate to meet all identified risks, as discussed in Section 5F: Risk Assessment and Reserves Adequacy. These projections assume that drought restrictions are not re-imposed by the State. The forecast also assumes that water main projects can be resized such that costs do not increase by more than inflation. Figure 6: Water Utility Reserves Actual Reserve Levels for FY 2016 and Projections through FY 2027 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 18 | P a g e SECTION 5F: RISK ASSESSMENT AND RESERVES ADEQUACY The Water Utility currently has one contingency reserve, the Operations Reserve, and this Financial Plan maintains reserves within the approved reserve maximum and minimum guidelines throughout the forecast period, as shown in Figure 7. Reserve levels also exceed the short term risk assessment for the utility. Figure 7: Operations Reserve Adequacy Table 13 summarizes the risk assessment calculation for the Water Utility through FY 2022. The same methodology is used for FY 2023 through FY 2027 as well. The risk assessment includes the revenue shortfall that could accrue due to: 1. Lower than forecasted sales revenue; and 2. An increase of 10% of planned system improvement CIP expenditures for the budget year. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 19 | P a g e Table 13: Water Risk Assessment ($000) FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 Total non-commodity revenue $18,406 $18,239 $19,829 $21,415 $23,129 Max. revenue variance, previous ten years 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% Risk of revenue loss $1,819 $1,802 $1,959 $2,116 $2,285 CIP Budget $4,110 $4,082 $10,314 $10,067 $10,364 CIP Contingency @10% $411 $408 $1,031 $1,007 $1,036 Total Risk Assessment value $2,230 $2,210 $2,991 $3,123 $3,322 SECTION 5G: ALTERNATE SCENARIOS At its February 2017 meeting, staff presented an earlier scenario with a 6% rate increase in FY 2018 followed by 6% rate increases in outer years. However, with the Operations reserve projected to be above the target level and well within the guideline levels adopted by Council, staff feels that a lower rate increase would be feasible, and is only proposing to increase City retail rates to match the increase in SFPUC wholesale water rates. SECTION 5H: LONG-TERM OUTLOOK CPAU has put its Water Utility on strong footing by investing in its distribution system infrastructure and emergency water facilities over the last 20 years. The Water System Master Plan, recently completed and under review, will give CPAU a better picture of the long-term outlook for its infrastructure and will result in a plan for an appropriate schedule for infrastructure replacement and upgrades. In addition, CPAU’s water supplier, the SFPUC, has replaced and seismically strengthened its water transmission infrastructure, which will benefit Palo Alto and all Hetch Hetchy customers over the long term. The opportunities for CPAU’s Water Utility over the long term may be in alternative water supplies such as recycled water, groundwater, and water from the Santa Clara Valley Water District. These alternatives have been analyzed in the past, and will be analyzed again in an upcoming update to the Water Integrated Resource Plan. Some of these alternatives may provide cost savings or increased drought protection. Climate change may begin to present challenges for the Water Utility over the next 20 to 40 years. Availability of water from SFPUC’s Regional Water System may change with changing seasonal precipitation patterns. Water consumption patterns may change. Consumption could increase due to drier weather or decrease as customers become even more focused on water conservation. Droughts may become more frequent. The risk of wildfire in the foothills could increase, possibly threatening utility infrastructure or placing greater demands on it. Sea level rise could result in greater exposure of utility infrastructure to saltwater intrusion or the need to protect infrastructure from inundation, possibly resulting in higher maintenance and replacement costs. It could also affect the groundwater aquifer that the utility relies on in emergencies. Any of these could result in increases to the costs of operating the Water Utility. As part of the Sustainability/Climate Action Plan, CPAU is currently working on a Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap that will begin to assess some of these risks. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 20 | P a g e SECTION 6: DETAILS AND ASSUMPTIONS SECTION 6A: WATER PURCHASE COSTS CPAU purchases all of the potable water supplies from the SFPUC, which owns and operates the Hetch Hetchy Regional Water System. CPAU is one of several agencies that purchase water from the SFPUC, all of whom are members of the Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency (BAWSCA). Palo Alto uses roughly 7% of the water delivered by the SFPUC to BAWSCA member agencies. The Hetch Hetchy Regional Water System begins with a system of reservoirs and tunnels in the high Sierra in Yosemite County and is transported by a gravity-fed pipeline to the Bay Area. Currently, the SFPUC is in the midst of a $4.8 billion bond-financed capital improvement program (the Water System Improvement Program, or WSIP) to seismically retrofit the facilities that transport water to the Bay Area. As of December 2016, nearly 60% of the program (by dollar value) had been completed, while 40% was under construction.3 This has resulted in large increases in the annual debt service costs assigned to wholesale customers like Palo Alto. The wholesale customer debt service share of the WSIP is increasing from $53 million in FY 2010 to over $200 million in FY 2020. As a result, the SFPUC’s wholesale water rate has already increased from $1.43 per CCF in FY 2009 to $4.10 per CCF in FY 2017, and is forecasted to increase to over $5.00 per CCF by FY 2025. Figure 8 shows the SFPUC’s actual wholesale water rate since FY 2009 and a projection through FY 2027. Note that the wholesale water rate decreased in FY 2014, but the apparent rate decrease is due to a part of the debt being directly paid by the BAWSCA agencies. This cost is paid in addition to the wholesale water rate and adds about $0.35 to $0.45 per CCF to the wholesale rate. The SFPUC’s water rate projections show a less steeply increasing rate trajectory after all of the debt for the WSIP has been issued. Parts of SFPUC’s system not included in the WSIP also may need rehabilitation. Some of these projects are already included in the SFPUC’s rate projections, but the SFPUC is conducting condition assessments of other “up-country” facilities, located in the Sierras in the coming years. If the these assessments identify other facilities that need replacement, it may result in additional rate increases beyond FY 2020 as new debt is issued to finance the projects. In January 2016, the SFPUC provided an early estimate for FY 2018 wholesale water rates of $4.37 per CCF. Staff has yet to receive a new estimate, but there is much uncertainty surrounding continued lower water usage by the BAWSCA agencies. While drought restrictions ended in May 2016, customers’ behavior changes and wet weather may keep water usage low. SFPUC’s rates will invariably need to increase since its costs are almost entirely fixed with no relation to the quantity of water that delivered by the system. As shown in Figure 8, this year’s projection of SFPUC wholesale rates has increased from the previous year’s projection. As the drought ostensibly ended in FY 2017 and sales have started 3 Second Quarter FY 2017 WSIP Regional Quarterly Report, http://www.sfwater.org/index.aspx?page=307 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 21 | P a g e increasing, rate projections are projected to level out. However, if snow and rain do not materialize in future years, current calls for restricted usage may continue or even be increased. Figure 8: Historical and Projected SFPUC Wholesale Water Rate SECTION 6B: OPERATIONS CPAU’s Water Utility operations include the following activities:  Administration, a category that includes charges allocated to the Water Utility for administrative services provided by the General Fund and for Utilities Department administration, as well as debt service and other transfers. Additional detail on Water Utility debt service is provided in Section 6D: Debt Service  Customer Service  Engineering work for maintenance activities (as opposed to capital activities)  Operations and Maintenance of the distribution system; and  Resource Management Appendix D: Description of Water Utility Operational Activities includes detailed descriptions of the work associated with each of these activities. From FY 2012 to FY 2016 Operations costs (excluding debt service, rent, and transfers) increased 3.5% per year on average (see Figure 9). The increases were driven by allocated charges, which increased by 6% per year on average and increases in other Operations costs, which increased by roughly 4% per year. Debt service costs increased by $2.4 million per year as a result of a bond issued to finance the Emergency Water Supply and Storage Project. Transfers WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 22 | P a g e have varied from year to year, but are expected to remain relatively low and stable through the forecast period. In FY 2017 Operations costs are projected to increase by $1 million for a capital lease of emergency generators for various wells and pump stations. This is a new ongoing cost. Aside from that, only inflationary increases are projected for Operations costs. Underlying these projections are assumptions for salary and benefit costs, consumer price index, and other cost projections that match the City’s long-range financial forecast. Figure 9: Historical and Projected Operational Costs SECTION 6C: CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM (CIP) The Water Utility’s CIP consists of the following types of projects:  Customer connections, which represents the cost when the Water Utility installs new services or upgrades existing services at a customer’s request in response to development or redevelopment. CPAU charges a fee to these customers to cover the cost of these projects.  Ongoing projects, which represent the cost of replacing aging and under-recording meters and degraded boxes and covers, minor replacements of various types of distribution system equipment, and the cost of capitalized tools and equipment. Actual Regio nal Water Syste m Projected WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 23 | P a g e  One time projects, or large, non-recurring replacement of system assets (such as reservoir rehabilitation)  Water main replacement, which represents the ongoing replacement of aging water mains, and sometimes the services associated with those mains. Table 14 shows the FY 2017 projected budget and the five year CIP spending plan, although these figures are preliminary pending budget discussions starting in May. The ‘committed’ column represents funds committed to contracts for which work has not yet been completed or invoices paid. Table 14: Budgeted Water Utility CIP Spending ($000) The water main replacement program funds the replacement of deteriorating water mains. The water system consists of over 236 miles of mains, approximately 2000 fire hydrants, and over 20,000 metered service connections spanning 9 pressure zones over a 26 square mile service area. CPAU utilizes an asset management database in conjunction with hydraulic modeling software to prioritize capital improvements. Mains are selected by researching the maintenance history of the system and identifying those that are undersized, corroded, and subject to recurring breaks. CPAU uses a scoring system based on criticality in order to prioritize which mains to replace first, and coordinates with the Public Works street maintenance program to avoid cutting into newly repaved streets. CPAU replaces approximately 3 miles of main per year, or 1.3% of the system. Costs for the water main replacement program are increasing for a variety of reasons:  Fire Code regulations now mandate fire sprinklers for new residential units. To accommodate increased fire flows, new main replacement projects require larger diameter pipe.  CPAU has switched to high-density polyethylene (HDPE) for its mains. Installation costs for this material are slightly higher, though lifecycle costs are lower, and the material performs better. Joints in distribution mains are the most likely place for failure, and sections of HDPE pipe can be fused together rather than connected with fittings. In the long run, this will reduce losses and maintenance costs.  To take full advantage of HDPE’s fusibility, CPAU is now replacing the services along with the water mains with new HDPE services. In the past, the existing services were reconnected, regardless of the material. This new practice costs more in the short run, but will provide long term benefits.  Lastly, costs have escalated after the recession. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 24 | P a g e These factors have created some uncertainty in future water main replacement costs. If the cost of water main replacement continues at its current levels, water main replacement budgets will need to be increased by $1M to $2M per year to keep up the current pace of main replacement. However, CPAU is nearing the end of a long term water main replacement program initiated in 1993 to replace the oldest and most degraded parts of the system. Roughly 25% of the system has been replaced, and the rate of water leaks has decreased 50%. CPAU initiated a master planning process in FY 2015 to evaluate the current state of the distribution system and determine the necessary rate of main replacement in future years, and it was completed in 2016. Currently the utility replaces about 1.3% of the system each year, which is an 80-year replacement cycle. Increases in CIP cost are a partial reason for the projected two year delay in projects. The most recent project, when put out for bid, resulted in very few contractors competing, and project bids were larger than budgeted. Staff will redesign this and future projects into smaller segments to keep budgets lower, while not compromising on overall system integrity. The other reason for delay is the University Avenue Business District project, and getting coordination amongst all departments is taking more time than expected. Finally, there has been an ongoing issue with keeping and maintaining qualified staff to design and work on projects. One project not included in this forecast is the seismic strengthening of a large water transmission line in the foothills. Staff has engaged a consultant to investigate alternatives for this project. The consultant is analyzing an alternative that involves installing a valve and hose system that could be used to bypass breaks in the line while they are repaired after an earthquake. This is a relatively low cost alternative that would not substantially affect the financial forecast. The study is not finalized yet, however, and if it is determined that the entire pipeline needs to be replaced, it could cost between $15 million and $20 million, which would likely require bond financing and would substantially affect the financial forecast. Ongoing Projects and Customer Connections are projected to cost approximately $2.5 million in FY 2018 and increase by 3.5% per year through the end of the forecast period. Actual expenses for these projects fluctuate annually depending on how many defective meters are discovered and replaced during routine maintenance, as well as how much development and redevelopment is going on that prompts the replacement or upgrade of water services. It is worth noting that property owners pay a fee for water service replacement or expansion during redevelopment, so when the number of projects go up (meaning higher costs for this activity), so does fee revenue. Aside from customer connections, the CIP plan for FY 2017 to FY 2022 is funded by utility rates and capacity fees. The details of the plan are shown in Appendix B: Water Utility Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Detail. SECTION 6D: DEBT SERVICE The Water Utility’s annual debt service is roughly $3.2 million per year. This is related to two bond issuances, one requiring payments through 2026, the other through 2035. CPAU is in compliance with all covenants on both bonds. