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HomeMy WebLinkAboutStaff Report 13970 City of Palo Alto (ID # 13970) Finance Committee Staff Report Meeting Date: 4/19/2022 City of Palo Alto Page 1 Title: The Utilities Advisory Commission and Staff Recommend the City Council Adopt a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2023 Electric Financial Plan and Proposed Reserve Transfers, Amending the Electric Utility Reserve Management Practices, and Amending Rate Schedules E-1 (Residential Electric Service), E-2 (Residential Master-Metered and Small Non -Residential Electric Service), E-2-G (Residential Master-Metered and Small Non - Residential Green Power Electric Service), E -4 (Medium Non -Residential Electric Service), E-4-G (Medium Non -Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-4 TOU (Medium Non -Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E 7 (Large Non -Residential Electric Service), E -7-G (Large Non -Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-7 TOU (Large Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E-14 (Street Lights), E-NSE (Net Metering Net Surplus Electricity Compensation), and E-EEC (Export Electricity Compensation) From: City Manager Lead Department: Utilities Recommendation The Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) and Staff recommend that the Finance Committee recommend that City Council adopt a Resolution (Attachment A): 1. Approving the Fiscal Year (FY) 2023 Electric Financial Plan (Linked Document); 2. Amending the Electric Fund Reserve Management Practices, specifically amending Section 6: Electric Special Projects Reserve, as follows: a. Amend part e) setting the goal to commit ESP funds by the end of FY 2025; and b. Amend part f) setting the date to revert uncommitted funds to the Electric Supply Operations Reserve to five years after the commitment date (FY 20 230) 3. Approving the following transfers at the end of FY 2022: a. Up to $15 million from the Hydro Stabilization Reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; b. Up to $5 million from the Electric Special Projects (ESP) reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; and c. As discussed in Staff Report #11556i, approve an allocation of Cap and Trade funds up to 1/3 of REC revenue to the Cap and Trade Program Reserve to be 4 Packet Pg. 87 City of Palo Alto Page 2 spent on local decarbonization programs; 4. Approving the following rate actions for FY 2023: a. An increase to retail electric rates E-1 (Residential Electric Service), E-2 (Small Non-Residential Electric Service), E-4 (Medium Non-Residential Electric Service), E-4 TOU (Medium Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E-7 (Large Non- Residential Electric Service), E-7 TOU (Large Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service) and E-14 (Street Lights) of 5% effective July 1, 2022; b. An update to the Export Electricity Compensation (E-EEC-1) rate to reflect current projections of avoided cost, effective July 1, 2022; c. An update to the Net Surplus Electricity Compensation (E-NSE-1) rate to reflect current projections of avoided cost, effective July 1, 2022; and d. An update to the Palo Alto Green program pass-through premium charge on the Residential Master-Metered and Small Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-2-G), the Medium Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-4- G), and the Large Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-7-G) rate schedules (Linked Document) to reflect current costs, effective July 1, 2022. Executive Summary The FY 2023 Electric Utility Financial Plan includes projections of the utility’s costs and revenues through FY 2027. Staff projects costs for the Electric Utility to increase steadily through the forecast period. Revenue increases of 5% to 6% over the forecast horizon, along with a significant use of Hydro Stabilization and Electric Special Project Reserves, are projected to be necessary to keep operating reserves within guideline levels. Short-term impacts to electric costs arising from dry hydro conditions are a main driver of the need for revenue increases, as well as rising operations costs for contract line-crews and capital costs for infrastructure improvement. Long run increases to rates are driven by increasing transmission costs, and the City anticipates the need for significant infrastructure upgrades over the next ten to fifteen years to meet S/CAP and electrification goals. As projected in the FY 2021 Financial Plan, the lack of precipitation and resulting poor reservoir levels have increased purchase costs and necessitate the utilization of funds from the Hydroelectric Rate Stabilization Reserve. An additional loan may be requir ed from the Electric Special Projects reserve to help keep the Operations Reserve above minimum guideline levels. Operations costs are expected to increase by about 2% per year through the forecast period. Projected capital expenses are higher due to the rebuilding of existing underground districts, substation upgrades, the Foothills rebuild, utility pole replacements and line voltage upgrades. While specific grid-modernization and electrification projects have not been included in the capital plan as yet, staff has included an assumption that Council approved upgrades will start around FY 2024 or 2025 and require bond funding to complete. Staff has assumed around $150 million in projects to be done over the course of 10 years, starting in 2025, with an initial bond measure of $50 million and similar sized bonds every three years. Based upon estimates from 4 Packet Pg. 88 City of Palo Alto Page 3 the City’s financial advisors, Staff has estimated annual payments of $3.2 million related to these bonds. This means bond repayments are assumed to be $3.2 million starting in 2025, rising to $9.6 million in 2031 once all three bond issuances have been completed. This is a simplified set of assumptions intended as a placeholder, and actual costs are likely to vary. Staff will have better information for next year’s Electric Financial Plan (FY 2024) once progress has been made on the grid modernization study. The UAC report of March 2, 2022 (CMR 139611) assumed 5% rate increases through the forecast horizon. While the inclusion of these new grid-modernization and electrification costs does not impact the rate proposal for FY 2023, staff has changed anticipated future rates from 5% to 6% going forward. The City is also evaluating the cost and scope of other system resiliency projects which may increase costs and rates in the future. Electric loads have been gradually decreasing and are expected to continue to decrease in the long-term, mainly due to declining consumption in the commercial sector, putting gradual upward pressure on rates. Electrification will likely reverse some of this trend, although the pace of that impact is uncertain at this time. This decline has been exacerbated by the continuing COVID pandemic. Consumption is currently around 10% below long -term consumption trends. Current models suggest that pandemic economic recovery will take place through 2022 and 2023, with electric consumption stabilizing on the long run average by 2025. Based on the relative health of the various Electric reserve funds, staff is recommending at least a 5% rate increase for FY 2023, however this will likely result in reserves being close to the minimum guideline levels over the next several years. Background Every year staff presents the Finance