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HomeMy WebLinkAboutStaff Report 14973 City of Palo Alto (ID # 14973) Utilities Advisory Commission Staff Report Meeting Date: 2/1/2023 Report Type: INFORMATIONAL REPORTS City of Palo Alto Page 1 Title: Informational Utilities Quarterly Report Update for Q1 of FY2023 From: Director of Utilities Lead Department: Utilities Executive Summary Linked below for the Utilities Advisory Commission’s information is an update on water, gas, electric, wastewater collection and fiber utilities, efficiency programs, legislative/regulatory issues, utility-related capital improvement programs, operations reliability impact measures and a utility financial summary. This updated report (Linked Document) has been prepared to keep the Council and Utilities Advisory Commission apprised of the major issues that are facing the water, gas, electric, wastewater collection and fiber utilities. A separate quarterly report on the financial position is prepared consistent with when the City closes its books. Items of special interest in this report are summarized below: COVID-19 Impacts: Behavior changes resulting from COVID-19 continue to impact loads in FY 2022: • FY 2023 actual electric sales through September 2022 were about 4% lower than projections, while revenues were about 7% higher than projections. The higher sales revenues were due to extra revenue from the Electric Hydro Rate Adjuster. Decreased loads are mostly attributed to the commercial sector. (Section 1.5.1) • Gas utility demand through September 2022 was 5% lower than forecasted in the FY 2023 Financial Plan. Actual sales revenue was 35% higher than forecasted. The higher revenue was due to increases in the market price of gas commodity which is passed through to customers. (Section 2.5.1) • Water demand through the end of September 2022 was 10% lower than forecasted and water sales revenues were about 13% lower than forecasted in the FY 2023 financial plan, mostly due to water conservation from customers responding to the drought. Increased water conservation may further impact revenue and reserve levels. (Section 3.5.1) • Wastewater revenues have not been significantly affected by the pandemic. Vacancies and Staffing – Appendix B • The Utilities Department has 48 vacant positions out of 253 authorized positions or a 19% vacancy rate at the end of September 2022 • CITY OF PALO ALTO City of Palo Alto Page 2 • The highest number of vacancies are in Electric Operations (20 FTEs) and Electric Engineering (9 FTEs) Electric Utility: Output from the City’s hydroelectric resources is low. Total forecasted hydropower for FY 2022 is 244 GWh, which is 234 GWh (51%) below the long-term average. The current forecast for FY 2023 assumes a small recovery in generation from FY 2022, but is still only projected to provide 56% of generation compared to the long-term average. (Section 1.1.2) • Sales of renewable energy credits (RECs) for CY 2022 are expected to result in $0.8M in net revenue. (Section 1.1.3) • A number of construction projects are in the design phase with construction due to begin in 2022. (Section 1.2) • Electric sales for the first two quarters of FY22 were about 3% lower than projected, and revenue was about 5% lower. (Section 1.5) Gas Utility: • Gas prices remain high, and customer bills will be impacted over the winter months. Outreach material will inform the community of these bill impacts and provide energy saving tips and program information. (Section 2.5.2 and 7) • A gas main replacement project is currently in progress (GS -13001) and the City is in the midst of a two year inspection project to find “cross bores.” (Section 2.2) Water Utility: • January through March 2022 was the driest on record for the Hetch Hetchy gauge. System storage is below normal but in better shape than most reservoirs in the state. (Section 3.1) • On November 10, 2022, Governor Newsom’s senior Water-Policy Officials, the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC), and the Modesto and Turlock Irrigation Districts reached agreement on a Memorandum of Understanding to provide greater water flows and increased habitat for the Tuolumne River. The Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency (BAWSCA) anticipates that this MOU will become a part of a larger voluntary agreement for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. (Section 3.1) • Palo Alto launched the One Water Plan with the goal of Council adoption of a One W ater supply plan that is a 20-year adaptable roadmap for implementation of water supply and conservation portfolio alternatives. A number of stakeholder engagement meetings have occurred and are scheduled to occur. The UAC will receive an update in February or March of 2023. On May 24, 2022, Palo Alto’s