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 25 | P a g e The first bond is the 2009 Water Revenue Bond, Series A, issued for $35 million to finance construction of the Emergency Water Supply and Storage project (the El Camino Reservoir, new wells, rehabilitation of existing wells and tanks, etc.) and to be retired by 2035. As part of the ‘Build America’ bond program, there is an interest payment subsidy from the Federal Government of 35%. There is always the possibility that the federal government will choose to stop payment on this subsidy. The automatic federal spending cuts under the Budget Control Act (BCA) of 2011 have already reduced the subsidy by $50,000 per year, and if planned cuts through 2021 proceed without amendment, staff estimates that the subsidy would be reduced by over $200,000 per year by 2021. The Bipartisan Budget Act of 2013, which relieved some of the discretionary spending cuts in the 2011 BCA, did not affect automatic cuts to the subsidy, and actually extended the automatic cuts through 2023. The second bond issuance is the 2011 Utility Revenue Refunding Bond, Series A, which is to be retired in 2026. This $17.2 million issuance refinanced an earlier Water and Gas Utility bond issuance, the 2002 Utility Revenue Bonds, Series A, which was issued to finance various capital improvements for both systems. The Water Utility’s share of the issuance was roughly $7.8 million. The cost of debt service for the Water Utility’s share of these bond issuances for the financial forecast period is shown in Table 15: Table 15: Water Utility Debt Service ($000) FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 2009 Water Revenue Bonds, Series A (net of grants) 2,012 2,031 2,046 2,064 2,079 2,101 2,151 2,151 2011 Utility Revenue Bonds, Series A 657 656 654 656 657 657 657 658 Both the 2009 and 2011 Bonds include the following covenants: 1) net revenues plus Available Reserves shall at least equal 125% of the maximum annual debt service, and 2) Available Reserves shall be at least 5 times the maximum annual debt service. Note that “Available Reserves,” as defined for both bonds, include the reserves for the Gas and Electric systems, not just the Water system. This Financial Plan maintains compliance with these covenants throughout the forecast period, as shown in Appendix A: Water Utility Financial Forecast Detail. The net revenues (but not the reserves) of the Water Utility are also pledged for one other bond as shown in Table 16 below, even though the Water Utility is not responsible for the debt service payments. The Water Utility’s reserves or net revenues would only be called upon if the responsible utilities are unable to make their debt service payments. Staff does not currently foresee this occurring. Requirements of the California Constitution require that any amounts advanced from one utility to pay debt service for another utility must be repaid by the borrowing fund. Table 16: Other Issuances Secured by the Water Utility’s Revenues or Reserves Bond Issuance Responsible Utilities Annual Debt Service ($000) Secured by Water Utility’s: Net Revenues Reserves 1995 Series A Utility Revenue Bonds Storm Drain $680 Yes No WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 26 | P a g e SECTION 6E: OTHER REVENUES The Water Utility receives most of its revenues from sales of water. The next largest source is connection and capacity fees, which in FY 2016 represented 51% of revenue from sources other than water sales. The remainder consisted of a variety of miscellaneous charges, transfers and interest income. Revenues from connection and capacity fees have more than doubled since FY 2009. Connection fees are charged to new developments that need new or replacement service connections, while capacity fees are charged to development that put additional demands on the water distribution system. Revenue from these sources decreased slightly during the recession, but has increased substantially since then. Staff is forecasting lower revenue from these sources in subsequent years, but has increased connection fees that are expected to offset these reductions to some extent. Other revenue sources are projected to stay stable through the forecast period, though interest income always fluctuates depending on changes in interest rates. Some uncertainty also exists related to the Federal government’s commitment to continuing to pay the interest subsidy on the Build America Bonds. SECTION 6F: SALES REVENUES Sales revenue projections are based on the load forecast in Section 5A: Load Forecast and the projected rate changes shown in Figure 5. Except where stated otherwise, these load forecasts are based on normal precipitation. Precipitation can vary substantially, however, even in non- drought years, and this can affect revenues substantially. In dry years customers use more water, increasing revenues, and in wet years they use less. These variations happen in the winter, since summers have virtually no local precipitation regardless of whether it is a dry or wet year. The variations are most likely related to winter irrigation demand. SECTION 7: COMMUNICATIONS PLAN In FY 2018, communications will continue to focus on water utility rate increases, including the reasons why and how rates may change contingent upon continued drought conditions. The City will also communicate how infrastructure costs and rising rates from our wholesale water supplier, the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission, increases CPAU costs and must be recovered through rate increases. Rates communications will include a substantial update to information on a webpage dedicated to Utilities rates, “breaking news” on the Utility home webpage, discussion in the Proposition 218 rate adjustment notice, bill inserts, print ads, videos for web and television, social media posts and frequent educational updates to internal and external stakeholders (customer service, marketing, City Manager’s Office, UAC, City Council, business and residential customers). Other communications vehicles will include financial plans, presentations to UAC, Finance Committee, City Council and any media coverage as a result of the rate increases. CPAU will continue its outreach about drought conditions and importance of water use efficiency, tying in the message that although rates are increasing, efficient usage WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 27 | P a g e should mean that a customer should not see a significant increase in water utility costs on their bills. Water conservation outreach will include bill inserts, web updates, email newsletters, videos for the web and television, presentations to customer groups and the use of social media. To keep customers apprised of the status and accomplishments of CIP projects, a network of project web pages are maintained. Traffic is driven to the website via ads in publications, newspaper inserts, and through the comprehensive portfolio of outreach strategies as outlined above. Safety topics are also emphasized year-round. For all utility outreach, while print materials and website pages still feature prominently, CPAU is placing more emphasis on digital advertising content, direct mail, community safety/emergency preparation events and presentations. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN F e b r u a r y 2 0 1 6 28 | P a g e APPENDICES Appendix A: Water Utility Financial Forecast Detail Appendix B: Water Utility Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Detail Appendix C: Water Utility Reserves Management Practices Appendix D: Description of Water Utility Operational Activities Appendix E: Sample of Water Utility Outreach Communications APPENDIX A: WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL FORECAST DETAIL 1 FISCAL YEAR FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 2 3 WATER SUPPLY 4 Purchases 5,538,305 5,532,947 5,507,153 4,671,433 4,127,085 4,164,524 4,388,840 4,618,793 4,548,794 4,477,618 4,407,222 4,342,411 4,307,346 4,274,401 4,242,367 4,274,975 5 Sales 5,062,873 5,097,392 5,047,148 4,433,016 3,858,825 3,852,185 4,037,731 4,318,572 4,253,123 4,186,573 4,120,753 4,060,155 4,027,369 3,996,565 3,966,613 3,997,101 6 7 BILL AND RATE CHANGES 8 Variable Charge (Supply)38%11%-16%25%22%9%7%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2% 9 Variable Charge (Distribution)-12%17%30%-16%10%5%0%9%9%9%9%8%2%1%1%0% 10 Service Charge (Distribution)72%75%9%0%-10%3%0%7%8%8%8%7%1%1%1%1% 11 Change in System Average Rate 12%22%8%0%11%7%3%6%6%6%6%6%2%2%2%1% 12 Change in Average Residential Bill 12%21%7%-1%17%4%-3%5%5%5%5%4%1%1%1%1% 13 14 STARTING RESERVES 15 Reappropriations (Non-CIP)20,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 16 Commitments (Non-CIP)765,000 714,000 2,000 347,000 347,000 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 17 Restricted for Debt Service 3,348,000 3,225,000 3,225,000 3,331,000 3,316,000 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 18 Emergency Plant Replacement 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - 19 Capital Reserve - - - - 4,000,000 2,726,096 2,726,096 2,726,096 2,726,096 - - - - - - - 20 Rate Stabilization Reserve 10,639,000 7,996,000 17,272,000 20,133,000 6,567,000 1,877,437 - - - - - - - - - - 21 Operations Reserve - - - - 11,663,836 14,606,828 12,734,948 13,741,252 11,719,450 11,584,505 10,055,718 10,036,283 11,372,030 12,259,805 12,625,012 12,452,508 22 Unassigned - - - - - - 4,645,111 2,536,339 - - - - - - - - 23 TOTAL STARTING RESERVES 15,772,000 12,935,000 21,499,000 24,811,000 25,893,836 22,686,828 23,582,622 22,480,154 17,922,013 15,060,972 13,532,185 13,512,750 14,848,497 15,736,272 16,101,479 15,928,975 24 25 REVENUES 26 Net Sales 30,673,882 36,647,924 39,029,262 33,654,549 36,136,644 38,472,811 38,957,254 43,554,523 45,527,612 47,631,527 49,893,912 52,045,952 52,530,594 52,972,178 53,425,127 54,321,702 27 Other Revenues and Transfers In 5,892,133 6,811,461 4,053,920 7,504,848 3,258,936 3,376,354 3,433,864 3,492,074 3,550,893 3,611,902 3,677,134 3,743,736 3,831,586 3,921,772 4,014,356 4,109,403 28 TOTAL REVENUES 36,566,015 43,459,385 43,083,182 41,159,397 39,395,579 41,849,165 42,391,118 47,046,597 49,078,505 51,243,429 53,571,045 55,789,688 56,362,180 56,893,950 57,439,483 58,431,104 29 30 EXPENSES 31 Water Purchases 14,889,399 16,605,351 15,705,288 15,669,935 17,626,020 19,242,650 21,347,331 22,755,908 22,849,411 22,932,958 23,015,268 23,119,511 23,365,972 23,624,549 23,889,660 24,494,388 32 Operating Expenses 33 Administration 34 Allocated Charges 2,003,116 2,422,880 2,366,077 2,342,985 2,953,291 2,278,910 2,336,257 2,395,035 2,455,296 2,516,847 2,579,804 2,644,346 2,710,515 2,778,341 2,847,864 2,919,126 35 Rent 2,156,887 1,911,963 2,192,454 2,249,457 1,803,087 2,876,500 2,962,795 3,051,679 3,143,229 3,237,526 3,334,652 3,434,691 3,537,732 3,643,864 3,753,180 3,865,775 36 Debt Service 3,385,986 3,219,165 3,220,208 3,218,869 3,222,606 3,219,316 3,222,669 3,220,858 3,220,638 3,222,843 3,223,563 3,224,553 3,224,553 3,224,553 3,224,553 3,224,553 37 Transfers and Other Adjustments 301,963 2,241,793 335,808 63,612 (74,782) 383,630 391,302 399,129 407,111 415,253 423,558 432,030 432,030 432,030 432,030 432,030 38 Subtotal, Administration 7,847,952 9,795,801 8,114,546 7,874,923 7,904,202 8,758,356 8,913,023 9,066,700 9,226,274 9,392,469 9,561,576 9,735,619 9,904,830 10,078,787 10,257,626 10,441,484 39 Resource Management 552,972 557,910 570,040 488,331 592,744 955,380 987,746 1,020,939 1,055,358 1,085,650 1,113,619 1,142,552 1,172,547 1,203,329 1,234,919 1,267,339 40 Operations and Mtc 4,900,606 4,944,064 4,986,274 5,283,426 5,038,570 5,835,064 6,037,842 6,245,861 6,461,794 6,649,627 6,821,437 6,999,319 7,183,933 7,373,416 7,567,897 7,767,508 41 Engineering (Operating)301,278 338,659 381,502 358,128 282,472 372,459 385,617 399,118 413,142 425,250 436,259 447,663 459,507 471,664 484,143 496,952 42 Customer Service 1,544,608 1,584,759 1,677,926 1,821,447 2,076,559 2,106,862 2,181,487 2,258,058 2,337,605 2,406,207 2,468,516 2,533,069 2,600,120 2,668,946 2,739,594 2,812,112 43 Allowance for Unspent Budget - - - - - (427,532) (441,610) (456,050) (471,013) (484,354) (496,795) (509,652) (522,968) (536,631) (550,651) (565,038) 44 Subtotal, Operating Expenses 15,147,415 17,221,192 15,730,288 15,826,254 15,894,546 17,600,589 18,064,105 18,534,625 19,023,161 19,474,849 19,904,612 20,348,569 20,797,968 21,259,512 21,733,529 22,220,358 45 Capital Program Contribution 9,366,201 1,068,841 8,335,605 8,580,372 9,082,021 4,110,131 4,082,150 10,314,204 10,066,974 10,364,408 10,670,600 10,985,862 11,310,465 11,644,682 11,988,797 12,343,106 46 TOTAL EXPENSES 39,403,015 34,895,385 39,771,182 40,076,561 42,602,588 40,953,371 43,493,586 51,604,738 51,939,546 52,772,216 53,590,481 54,453,941 55,474,405 56,528,743 57,611,987 59,057,851 47 9.04 11.04 48 ENDING RESERVES 49 Reappropriations (Non-CIP)- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50 Commitments (Non-CIP)714,000 2,000 347,000 347,000 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 177,273 51 Restricted for Debt Service 3,225,000 3,225,000 3,331,000 3,316,000 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 3,299,194 52 Emergency Plant Replacement 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 53 Capital Reserve - - - 4,000,000 2,726,096 2,726,096 2,726,096 2,726,096 - - - - - - - - 54 Rate Stabilization Reserve 7,996,000 17,272,000 20,133,000 6,567,000 1,877,437 - - - - - - - - - - - 55 Operations Reserve - - - 11,663,836 14,606,828 12,734,948 13,741,252 11,719,450 11,584,505 10,055,718 10,036,283 11,372,030 12,259,805 12,625,012 12,452,508 11,825,761 56 Unassigned - - - - - 4,645,111 2,536,339 - - - - - - - - - 57 TOTAL ENDING RESERVES 12,935,000 21,499,000 24,811,000 25,893,836 22,686,828 23,582,622 22,480,154 17,922,013 15,060,972 13,532,185 13,512,750 14,848,497 15,736,272 16,101,479 15,928,975 15,302,228 58 59 OPERATIONS RESERVE 60 Min (60 days of non-capital expenses)- - - 5,230,611 5,447,741 6,320,551 6,805,571 7,121,003 7,223,351 7,318,139 7,409,255 7,506,449 7,620,837 7,739,213 7,860,713 8,040,147 61 Target (90 days of non-capital expenses)- - - 9,395,240 8,849,765 9,527,750 10,273,411 10,734,869 10,891,793 11,037,461 11,177,725 11,327,238 11,511,321 11,701,700 11,897,086 12,179,700 62 Max (120 days of non-capital expenses)- - - 13,559,870 12,251,790 12,734,948 13,741,252 14,348,735 14,560,236 14,756,784 14,946,195 15,148,027 15,401,806 15,664,187 15,933,458 16,319,253 63 Risk Assessment Value 2,481,768 2,677,436 2,229,786 2,210,426 2,990,773 3,122,798 3,321,829 3,535,280 3,739,581 3,798,452 3,858,547 3,919,900 3,982,541 64 65 DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO 66 Net Revenues (125% of Debt Service)787%951%876%878%940%1044%1123%1182%1200%1216%1231%1248%1270%1292%1315%1349% 67 Available Reserves (5x Debt Service)*2.7 5.7 6.6 6.9 6.0 6.2 5.9 4.5 3.6 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.7 *For the purposes of debt covenants, the unrestricted reserves of other utilities may be counted toward the available reserves for meeting this measure. A ratio below 5x means that this utility is relying on the reserves of other utilities to meet its debt covenants. Appendix A (continued) 1 FISCAL YEAR FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 2 3 REVENUES 4 Net Sales 84%84%91%82%92%92%92%93%93%93%93%93%93%93%93%93% 5 Other Revenues and Transfers In 16%16%9%18%8%8%8%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7% 6 TOTAL REVENUES 100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100% 7 8 EXPENSES 9 Water Purchases 38%48%39%39%41%47%49%44%44%43%43%42%42%42%41%41% 10 Operating Expenses 11 Administration 12 Allocated Charges 5%7%6%6%7%6%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5% 13 Rent 5%5%6%6%4%7%7%6%6%6%6%6%6%6%7%7% 14 Debt Service 9%9%8%8%8%8%7%6%6%6%6%6%6%6%6%5% 15 Transfers and Other Adjustments 1%6%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1% 16 Subtotal, Administration 20%28%20%20%19%21%20%18%18%18%18%18%18%18%18%18% 17 Resource Management 1%2%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2% 18 Operations and Mtc 12%14%13%13%12%14%14%12%12%13%13%13%13%13%13%13% 19 Engineering (Operating)1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1% 20 Customer Service 4%5%4%5%5%5%5%4%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5% 21 Allowance for Unspent Budget 0%0%0%0%0%-1%-1%-1%-1%-1%-1%-1%-1%-1%-1%-1% 22 Subtotal, Operating Expenses 38%49%40%39%37%43%42%36%37%37%37%37%37%38%38%38% 23 Capital Program Contribution 24%3%21%21%21%10%9%20%19%20%20%20%20%21%21%21% 24 TOTAL EXPENSES 100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100% 25 26 RISK ASSESSMENT DETAIL 27 Distribution Revenue Variance 1,623,731 1,769,234 1,818,772 1,802,211 1,959,352 2,116,101 2,285,389 2,468,220 2,640,995 2,667,405 2,694,079 2,721,020 2,748,230 28 10% CIP Program Contingency 858,037 908,202 411,013 408,215 1,031,420 1,006,697 1,036,441 1,067,060 1,098,586 1,131,047 1,164,468 1,198,880 1,234,311 29 Total Risk Asssessment Value 2,481,768 2,677,436 2,229,786 2,210,426 2,990,773 3,122,798 3,321,829 3,535,280 3,739,581 3,798,452 3,858,547 3,919,900 3,982,541 30 Projected Operations Reserve 11,663,836 14,606,828 12,734,948 13,741,252 11,719,450 11,584,505 10,055,718 10,036,283 11,372,030 12,259,805 12,625,012 12,452,508 11,825,761 31 Operations Reserve, % of Risk Value 470%546%571%622%392%371%303%284%304%323%327%318%297% 32 33 OPERATIONS RESERVE 34 Min (60 days of non-capital expenses)- - - 5,230,611 5,447,741 6,320,551 6,805,571 7,121,003 7,223,351 7,318,139 7,409,255 7,506,449 7,620,837 7,739,213 7,860,713 8,040,147 35 Target (90 days of non-capital expenses)- - - 9,395,240 8,849,765 9,527,750 10,273,411 10,734,869 10,891,793 11,037,461 11,177,725 11,327,238 11,511,321 11,701,700 11,897,086 12,179,700 36 Max (120 days of non-capital expenses)- - - 13,559,870 12,251,790 12,734,948 13,741,252 14,348,735 14,560,236 14,756,784 14,946,195 15,148,027 15,401,806 15,664,187 15,933,458 16,319,253 37 Risk Assessment Value 2,481,768 2,677,436 2,229,786 2,210,426 2,990,773 3,122,798 3,321,829 3,535,280 3,739,581 3,798,452 3,858,547 3,919,900 3,982,541 38 39 DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO 40 Net Revenues (125% of Debt Service)787%951%876%878%940%1044%1123%1182%1200%1216%1231%1248%1270%1292%1315%1349% 41 Available Reserves (5x Debt Service)*2.7 5.7 6.6 6.9 6.0 6.2 5.9 4.5 3.6 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.7 42 *For the purposes of debt covenants, the unrestricted reserves of other utilities may be counted toward the available reserves for meeting this measure. A ratio below 5x means that this utility is relying on the reserves of other utilities to meet its debt covenants. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN J u n e 1 6 , 2 0 1 4 31 | P a g e APPENDIX B: WATER UTILITY CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM (CIP) DETAIL Project #Project Name Reappropriated / Carried Forward from Previous Years Current Year Funding Proposed Budget Amendments Spending, Current Year Remaining in CIP Reserve Fund Commitments FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 ONE TIME PROJECTS WS-07000 Regulation Station Imp.1,092,430 - (135,541) (136,529) 820,360 624,149 - - - - - WS-07001 Water Recycling Facilities 193,358 200,000 2,291 - 395,649 - - - - - - WS-08001 Water Reservoir Coating 1,919,605 - (304,403) (823,254) 791,948 1,088,707 - - - - - WS-09000 Seismic Water System 4,452,355 - (317,178) (431,985) 3,703,192 2,213,969 - - - - - WS-13003 GPS Equipment Upgrade - - - - - - - - - - - WS-13004 Asset Mgmt. Mobile Sys.- - - - - - - - - - - WS-13006 Meter Shop Renovations - - - - - - - - - - - WS-15004 Water System Master Plan 202,469 - (681) (358) 201,430 46,592 - - - - - WS-08002 Emergency Water Supply 601,701 - - - 601,701 330,493 - - - - - Subtotal, One-time Projects 8,461,919 200,000 (755,513) (1,392,126) 6,514,280 4,303,910 - - - - - WATER MAIN REPLACEMENT PROGRAM WS-20000 WMR - Project 32 - - - - - - - - - - - WS-11000 WMR-Project 25 1,165,085 - (725,386) (270,754) 168,945 - - - - - - WS-12001 WMR- Project 26 5,904,489 - (18,731) (51,224) 5,834,534 1 - - - - - WS-13001 WMR - Project 27 568,065 5,680,651 (6,206,216) (42,500) - - - 6,216,841 - - - WS-14001 WMR - Project 28 - 585,107 (585,107) - - - - 585,107 5,851,070 - - WS-15002 WMR - Project 29 - - - - - - - - 602,660 6,026,602 - WS-16001 WMR - Project 30 - - - - - - - - - 620,740 6,207,400 WS-19001 WMR - Project 31 - - - - - - - - - - 639,362 Subtotal, Water Main Replacement Prog.7,637,639 6,265,758 (7,535,440) (364,478) 6,003,479 1 - 6,801,948 6,453,730 6,647,342 6,846,762 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN J u n e 1 6 , 2 0 1 4 32 | P a g e Appendix B: Water Utility Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Detail (Continued) Project #Project Name Reappropriated / Carried Forward from Previous Years Current Year Funding Budget Amendments Spending, Current Year Remaining in CIP Reserve Fund Commitments FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 ONGOING PROJECTS WS-80014 Services/Hydrants - 400,000 - (171,657) 228,343 50,533 412,000 424,360 437,091 450,204 463,710 WS-80015 Water Meters 252,092 565,000 - (26,213) 790,879 - 565,000 500,000 515,000 530,450 546,364 WS-02014 W-G-W Utility GIS Data 82,817 366,025 (0) (87,607) 361,235 295,211 402,628 442,890 456,177 469,862 483,958 WS-13002 Equipment/Tools 20,685 50,000 - - 70,685 - - - - - - WS-11003 Dist. Sys. Improvements 131,508 739,000 (602) (5,000) 864,906 163,985 247,000 254,000 261,620 269,469 277,553 WS-11004 Supply Sys. Improvements 95,884 239,000 (190) (73,156) 261,538 8,136 247,000 254,000 261,620 269,469 277,553 Subtotal, Ongoing Projects 582,986 2,359,025 (792) (363,633) 2,577,586 517,865 1,873,628 1,875,250 1,931,508 1,989,454 2,049,138 CUSTOMER CONNECTIONS (FEE FUNDED) WS-80013 Water System Extensions 18,736 690,000 - (320,117) 388,619 112,897 710,700 732,021 753,981 776,601 799,899 Subtotal, Customer Connections 18,736 690,000 - (320,117) 388,619 112,897 710,700 732,021 753,981 776,601 799,899 GRAND TOTAL 16,701,281 9,514,783 (8,291,745) (2,440,354)15,483,964 4,934,673 2,584,328 9,409,219 9,139,219 9,413,397 9,695,799 Funding Sources Connection/Capacity Fees 690,000 - 902,280 929,348 957,228 985,946 1,015,524 Other Utility Funds (Asset Mgmt, GIS Systems)244,109 - 268,418 295,260 304,118 313,242 322,640 Utility Rates 9,514,783 (8,291,745) 1,413,630 8,184,611 7,877,873 8,114,209 8,357,635 CIP-RELATED RESERVES DETAIL 6/30/2016 (Actual) 6/30/2017 (Unaudited) Reappropriations (excl. Bond Funded)10,529,905 10,549,291 Commitments (excl. Bond Funded)6,171,376 4,934,673 WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN J u n e 1 6 , 2 0 1 4 33 | P a g e APPENDIX C: WATER UTILITY RESERVES MANAGEMENT PRACTICES The following reserves management practices shall be used when developing the Water Utility Financial Plan: Section 1. Definitions a) “Financial Planning Period” – The Financial Planning Period is the range of future fiscal years covered by the Financial Plan. For example, for the Water Utility Financial Plan delivered in conjunction with the FY 2015 budget, FY 2015 to FY 2021 is the Financial Planning Period. b) “Fund Balance” – As used in these Reserves Management Practices, Fund Balance refers to the Utility’s Unrestricted Net Assets. c) “Net Assets” - The Government Accounting Standards Board defines a Utility’s Net Assets as the difference between its assets and liabilities. d) “Unrestricted Net Assets” - The portion of the Utility’s Net Assets not invested in capital assets (net of related debt) or restricted for debt service or other restricted purposes. Section 2. Reserves The Water Utility’s Fund Balance is reserved for the following purposes: a) For existing contracts, as described in Section 3 (Reserve for Commitments) b) For operating and capital budgets re-appropriated from previous years, as described in Section 4 (Reserve for Re-appropriations) c) For cash flow management and contingencies related to the Water Utility’s Capital Improvement Program (CIP), as described in Section 5 (CIP Reserve) d) For rate stabilization, as described in Section 6 (Rate Stabilization Reserve) e) For operating contingencies, as described in Section 7 (Operations Reserve) f) Any funds not included in the other reserves will be considered Unassigned Reserves and shall be returned to ratepayers or assigned a specific purpose as described in Section 8 (Unassigned Reserves). Section 3. Reserve for Commitments At the end of each fiscal year the Reserve for Commitments will be set to an amount equal to the total remaining spending authority for all contracts in force for the Water Utility at that time. Section 4. Reserve for Re-appropriations At the end of each fiscal year the Reserve for Re-appropriations will be set to an amount equal to the amount of all remaining capital and non-capital budgets, if any, that will be re- appropriated to the following fiscal year in accordance with Palo Alto Municipal Code Section 2.28.090. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN J u n e 1 6 , 2 0 1 4 34 | P a g e Section 5. CIP Reserve The CIP Reserve is used to manage cash flow for capital projects and acts as a reserve for capital contingencies. Staff will manage the CIP Reserve according to the following practices: a) The following guideline levels are set forth for the CIP Reserve. These guideline levels are calculated for each fiscal year of the Financial Planning Period based on the levels of CIP expense budgeted for that year. Minimum Level 12 months of budgeted CIP expense Maximum Level 24 months of budgeted CIP expense b) Changes in Reserves: Staff is authorized to transfer funds between the CIP Reserve and the Reserve for Commitments when funds are added or removed from to that reserve as a result of a change in contractual commitments related to CIP projects. Any other additions to or withdrawals from the CIP reserve require Council action. c) Minimum Level: i) Funds held in the Reserve for Commitments may be counted as part of the CIP Reserve for the purpose of determining compliance with the CIP Reserve minimum guideline level. ii) If, at the end of any fiscal year, the minimum guideline is not met, staff shall present a plan to the City Council to replenish the reserve. The plan shall be delivered by the end of the following fiscal year, and shall, at a minimum, result in the reserve reaching its minimum level by the end of the next fiscal year. For example, if the CIP Reserve is below its minimum level at the end of FY 2017, staff must present a plan by June 30, 2018 to return the reserve to its minimum level by June 30, 2019. In addition, staff may present, and the Council may adopt, an alternative plan that takes longer than one year to replenish the reserve, or that does so in a shorter period of time. d) Maximum Level: If, at any time, the CIP Reserve reaches its maximum level, no funds may be added to this reserve. If there are funds in this reserve in excess of the maximum level staff must propose to transfer these funds to another reserve or return them to ratepayers in the next Financial Plan. Staff may also seek City Council to approve holding funds in this reserve in excess of the maximum level if they are held for a specific future purpose related to the CIP. Section 6. Rate Stabilization Reserve Funds may be added to the Rate Stabilization Reserve by action of the City Council and held to manage the trajectory of future year rate increases. Withdrawal of funds from the Rate Stabilization Reserve requires Council action. If there are funds in the Rate Stabilization Reserve at the end of any fiscal year, any subsequent Water Utility Financial Plan must result in the withdrawal of all funds from this Reserve by the end of the next Financial Planning Period. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN J u n e 1 6 , 2 0 1 4 35 | P a g e Section 7. Operations Reserve The Operations Reserve is used to manage normal variations in costs and as a reserve for contingencies. Any portion of the Water Utility’s Fund Balance not included in the reserves described in Section 3-Section 6 above will be included in the Operations Reserve unless this reserve has reached its maximum level as set forth in Section 7(d) below. Staff will manage the Operations Reserve according to the following practices: a) The following guideline levels are set forth for the Operations Reserve. These guideline levels are calculated for each fiscal year of the Financial Planning Period based on the levels of Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and commodity expense forecasted for that year in the Financial Plan. Minimum Level 60 days of O&M and commodity expense Target Level 90 days of O&M and commodity expense Maximum Level 120 days of O&M and commodity expense b) Minimum Level: If, at the end of any fiscal year, the funds remaining in the Operations Reserve are lower than the minimum level set forth above, staff shall present a plan to the City Council to replenish the reserve. The plan shall be delivered within six months of the end of the fiscal year, and shall, at a minimum, result in the reserve reaching its minimum level by the end of the following fiscal year. For example, if the Operations Reserve is below its minimum level at the end of FY 2014, staff must present a plan by December 31, 2014 to return the reserve to its minimum level by June 30, 2015. In addition, staff may present, and the Council may adopt, an alternative plan that takes longer than one year to replenish the reserve. c) Target Level: If, at the end of any fiscal year, the Operations Reserve is higher or lower than the target level, any Financial Plan created for the Water Utility shall be designed to return the Operations Reserve to its target level within four years. d) Maximum Level: If, at any time, the Operations Reserve reaches its maximum level, no funds may be added to this reserve. Any further increase in the Water Utility’s Fund Balance shall be automatically included in the Unassigned Reserve described in Section 8, below. Section 8. Unassigned Reserve If the Operations Reserve reaches its maximum level, any further additions to the Water Utility’s Fund Balance will be held in the Unassigned Reserve. If there are any funds in the Unassigned Reserve at the end of any fiscal year, the next Financial Plan presented to the City Council must include a plan to assign them to a specific purpose or return them to the Water Utility ratepayers by the end of the first fiscal year of the next Financial Planning Period. For example, if there were funds in the Unassigned Reserves at the end of FY 2015, and the next Financial Planning Period is FY 2016 through FY 2021, the Financial Plan shall include a plan to return or assign any funds in the Unassigned Reserve by the end of FY 2016. Staff may present an alternative plan that retains these funds or returns them over a longer period of time. WATER UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN J u n e 1 6 , 2 0 1 4 36 | P a g e APPENDIX D: DESCRIPTION OF WATER UTILITY OPERATIONAL ACTIVITIES This appendix describes the activities associated with the various operational activities referred to in Section 6B: Operations of this Financial Plan. Administration: Accounting, purchasing, legal, and other administrative functions provided by the City’s General Fund staff, as well as shared communications services, CPAU administrative overhead, and billing system maintenance costs. This category also includes Water Utility debt service and rent paid to the General Fund for the land associated with reservoirs and various other facilities. Customer Service: This category includes the Water Utility’s share of the call center, meter reading, collections, and billing support functions. Billing support encompasses staff time associated with bill investigations and quality control on certain aspects of the billing process. It does not include maintenance of the billing system itself, which is included in Administration. This category also includes CPAU’s key account representatives, who work with large commercial customers who have more complex requirements for their water services. Engineering (Operating): The Water Utility’s engineers focus primarily on the CIP, but a small portion of their time is spent assisting with distribution system maintenance. Operations and Maintenance: This category includes the costs of a variety of distribution system maintenance activities, including:  investigating reports of damaged mains or services and performing emergency repairs;  testing and operating valves;  monitoring water quality and reservoir levels;  monitoring the status of the different pressure zones;  flushing water at hydrants and other closed end points of the system;  building and replacing water services for new or redeveloped buildings; and  testing and replacing meters to ensure accurate sales metering. This category also includes a variety of functions the utility shares with other City utilities, including:  the Field Services team (which does field research of various customer service issues);  the Cathodic Protection team (which monitors and maintains the systems that prevent corrosion in metal tanks and reservoirs); and  the General Services team (which manages and maintains equipment, paves and restores streets after gas, water, or sewer main replacements, and provides welding services) Resource Management: This category includes water procurement, contract management, water resource planning, interaction with BAWSCA, the SFPUC, and the SCVWD, and tracking of legislation and regulation related to the water industry. J u n e 1 6 , 2 0 1 4 37 | P a g e APPENDIX E: SAMPLE OF WATER UTILITY OUTREACH COMMUNICATIONS Attachment C * NOT YET APPROVED * 170216 jb 6053919 Resolution No. _________ Resolution of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Increasing Water Rates by Amending Rate Schedules W-1 (General Residential Water Service), W-2 (Water Service from Fire Hydrants), W-4 (Residential Master-Metered and General Non-Residential Water Service), and W-7 (Non-Residential Irrigation Water Service) and Repealing Resolution No. 9542 to Deactivate the Level 2 Drought Surcharges R E C I T A L S A. On January 17, 2014 the Governor of the State of California proclaimed a State of Emergency due to severe drought conditions. On April 1, 2015 the Governor issued an Executive Order proclaiming that severe drought conditions continued to exist, and ordering the State Water Resources Control Board to adopt regulations imposing mandatory water use restrictions on water suppliers to achieve a 20% reduction in statewide potable water use through February 28, 2016, or as continued or modified by the Governor. B. On May 5, 2015, the State Water Resources Control Board adopted regulations imposing upon Palo Alto a mandatory 24% reduction in potable water consumption from Jun 1, 2015 through February 28, 2016. This action by the Board triggered the City Council’s authority to activate one of the three drought surcharges available in its water rate schedules. C. On August 17, 2015, Council adopted Resolution 9542 which established that the Level 2 (20%) drought surcharges set forth on the City's schedule of water rates would be collected on all City of Palo Alto Utilities water customer bills as of September 1, 2015, and declared that the surcharge would remain in effect until rescinded or modified by the City Council. D. On May 9, 2016 Governor Brown issued an Executive Order calling for the State Water Resources Control Board to adjust emergency water conservation regulations through the end of January 2017, in recognition of the different water supply conditions across the state. The State Board subsequently revised its regulations allowing suppliers to self-certify that there would be no supply shortfall, assuming 3 additional dry years. . The San Francisco Regional Water System (RWS) supply availability enabled the City of Palo Alto to self-certify a conservation standard of zero which remains in effect. E. While the State’s emergency regulation remains in effect, hydrological conditions as of February 2017 indicate that the State will be largely out of drought conditions, and customer demand has started to rise from peak conservation levels. Water storage in the RWS is at maximum capacity. F. Staff therefore recommends the deactivation of the level 2 drought surcharge at this time, via the repeal of Resolution No. 9542. Attachment C * NOT YET APPROVED * 170216 jb 6053919 G. Pursuant to Chapter 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, the Council of the City of Palo Alto may by resolution adopt rules and regulations governing utility services, fees and charges. H. On ____, 2017, the City Council held a full and fair public hearing regarding the proposed rate increase and considered all protests against the proposals. I. As required by Article XIII D, Section 6 of the California Constitution and applicable law, notice of the ________ 2017 public hearing was mailed to all City of Palo Alto Utilities water customers by _______, 2017. J. The City Clerk has tabulated the total number of written protests presented by the close of the public hearing, and determined that it was less than fifty percent (50%) of the total number of customers and property owners subject to the proposed water rate amendments, therefore a majority protest does not exist against the proposal. The Council of the City of Palo Alto does hereby RESOLVE as follows: SECTION 1. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule W-1 (General Residential Water Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule W-1, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2017. SECTION 2. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule W-2 (Water Service from Fire Hydrants) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule W-2, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2017. SECTION 3. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule W-4 (Residential Master-Metered and General Non-Residential Water Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule W-4, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2017. SECTION 4. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule W-7 (Non-Residential Irrigation Water Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule W-7, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2017. SECTION 5. The City Council finds as follows: a. Revenues derived from the water rates approved by this resolution do not exceed the funds required to provide water service. b. Revenues derived from the water rates approved by this resolution shall not be used for any purpose other than providing water service, and the purposes set forth in Article VII, Section 2, of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto. Attachment C * NOT YET APPROVED * 170216 jb 6053919 c. The amount of the water rates imposed upon any parcel or person as an incident of property ownership shall not exceed the proportional cost of the water service attributable to the parcel. SECTION 6. The Council finds that the fees and charges adopted by this resolution are charges imposed for a specific government service or product provided directly to the payor that are not provided to those not charged, and do not exceed the reasonable costs to the City of providing the service or product. SECTION 7. Each of the rate schedules adopted by this resolution includes a structure of drought surcharges that correspond to different levels of water use reduction in the City. Effective July 1, 2017, each of the drought surcharges in the water rate schedules adopted by this resolution are deactivated and shall not be added to applicable water rates, unless and until such time as Council again approves both their use and the appropriate reduction level. SECTION 8. The Council finds that the adoption of this resolution changing water rates to meet operating expenses, purchase supplies and materials, meet financial reserve needs and obtain funds for capital improvements necessary to maintain service is not subject to the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), pursuant to California Public Resources Code Sec. 21080(b)(8) and Title 14 of the California Code of Regulations Sec. 15273(a). After reviewing the staff report and all attachments presented to Council, the Council incorporates these documents herein and finds that sufficient evidence has been presented setting forth with specificity the basis for this claim of CEQA exemption. INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST: ___________________________ ___________________________ City Clerk Mayor APPROVED AS TO FORM: APPROVED: ___________________________ ___________________________ Senior Deputy City Attorney City Manager ___________________________ Director of Utilities __________________________ Director of Administrative Services GENERAL RESIDENTIAL WATER SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-1 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-1-1 Effective 7-1-20176 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-1-1 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to all separately metered single family residential water services. B. TERRITORY: This schedule applies everywhere the City of Palo Alto provides water services. C. RATES: Per Meter Monthly Service Charge: Per Month For 5/8-inch meter ..................................................................................................... $ 16.77 For 3/4 inch meter ..................................................................................................... 22.60 For 1 inch meter ........................................................................................................ 34.26 For 1 1/2 inch meter .................................................................................................. 63.40 For 2-inch meter ........................................................................................................ 98.37 For 3-inch meter ........................................................................................................ 209.11 For 4-inch meter ........................................................................................................ 372.31 For 6-inch meter ........................................................................................................ 762.81 For 8-inch meter ........................................................................................................ 1,403.94 For 10-inch meter ...................................................................................................... 2,219.92 For 12-inch meter ....................................................................................................... 2,919.34 Commodity Rate: (To be added to Service Charge and applicable to all pressure zones.) Per Hundred Cubic Feet (ccf) Per Month All Pressure Zones Tier 1 usage ........................................................................................................................$6.6630 Tier 2 usage (All usage over 100% of Tier 1) ........................................................................ 89.182 ATTACHMENT D GENERAL RESIDENTIAL WATER SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-1 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-1-2 Effective 7-1-20176 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-1-2 Drought Surcharges (deactivated): A drought surcharge will be added to the Customer’s applicable Commodity Rate for Tier 1 and Tier 2 water usage when the City Council has determined that a water reduction level is in effect for the City as described in Section D.3. The drought surcharges in the table below are measured in dollars per hundred cubic feet (ccf). Water Usage Reduction level Level 1 (10/15%) Level 2 (20%) Level 3 (25%) Tier 1 0.20 0.43 0.64 Tier 2 0.58 1.21 1.85 Temporary unmetered service to residential subdivision developers, per connection ........................................................................ $6.00 D. SPECIAL NOTES: 1. Calculation of Cost Components The actual bill amount is calculated based on the applicable rates in Section C above and adjusted for any applicable discounts, surcharges and/or taxes. On a customer’s bill statement, the bill amount may be broken down into appropriate components as calculated under Section C. 2. Calculation of Usage Tiers Tier 1 water usage shall be calculated and billed based upon a level of 0.2 ccf per day rounded to the nearest whole ccf, based on meter reading days of service. As an example, for a 30 day bill, the Tier 1 level would be 0 through 6 ccf. For further discussion of bill calculation and proration, refer to Rule and Regulation 11. GENERAL RESIDENTIAL WATER SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-1 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-1-3 Effective 7-1-20176 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-1-3 3.Drought Surcharge During period of water shortage or restrictions on local water use, the City Council may, by resolution, declare the need for citywide water conservation at the 10/15%, 20% or 25% level. While such a resolution is in effect, a drought surcharge will apply. The purpose of the Drought Surcharge is to recover revenues lost as a result of reduced consumption. {End} WATER SERVICE FROM FIRE HYDRANTS UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-2 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-2-1 Effective 7-1-20176 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-2-1 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to all water taken from fire hydrants for construction, maintenance, and other uses in conformance with provisions of a Hydrant Meter Permit. B. TERRITORY: This schedule applies everywhere the City of Palo Alto provides water services. C. RATES: 1. Monthly Service Charge. METER SIZE 5/8 inch ........................................................................................................................... 50.00 3 inch ........................................................................................................................... 125.00 2.Commodity Rate: (per hundred cubic feet) ................................................................ $7.6832 3. Drought Surcharges (deactivated): A drought surcharge will be added to the Customer’s applicable Commodity Rate when the City Council has determined that a water reduction level is in effect for the City as described in Section D.5. The drought surcharges in the table below are measured in dollars per hundred cubic feet (ccf). Water Usage Reduction level Level 1 (10/15%) Level 2 (20%) Level 3 (25%) Surcharge 0.26 0.53 0.77 D. SPECIAL NOTES: 1.Monthly charges shall include the applicable monthly service charge in addition to usage billed at the commodity rate. 2.Any applicant using a hydrant without obtaining a Hydrant Meter Permit or any permittee using a hydrant without a Hydrant Meter Permit shall pay a fee of $50.00 for each day of such use in WATER SERVICE FROM FIRE HYDRANTS UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-2 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-2-2 Effective 7-1-20176 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-2-2 addition to all other costs and fees provided in this schedule. A hydrant permit may be denied or revoked for failure to pay such fee. 3.A meter deposit of $750.00 may be charged any applicant for a Hydrant Meter Permit as a prerequisite to the issuance of a permit and meter(s). A charge of $50.00 per day will be added for delinquent return of hydrant meters. A fee will be charged for any meter returned with missing or damaged parts. 4. Any person or company using a fire hydrant improperly or without a permit, or who draws water from a hydrant without a meter installed and properly recording usage shall, in addition to all other applicable charges be subject to criminal prosecution pursuant to the Palo Alto Municipal Code. 5.During period of water shortage or restrictions on local water use, the City Council may, by resolution, declare the need for citywide water conservation at the 10/15%, 20% or 25% level. While such a resolution is in effect, a drought surcharge will apply. The purpose of the Drought Surcharge is to recover revenues lost as a result of reduced consumption. {End} RESIDENTIAL MASTER-METERED AND GENERAL NON-RESIDENTIAL WATER SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-4 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-4-1 Effective 7-1-20176 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-4-1 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to non-residential water service in the City of Palo Alto and its distribution area. This schedule is also applicable to multi-family residential customers served through a master meter. B. TERRITORY: This schedule applies everywhere the City of Palo Alto provides water services. C. RATES: Per Meter Monthly Service Charge Per Month For 5/8-inch meter .................................................................................... $ 16.77 For 3/4-inch meter .................................................................................... 22.60 For 1-inch meter .................................................................................... 34.26 For 1 ½-inch meter .................................................................................... 63.40 For 2-inch meter .................................................................................... 98.37 For 3-inch meter .................................................................................... 209.11 For 4-inch meter .................................................................................... 372.31 For 6-inch meter .................................................................................... 762.81 For 8-inch meter .................................................................................... 1,403.94 For 10-inch meter .................................................................................... 2,219.92 For 12-inch meter .................................................................................... 2,919.34 Commodity Rates: (to be added to Service Charge) Per Hundred Cubic Feet (ccf) Per Month All Pressure Zones Per ccf ............................................................................................................ $ 7.6832 RESIDENTIAL MASTER-METERED AND GENERAL NON-RESIDENTIAL WATER SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-4 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-4-2 Effective 7-1-20176 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-4-2 Drought Surcharges (deactivated): A drought surcharge will be added to the Customer’s applicable Commodity Rate when the City Council has determined that a water reduction level is in effect for the City as described in Section D.2. The drought surcharges in the table below are measured in dollars per hundred cubic feet (ccf). Water Usage Reduction level Level 1 (10/15%) Level 2 (20%) Level 3 (25%) Surcharge 0.26 0.53 0.77 D. SPECIAL NOTES: 1.Calculation of Cost Components The actual bill amount is calculated based on the applicable rates in Section C above and adjusted for any applicable discounts, surcharges and/or taxes. On a customer’s bill statement, the bill amount may be broken down into appropriate components as calculated under Section C. 2.Drought Surcharge During period of water shortage or restrictions on local water use, the City Council may, by resolution, declare the need for citywide water conservation at the 10/15%, 20% or 25% level. While such a resolution is in effect, a drought surcharge will apply. The purpose of the Drought Surcharge is to recover revenues lost as a result of reduced consumption. {End} NON-RESIDENTIAL IRRIGATION WATER SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-7 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-7-1 Effective 7-1-20167 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-7-1 A. APPLICABILITY: This schedule applies to non-residential water service supplying dedicated irrigation meters in the City of Palo Alto and its distribution area. B. TERRITORY: This schedule applies everywhere the City of Palo Alto provides water services. C. RATES: Per Meter Monthly Service Charge Per Month For 5/8-inch meter .................................................................................... $ 16.77 For 3/4-inch meter .................................................................................... 22.60 For 1-inch meter .................................................................................... 34.26 For 1 1/2 inch meter .................................................................................... 63.40 For 2-inch meter .................................................................................... 98.37 For 3-inch meter .................................................................................... 209.11 For 4-inch meter .................................................................................... 372.31 For 6-inch meter .................................................................................... 762.81 For 8-inch meter .................................................................................... 1,403.94 For 10-inch meter .................................................................................... 2,219.92 For 12-inch meter .................................................................................... 