Committee with Financial Plans for its Electric, Gas, Water, and Wastewater Collection Utilities and recommends any rate adjustments required to maintain their financial health. These Financial Plans include a comprehensive overview of the utility’s operations, both retrospective and prospective, and are intended to be a reference for UAC and Council members as they review the budget and staff’s rate recommendations. Each Financial Plan also contains a set of Reserves Management Practices describing the reserves for each utility and the management practices for those reserves. Discussion Staff’s annual assessment of the financial position of the City’s electric utility is completed in compliance with cost of service requirements set forth in the California Constitution and applicable statutory law. The assessment includes making long-term projections of market conditions, of costs associated with the physical condition of infrastructure, and of other factors that could affect utility costs. Rates are then proposed that will move towards adequate cost 1 https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas -minutes-reports/agendas-minutes/utilities-advisory- commission/archived-agenda-and-minutes/agendas-and-minutes-2022/03-02-2022/03-02-2022-packet.pdf 4 Packet Pg. 89 City of Palo Alto Page 4 recovery, based on the models developed in the 2016 Electric Cost of Service and Rates Study2, updated with current and proposed operating costs. Proposed Actions for FY 2022 and FY 2023: The FY 2023 Electric Utility Financial Plan (Linked Document) includes the following proposed actions: 1. Approving the Fiscal Year (FY) 2023 Electric Financial Plan (Linked Document); 2. Amending the Electric Fund Reserve Management Practices, specifically amending Section 6: Electric Special Projects Reserve, as follows: a. Amend part e) setting the goal to commit ESP funds by the end of FY 2025; and b. Amend part f) setting the date to revert uncommitted funds to the Electric Supply Operations Reserve to five years after the commitment date (FY 2030); 3. Approving the following transfers at the end of FY 2022: a. Up to $15 million from the Hydro Stabilization Reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; b. Up to $5 million from the Electric Special Projects (ESP) reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; and c. As discussed in CMR 11556, approve an allocation of up to $1 million from the Cap and Trade Program Reserve to be spent on local decarbonization programs; 4. Approving the following rate actions for FY 2023: a. An increase to retail electric rates E-1 (Residential Electric Service), E-2 (Small Non-Residential Electric Service), E-4 (Medium Non-Residential Electric Service), E-4 TOU (Medium Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E-7 (Large Non- Residential Electric Service), E-7 TOU (Large Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service) and E-14 (Street Lights) of 5% effective July 1, 2022; b. An update to the Export Electricity Compensation (E-EEC-1) rate to reflect current projections of avoided cost, effective July 1, 2022; c. An update to the Net Surplus Electricity Compensation (E-NSE-1) rate to reflect current projections of avoided cost, effective July 1, 2022; and d. An update to the Palo Alto Green program pass-through premium charge on the Residential Master-Metered and Small Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-2-G), the Medium Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-4- G), and the Large Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-7-G) rate schedules (Linked Document) to reflect current costs, effective July 1, 2022. The transfer from the Hydro Stabilization Reserve will help mitigate rising purchase costs resulting from poor hydro conditions and keep the Supply Operations reserve above minimum guideline levels. 2 https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas -minutes-reports/reports/city-manager-reports- cmrs/year-archive/2016/final-staff-report-id-6857_electric-utility-financial-plan-and-rate-changes.pdf 4 Packet Pg. 90 City of Palo Alto Page 5 The transfer from the ESP reserve will also help mitigate rising costs resulting from electric purchases, as well as the cost of contract labor required to complete Capital Improvement Projects (CIP) and ongoing operations and maintenance. Staff anticipates repaying the balance of outstanding loans to this reserve starting in FY 2025, or earlier should economic situations permit. The City of Palo Alto (City or Palo Alto) maintains a Cap and Trade Program Reserve within the Electric fund to hold revenues from the sale of carbon allowances freely allocated by the California Air Resources Board to the City’s electric utility. Cap and Trade Program revenues are provided to the electric utility to support a wide variety of carbon reducing activities, including local decarbonization. In accordance with Council’s August 2020 direction, (Staff Report #11556)3 the City has also exchanged certain types of renewable energy to take advantage of market conditions to reduce supply costs, fund electric utility programs and capital investment, and raise funds fo r local decarbonization. The revenues received from these REC exchanges are kept in the Electric Supply Reserve. With this Financial Plan, and as described in Staff Report #11556, staff is allocating Cap and Trade funds equivalent to 1/3 of the FY 2022 REC Exchange program revenues, or up to an estimated $1 million, for future local decarbonization projects. Table 1 below shows the effects of the proposed transfers on reserve funds, as well as changes to the CIP min/max guidelines. The attached Electric Financial Plan (Linked Document) discusses these reserve changes in greater detail: 4 Packet Pg. 91 City of Palo Alto Page 6 Table 1: Reserves Starting and Ending Balances, Revenues, Expenses, Transfers To/(From) Reserves, Operations and Capital (CIP) Reserve Guideline Levels for FY 2022 to FY 2027 ($000) FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Starting Reserve Balances 1 Supply Operations 28,709 29,429 19,875 33,046 34,973 29,382 24,726 24,431 2 Distribution Operations 16,536 9,109 10,028 11,450 12,135 13,937 12,817 15,390 3 CIP 880 5,880 880 880 2,880 2,880 880 880 4 Electric Special Projects 41,665 46,665 46,665 29,649 14,649 11,649 17,649 23,649 5 Hydro Stabilization 11,400 15,400 15,400 400 400 400 400 400 6 Low Carbon Fuel Standard - 6,340 6,944 6,050 5,028 3,956 3,388 2,935 7 Cap and Trade Program - - 1,189 1,760 6,183 9,148 11,878 14,337 Revenues 8 Supply 115,131 112,134 113,983 126,595 123,423 123,033 125,944 130,810 9 Distribution 57,476 52,172 55,845 60,564 69,352 77,848 82,495 84,197 Transfers 10 Supply Operations (15,340) (1,189) 19,429 3,577 (2,965) (8,730) (8,459) (8,212) 11 Distribution Operations (5,000) 5,000 - (2,000) - 2,000 - - 12 CIP 5,000 (5,000) - 2,000 - (2,000) - - 13 Electric Special Projects 5,000 - (5,000) (8,000) - 6,000 6,000 6,000 14 Hydro Stabilization 4,000 - (15,000) - - - - - 15 Low Carbon Fuel Standard 6,340 - - - - - - - 16 Cap and Trade Program 1,189 571 4,423 2,965 2,730 2,459 2,212 Capital Program Contribution 17 Distribution Operations - - - - - - - - 18 CIP Reserve Expenses 19 Supply Expenses (99,070) (120,499) (120,242) (128,244) (126,050) (118,958) (117,780) (119,107) 20 Distribution Non-CIP Expenses(44,363) (34,766) (35,758) (35,760) (44,956) (55,247) (60,689) (62,213) 21 Planned CIP (15,540) (21,487) (18,664) (22,120) (22,594) (25,721) (19,233) (22,620) 