water supplier, the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission adopted a systemwide voluntary water use reduction of 11% compared to baseline water use during FY 2019-2020. For the billing months July 2022 through October 2022, compared with City of Palo Alto Page 3 the same period from July 2019 to October 2019, the Palo Alto community reduced water usage by 10%. (Section 3.1) • Actual water sales volumes through Q1 of FY 2023 were about 10% lower than forecasted in the FY 2023 financial plan. Staff’s preliminary projection of expected revenues and expenses together with transfers from the CIP Reserve, estimates the Operations Reserve will reach approximately target levels by the end of FY 2023. (Section 3.5) • Construction started on a water main replacement project in April. (Section 3.2) Wastewater Utility: • An overview of the status of the Regional Water Quality Control Plant (RWQCP) rehabilitation projects is provided, including an overview of the financing plan for the projects. The first project to begin construction will be the primary sedimentation tank rehabilitation. (Section 4.1) • A sewer system rehabilitation project (SSR 30) was approved by Council on December 31, 2021. Construction started in March 2022 and is expected to b e complete in January 2023. (Section 4.2) • Actual wastewater sales revenues through Q1 of FY 2023 were around expectation, at about 0.4% higher than forecasted in the FY 2023 Financial Plan. (Section 4.4) Fiber Utility: • The City launched the Palo Alto Fiber Market Research Survey and Fiber Deposit program. 3,254 surveys were completed (14.8% response rate) and 703 deposits received as of August 3, 2022. 28.4% of households are either very dissatisfied or somewhat dissatisfied with their current internet services. An additional 14.4% are neither satisfied nor dissatisfied. (Section 5.1) • On September 19, 2022, City Council and UAC held a joint session to review the internet survey results and evaluated the feasibility of a new City-owned and City-operated ISP business. (Section 5.1) Customer Programs (Section 6): • The City in partnership with the Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency (BAWSCA) held three well-attended landscape efficiency workshops in fall 2022. The workshops covered topics on harvesting rainwater, steps to take to design and convert lawns into drought-tolerant landscapes, and available rebates. • On October 6, 2022 the City launched WaterSmart, an online water management tool to help residents and businesses better understand their wa ter usage and enable them to conserve water and save money. • Palo Alto had the highest number of SunShares, a solar and battery storage group -buy program, sign ups with 161 registered residents by the November 15, 2022 registration deadline. • Since the Business Energy Advisor program launched in June 2022, 21 program participation agreements have been sent to customers, 7 agreements have been signed, and 3 site assessments have been completed. City of Palo Alto Page 4 • For residential customer programs, staff is developing contracts for residential building electrification, energy and water efficiency programs which includes single family and multifamily homes as well as income and medically qualified residents. • The Business Electrification Technical Assessment Program launched in August 2022, offering no-cost assessments to help nonresidential customers identify electrification opportunities and free technical assistance to support them with their building electrification journey. Since the program launched, our partner, CLEAResult, h as completed 2 site assessments, assisting large commercial customers with potential HVAC and heat pump water heater projects. • The City continues to promote its multi-family and workplace EV charger programs. Communications: A digest of major outreach efforts is provided in Section 7, including outreach related to drought, the public safety power shutoff program in the Foothills, and utility scams. Legislative and Regulatory: Major legislative and regulatory items are summarized in Section 8. Attachments: • Attachment A: Utilities Quarterly Report FY23-Q1 • Attachment B: CY2021 Gas Utility Asset Management Overview Utilities Quarterly Update First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 1Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Table of Contents 1 ELECTRIC UTILITY 4 1.1 ELECTRICITY SUPPLY AND TRANSMISSION 4 1.1.1 Forecasted Supply Costs 4 1.1.2 Hydroelectric Conditions 5 1.1.3 REC Exchange Program 6 1.1.4 Renewable Energy Procurement 6 1.2 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN STATUS 6 1.3 RATE AND BILL COMPARISONS 7 1.4 RELIABILITY 8 1.5 FINANCIAL HEALTH 8 1.5.