2,919.34 Commodity Rates: (to be added to Service Charge) Per Hundred Cubic Feet (ccf) Per Month All Pressure Zones Per ccf ............................................................................................................ $ 89.0872 Drought Surcharges (deactivated): A drought surcharge will be added to the Customer’s applicable Commodity Rate when the City Council has determined that a water reduction level is in effect for the City as described in Section D.2. The drought surcharges in the table below are measured in dollars per hundred cubic feet (ccf). NON-RESIDENTIAL IRRIGATION WATER SERVICE UTILITY RATE SCHEDULE W-7 CITY OF PALO ALTO UTILITIES Issued by the City Council Supersedes Sheet No W-7-2 Effective 7-1-20167 dated 97-1-20165 Sheet No W-7-2 Water Usage Reduction level Level 1 (10/15%) Level 2 (20%) Level 3 (25%) Surcharge 0.53 1.25 2.02 D. SPECIAL NOTES: 1. Calculation of Cost Components The actual bill amount is calculated based on the applicable rates in Section C above and adjusted for any applicable discounts, surcharges and/or taxes. On a customer’s bill statement, the bill amount may be broken down into appropriate components as calculated under Section C. 2. Drought Surcharge During period of water shortage or restrictions on local water use, the City Council may, by resolution, declare the need for citywide water conservation at the 10/15%, 20% or 25% level. While such a resolution is in effect, a drought surcharge will apply. The purpose of the Drought Surcharge is to recover revenues lost as a result of reduced consumption. {End} Attachment E EXCERPTED DRAFT MINUTES OF THE MARCH 1, 2017 UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION ITEM 3: ACTION: Staff Recommendation that the Utilities Advisory Commission Recommend that the City Council Adopt: (1) a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2018 Water Utility Financial Plan; and (2) a Resolution Increasing Water Rates by Amending Rate Schedules W-1 (General Residential Water Service), W-2 (Water Service from Fire Hydrants), W-4 (Residential Master-Metered and General Non-Residential Water Service, and W-7 (Non-Residential Irrigation Water Service) and Removing the Drought Surcharge Acting Senior Resource Planner Eric Keniston gave a presentation on the financial forecasts for the water utility. Forecasted rate increases for July 1, 2017 had decreased from 6% to 4% from the last year’s forecast. Future year rate increases were projected to be roughly 6% per year. Cost increases by rising wholesale costs due to major capital expenditures for seismic improvements and rehabilitation to the Hetch Hetchy water system. Expenditures were projected to be lower than normal in FY 2017 and FY 2018 due to delays in water main replacement investments. This would result in an increase in reserves, which would allow rate increases to be phased in over multiple years. Lastly, water demand had decreased during the drought, but with recent precipitation and an end to mandatory reduction requirements, demand was beginning to slowly rise again. It was not clear whether it would return to pre- drought levels. As a result, staff would recommend removing the drought surcharge. Commissioner Schwartz said it was important to remove the drought surcharge given the recent precipitation. Keniston said that even with the 4% rate increase, the removal of the drought surcharge meant that customers would see an overall decrease in their bills. ACTION: Commissioner Schwartz moved, seconded by Commissioner Trumbull to recommend that the City Council adopt the staff recommendation. The motion carried unanimously (6-0, with Vice Chair Danaher and Commissioners Trumbull, Forssell, Danaher, Schwartz, Ballantine, and Johnston voting yes and Commissioner Cook absent). City of Palo Alto (ID # 7855) Finance Committee Staff Report Report Type: Action Items Meeting Date: 4/4/2017 City of Palo Alto Page 1 Summary Title: FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan and Rate Proposals Title: Utilities Advisory Commission Recommendation That the City Council Adopt a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan From: City Manager Lead Department: Utilities Recommendation Staff and the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) request that the Finance Committee recommend that the Council: 1. Adopt a resolution (Attachment A) approving the fiscal year (FY) 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan (Attachment B); Executive Summary The FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Utility Financial Plan includes projections of the utility’s costs and revenues through FY 2027. Treatment costs are projected to rise substantially over the forecast period due to increasing operating costs and capital replacement needs at the Regional Water Quality Control Plant, as well as gradually increasing capital and operating cost increases for the wastewater collection system. However, this utility’s Operating Reserves are higher than required by the reserve guidelines due to a one-time savings resulting from delays in the utility’s annual main replacement program. As a result, staff projects the need for no wastewater rate increase in FY 2018. Rate increases of 7% are projected for FY 2019 through FY 2023. Rates for FY 2024 and beyond are projected to increase by 3 to 5%. The UAC reviewed the Wastewater Collection Financial Plan and Rate Proposals at its meeting on March 1, 2017, and unanimously recommended approval of the proposed financial plan. Background Every year staff presents the Financial Plans for its Electric, Gas, Water, and Wastewater Collection Utilities and recommends any rate adjustments required to maintain their financial health. These Financial Plans include a comprehensive overview of the utility’s operations, City of Palo Alto Page 2 both retrospective and prospective, and are intended to be a reference for UAC and Council members as they review the budget and staff’s rate recommendations. Each Financial Plan also contains a set of Reserves Management Practices describing the reserves for each utility and the management practices for those reserves. The Finance Committee reviewed preliminary financial forecasts at its March 21, 2017 meeting. Staff has not revised the preliminary projections presented at that meeting. Discussion Staff’s annual assessment of the financial position of the City’s wastewater collection utility is completed to ensure adequate revenue to fund operations, in compliance with the cost of service requirements set forth in the California Constitution (Proposition 218). This includes making long-term projections of market conditions, the physical condition of the system, and other factors that could affect utility costs, and setting rates adequate to recover these costs. The current rates are based on the methodology described in the 2011 Wastewater Collection Utility Cost of Service and Rate Study completed by Utility Financial Solutions (Staff Report 1399). Proposed Actions for FY 2018 1. No rate increase These proposed actions are described in more detail in the FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan (Attachment B). Staff proposes no adjustments to wastewater rates at this time. Current rates are shown in Table 1 below. Table 1: Current Wastewater Collection Charges Current (7/1/2016) City of Palo Alto Page 3 Monthly Service and Minimum Charges ($/month) S-1 (Residential) Service charge $34.83 S-2 (Commercial), S-6 (Restaurant) Minimum 34.83 Quantity Rates S-1 (Residential) $/CCF N/A S-2 (Commercial) $/CCF 6.71 S-6 (Restaurant) $/CCF 10.38 S-7 (Industrial) $/CCF 3.08 (1) Monthly charges for S-1 are fixed monthly charges, and those for S-2 and S-6 are minimum monthly charges. (2) Currently there are no customers on the S7 rate schedule, however, CPAU continues to maintain it in case there is a need for the rate schedule in the future. FY 2018 Financial Plan’s Projected Rate Adjustments for the Next Five Fiscal Years Table 2 shows the projected rate adjustments included in the Wastewater Collection Utility Financial Plans and their impact on a residential wastewater bill. Table 2: Projected Rate Adjustments and Residential Bill Impact, FY 2018 to FY 2022 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 Wastewater Utility 0% 7% 7% 7% 7% Estimated Bill Impact for Residential Customers ($/mo) $- $2.44 $2.61 $2.79 $2.99 The main drivers for the increase in the Wastewater Collection Utility’s costs (and therefore rates) over the next several years are the costs for wastewater treatment, which are projected to go up by 5 to 6% per year as the Regional Water Quality Control Plant makes several upgrades to their facilities, as well as capital improvement costs for the wastewater collection system. Operating and CIP costs are projected to rise roughly 2%-4% annually. As mentioned above, staff is not proposing a rate increase for FY 2018 because the Wastewater Collection Utility’s Operations Reserve is well above the target level set forth in the Reserve Guidelines. The Operations Reserve is projected to be $5.3 million, as compared to the reserve target of $4.6 million. Wastewater main replacement projects are temporarily delayed for a variety of reasons: The University Avenue Business District project is taking longer to coordinate than planned; fewer, more expensive competitive bidders on proposed projects have required staff to re-plan those projects; and hiring and retention of qualified staff has been an issue. There is uncertainty related to capital costs for the Wastewater Collection Utility in coming years. Wastewater main replacement costs have risen substantially in recent years, and it is possible higher CIP expenditures will be required in the future. City of Palo Alto Page 4 Wastewater Bill Comparison with Surrounding Cities The annual sewer bill for a Palo Alto resident is $418 under current rates, 31% lower than the average neighboring community. Table 3 shows the monthly sewer bills for residential customers compared to what they would be in surrounding communities. Table 3: Residential Monthly Sewer Bill Comparison (based on rates as of January 1, 2017) Palo Alto Neighboring Communities Neighboring Community Average Menlo Park Redwood City Mountain View Los Altos Santa Clara Hayward 34.83 85.91 75.11 34.30 33.93 41.65 29.80 50.12 Staff has no information at this time as to whether or when the surrounding communities are planning wastewater rate changes. Changes from Prior Financial Forecasts Staff has projected the need for wastewater rate increases for several years. Table 4 compares current rate projections to those projected in the last two year’s Financial Plans. Table 4: Projected Wastewater Rate Trajectory for FY 2018 to FY 2027 Projection FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Current (FY 2018 Financial Plan) 0% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% Last Year (FY 2017 Financial Plan) 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% N/A Two years ago (FY 2016 Financial Plan) 9% 9% 6% 6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Commission Review and Recommendation The UAC reviewed this proposal at its March 1, 2017 meeting. Staff noted that the rate projection had changed since the February 1, 2017 meeting, as a further review of Operations reserves indicated a 2% increase was not required at this time. After the presentation, the UAC voted to recommend that the Council adopt the resolution approving the FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan. The vote was unanimous (7-0). The draft excerpted minutes from the UAC’s March 1, 2017 meeting are provided as Attachment C. Timeline City of Palo Alto Page 5 As no rate changes are being proposed at this time, no public noticing is required by Article XIIID of the State Constitution (added by Proposition 218). The proposed Financial Plan will be considered by the City Council with the FY 2018 budget. Resource Impact See the FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Utility Financial Plan (Attachment B) for a more comprehensive overview of projected cost and revenue changes for the next five years. Policy Implications The proposed Wastewater Collection Financial Plan is consistent with Council-adopted Reserve Management Practices. Environmental Review The Finance Committee’s review and recommendation to Council on the proposed FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan does not meet the definition of a project requiring California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) review, under California Public Resources Code 21065 and CEQA Guidelines Section 15378(b)(5), because it is an administrative governmental activity which will not cause a direct or indirect physical change in the environment. Attachments:  Attachment A: Resolution Approving the FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan  Attachment B: Proposed FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan  Attachment C: Excerpt of the Draft March 1, 2017 Utilities Advisory Commission Minutes Attachment A * NOT YET APPROVED * 170221 jb 6053915 Resolution No. ____ Resolution of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Approving the FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Utility Financial Plan R E C I T A L S A. Each year the City of Palo Alto (“City”) assesses the financial position of its utilities with the goal of ensuring adequate revenue to fund operations. This includes making long-term projections of market conditions, the physical condition of the system, and other factors that could affect utility costs, and setting rates adequate to recover these costs. It does this with the goal of providing safe, reliable, and sustainable utility services at competitive rates. The City adopts Financial Plans to summarize these projections. B. The City uses reserves to protect against contingencies and to manage other aspects of its operations, and regularly assesses the adequacy of these reserves and the management practices governing their operation. The status of utility reserves and their management practices are included in Reserves Management Practices attached to and made a part of the Financial Plans. The Council of the City of Palo Alto does hereby RESOLVE as follows: SECTION 1. The Council hereby approves the FY 2018 Wastewater Collection Utility Financial Plan. SECTION 2. The Council finds that the adoption of this resolution does not meet the definition of a project requiring California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) review, under / / / / / / / / / / / / Attachment A * NOT YET APPROVED * 170221 jb 6053915 California Public Resources Code 21065 and CEQA Guidelines Section 15378(b)(5), because it is an administrative governmental activity which will not cause a direct or indirect physical change in the environment. INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST: ___________________________ ___________________________ City Clerk Mayor APPROVED AS TO FORM: APPROVED: ___________________________ ___________________________ Senior Deputy City Attorney City Manager ___________________________ Director of Utilities ___________________________ Director of Administrative Services FY 2018 WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2018 TO FY 2027 ATTACHMENT B WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 2 | Page FY 2018 WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN FY 2018 TO FY 2027 TABLE OF CONTENTS Section 1: Definitions and Abbreviations................................................................................ 4 Section 2: Executive Summary and Recommendations ........................................................... 4 Section 2A: Overview of Financial Position .................................................................................. 4 Section 2B: Summary of Proposed Actions .................................................................................. 5 Section 3: Detail of FY 2018 Rate and Reserves Proposals ....................................................... 5 Section 3A: Rate Design ............................................................................................................... 5 Section 3B: Current and Proposed Rates ..................................................................................... 6 Section 3D: Proposed Reserve Transfers ..................................................................................... 6 Section 4: Utility Overview .................................................................................................... 7 Section 4A: Wastewater Utility History ....................................................................................... 7 Section 4B: customer base ........................................................................................................... 8 Section 4C: Collection System ...................................................................................................... 8 Section 4D: Cost Structure and Revenue Sources ........................................................................ 9 Section 4E: Reserves Structure ..................................................................................................... 9 Section 4F: Competitiveness ...................................................................................................... 10 Section 5: Utility Financial Projections ................................................................................. 11 Section 5A: FY 2012 to FY 2016 Cost and Revenue Trends ........................................................ 11 Section 5B: FY 2016 Results ....................................................................................................... 12 Section 5C: FY 2017 Projections ................................................................................................. 13 Section 5D: FY 2018 – FY 2027 Projections ................................................................................ 13 Section 5E: Risk Assessment and Reserves Adequacy ............................................................... 14 Section 5F: Alternate Scenarios ................................................................................................. 