22 ESP funded - - (12,016) (7,000) (3,000) - - - 23 Hydro funded - - - - - - - - 24 LCFS funded - 604 (893) (1,022) (1,072) (568) (453) (453) Ending Reserve Balance 1+8+10+19 Supply Operations 29,429 19,875 33,046 34,973 29,382 24,726 24,431 27,922 2+9+11+17+20+21 Distribution Operations 9,109 10,028 11,450 12,135 13,937 12,817 15,390 14,754 3+12+18 CIP 5,880 880 880 2,880 2,880 880 880 880 4+13+22 Electric Special Projects 46,665 46,665 29,649 14,649 11,649 17,649 23,649 29,649 5+14+23 Hydro Stabilization 15,400 15,400 400 400 400 400 400 400 6+15+24 Low Carbon Fuel Standard 6,340 6,944 6,050 5,028 3,956 3,388 2,935 2,482 7+16 Cap and Trade Program - 1,189 1,760 6,183 9,148 11,878 14,337 16,549 Operations Reserve Guidelines (Supply) 25 Minimum 16,957 18,346 19,170 18,843 19,470 19,293 19,430 19,651 26 Maximum 33,914 36,691 38,340 37,686 38,941 38,586 38,860 39,301 Operations Reserve Guidelines (Distribution) 27 Minimum 8,622 8,052 8,574 9,451 9,337 9,512 10,121 10,436 28 Maximum 13,522 13,746 14,739 16,444 16,135 16,433 17,600 18,176 CIP Reserve Guidelines 29 Minimum 2,554 4,143 4,455 4,483 4,508 4,510 3,162 3,718 30 Maximum 5,109 20,716 22,275 22,417 22,542 22,551 21,942 23,125 While the continuing COVID-19 pandemic and economic hardships created by it continue to put pressure on City of Palo Alto Utility (CPAU) customers, given the rising costs and weakening reserve health of the Electric fund, staff is proposing a 5% rate increase for FY 2023 and anticipating 6% rate increases for the rest of the forecast period. Under this scenario, utility reserves are projected to drop to near their minimum guideline levels. Possible program and service cuts may be needed to make up the difference if the utility’s financial position is worse than forecasted. Table 2 below compares current rate projections to those projected in last year’s Financial Plan. Table 1: Projected Electric Rates, FY 2023 to FY 2027 4 Packet Pg. 92 City of Palo Alto Page 7 Projection FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Current 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% Last Year 5% 5% 2% 1% N/A FY 2023 Financial Plan Projected Rate Adjustments for the Next Five Fiscal Years Table 3 shows the projected rate adjustments over the next five years and their impact on annual median residential electric bill (453 kwh per month in winter, 365 kwh per month in summer). Table 3: Projected Rate Adjustments, FY 2022 to FY 2026 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 FY 2026 FY 2027 Electric Utility 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% Estimated Bill Impact ($/mo) * $3.04 $3.82 $4.05 $4.30 $4.55 * Estimated impact on median residential electric bill, which is currently $60.70 for CY 2021 The rate increases are related to several factors: low hydro supply increasing FY 2022 and FY 2023 purchase costs, increasing transmission costs over the longer term, the need for substantial additional capital investment in the electric distribution system, and increasing operations costs due to larger contracting needs to complete electric distribution system maintenance and capital improvement work. Revenues have also declined as customer usage has decreased, requiring larger rate increases to cover fixed expenses and offset the shortfalls. Historically, total electric utility costs (excluding short-term drought impacts) were roughly $120 million per year, allowing the electric utility to go without a rate increase from July 1, 2009 to July 1, 2016. From FY 2016 to FY 2018, annual costs (net of energy supply related revenue, like surplus energy sales) increased to roughly $140 million per year (costs were unusually low in FY 2019 due to some one-time savings from surplus energy sales). Costs are projected to increase to roughly $175 million by FY 2027 (net of surplus energy sa les). Figure 1 shows the overall electric utility’s costs (net of surplus sales revenues) in FY 2018, FY 2023, and FY 2027. Costs for the electric supply portfolio decreased slightly between FY 2018 and FY 2023, but much of this is due to surplus electric supply revenues that are not expected to continue while hydro supplies are low. Additionally, customer sales declined by 1.5% to 2% annually over the past several years. Assuming normal hydro conditions going forward, the continuing trend of load loss, and continually increasing transmission charges, total costs are projected to increase by about 3% annually during the forecast period. The cost of managing the distribution system (e.g. maintenance, capital investment, customer service, billing, etc.) has increased by about 6% per year and is projected to be about 2% to 3% per year in the next five years once some larger capital projects are completed. FY 2023 capital costs are higher due in part to the Smart Grid Technologies project, but these costs have been 4 Packet Pg. 93 City of Palo Alto Page 8 approved by Council to come from the ESP Reserve and will not impact rates. FY 2018 capital costs were low relative to FY 2023, but similar to outer years of the financial plan. Overall, costs are projected to increase by about 2% to 3% per year over the forecast horizon, but declining loads will necessitate rate increases greater than this to maintain the financial health and enhance system reliability of the utility. Figure 1: Electric Utility Costs, FY 2018 Actual vs. FY 2023 and FY 2027 Projec tions Figure 2 shows distribution costs. Capital costs have increased by about 6% per year on average over the last five years but are skewed in this graph due to a large ($7 million) Smart Grid Technology project budgeted for FY 2023 as well as relatively low spending during FY 2018. Larger investments related to underground district rebuilds, substation upgrades, and the rebuilding of the Foothills system are budgeted to occur in the next three years. In the last few years, the City has experienced a higher number of outages in underground districts due to aging equipment and infrastructure. To address this problem, distribution system -related operational spending is projected to increase by about 2% annually. Some of this is due to projected increases in costs of labor and materials. If there are higher than anticipated staff vacancies, more expensive external contracts will be needed to complete necessary electric system maintenance. As mentioned above, staff has also included anticipated bond paymen ts starting in 2025 to finance grid modernization and electrification measures. 4 Packet Pg. 94 City of Palo Alto Page 9 Figure 2: Electric Distribution Costs, FY 2018 vs. FY 2023 and FY 2027 Projections Figure 3 shows commodity costs. While net electric supply portfolio costs stayed relati vely stable and even decreased slightly from FY 2018 to FY 2023, this was mainly due to surplus energy revenues and decreasing loads. Transmission costs increased by 8% annually in the same timeframe and are projected to increase by about 9% annually in future years. These increases are due to rehabilitation and replacement of the statewide electric transmission system as well as expansion of that system to accommodate new generation, mostly renewable. Staff works to contain transmission costs through partner agencies, including the Transmission Agency of Northern California (TANC) and Northern California Power Agency (NCPA), and through direct partnerships with other local utilities (the Bay Area Municipal Transmission group, BAMx). These groups intervene in transmission proceedings at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) and the California Independent System Operator (CAISO), and have achieved some reductions in long-term transmission costs. Staff is developing strategies to achieve cost savings in electric supply and will discuss these strategies in greater detail at future meetings. 