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals 8 1.5.2 Financial Position 9 2 GAS UTILITY 10 2.1 GAS SUPPLY AND TRANSMISSION 10 2.1.1 Actual and Forecasted Supply Costs 10 2.1.2 Carbon Neutral Gas Program 11 2.1.3 Cap and Trade Program 13 2.1.4 Gas Transmission Line Capacity Valuation 14 2.1.5 Gas Prepay Valuation 14 2.2 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN STATUS 15 2.3 RATE AND BILL COMPARISONS 15 2.4 RELIABILITY 15 2.5 FINANCIAL HEALTH 16 2.5.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals 16 2.5.2 Financial Position 16 3 WATER UTILITY 17 3.1 WATER SUPPLY AND TRANSMISSION 17 3.2 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN STATUS 20 3.3 RATE AND BILL COMPARISONS 20 3.4 RELIABILITY 21 3.5 FINANCIAL HEALTH 21 3.5.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals 21 3.5.2 Financial Position 22 4 WASTEWATER UTILITY 23 4.1 WASTEWATER TREATMENT UPDATES AND CAPITAL PLANNING STATUS 23 4.1.1 Treatment Cost Trends 23 4.1.2 Regional Water Quality Control Plant Capital Planning Status 24 4.2 COLLECTION SYSTEM CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN STATUS 25 - 2Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 4.3 RATE AND BILL COMPARISONS 25 4.4 FINANCIAL HEALTH 26 4.4.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals 26 4.4.2 Financial Position 26 5 FIBER UTILITY 27 5.1 FIBER UTILITY STRATEGIC PLANNING 27 5.2 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN STATUS 28 5.3 RELIABILITY 28 5.4 FINANCIAL HEALTH 28 5.4.1 Fiber Sales 28 5.4.2 Financial Position 28 6 CUSTOMER PROGRAMS (EFFICIENCY AND SUSTAINABILITY)29 6.1 CUSTOMER PROGRAMS UPDATES 29 6.1.1 Energy and Water Efficiency 29 6.1.2 Building Electrification 31 6.1.3 Electric Vehicles 33 6.2 FUNDING SOURCES FOR EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS 37 6.2.1 Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) Program 37 6.2.2 Cap and Trade Program, Revenue from Allocated Allowances 37 6.2.3 Electric Public Benefit Funds 38 6.3 INNOVATION AND PILOT PROGRAMS 38 6.3.1 Academic Collaborations 38 6.3.2 Completed Projects 38 7 COMMUNICATIONS 40 8 LEGISLATIVE AND REGULATORY ACTIVITY 42 8.1 STATE LEGISLATION 42 8.2 STATE REGULATORY PROCEEDINGS 42 8.2.1 Energy Commission 42 8.2.2 State Water Resources Control Board 42 8.2.3 Air Resources Board 42 8.2.4 Natural Resources Agency 42 9 APPENDIX A: ENERGY RISK MANAGEMENT PROGRAM 44 9.1 OVERVIEW OF HEDGING PROGRAMS 44 9.2 OVERVIEW OF ENERGY RISK MANAGEMENT PROGRAM 44 9.3 FORWARD DEALS 44 9.4 MARKET EXPOSURE 45 9.5 TRANSACTION COMPLIANCE 45 10 APPENDIX B: STAFFING AND VACANCIES 46 11 APPENDIX C: GAS UTILITY ANNUAL INFRASTRUCTURE MAINTENANCE AND REPLACEMENT REPORT 47 - 3Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figures FIGURE 1:FY 2022 FINANCIAL PLAN SUPPLY COST FORECAST VS. ACTUALS ................................................................................................5 FIGURE 2:HYDRO GENERATION FY 2021-22 ACTUALS,FY 2023 PROJECTED (GWH)..................................................................................6 FIGURE 3:RESIDENTIAL MONTHLY ELECTRIC BILL COMPARISON (EFFECTIVE 11/1/2022,$/MO.)..................................................................8 FIGURE 4:ELECTRIC OUTAGE RELIABILITY,FY 2023-Q1 ..........................................................................................................................8 FIGURE 5:ELECTRIC SALES VOLUME (KWH),UP TO FY 2023-Q1 ..............................................................................................................9 FIGURE 6:ELECTRIC SALES REVENUE ($),UP TO FY 2023-Q1 ..................................................................................................................9 FIGURE 7:GAS SUPPLY COMMODITY RATES ($/THERM),FY 2018-23 ....................................................................................................10 FIGURE 8:GAS SUPPLY COSTS ($),ACTUAL VS BUDGET,UP TO FY 2023-Q1 ............................................................................................11 FIGURE 9:OFFSET PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION ......................................................................................................................................12 FIGURE 10:OFFSET PROJECT DESCRIPTIONS ........................................................................................................................................13 FIGURE 11:ESTIMATED CAP AND TRADE COSTS ...................................................................................................................................14 FIGURE 12:RESIDENTIAL NATURAL GAS BILL COMPARISON ($/MONTH)...................................................................................................15 FIGURE 13:GAS SERVICE INTERRUPTIONS,FY 2023 .............................................................................................................................15 FIGURE 14:GAS SALES VOLUME (THERMS),UP TO FY 2023-Q1 ............................................................................................................16 FIGURE 15:GAS SALES REVENUE ($),UP TO FY 2023-Q1.....................................................................................................................16 FIGURE 16:REGIONAL WATER SYSTEM STORAGE .................................................................................................................................18 FIGURE 17:SFPUC WATER DELIVERIES..............................................................................................................................................19 FIGURE 18:RESIDENTIAL WATER BILL COMPARISON ($/MONTH)............................................................................................................21 FIGURE 19:WATER SERVICE INTERRUPTIONS,FY 2023 .........................................................................................................................21 FIGURE 20:WATER SALES VOLUME (CCF),UP TO FY 2023-Q1 .............................................................................................................22 FIGURE 21:WATER SALES REVENUE ($),UP TO FY 2023-Q1 ................................................................................................................22 FIGURE 22:PALO ALTO’S SHARE OF ESTIMATED WASTEWATER TREATMENT EXPENSES (PROJECTION AND PLANNED CIP)..................................24 FIGURE 23:CURRENT RWQCP CAPITAL WORK IN-PROGRESS (INFORMATION FROM RWQCP JUNE 2022 PARTNERS MEETING).......................25 FIGURE 24:RESIDENTIAL WASTEWATER BILL COMPARISON ($/MONTH)...................................................................................................26 FIGURE 25:WASTEWATER SALES REVENUE ($),UP TO FY 2023-Q1 .......................................................................................................26 FIGURE 26:EV TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE PROGRAM (EVTAP),CUMULATIVE PROGRESS REPORT (NOVEMBER 2019 - SEPTEMBER 2022).............35 FIGURE 27:SCHEDULE OF CPAU WORKSHOPS AND EVENTS, JULY - SEPTEMBER 2022................................................................................36 FIGURE 28:STATUS TO DATE OF ALL APPLICATIONS TO THE PROGRAM FOR EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES............................................................39 FIGURE 29:ELECTRIC RESOURCE ADEQUACY CONTRACTS .......................................................................................................................44 FIGURE 30:ELECTRIC LOAD RESOURCE BALANCE, APRIL 2022 - MARCH 2025..........................................................................................45 FIGURE 31:UTILITIES VACANCIES AND POSITION MOVEMENTS BY DIVISION,UP TO Q1 FY 2023 ..................................................................46 - 4Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 1 Electric Utility The City’s electric utility serves all residential and non-residential gas demands in Palo Alto at a lower cost than PG&E in surrounding communities. Its electric supply portfolio is 100% carbon neutral. The City maintains and operates an electric distribution system and one small natural gas generator but does not operate any transmission lines or any significant generating capacity on its own. Instead, the City belongs to Northern California Power Agency (NCPA) which operates its Calaveras hydroelectric generating plant and provides power scheduling services for its other generating resources. This carbon free power is supplied through power purchase agreements with various generation operators. 1.1 Electricity Supply and Transmission Below is an update on electricity supply and transmission services. 1.1.1 Forecasted Supply Costs The actual net supply cost for FY 2022 was $95.2 M.This represents a $11.9 M (14%) increase over FY 2021 actuals and $17.3 M (22%)over the FY 2022 Adopted Budget amount, with the increase primarily driven by higher than historical forward energy prices, higher resource adequacy requirement levels and market prices, and much lower than historical average hydro generation levels. The projected net supply cost for FY 2023 is $94.9 M, which is $9.7 M (11%) greater than the Adopted Budget amount, but $0.3 M lower than the actual net supply cost for FY 2022. This increase in cost relative to the Adopted Budget is due to the same factors noted above that explain the deviation in supply cost for FY 2022. - 5Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 1: FY 2022 Financial Plan Supply Cost Forecast vs. Actuals 1.1.2 Hydroelectric Conditions The City takes power from two hydroelectric projects, the