16 WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 3 | Page Section 5G: Long-Term Outlook ................................................................................................. 16 Section 6: Details and Assumptions ..................................................................................... 16 Section 6A: Wastewater Treatment Costs ................................................................................. 16 Section 6B: Operations .............................................................................................................. 17 Section 6C: Capital Improvement Program (CIP) ....................................................................... 17 Section 6D: Debt Service ............................................................................................................ 19 Section 6E: Other Revenues ....................................................................................................... 20 Section 7: Communications Plan .......................................................................................... 20 Appendices ......................................................................................................................... 22 Appendix A: Wastewater Collection Financial Forecast Detail .................................................. 23 Appendix B: Wastewater Collection Utility Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Detail .......... 24 Appendix C: Wastewater Collection Utility Reserves Management Practices .......................... 25 Appendix D: Sample of Wastewater Collection Outreach Materials......................................... 28 WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 4 | Page SECTION 1: DEFINITIONS AND ABBREVIATIONS CCF The standard unit of measurement for water delivered to water customers, equal to one hundred cubic feet, or roughly 748 gallons. When water usage is used to assess wastewater charges for commercial customers, it is measured in CCF. CIP Capital Improvement Program CPAU City of Palo Alto Utilities Department FOG Fats, oils, and grease. When flushed into the sewer system, these materials accumulate in parts of the sewer system and create blockages. O&M Operations and Maintenance RWQCP Regional Water Quality Control Plant, the wastewater treatment plant owned and operated by the City of Palo Alto that serves Palo Alto and several surrounding communities. UAC Utilities Advisory Commission SECTION 2: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS This document presents a Financial Plan for the City of Palo Alto’s Wastewater Collection Utility for the next ten years. The Financial Plan provides revenues to cover the costs of operating the utility safely over that time while adequately investing for the future. It also addresses the financial risks facing the utility over the short term and long term, and includes measures to mitigate and manage those risks. SECTION 2A: OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL POSITION Overall costs in the Wastewater Collection Utility are expected to rise by about 6% per year from fiscal year (FY) 2017 to FY 2027. Excluding FY 2018 (which, unlike a normal year, does not include a sewer main replacement project), wastewater treatment and CIP costs are projected to rise by five to six percent annually through the projection period, with other costs rising at roughly three percent per year. The costs for the Wastewater Collection Utility are shown in Table 1 below. Table 1: Expenses for FY 2016 to FY 2027 Expenses ($000) FY 2016 (act.) FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Treatment Costs 8,770 9,855 9,932 10,298 11,088 11,885 12,293 13,001 14,056 14,928 15,407 15,901 Operations 5,429 6,142 6,342 6,142 6,349 6,561 6,779 7,250 7,354 7,594 7,842 8,099 Capital Projects 4,985 971 1,338 5,218 5,033 5,207 5,336 5,495 5,658 5,827 6,000 6,178 TOTAL 19,184 16,968 17,613 21,659 22,470 23,652 24,408 25,746 27,069 28,348 29,249 30,178 The short term reduction in CIP expenses will result in higher revenues than expenses, and the Rate Stabilization Reserve will be drawn down over a longer time frame than projected in last WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 5 | Page year’s financial plan. Going forward, to ensure that revenues cover rising costs and reserves remain healthy, the financial plan includes the rate trajectory shown in Table 2. The table also shows rate projections from last year’s Financial Plan. Last year’s plan projected earlier, more aggressive rate increases. However, the delay of the planned FY 2017 and FY 2018 sewer main replacement projects resulted in an increase in reserves, which enabled the more gradual increases projected in the current plan. Table 2: Projected Wastewater Collection Rate Trajectory for FY 2018 to FY 2026 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Current Plan 0% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 5% 5% 4% 3% FY 2017 Plan 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% N/A The Wastewater Collection Utility has a small balance in its Rate Stabilization Reserve. This reserve is used to phase in rate increases over several years. The FY 2017 Financial Plan proposed a $342,000 transfer from the Rate Stabilization Reserve, but in the proposed FY 2018 Financial Plan this transfer is moved to later years. Due to the delays in main replacement noted above, the Operations reserve is above its target level, and will rise again in FY 2018 before beginning to decline. This Financial Plan projects that the Rate Stabilization Reserve will not be needed until FY 2020. Table 3: Transfers To/(From) Reserves for FY 2017 to FY 2027 ($000) Reserve FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 to FY 2027 Rate Stabilization - - (342) Operations - - 342 SECTION 2B: SUMMARY OF PROPOSED ACTIONS Staff proposes no rate changes or transfers for the Wastewater Collection Utility in FY 2017 and FY 2018. SECTION 3: DETAIL OF FY 2018 RATE AND RESERVES PROPOSALS SECTION 3A: RATE DESIGN The Wastewater Collection Utility’s rates are evaluated and implemented in compliance with the cost of service requirements and procedural rules set forth in the California Constitution (Proposition 218). Current rates were structured based on staff’s annual assessment of the wastewater utility’s financial position, as well as the methodology from the January 2011 Wastewater Collection Utility Cost of Service & Rate Study completed by Utility Financial Solutions (Staff Report 1399). Staff plans to review and update this cost of service study in FY 2018 or FY 2019, unless any major changes occur to the utility’s operations or customer base that would necessitate an earlier study. Before conducting any new cost of service study, staff will review current rates and the scope of the study with the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) and Council to determine the City’s policy priorities. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 6 | Page SECTION 3B: CURRENT AND PROPOSED RATES The current rates were adopted July 1, 2016, when the City increased sewer rates by 9%. CPAU has three sewer rate schedules: one for residents (S-1), one for commercial customers (S-2), and a special schedule for restaurants (S-6), which discharge higher than average amounts of grease and oil and, therefore, have a greater impact on the sewer system. Residential customers are billed a monthly service charge, while commercial customers are billed based on their dry month water usage (previous January through March). This closely approximates non- irrigation water consumption, which represents actual sewer use. Restaurant customers are billed monthly based on water usage. CPAU also maintains a rate schedule for industrial dischargers (S-7), but there are currently no customers required to be on this rate schedule. CPAU us not proposing any rate changes for FY 2018 at this time. Table 4, below, summarizes the current rates for all customer classes. Comparisons with neighboring communities are discussed in Section 4F: Competitiveness. Table 4: Current Sewer Rates Current (as of 7/1/2016) Monthly Service and Minimum Charges ($/month) S-1 (Residential) Service charge $34.83 S-2 (Commercial), S-6 (Restaurant) Minimum $34.83 Quantity Rates: based on winter water usage (average for January - March bill period) S-2 (Commercial) $/CCF 6.71 S-6 (Restaurant) $/CCF 10.38 S-7 (Industrial) $/CCF 3.08 SECTION 3C: PROPOSED RESERVE TRANSFERS In the FY 2017 Financial Plan, staff recommended a $1.95 million transfer from the Rate Stabilization Reserve in FY 2016. This left a small amount, $342,000, which was originally to be transferred in FY 2017 and bring the Rate Stabilization Reserve balance to zero. With main replacement projects being deferred in FY 2017 and FY 2018, the Operations reserve will not require a transfer from the Rate Stabilization Reserve. It is now anticipated that the remaining $342,000 will not need to be transferred until FY 2020. These transfers are included in the financial projections in this Financial Plan, and will enable CPAU to maintain adequate Operations Reserve levels while moderating the pace of increase in Wastewater Collection rates. The impact of these transfers on reserves levels can be seen in Appendix A: Wastewater Collection Financial Forecast Detail. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 7 | Page SECTION 4: UTILITY OVERVIEW This section provides an overview of the utility and its operations. It is intended as general background information and to help readers better understand the forecasts in later sections. SECTION 4A: WASTEWATER UTILITY HISTORY The Wastewater Utility commenced operation in 1899 to serve Palo Alto and Stanford. In its first three decades the system grew to 60 miles of sewers. Raw sewage was discharged into Mayfield Slough at the edge of the Bay. In the 1930s, at the behest of the State Department of Health, Palo Alto built the South Bay’s first wastewater treatment plant. At that time the sewer system served 20,500 Stanford and Palo Alto residents and a cannery. The plant was upgraded twice in the 1940s and 1950s to increase capacity.1 At the same time, the postwar population and industrial boom in the 1950s required rapid expansion of the sewer system. In the first half of the 1960s Palo Alto’s area doubled, as did wastewater flows, overwhelming the capacity of several of the utility’s “trunk lines,” which are the largest diameter main sewer lines carrying wastewater to the treatment plant. This prompted the City, in 1965, to perform the first of its sewer master plans to identify needed capacity improvements. At that point the Wastewater Utility’s system comprised more than 150 miles of sewer mains.2 In 1968 the City signed agreements with the Cities of Mountain View and Los Altos to build a new regional treatment plant, the RWQCP, which is still in operation today. Since 1940 the City had been providing treatment services to the East Palo Alto Sanitary District through an existing agreement, and was also serving Stanford University by transporting wastewater across the City’s sewer system to the treatment plant. Both of these organizations became partners in the RWQCP as well. At the same time the Town of Los Altos Hills became the sixth partner as it signed an agreement with the City to connect the Town’s sewer system to the City’s sewer system to carry wastewater to the new RWQCP. The current agreements for the RWQCP extend through 2035.3 In the 1980s the City directed increased attention to the condition of its sewer system, performing a series of studies of groundwater inflow and infiltration into the system. The studies found high rates of infiltration, estimating that as much as 40% of the water going to the RWQCP from Palo Alto’s system was groundwater and stormwater rather than wastewater.4 In some parts of Palo Alto the land surface had subsided due to groundwater pumping by the water utility, and though that practice had ceased many years earlier as the water utility switched to the Hetch Hetchy Regional Water System, parts of the city had already subsided two to five feet. This subsidence had damaged several parts of the sewer collection system, leading to reduced slopes for sewer mains that caused reductions in capacity. In 1 Long Range Facilities Plan for the Regional Water Quality Control Plant, August 2012, Carollo Engineers, pp 2-1 through 2-2 2 Wastewater Collection and Storm Drainage, 1965, Brown and Caldwell Consulting Engineers, pp 4, 6-7, 143 3 Long Range Facilities Plan for the Regional Water Quality Control Plant, August 2012, Carollo Engineers, pg 2-2 4 Wastewater Collection System Master Plan – Capacity Assessment, January 2004, MWH Americas, Inc., pg ES-2 WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 8 | Page response to these studies the City commenced an accelerated sewer system rehabilitation program.5 At that point the sewer system comprised over 190 miles of mains.6 A Master Plan study in 1988 recommended a variety of capacity expansions, and in the 1990s the City completed about half of them. However, a 2004 Master Plan update found that the accelerated sewer rehabilitation plan started in the early 1990s had substantially reduced infiltration, easing the capacity problems that had led the to the recommended capacity increases in the 1988 study. Several of the outstanding projects were canceled and replaced with a different set of projects.7 At the same time the City updated its hydraulic model and developed greater capacity to do system planning in house. SECTION 4B: CUSTOMER BASE The City of Palo Alto’s Wastewater Collection Utility provides sewer service to the residents and businesses of Palo Alto. It is distinct from the Wastewater Treatment Utility, which provides treatment services for surrounding communities in addition to Palo Alto. Nearly 23,300 customers are connected to the sewer system, approximately 21,450 (92%) of which are residential and 1,850 (8%) of which are non-residential. Residential customers pay a flat fee for service. Non-residential customers are billed for sewer service based on their metered winter water usage. There is little variability in revenues for this utility. SECTION 4C: COLLECTION SYSTEM The Wastewater Collection Utility delivers all the wastewater it collects to the Regional Water Quality Control Plant (RWQCP) operated by the City of Palo Alto under a partnership agreement with several surrounding communities. Palo Alto is responsible for 35% to 40% of the wastewater sent to the RWQCP. The cost of running the RWQCP is contained in the Wastewater Treatment Utility and is not described in detail in this Financial Plan, but since these costs are a major driver of CPAU’s sewer rates, there is some discussion of future trends in treatment costs in Section 6A: Wastewater Treatment Costs. Treatment costs make up nearly half of the Wastewater Collection Utility’s expenses as shown in Table 1 above. To collect wastewater from its customers and deliver it to the RWQCP, CPAU owns roughly 18,100 sewer laterals (which collect wastewater from customers’ plumbing systems) and 217 miles of sewer mains (which transport the waste to the treatment plant). These laterals and mains, along with the associated manholes and cleanouts, represent the vast majority of infrastructure used to collect wastewater in Palo Alto. CPAU conducts a sewer rehabilitation and replacement program to replace mains over time as they deteriorate or to increase capacity. For more discussion of this program, see Section 6C: Capital Improvement Program (CIP). CIP expense accounts for roughly a quarter of the utility’s expenditures. In addition to its CIP, CPAU performs various maintenance activities on the sewer system. These include inspecting and repairing sewer laterals, responding to sewer overflows, regularly 5 CMR 183:90, Infrastructure Review and Update, March 1, 1990 6 Master Plan of the Wastewater Collection System, December 1988, Camp Dresser & McKee, Inc., pg 1-2 7 Wastewater Collection System Master Plan – Capacity Assessment, January 2004, MWH Americas, Inc., pg ES-3 WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 9 | Page cleaning sections of the system heavily impacted by fats, oils, and grease (FOG), and building and replacing sewer laterals for new or redeveloped buildings. The utility also shares the costs of other operational activities (such as customer service, billing, equipment maintenance, and street restoration) with the City’s other utilities. These maintenance and operations expenses, as well as associated administration, debt service, rent, and other costs, make up another quarter of the utility’s expenses. SECTION 4D: COST STRUCTURE AND REVENUE SOURCES In FY 2016, treatment costs represented nearly half of the Wastewater Collection Utility’s costs (47%), followed by Capital (27%) and Operations costs (26%). These expenditures are shown in Figure 1. The utility’s revenue in FY 2016, shown in Figure 2, came primarily from sewer charges (94%), with the remainder coming mainly from capacity and connection fees and other sources (6%). Figure 1: Cost Structure (FY 2016) Figure 2: Revenue Structure (FY 2016) SECTION 4E: RESERVES STRUCTURE CPAU maintains six reserves for its Wastewater Collection Utility to manage various types of contingencies. These are summarized below, but see Appendix C: Wastewater Collection Utility Reserves Management Practices for more detailed definitions and guidelines for reserve management: • Reserve for Commitments: A reserve equal to the utility’s outstanding contract liabilities for the current fiscal year. Most City funds, including the General Fund, have a Commitments Reserve. • Reserve for Reappropriations: A reserve for funds dedicated to projects reappropriated by the City Council, nearly all of which are capital projects. Most City funds, including the General Fund, have a Reappropriations Reserve. • Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Reserve: The CIP reserve can be used to accumulate funds for future expenditure on CIP projects and is anticipated to be empty unless a major one-time CIP expenditure is expected in future years. It also acts as a WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 10 | Page contingency reserve for the CIP. This type of reserve is used in other utility funds (Electric, Gas, and Water) as well. • Rate Stabilization Reserve: This reserve is intended to be empty unless one or more large rate increases are anticipated in the forecast period. In that case, funds can be accumulated to spread the impact of those future rate increases across multiple years. This type of reserve is used in other utility funds (Electric, Gas, and Water) as well. • Operations Reserve: This is the primary contingency reserve for the Wastewater Collection Utility, and is used to manage yearly variances from budget for operational costs. This type of reserve is used in other utility funds (Electric, Gas, and Water) as well. • Unassigned Reserve: This reserve is for any funds not assigned to the other reserves and is normally empty. SECTION 4F: COMPETITIVENESS Table 6 shows the monthly sewer bills for residential customers compared to what they would be in surrounding communities. The annual sewer bill for a Palo Alto customer is $418 under current rates, 31% lower than the average neighboring community. Palo Alto has the fourth lowest bill of the group. Table 5: Residential Monthly Sewer Bill Comparison Palo Alto Neighboring Communities Neighboring Community Average Menlo Park Redwood City Mountain View Los Altos Santa Clara Hayward 34.83 85.91 75.11 34.30 33.93 41.65 29.80 50.12 Based on rates as of February 2017 Table 7 compares the sewer bills for two classes of commercial customers to what they would be under surrounding communities’ rate schedules. Note that other communities often have specific rates for industrial customers that discharge high intensity wastewater, such as food processors or chemical or electronics manufacturers, but Palo Alto does not currently have any customers that require these special rates. Palo Alto is less competitive with surrounding cities with regards to commercial sewer rates, but is not the most expensive jurisdiction in all cases. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 11 | Page Table 6: Commercial Monthly Sewer Bill Comparison Palo Alto Neighboring Communities Neighboring Community Average Menlo Park Redwood City Mountain View Los Altos Santa Clara Hayward General Commercial $ 94.00 $ 33.14 $ 75.11 $ 62.86 $ 50.76 $ 65.94 $ 62.02 $ 74.97 Restaurant 581.10 664.72 781.08 490.56 137.70 590.24 463.12 521.24 Based on rates as of February 2017 SECTION 5: UTILITY FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS SECTION 5A: FY 2012 TO FY 2016 COST AND REVENUE TRENDS Figure 3 shows the Wastewater Collection Utility’s actual expenses and revenues for the past five years and projections through FY 2027. Operations costs were low in FY 2012, but in general expenses have grown with inflation at around 2% per year. Capital Investment grew on average by around 3%, with FY 2014 and FY 2015 seeing a reduction in investment mainly due to delayed main replacement projects. Treatment costs stayed relatively flat during this time frame. Since the revenue for this utility is very stable, revenue changes closely follow rate changes. The other large revenue item of note is the continued connection and capacity fees from new construction. These fees have grown dramatically since FY 2010, and it is uncertain when this trend may dampen. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 12 | Page Figure 3: Wastewater Collection Utility Expenses, Revenues and Rate Changes Actual Costs through FY 2016 and Projections through FY 2027 SECTION 5B: FY 2016 RESULTS Forecasted revenues for FY 2016 were lower than projected ($16.6 million actual vs. $18 million projected), but expenses related to Administration and Customer Service activities came in well below expected budget as well. Total FY 2016 expenses were $18.5 million compared to projections of $19.9 million in the FY 2017 Financial Plan. Table 8 summarizes the variances from forecast. Table 7: FY 2016, Actual Results vs. Financial Plan Forecast Net Cost/ (Benefit) Type of change Admin and customer service costs lower than projected (806,000) Cost savings Sales revenues lower than forecast 657,000 Revenue decrease Connection, capacity fees and other revenues were lower than forecasted 119,000 Revenue decrease Operations, capital and other cost increases 131,000 Cost increase Net Cost / (Benefit) of Variances ($101,000) WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 13 | Page SECTION 5C: FY 2017 PROJECTIONS The most notable change from the FY 2017 budget identified at this time is the deferral of Wastewater Collection System Rehabilitation Project 28. Originally budgeted at $3.5 million, this project is now anticipated to start in FY 2019. Also deferred to FY 2019 will be the design phase of Project 29, budgeted at $328,000. Capital Improvement issues are further discussed in Section 6c below. SECTION 5D: FY 2018 – FY 2027 PROJECTIONS Staff has prepared a forecast of costs and revenues through FY 2027. As shown in Figure 3 above (and, in more detail, in Appendix A: Wastewater Collection Financial Forecast Detail), the Wastewater Collection Utility’s total costs are projected to increase by roughly 6% per year on average for FY 2017 through FY 2027. The majority of this increase is due to projected treatment cost increases. The treatment plant itself is facing the need for major upgrades in coming years, both due to age of equipment and constantly changing environmental regulations. While the costs of the plant are shared among member agencies, Palo Alto is still expected to see average cost increases of 5% per year over the forecast horizon. Revenues are shown by the red line in Figure 3, and what is notable here is that costs have been generally higher than revenue. Some relief was experienced during times of lower CIP expenditures, and this is projected to be seen in FY 2017 and 2018. The trend of under- collection picks up in the future, however, resulting in a fairly rapid reduction of reserves. A path of 7% annual rate increases in the near term, decreasing to more inflationary increases in outer years, is required to keep reserves from dropping too low. Figure 4 below shows the relative drop in reserves, only showing slowing replenishment after the projected increase in FY 2021. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 14 | Page Figure 4: Wastewater Collection Reserves Projections SECTION 5E: RISK ASSESSMENT AND RESERVES ADEQUACY The Wastewater Collection Utility currently has one contingency reserve, the Operations Reserve, and this Financial Plan maintains reserves within the approved guideline levels throughout the forecast period, as shown in Figure 5 below. Reserve levels also exceed the short term risk assessment for the utility. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 15 | Page Figure 5: Operations Reserve Adequacy Staff performs an annual assessment of risks for the Wastewater Collection Utility. For this evaluation, staff estimates the revenue shortfall due to: 1. the maximum observed budget-to-actual variance in one year during the past five years; 2. an increase of 10% in system improvement CIP expenditures for the year; and 3. an increase of 10% in treatment costs. Table 9 summarizes the risk assessment calculation for the Wastewater Collection Utility through FY 2022. The Operations Reserve is projected to be adequate to manage these levels of risk over the entire forecast period. Table 8: Wastewater Collection Risk Assessment FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 Total Revenue ($000) 17,146 18,296 19,577 20,947 22,413 Max. Historical Budget-to-Actual variance 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Budget-to-Actual Risk ($000) 514 549 587 628 672 System Rehabilitation CIP Budget ($000) 933 4,800 4,602 4,763 4,880 CIP Contingency @10% ($000) 93 480 460 476 488 Treatment Budget ($000) 9,932 10,298 11,088 11,885 12,293 Treatment Cost Contingency @10% ($000) 993 1,030 1,109 1,188 1,229 Total risk assessment value ($000) 1,600 2,059 2,156 2,292 2,389 Projected Operations Reserve Level ($000) 6,688 5,410 5,069 4,529 4,732 WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 16 | Page SECTION 5F: ALTERNATE SCENARIOS At its February 2017 meeting, staff presented an earlier scenario with a 2% rate increase in FY 2018 followed by 6% rate increases in outer years. However, with the Operations reserve projected to be above the target level and well within the guideline levels adopted by Council, staff no longer sees the need for an increase at this time. SECTION 5G: LONG-TERM OUTLOOK In the longer term (5 to 35 years) the primary factor that could lead to increased costs for the Wastewater Collection Utility are major upgrades at the RWQCP, a share of which will be allocated to the utility as part of treatment costs. These upgrades includes replacement or rehabilitation of the parts of the facility that pump raw sewage to the main treatment works (the headworks), separate out primary sludge (the primary settling tank), process sludge (the bio-solids facility), and treat wastewater (the fixed film reactors). Upgrades to the laboratories and operational buildings are planned as well. In addition, the 72-inch regional trunk sewer line flowing into the plant needs to be evaluated and rehabilitated. SECTION 6: DETAILS AND ASSUMPTIONS SECTION 6A: WASTEWATER TREATMENT COSTS Treatment expenses represent the Wastewater Collection Utility’s share of the costs of operating the RWQCP. Per the partnership agreements between Palo Alto and its partner agencies, these charges are assessed based on a formula that takes into account the total amount of wastewater delivered, the amount of organic material in it, its ammonia content, and the total suspended solids it is carrying. The Wastewater Collection Utility’s assessed share of the RWQCP’s revenue requirement fluctuates in the 38% to 40% range. Mountain View is the other large agency served by the RWQCP (39% of the revenue requirement for FY 2014) with the smaller agencies (Stanford, Los Altos, East Palo Alto, and Los Altos Hills) making up the remainder of the flow to the treatment plant. Based on detailed project cost projections provided by RWQCP staff, treatment costs are likely to continue to increase by roughly 5% per year through at least 2030. Wastewater Treatment Fund costs are increasing due to rising salary and benefit costs as well as the attendant allocated charges for centralized city services needed by the Fund. Additional expenses include increased water and air permitting fees from the Regional Water Quality Control Board and the Bay Area Air Quality Management District. Commodity and utility rates to operate the facility are also increasing with the largest increases in FY2018 for electrical, water, refuse, and storm rates. Chemical commodity expenses, needed to adjust water quality and meet permit requirements, are also increasing modestly per latest chemical market conditions and procurement contract conditions. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 17 | Page Capital projects, parts, and materials are increasing about 3% to keep up with ongoing replacement of aging equipment. Larger increase to capital expenses are expected to begin in FY2020 in the form of new debt service for major projects to implement the Plant’s capital program. The Plant’s major project in FY2018 will be making progress constructing the Sludge Dewatering and Truck Loadout Facility, which will allow (in about 2019) the retirement of the Plant’s two sewage sludge incinerators that have been in operation since 1972. SECTION 6B: OPERATIONS Operations costs include the Customer Service, Distribution Operations, Engineering, and Allocated Charges categories in Appendix A: Wastewater Collection Financial Forecast Detail. Debt service, rent, and transfers are also included in this category. Customer Service costs are primarily related to the call center and collections on delinquent accounts. The Distribution Operations category includes preventative and corrective maintenance on sewer mains and laterals, investigation of sewer overflows, regular cleaning of heavily impacted sections of the sewer system, and services shared with other utilities (such as street restoration and equipment maintenance). Allocated Charges include the costs of accounting, purchasing, legal, and other administrative functions provided by the City’s General Fund staff, as well as shared communications services and Utilities Department administrative overhead and billing system maintenance costs. Operations costs are projected to increase by 3% per year, on average, over the forecast period. Underlying these projections are salary and benefit, consumer price index, and other cost projections used in the City’s long-range financial forecast. SECTION 6C: CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM (CIP) The Wastewater Collection Utility’s CIP consists of the following programs: • The Sewer System Replacement/Rehabilitation Program, under which the Wastewater Collection Utility replaces aging sewer mains. • Customer Connections, which covers the cost when the Wastewater Collection Utility installs new services or upgrades existing services at a customer’s request in response to development or redevelopment. CPAU charges a fee to these customers to cover the cost of these projects. • Ongoing Projects, which covers the cost of replacing degraded manholes and sewer laterals, as well as the cost of capitalized tools and equipment. The Sewer System Replacement and Rehabilitation Program funds the replacement of deteriorating sewer mains and projects to increase capacity in various parts of the sewer system. The sewer system consists of over 217 miles of mains, and CPAU uses a variety of tools to establish which sections are in need of replacement. Maintenance statistics (such as records of the location and number of sewer overflows on the system) and videotape of sewer mains during regular cleaning can reveal areas with large amounts of deteriorating pipe. CPAU uses a WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 18 | Page scoring system to prioritize which mains to replace first, and coordinates with the Public Works street maintenance program to avoid cutting into newly repaved streets. A major goal of the program is to minimize groundwater and rainwater infiltration. As mains deteriorate they begin to allow groundwater and rainwater to infiltrate the system. Some level of infiltration is expected on any sewer system, but if there is too much, the combined flow of wastewater and groundwater/rainwater can overwhelm the capacity of various parts of the sewer system. Reducing infiltration can reduce the need to expand the system to accommodate increased flow. To achieve this goal, deteriorating mains are either repaired with a plastic lining or replaced. CPAU replaces or repairs approximately 25,000 feet of main per year, or 2.5% of the system. The CIP program also funds sewer capacity improvements. CPAU uses a hydraulic model, data from various flow meters on the system, and land use data to identify sections of the system that are being overloaded. When sewer mains are operating at or above their capacity on a regular basis it will increase the likelihood of sewer overflows. CPAU also does occasional comprehensive master planning studies to identify necessary capacity improvements. The most recent study, in 2004, identified eight projects, three of which have been completed. The remaining four projects are low priority projects and will be scheduled and planned as the need arises. Over the last few years, main replacement costs have been increasing for Wastewater as well as the Gas and Water utilities. The replacement cost per linear foot has increased by between 25 and 50% in some cases. Several factors may be contributing to this. Economic recovery in the Bay Area, as well as a greater focus on infrastructure improvement by many municipal agencies and utilities could be creating high demand for contractors in this field. There may be ongoing greater costs for newer, more leak resistant pipe materials. Should these trends prove to be less than short-term phenomena, wastewater main replacement budgets may need to be increased by $1.5 to $1.7 million more per year to maintain the current pace of replacement. This increase in cost is a partial reason for the two year delay in projects. The most recent project, when put out for bid, resulted in very few contractors competing, and project bids larger than budgeted. Staff will redesign this and future projects into smaller segments to keep budgets lower, while not compromising on overall system integrity. The other reason for delay is the University Avenue Business District project, and getting coordination amongst all departments is taking more time than expected. Finally, there has been an ongoing issue with keeping and maintaining qualified staff to design and work on projects. Customer Connections costs are projected to increase steadily by around 3% each year through the end of the forecast period. Actual expenses for these projects fluctuate annually depending on how many defective laterals and manholes are discovered during routine maintenance, as well as how much development and redevelopment is going on that prompts the replacement or upgrade of sewer laterals. It is worth noting that property owners pay a fee for sewer lateral replacement or expansion during redevelopment, so when the number of projects increases, so does fee revenue. Projected CIP spending is displayed in Table 10 for the 5-year financial forecast period. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 19 | Page Table 9: Projected CIP Spending Aside from Customer Connections, the CIP plan for FY 2018 to FY 2022 is funded by sewer rates and capacity fees. The details of the plan are shown in Appendix B: Wastewater Collection Utility Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Detail. SECTION 6D: DEBT SERVICE The Wastewater Collection Utility currently pays its share of one bond issuance, the 1999 Utility Revenue Bonds, Series A, which is due to be retired in 2024. This $17.7 million issuance refinanced various earlier Storm Drain, Wastewater Treatment, and Wastewater Collection Utility bond issuances. The Wastewater Collection Utility’s share of the issuance was roughly $1.9 million. This amount represented the second refinancing of the remaining principal of a 1990 bond issuance which itself was a refinancing of a 1985 issuance that financed a variety of improvements to the sewer system. The cost of debt service for the Wastewater Collection Utility’s share of this bond issuance for the financial forecast period is roughly $128,000 per year as shown in Table 11 below. Table 10: Wastewater Collection Utility Debt Service ($000) FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 1999 Utility Revenue Bonds, Series A 128 128 128 129 129 129 The 1999 Utility Revenue Bonds include two covenants stating that 1) the Wastewater Collection Utility will maintain a debt coverage ratio of 125% of debt service, and 2) that the City will maintain “Available Reserves”8 equal to five times the annual debt service. The current financial plan maintains compliance with both covenants throughout the forecast period. Compliance with covenant one is shown below in Table 12, below. Due to the small size of the annual debt service payment for these bonds, the Wastewater Collection Utility’s Operations Reserve alone more than satisfies the second covenant at more than 30 times annual debt service throughout the forecast period. 8 Available Reserves as defined in the 1999 Utility Revenue Bonds included reserves for the Water, Wastewater Treatment, Wastewater Collection, Refuse, Storm Drain, Electric, and Gas Utilities WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 20 | Page Table 11: Debt Service Coverage Ratio ($000) FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 Revenues 19,042 19,170 20,381 21,787 23,112 24,611 Expenses (Excl. CIP and Debt Service) -15,869 -16,146 -16,713 -17,709 -18,717 -19,343 Net Revenues 3,173 3,024 3,668 4,078 4,395 5,268 Debt Service 128 128 128 128 129 129 Coverage Ratio 2479% 2363% 2866% 3186% 3407% 4084% The Wastewater Collection Utility’s reserves (but not its net revenues) are also considered security for the Storm Drain and Wastewater Treatment Utilities’ shares of the debt service on the 1999 bonds. Throughout the term of the bonds there remains a small risk that the Wastewater Collection Utility’s reserves could be called upon to make a debt service payment on behalf of one of those utilities if it cannot meet its debt service obligations. Staff does not foresee this occurring based on the current financial condition of those utilities. If the Wastewater Collection Utility’s reserves were used this way, any amounts advanced would have to be repaid by the borrowing utility. One other bond series is secured by the net revenues (but not the reserves) of the Wastewater Collection Utility. The 1995 Series A Utility Revenue Bonds issued for the Storm Drain utility was secured by the net revenues of the City’s “Enterprise,” which was defined as the City’s water, gas, wastewater, storm drain, and electric utilities, and are senior to the 1999 bonds referenced above. Debt service payments of roughly $680,000 per year are made on the 1995 Series A bonds by the City’s Storm Drain Utility, and staff does not currently foresee any risk of that utility being unable to make payment. SECTION 6E: OTHER REVENUES The utility has seen substantial increases in connection and capacity fee revenues in recent years, offsetting the need for increased sales revenue in the past, and these are assumed to continue, albeit slightly reduced from current levels. Income from interest and transfers in are projected to remain steady through the forecast horizon. SECTION 7: COMMUNICATIONS PLAN The FY 2017 Wastewater Collection Utility communications strategy covers three primary areas: rates, maintenance and operations, and safety. Communication about wastewater rate adjustments will highlight the important infrastructure and operations upgrades that are occurring at the Regional Water Quality Control Plant to improve wastewater collection utility services. To keep customers apprised of the status and accomplishments of CIP projects, a network of project web pages are maintained and updated as needed. Traffic is driven to the website via ads in newspapers and local publications, utility bill inserts, social media and email newsletters. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 21 | Page An important communications topic for the wastewater utility is avoiding sewer back-ups due to FOG (fats, oil and grease) and trash being dumped down drains and toilets. Safety topics are emphasized year-round. Staff continues its outreach goal of educating customers about the utility’s gas-sewer line cross-bore inspection program, including the importance of calling Utilities prior to clearing sewer lines in the event of a sewer back-up. Promotional activity about wastewater utility maintenance and safety operations includes use of bill inserts, ads in local print publications, website pages, email newsletters and social media. While print materials and website pages feature prominently, CPAU is increasing the outreach emphasis on more direct communication with customers, including through use of social media, email newsletters, digital ads, videos and short commercials on the local television channels. Staff is also attending more community safety/emergency preparation events and neighborhood meetings. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 22 | Page APPENDICES Appendix A: Wastewater Collection Financial Forecast Detail Appendix B: Wastewater Collection Utility Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Detail Appendix C: Wastewater Collection Utility Reserves Management Practices Appendix D: Sample of Wastewater Collection Outreach Materials WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 23 | Page APPENDIX A: WASTEWATER COLLECTION FINANCIAL FORECAST DETAIL WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 24 | Page APPENDIX B: WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM (CIP) DETAIL WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 25 | Page APPENDIX C: WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY RESERVES MANAGEMENT PRACTICES The following reserves management practices shall be used when developing the Wastewater Collection Utility Financial Plan: Section 1. Definitions a) “Financial Planning Period” – The Financial Planning Period is the range of future fiscal years covered by the Financial Plan. For example, if the Financial Plan delivered in conjunction with the FY 2015 budget includes projections for FY 2015 to FY 2019, FY 2015 to FY 2019 would be the Financial Planning Period. b) “Fund Balance” – As used in these Reserves Management Practices, Fund Balance refers to the Utility’s Unrestricted Net Assets. c) “Net Assets” - The Government Accounting Standards Board defines a Utility’s Net Assets as the difference between its assets and liabilities. d) “Unrestricted Net Assets” - The portion of the Utility’s Net Assets not invested in capital assets (net of related debt) or restricted for debt service or other restricted purposes. Section 2. Reserves The Wastewater Collection Utility’s Fund Balance is reserved for the following purposes: a) For existing contracts, as described in Section 3 (Reserve for Commitments) b) For operating and capital budgets re-appropriated from previous years, as described in Section 4 (Reserve for Re-appropriations) c) For cash flow management and contingencies related to the Wastewater Collection Utility’s Capital Improvement Program (CIP), as described in Section 5 (CIP Reserve) d) For rate stabilization, as described in Section 6 (Rate Stabilization Reserve) e) For operating contingencies, as described in Section 7 (Operations Reserve) f) Any funds not included in the other reserves will be considered Unassigned Reserves and shall be returned to ratepayers or assigned a specific purpose as described in Section 8 (Unassigned Reserves). Section 3. Reserve for Commitments At the end of each fiscal year the Reserve for Commitments will be set to an amount equal to the total remaining spending authority for all contracts in force for the Wastewater Collection Utility at that time. Section 4. Reserve for Re-appropriations At the end of each fiscal year the Reserve for Re-appropriations will be set to an amount equal to the amount of all remaining capital and non-capital budgets, if any, that will be re- appropriated to the following fiscal year in accordance with Palo Alto Municipal Code Section 2.28.090. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 26 | Page Section 5. CIP Reserve The CIP Reserve is used to manage cash flow for capital projects and acts as a reserve for capital contingencies. Staff will manage the CIP Reserve according to the following practices: a) The following guideline levels are set forth for the CIP Reserve. These guideline levels are calculated for each fiscal year of the Financial Planning Period based on the levels of CIP expense budgeted for that year. Minimum Level 12 months of budgeted CIP expense Maximum Level 24 months of budgeted CIP expense b) Changes in Reserves: Staff is authorized to transfer funds between the CIP Reserve and the Reserve for Commitments when funds are added or removed from to that reserve as a result of a change in contractual commitments related to CIP projects. Any other additions to or withdrawals from the CIP reserve require Council action. c) Minimum Level: i) Funds held in the Reserve for Commitments may be counted as part of the CIP Reserve for the purpose of determining compliance with the CIP Reserve minimum guideline level. ii) If, at the end of any fiscal year, the minimum guideline is not met, staff shall present a plan to the City Council to replenish the reserve. The plan shall be delivered by the end of the following fiscal year, and shall, at a minimum, result in the reserve reaching its minimum level by the end of the next fiscal year. For example, if the CIP Reserve is below its minimum level at the end of FY 2017, staff must present a plan by June 30, 2018 to return the reserve to its minimum level by June 30, 2019. In addition, staff may present, and the Council may adopt, an alternative plan that takes longer than one year to replenish the reserve, or that does so in a shorter period of time. d) Maximum Level: If, at any time, the CIP Reserve reaches its maximum level, no funds may be added to this reserve. If there are funds in this reserve in excess of the maximum level staff must propose to transfer these funds to another reserve or return them to ratepayers in the next Financial Plan. Staff may also seek City Council to approve holding funds in this reserve in excess of the maximum level if they are held for a specific future purpose related to the CIP. Section 6. Rate Stabilization Reserve Funds may be added to the Rate Stabilization Reserve by action of the City Council and held to manage the trajectory of future year rate increases. Withdrawal of funds from the Rate Stabilization Reserve requires Council action. If there are funds in the Rate Stabilization Reserve at the end of any fiscal year, any subsequent Wastewater Collection Utility Financial Plan must result in the withdrawal of all funds from this Reserve by the end of the Financial Planning Period. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 27 | Page Section 7. Operations Reserve The Operations Reserve is used to manage normal variations in costs and as a reserve for contingencies. Any portion of the Wastewater Collection Utility’s Fund Balance not included in the reserves described in Section 3-Section 6 above will be included in the Operations Reserve unless this reserve has reached its maximum level as set forth in Section 7(d) below. Staff will manage the Operations Reserve according to the following practices: a) The following guideline levels are set forth for the Operations Reserve. These guideline levels are calculated for each fiscal year of the Financial Planning Period based on the levels of Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and commodity expense forecasted for that year in the Financial Plan. Minimum Level 60 days of O&M and commodity expense Target Level 105 days of O&M and commodity expense Maximum Level 150 days of O&M and commodity expense b) Minimum Level: If, at the end of any fiscal year, the funds remaining in the Operations Reserve are lower than the minimum level set forth above, staff shall present a plan to the City Council to replenish the reserve. The plan shall be delivered within six months of the end of the fiscal year, and shall, at a minimum, result in the reserve reaching its minimum level by the end of the following fiscal year. For example, if the Operations Reserve is below its minimum level at the end of FY 2014, staff must present a plan by December 31, 2014 to return the reserve to its minimum level by June 30, 2015. In addition, staff may present, and the Council may adopt, an alternative plan that takes longer than one year to replenish the reserve. c) Target Level: If, at the end of any fiscal year, the Operations Reserve is higher or lower than the target level, any Financial Plan created for the Wastewater Collection Utility shall be designed to return the Operations Reserve to its target level within four years. d) Maximum Level: If, at any time, the Operations Reserve reaches its maximum level, no funds may be added to this reserve. Any further increase in the Wastewater Collection Utility’s Fund Balance shall be automatically included in the Unassigned Reserve described in Section 8, below. Section 8. Unassigned Reserve If the Operations Reserve reaches its maximum level, any further additions to the Wastewater Collection Utility’s Fund Balance will be held in the Unassigned Reserve. If there are any funds in the Unassigned Reserve at the end of any fiscal year, the next Financial Plan presented to the City Council must include a plan to assign them to a specific purpose or return them to the Wastewater Collection Utility ratepayers by the end of the first fiscal year of the next Financial Planning Period. For example, if there were funds in the Unassigned Reserves at the end of FY 2015, and the next Financial Planning Period is FY 2016 through FY 2020, the Financial Plan shall include a plan to return or assign any funds in the Unassigned Reserve by the end of FY 2016. Staff may present an alternative plan that retains these funds or returns them over a longer period of time. WASTEWATER COLLECTION UTILITY FINANCIAL PLAN February 2016 28 | Page APPENDIX D: SAMPLE OF WASTEWATER COLLECTION OUTREACH MATERIALS Attachment C EXCERPTED DRAFT MINUTES OF THE MARCH 1, 2017 UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION ITEM 4. ACTION: Staff Recommendation that the Utilities Advisory Commission Recommend that the City Council Adopt: (1) a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2018 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan Acting Senior Resource Planner Eric Keniston presented on the Wastewater Collection Financial Plan. He said no rate increase was proposed for the Wastewater Collection Utility. Wastewater collection capital investment was projected to increase in the future, and wastewater treatment capital investment and operating costs were projected to increase in the future. Commissioner Trumbull noted citizens were voting for a parcel tax to extend the storm drain. He asked whether that was reflected in the summary of all rate increases shown in the staff presentation, and what the impact to residential rates would be if the parcel tax were not approved. Keniston said that the numbers were provided for context, but staff did not have information on hand to address the storm drain rate changes. Assistant Director of Resource Management Jonathan Abendschein said the ballot for the parcel tax would be the best source of information. Commissioner Schwartz asked about basement dewatering. The water went to the storm drain. She asked whether the storm drain parcel tax was linked to the issue of basement dewatering. Utilities Director Ed Shikada said the two issues were not linked. Commissioner Danaher said the issue had been discussed at a prior meeting. ACTION: Commissioner Schwartz moved, seconded by Commissioner Ballantine to recommend that the City Council adopt the staff recommendation. The motion carried unanimously (6-0, with Vice Chair Danaher and Commissioners Trumbull, Forssell, Danaher, Schwartz, Ballantine, and Johnston voting yes and Commissioner Cook absent).