4 Packet Pg. 95 City of Palo Alto Page 10 Figure 3: Electric Supply Costs, FY 2018 Actual vs. FY 2023 and FY 2027 Projections Staff also recognizes the importance of managing operating costs and maximizing efficiency in order to minimize rate increases. As discussed above, staff is working on cost containment measures related to transmission and renewable energy costs. Utility consumers also see some long-term cost savings from City-wide efforts to manage personnel costs. As reflected in the Utilities Strategic Plan, staff is exploring additional ways to effectively use available resources, particularly across Divisions. Electric Bill Comparison with Surrounding Cities For the median consumption level, the annual CPAU residential electric bill for calendar year 2021 was $728, which was 41% lower than the annual bill for a PG&E customer with the same consumption ($1,237) and approximately 16% higher than the annual bill for a City of Santa Clara customer ($629). The bill calculations for PG&E customers are based on PG&E Climate Zone X, which includes most surrounding comparison communities. Table 4 presents sample median residential bills for Palo Alto, PG&E, and the City of Santa Clara (Silicon Valley Power) for several usage levels. Rates used to calculate the monthly bills shown below were in effect as of January 1, 2022. Over the next several years low usage customers in PG&E territory are expected to continue to see higher percentage rate increases than high usage customers as PG&E compresses its tiers from the highly exaggerated levels that have been in place since the energy crisis. This is likely to make the bill for the median Palo Alto consumer look even more favorable compared to most PG&E customers. Even with the compressed tiers, bills for high usage Palo Alto consumers are likely to remain substantially lower than the bills for high usage PG&E customers. 4 Packet Pg. 96 City of Palo Alto Page 11 Table 4: Residential Monthly Electric Bill Comparison (Effective 1/1/2022, $/mo.) Season Usage (kwh) Palo Alto PG&E Santa Clara Winter 300 41.27 84.72 39.22 453 (Median) 69.22 127.93 59.95 650 107.37 197.16 86.65 1200 213.89 392.28 161.17 Summer 300 41.27 87.11 39.22 (Median) 365 52.18 110.17 48.03 650 107.37 211.27 86.65 1200 213.89 406.39 161.17 Table 5 shows the average monthly electric bill for commercial customers for various usage levels. Table 5: Commercial Monthly Electric Bill Comparison (1/1/2022, $/mo.) Usage (kwh/mo) Palo Alto PG&E Santa Clara 1,000 177 303 196 160,000 24,795 34,211 21,472 500,000 77,477 86,456 66,937 2,000,000 273,431 333,240 267,523 Proposed Rate Changes The City adopted the current rates effective July 1, 2019, when CPAU increased electric rates by 8%. With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, usage amongst all customer classes has decreased. Many businesses have been operating at minimum staffing conditions or fully remote. City of Palo Alto staff have reduced expenses where possible, but costs related to ongoing distribution system work have increased, as staffing shortages have required contract crews to complete required maintenance and CIP work. In order to move towards full cost recovery while minimizing rate impacts in light of pandemic - related economic challenges, staff recommends a rate increase to all customer classes of 5%. If, after the pandemic, usage and/or spending looks to be moving in a different direction, staff will suggest a re-balancing of rates for the next fiscal year. Staff is also engaging the services of consultants to review and revise the Electric Utility’s Cost of Service study and rates. This study will examine how costs are allocated among the residential and commercial classes and realign them if needed and will develop cost-based rates for several emerging groups, such as: all-electric customers, DC-fast charging facilities, and micro-grid customers. When staff brought the COSA guidelines to the UAC, Finance and Council, there was a directive for staff to propose residential rates to support el ectrification, prior to a COSA. Staff’s response to that request is provided as Attachment C. 4 Packet Pg. 97 City of Palo Alto Page 12 The current rates and proposed rates for FY 2023, and are reflected in Table 6 below: Table 6: Current and Proposed Electric Rates Current Rates Proposed Rates (7/1/2022) Change $ % E-1 (Residential) Tier 1 Energy ($/kWh) 0.13757 0.14445 0.00688 5% Tier 2 Energy ($/kWh) 0.19367 0.20335 0.00968 5% Minimum Bill ($/day) 0.3283 0.3447 0.0164 5% E-2 & E-2-G (Small Non-Residential) Summer Energy ($/kWh) 0.20853 0.21896 0.01043 5% Winter Energy ($/kWh) 0.14624 0.15355 0.00731 5% Minimum Bill ($/day) 0.8359 0.8777 0.0418 5% E-4 & E-4-G (Medium Non-Residential) Summer Energy ($/kWh) 0.12848 0.13490 0.00642 5% Winter Energy ($/kWh) 0.09946 0.10443 0.00497 5% Summer Demand ($/kW) 28.91 30.36 1.45 5% Winter Demand ($/kW) 18.97 19.92 0.95 5% Minimum Bill ($/day) 17.2742 18.1379 0.8637 5% E-7 & E-7-G (Large Non-Residential) Summer Energy ($/kWh) 0.11432 0.12004 0.00572 5% Winter Energy ($/kWh) 0.07738 0.08125 0.00387 5% Summer Demand ($/kW) 30.69 32.22 1.53 5% Winter Demand ($/kW) 17.05 17.90 0.85 5% Minimum Bill ($/day) 49.1139 51.5696 2.4557 5% Table 7 shows the impact of the proposed July 1, 2022 rate changes on the residenti al and non- residential bills for various consumption levels. Table 7: Impact of Proposed Electric Rate Changes on Customer Bills Rate Schedule Usage (kWh/mo) Bill under Current Rates ($/mo) Bill Under Rates Proposed 7/1/22 ($/mo) Change $/mo % E-1 (Residential) 300 $41.27 $43.34 $2.07 5% (Summer Median) 365 52.18 54.79 2.61 5% (Winter Median) 453 69.22 72.68 3.46 5% 650 107.37 112.74 5.37 5% 1200 213.89 224.58 10.69 5% 4 Packet Pg. 98 City of Palo Alto Page 13 E-2 (Small Non- Residential) 1,000 177 186 9 5% E-4 (Medium Non-Residential) 160,000 24,795 26,035 1,240 5% 500,000 77,477 81,352 3,873 5% E-7 (Large Non- Residential 2,000,000 273,431 287,095 13,664 5% Net Energy Metering Buyback Rates The City operates two Net Energy Metering (NEM) programs. Solar customers served by the CPAU’s original NEM program, also called NEM 1, are compensated at retail rates for net electricity they export to the grid, and solar customers served by the NEM successor program, or NEM 2 (effective after the City reached its NEM 1 cap at the end of 2017), are compensated at the Export Electricity Compensation (E-EEC-1) rate for exported electricity. Customers on the NEM 1 program who have chosen to have the value of any annual net generation they produced over the past 12 months credited back to their account do so under the Net Metering Net Surplus Electricity Compensation (E-NSE-1) rate, which is calculated using the utility’s avoided costs from the prior year. The Net Surplus Electricity Comp ensation rate represents the value of the City’s avoided costs or value of customer-generated electricity in Palo Alto during the prior calendar year, including compensation for the energy, avoided capacity charges, avoided transmission and ancillary service charges, avoided transmission and distribution (T&D) losses, and renewable energy credits (RECs), or environmental attributes. Staff proposes increasing the E-NSE-1 rate to $.1026/kWh based on updated avoided cost calculations for 2021. Under the City’s NEM 2 successor program, participating solar customers are billed at the current retail rate for electricity drawn from the grid, and receive a credit for electricity they export to the grid at the Export Electricity Compensation (E -EEC-1) buyback rate. This buyback rate also reflects the avoided cost or value of customer-generated electricity in Palo Alto, calculated on a forward-looking basis for the upcoming fiscal year. As shown in the table below, the current avoided cost for solar generation in Palo Alto is 10.45 cents/kWh, which is slightly lower than the avoided cost on the current NEM buyback rate (10.78 cents/kWh). This slight decrease in the overall avoided cost is driven by a small decrease in the value of the RECs generated by these solar systems. Table 6: NEM Compensation Rates – Current vs. Proposed Rate Current $/kWh Proposed $/kWh Net Surplus Electricity (E-NSE-1) $0.0992 $0.1026 Export Electricity (E-EEC-1) $0.1078 $0.1045 4 Packet Pg. 99 City of Palo Alto Page 14 Palo Alto Green (PAGreen) Program The PaloAltoGreen (PAG) program provides CPAU’s commercial customers an opportunity to voluntarily pay a premium to receive renewable electricity credits to match their energy usage. Under this program, CPAU staff purchase and retire Green-e certified RECs in the wholesale market on behalf of PAG customers. This enables participating commercial customers to claim credit for the REC purchases in order to satisfy their corporate sustainability goals and meet federal “green certification” requirements. The PAG charge is a pass-through charge; the revenue collected through the PAG rate premium is intended to fully recover the costs of administering the program. The PAG program has very low overhead costs (e.g., the cost of hiring an auditor to carry out an annual Green -e verification process for the program), so the vast majority of the program cost is the purchase cost of the RECs. In the past year the wholesale cost of Green-e certified RECs in the Western US market has continued to increase (from approximately $6/REC to $7.5/REC). As such, the PAG rate premium needs to be raised from $6 per 1,000 kWh block (.6 cents/kWh) to $7.5 per 1,000 kWh block (.75 cents/kWh). This change will be reflected on the Residential Master - Metered and Small Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-2-G), the Medium Non- Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-4-G), and the Large Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-7-G) rate schedules (Linked Document). Reserve Management Practice Changes: Electric Special Projects (ESP) Reserve In November 2011, Council changed the name of the Calaveras Reserve to the Electric S pecial Project (ESP) Reserve and adopted ESP Reserve Guidelines to ensure the reserve funds were spent to benefit electric ratepayers. The guidelines were established to provide a framework for evaluating projects and set deadlines for committing the funds, to ensure progress was made in expending the funds and returning benefits to the electric ratepayers. Consistent with the guidelines, funds have been used for several initiatives including funding studies and pilot programs in support of bigger initiatives. In addition, Council has approved loans of uncommitted ESP reserve funds to help stabilized Operations Reserves. Per Council approval, $10 million was transferred from the Electric Special Projects (ESP) Reserve to the Operations Reserve in FY 2018 to mitigate higher supply costs due to the drought occurring then, with $5 million having been repaid to date. Staff is requesting an additional $5 million loan to help with the current drought as well as high Operations and CIP expenses. In 2015, Staff recommended to the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) and Council two projects to be funded by the ESP: the implementation of smart grid systems, and transmission system upgrades. At the time, given the uncertain timeline and cost of both projects, both the UAC and Council recommended that timelines for evaluation and use of ESP funds be extended. Today, the Smart Grid project is underway with Council-approved ESP funding, anticipated to be $22 million over the next five years. Approximately half of the $22M funding will be repaid 4 Packet Pg. 100 City of Palo Alto Page 15 to the ESP reserve by the gas and water utilities over five years post AMI deployment. Transmission system upgrades and negotiations have been slower to develop, and in the interim staff is developing a list of other projects which may be applicable for ESP funding. Staff will discuss proposals for using ESP funds with the UAC budget sub-committee in 2022. Given this, staff is requesting that the timelines for evaluation be extended, with a goal to commit funds by the end of FY 2025, and to have any uncommitted funds revert to the Electric Supply Operations Reserve five years after that (FY 2030). If Council does not approve this change, the remaining ESP Reserve funds will revert to the Operations Reserve at the end of FY 2022. Timeline The Finance Committee is scheduled to review the FY 2023 Electric Financial Plan (Linked Document) in April 2022. The City Council will consider adopting the Financial Plan and rate amendments as part of the FY 2023 budget review and adoption process. Stakeholder Engagement The UAC reviewed preliminary financial forecasts at its December 1, 2021 meeting, and the Finance Committee reviewed the preliminary forecasts at its February 1, 2022 meeting. The UAC reviewed staff’s recommendation on the FY 2023 Electric Financial Plan (Linked Document), proposed transfers and rate increases at its March 2, 2022 meeting. At that meeting, staff informed the UAC that grid modernization measure were not included as part of the analysis presented, but that including it would not change staff’s recommendation for a 5% rate increase in FY 2023. Future estimated rate increases would change , however, and be included in the Finance and Council documents. The UAC expressed approval that staff would be factoring those early estimates into the rate proposal. The UAC voted to approve staff’s proposal 4-0, with Commissioners Bowie, Scharff and Smith absent.(Attachment C). Staff and the UAC’s recommendation on the FY 2023 Electric rate increases will go to the Finance Committee in April and be presented to City Council in June during the budget adoption process. Resource Impact The estimated FY 2023 revenue impact of the recommendations in this report would be an increase of $7.9 million in the Electric Fund. The City is a utility customer, so rate increases will also result in estimated City expense increases of about $28 7,000, approximately $100,000 of that being in the General Fund. Resource impacts to City departments and funds of the recommended rate adjustments are programmed in the FY 2023 Proposed Operating Budget. If the final rates adopted by Council in June differ from those proposed in this report , further 4 Packet Pg. 101 City of Palo Alto Page 16 adjustments may be brought forward as part of the annual budget process. Environmental Review The UAC’s review and recommendation to Council on the FY 2023 Electric Financial Plans and rate adjustments does not meet the California Environmental Quality Act’s definition of a project, pursuant to Public Resources Code Section 21065, thus no environmental review is required. Attachments: • Attachment A: Resolution • Attachment B: Early Electric Rate Change Memo • Attachment C: Draft Excerpt UAC Minutes i https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas-minutes-reports/reports/city-manager-reports- cmrs/year-archive/2020-2/id-11566.pdf 4 Packet Pg. 102 Attachment A 6055603 Utility Electric Rate Schedules FY23 Electric Financial Plan *Yet to be Passed* Resolution No. ____ Resolution of the Council of the City of Palo Alto Approving the Fiscal Year 2023 Electric Utility Financial Plan and Reserve Transfers, Amending the Electric Utility Reserves Management Practices and Amending Utility Rate Schedules E-1 (Residential Electric Service), E-2 (Residential Master-Metered and Small Non-Residential Electric Service), E-2-G (Residential Master- Metered and Small Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-4 (Medium Non-Residential Electric Service), E-4-G (Medium Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-4 TOU (Medium Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E 7 (Large Non-Residential Electric Service), E-7-G (Large Non- Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-7 TOU (Large Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E-14 (Street Lights), E-NSE (Net Surplus Electricity Compensation Rate), and E-EEC (Export Electricity Compensation) R E C I T A L S A. Each year the City of Palo Alto (“City”) regularly assesses the financial position of its utilities with the goal of ensuring adequate revenue to fund operations. This includes making long-term projections of market conditions, the physical condition of the system, and other factors that could affect utility costs, and setting rates adequate to recover these costs. It does this with the goal of providing safe, reliable, and sustainable utility services at competitive rates. The City adopts Financial Plans to summarize these projections. B. The City uses reserves to protect against contingencies and to manage other aspects of its operations, and regularly assesses the adequacy of these reserves and the management practices governing their operation. The status of utility reserves and their management practices are included in Reserves Management Practices attached to and made part of the Financial Plans. C. Pursuant to Chapter 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, the Council of the City of Palo Alto may by resolution adopt rules and regulations governing utility services, fees and charges. D. On June __, 2022, the City Council heard and approved the proposed rate increase at a noticed public hearing. The Council of the City of Palo Alto does hereby RESOLVE as follows: SECTION 1. The Council hereby approves the FY 2023 Electric Utility Financial Plan. 4.a Packet Pg. 103 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t A : R e s o l u t i o n ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) Attachment A 6055603 Utility Electric Rate Schedules FY23 Electric Financial Plan SECTION 2. The Council hereby approves amendments to Section 6 (Electric Special Projects Reserve) of the Electric Utility Reserves Management Practices to read as attached and incorporated. SECTION 3. The Council hereby approves the following transfers to be made by the end of FY 2022, as described in the FY 2023 Electric Utility Financial Plan: a. Approve a transfer of up to $15 million from the Hydro Stabilization Reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; b. Approve a transfer of up to $5 million from the Electric Special Projects (ESP) reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; and c. Approve an allocation of up to $1 million from the Cap and Trade Program Reserve to be allocated to local decarbonization programs); and SECTION 4. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-1 (Residential Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-1, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 5. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-2 (Residential Master-Metered and Small Non-Residential Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-2, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 6. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-2-G (Residential Master-Metered and Small Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-2-G, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 7. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-4 (Medium Non-Residential Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-4, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 8. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-4-G (Medium Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-4-G, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 9. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-4 TOU (Medium Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-4 TOU, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. 4.a Packet Pg. 104 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t A : R e s o l u t i o n ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) Attachment A 6055603 Utility Electric Rate Schedules FY23 Electric Financial Plan SECTION 10. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-7 (Large Non-Residential Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-7, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 11. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-7-G (Large Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-7-G, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 12. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-7 TOU (Large Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-7 TOU, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 13. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-14 (Street Lights) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-14, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 14. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-NSE (Net Surplus Electricity Compensation Rate) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-NSE-1, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 15. Pursuant to Section 12.20.010 of the Palo Alto Municipal Code, Utility Rate Schedule E-EEC-1 (Export Electricity Compensation) is hereby amended to read as attached and incorporated. Utility Rate Schedule E-EEC-1, as amended, shall become effective July 1, 2022. SECTION 16. The Council makes the following findings: a. The revenue derived from the adoption of this resolution shall be used only for the purpose set forth in Article VII, Section 2, of the Charter of the City of Palo Alto. b. The fees and charges adopted by this resolution are charges imposed for a specific government service or product provided directly to the payor that are not provided to those not charged, and do not exceed the reasonable costs to the City of providing the service or product. // // // 4.a Packet Pg. 105 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t A : R e s o l u t i o n ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) Attachment A 6055603 Utility Electric Rate Schedules FY23 Electric Financial Plan SECTION 17. The Council finds that approving the Financial Plan and Reserve transfers does not meet the California Environmental Quality Act’s (CEQA) definition of a project under Public Resources Code Section 21065 and CEQA Guidelines Section 15378(b)(5), because it is an administrative governmental activity which will not cause a direct or indirect physical change in the environment, and therefore, no environmental assessment is required. The Council finds that changing electric rates to meet operating expenses, purchase supplies and materials, meet financial reserve needs and obtain funds for capital improvements necessary to maintain service is not subject to the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), pursuant to California Public Resources Code Sec. 21080(b)(8) and Title 14 of the California Code of Regulations Sec. 15273(a). After reviewing the staff report and all attachments presented to Council, the Council incorporates these documents herein and finds that sufficient evidence has been presented setting forth with specificity the basis for this claim of CEQA exemption. INTRODUCED AND PASSED: AYES: NOES: ABSENT: ABSTENTIONS: ATTEST: ___________________________ ___________________________ City Clerk Mayor APPROVED AS TO FORM: APPROVED: ___________________________ ___________________________ Assistant City Attorney City Manager ___________________________ Director of Utilities ___________________________ Director of Administrative Services 4.a Packet Pg. 106 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t A : R e s o l u t i o n ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) MEMORANDUM DATE: March 2, 2022 SUBJECT: Evaluation of Implementing an All-Electric rate prior to COSA Executive Summary During the Finance Committee (CMR 13544 1) and City Council (CMR 135462) meetings to review and recommend guidelines for an Electric Cost of Service Analysis (COSA), set to commence in FY 2022 and anticipated for completion in FY 2023, the Finance Committee passed the following motion: Direct staff to study options for an interim modification to (residential electric) tiers that would support electrification, and return to the Utilities Advisory Commission, the Finance Committee and City Council at a future date. Setting rates without a COSA in place can be responsibly accomplished through implementation of a pilot rate; staff recommends against using that mechanism. This conclusion was drawn after reviewing the City’s adopted and published COSA (CMR 6857 3) and evaluating the resource impacts and technical and operational challenges of developing a pilot rate. Discussion Palo Alto’s Rate-setting Process Palo Alto’s rates are designed to collect revenues sufficient to cover the cost to serve each customer or customer group. It is industry practice to periodically perform a COSA to ensure that a utility’s rates meet this requirement. Proposition 26 (2010) amended the California Constitution, which defines all government-imposed charges, including electric rates, as taxes requiring voter approval, unless certain exceptions are met. Cost-based electric rates may be adopted by the City Council. The COSA helps the utility ensure that rates represent the cost to serve customers. Council-adopted COSA Guidelines 1 https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas-minutes-reports/agendas-minutes/finance- committee/2021/20211005/20211005pfcs.pdf 2 https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas-minutes-reports/agendas-minutes/city-council-agendas-minutes/2021/11- november/20211101pccs-amended.pdf 3 https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas-minutes-reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2016/final- staff-report-id-6857_electric-utility-financial-plan-and-rate-changes.pdf 4.b Packet Pg. 107 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t B : E a r l y E l e c t r i c R a t e C h a n g e M e m o ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) The Electric Utilities’ last published COSA and was approved by City Council on June 13, 2016 (CMR 6932 4). In preparation for that study, Council adopted a set of guidelines (CMR 60615) including: “For this cost of service study, and to the extent feasible, energy charges should be based on existing rate structures. This includes: a tiered rate design structure for residents.” Prior to the study, Palo Alto’s residential rates had three tiers. The results of the study indicated a reduction in the number of tiers from three to the current two was necessary to adequately reflect the cost to provide service. Based upon an analysis of median residential baseload energy use, the daily allowance of energy per household allocated for the first tier was increased from 10 kwh/day to 11kwh/day. Alternative rate structures, such as a uniform/single-tier rate structure, were not addressed in the report, nor was the creation of different classes of residential customer (such as all-electric or Electric Vehicle (EV) specific rates). The Utilities Department is planning to update the COSA model, commencing in FY 2022 and completing the work in FY 2023. Several options for residential rates will be evaluated including: (1) whether better or alternative cost allocation methods could be utilized, (2) whether tiered rates should be changed (increased, lowered, or condensed to a single tier), and (3) whether multiple rate options could be available to customers within a rate class (residential, etc.) while still maintaining adequate and equitable revenue collection for the rate class as a whole. Pilot Rate Option It is possible to create a separate rate for customers pursuing electrification under a ‘pilot’ or test-case program. Pilot rates are designed to study the impact of the rate design on customer behavior. Resource Constraints Implementing rate changes will require staff time and resources. Staff estimates three to four months needed to analyze and determine new rates, configuration, design and testing of the billing system, customer service training, and outreach. This resource need will be in direct competition for the need to complete an updated COSA. It is anticipated this effort will take two to three months followed by three months to analyze, design configure and test new rates. These changes will also require staff resources for billing system changes, customer outreach, etc. Dividing work on these two tasks will lengthen the time to complete the COSA. Technical and Operational Constraints . Typically an all-electric rate or electric vehicle rate would encourage customers to consume more electricity in off-peak vs. on-peak hours. Since Palo Alto does yet have time of use or interval metering, that kind of study is infeasible at this time. 4 https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas-minutes-reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2016/6932- merged.pdf 5 https://www.cityofpaloalto.org/files/assets/public/agendas-minutes-reports/reports/city-manager-reports-cmrs/year-archive/2015/final- staff-report-id-6061_adoption-of-design-guidelines-for-electric-cost-of-service-analysis.pdf 4.b Packet Pg. 108 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t B : E a r l y E l e c t r i c R a t e C h a n g e M e m o ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) Many administrative challenges exist for a pilot rate study. Determining customer eligibility for a pilot rate (such as not having a gas meter, EV ownership, etc.) will be difficult. Additional administrative challenges such as managing caps on participation (pilot rates are limited in size), monitoring pilot vs. non-participant behaviors, and making sure there are no unanticipated revenue changes arising from rate switching are require a significant investment of staff time. 4.b Packet Pg. 109 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t B : E a r l y E l e c t r i c R a t e C h a n g e M e m o ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) Utilities Advisory Commission Minutes Approved on: Page 1 of 2 UTILITIES ADVISORY COMMISSION MEETING MINUTES OF MARCH 2, 2022 MEETING CALL TO ORDER Chair Forssell called the meeting of the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) to order at 6:03 p.m. Present: Chair Forssell, Vice Chair Segal, Commissioners Johnston, Metz, and Smith Absent: Commissioner Bowie and Scharff NEW BUSINESS ITEM 9: ACTION: Staff Recommendation That the Utilities Advisory Commission Recommend the City Council Adopt a Resolution Approving the Fiscal Year 2023 Electric Financial Plan and Reserve Transfers, Amending the Electric Utility Reserve Management Practices, and Amending Rate Schedules E-1 (Residential Electric Service), E-2 (Residential Master-Metered and Small Non-Residential Electric Service), E-2-G (Residential Master-Metered and Small Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-4 (Medium Non- Residential Electric Service), E-4-G (Medium Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-4 TOU (Medium Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E 7 (Large Non-Residential Electric Service), E-7-G (Large Non- Residential Green Power Electric Service), E-7 TOU (Large Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E-14 (Street Lights), E-NSE (Net Metering Net Surplus Electricity Compensation), and E-EEC (Export Electricity Compensation). Eric Keniston, Senior Resource Planner, reported that the proposal is a 5 percent rate increase with projected 5 percent rate increases in the subsequent years. To accommodate a 5 percent rate increase, the Hydro Stabilization Reserve will be depleted. The Hydro Rate Adjuster will be activated and will add $0.013 per kilowatt-hour in revenue. Staff predicted that hydro conditions will not improve in FY 2023. Starting in FY 2024 and FY 2025, there may be a rate increase of 6 percent due to electrification and S/CAP implementation. The Operating Reserve will increase due to the influx of funds from the Hydro Stabilization Reserve and then will decrease rapidly. Staff requested that the Electric Special Project Reserve remain active through FY 2027 and not sunset at the end of FY 2022. Commissioner Johnston appreciated that Staff did the work to spread the cost increases out and supported the proposal. In response to his understanding that CIP projects are not to modernize the electrical grid, Keniston confirmed that is correct. Commissioner Johnston emphasized that it is important to begin exploring what the costs will be to modernize the grid to meet the S/CAP goals. In reply to Chair Forssell’s inquiry regarding changes to the Hydro Rate Adjuster, Keniston explained that the changes would allow Staff to active the Hydro Rate Adjuster quickly. In answer to Chair Forssell’s question regarding local solar and if it is factored into the financial forecast, Keniston answered that local solar does not affect the general load. More efficient technologies have accelerated the path of general load decline. Chair Forssell requested that Staff provide a list of what districts have been undergrounded, which are planned for undergrounding, and which substations are being upgraded. Batchelor confirmed that Staff will provide that information in an email to the UAC. DRAFT 0 CIT ~ A 0 ALTO 4.c Packet Pg. 110 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t C : D r a f t E x c e r p t U A C M i n u t e s ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s ) Utilities Advisory Commission Minutes Approved on: Page 2 of 2 In answer to Council Member Cormack’s question regarding who decides how to spend Cap and Trade Program funds, Keniston shared historically the City used the funds for renewable resources. If the funds are not spent, the City has 10-years to spend the funds on appropriate programs. Jonathan Abendschein, Assistant Director of Utilities, added that how funds are spent is under the purview of the City Manager. In response to Council Member Cormack’s request to explain Item 8 and 9 of Staff’s recommended motion, Keniston explained that the changes reflected the avoided cost of electricity and is the same methodology the City has used historically. The discussions in the news regarding NEM 3.0 do not affect the City. For folks under the NEM1 Program, they are grandfathered in under a provision that the energy they generate. The City compensates those folks at the full retail rate. Under the NEM2 Program, there is no subsidy. In answer to Chair Forssell’s query regarding what the price for kilowatt-hour is for the electricity compensation rate, Keniston predicted $0.10. In reply to Chair Forssell’s query regarding the difference between the export electricity compensation and the net surplus electricity compensation rate, Keniston answered that one is used for NEM1 customers and one is used for NEM2 customers. ACTION: Commissioner Johnston moved Staff requests that the Utilities Advisory Commission (UAC) recommend that the Council adopt a Resolution (Attachment A): 1. Approving the Fiscal Year (FY) 2023 Electric Financial Plan (Linked Document); 2. Amending the Electric Fund Reserve Management Practices, specifically amending Section 6: Electric Special Projects Reserve, as follows: a. Amend part e) setting the goal to commit ESP funds by the end of FY 2023; and b. Amend part f) setting the date to revert uncommitted funds to the Electric Supply Operations Reserve to five years after the commitment date (FY 2028) 3. Approving the following transfers at the end of FY 2022: a. Up to $15 million from the Hydro Stabilization Reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; b. Up to $5 million from the Electric Special Projects (ESP) reserve to the Supply Operations Reserve; and c. As discussed in Staff Report #11556i, approve an allocation of Cap and Trade funds up to 1/3 of REC revenue to the Cap and Trade Program Reserve to be spent on local decarbonization programs; 4. Approving the following rate actions for FY 2023: a. An increase to retail electric rates E-1 (Residential Electric Service), E-2 (Small Non-Residential Electric Service), E-4 (Medium Non-Residential Electric Service), E-4 TOU (Medium Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service), E-7 (Large Non-Residential Electric Service), E-7 TOU (Large Non-Residential Time of Use Electric Service) and E-14 (Street Lights) of 5% effective July 1, 2022; b. An update to the Export Electricity Compensation (E-EEC-1) rate to reflect current projections of avoided cost, effective July 1, 2022; c. An update to the Net Surplus Electricity Compensation (E-NSE-1) rate to reflect current projections of avoided cost, effective July 1, 2022; and d. An update to the Palo Alto Green program pass-through premium charge on the Residential Master- Metered and Small Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-2-G), the Medium Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-4-G), and the Large Non-Residential Green Power Electric Service (E-7-G) rate schedules (Attachment B) to reflect current costs, effective July 1, 2022 Seconded by Commissioner Metz Motion carries 4-0 with Chair Forssell and Vice Chair Segal, Commissioners Johnston, Metz voting yes. Commissioners Bowie, Scharff, and Smith absent 4.c Packet Pg. 111 At t a c h m e n t : A t t a c h m e n t C : D r a f t E x c e r p t U A C M i n u t e s ( 1 3 9 7 0 : F Y 2 0 2 3 E l e c t r i c F i n a n c i a l P l a n s a n d R a t e s )