Calaveras project and the Western Base Resource contract for Federal hydropower from the Central Valley Project.1 The watershed for Western hydropower is primarily in the northern end of California, while the watershed for the Calaveras project is in the Central Sierras. For water year 2020 to 2021 (October 2020 to September 2021), total precipitation was just below 50% of average in both watersheds. For water year 2021 to 2022, total precipitation was 63% of average for the Central Sierras watershed and 81% of average for the Northern Sierras watershed. Total actual hydropower for FY 2021 was 295 GWh, which is 183 GWh (38%) below the long-term average.Total actual hydropower for FY 2022 was 230 GWh, which is 250 GWh (52%) below the long-term average.2 The current forecast for FY 2023 assumes a small recovery in generation from FY 2022 but is still only projected to provide 56% of generation compared to the long-term average. 1 The Calaveras project is a hydropower project located in Calaveras County that is maintained and operated by the Northern California Power Agency on behalf of the City and other project participants. The City is also one of several public entities with contracts with the Western Area Power Administration for “Base Resource” electricity, which is the hydroelectric power available from the Federal Government’s Central Valley Project (operated by the Bureau of Reclamation) after accounting for power used for Central Valley Project operations and power delivered to certain “preference” customers. 2The long-term average forecast levels for both Western and Calaveras have been revised downward (about 10% each) in recent years to reflect the impact of climate change. These values may need to be revisited again in the coming years. V) -c, C: $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 ~ $6,000 0 ..c: 1- $4,000 $2,000 $- Electric Supply Budget vs Actuals $120,000 $100,000 $80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $- Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 -Budget Forecast -Actuals/Projected -cumulative Budget Forecast Cumulative Actuals/Projection V) -c, C: n, V) ::, 0 ..c: I- - 6Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 2:Hydro Generation FY 2021-22 Actuals, FY 2023 Projected (GWh) 1.1.3 REC Exchange Program Under the REC Exchange Program, which was approved by Council in August 2020 (Staff Report #11556), staff has so far contracted to sell a total of 184 GWh worth of in-state renewable energy (for $2.77M), and purchased 400 GWh worth of out-of-state renewable energy credits (RECs) costing $2.03M in CY 2022. The overall net revenue (estimated at $0.74M)for CY 2022 will be directed entirely towards the funding of local decarbonization efforts. Net revenue for the REC Exchange program is projected to be around the same in 2023 than 2022, which were both significantly lower than previous years due to several factors: (a) the poor hydro outlook, which will lead to large out-of-state REC purchase volumes, and (b) a narrowing of the in-state versus out-of-state REC price spread. 1.1.4 Renewable Energy Procurement As discussed in Staff Report #14908 (Packet Pg. 74), staff is currently pursuing an opportunity to enter into a 12- year agreement to procure 10 MW of output from the Calpine Geothermal project, as part of a larger purchase with other Northern California Power Agency (NCPA) members. Staff is also exploring a sale of some energy during Q2 and Q3 from one or more of the City’s long-term solar contracts. These combined transactions would more closely balance the City’s loads and resources on a daily/monthly basis to better hedge market energy price shifts in the long-term while maintaining the portfolio’s annual energy position close to current levels. Staff plans to return to the UAC in the coming months to seek a recommendation to take these agreements to the City Council for approval. 1.2 Capital Improvement Plan Status The following capital projects are currently in progress or have been recently completed: EL-17001 (East Meadow Circles 4/12kV Conversion):This project is scheduled to be completed in several phases. Phase 1 design is complete.Phase 2 & 3 (of 6) engineering design is currently in progress. EL-11003 (Rebuild Underground 15):This project is in the preliminary stages of engineering design.Project is delayed due to staffing shortage. This project has been put on hold due to other priorities. EL-10006 (Rebuild Underground 24):This project is in construction phase and scheduled to be completed in Dec 2023. EL-16000 (Rebuild Underground 26):This project is in the preliminary stages of engineering design.Project is delayed due to staffing shortage. EL-19004 (Wood Pole Replacement):This project is in the design phase with expected completion in June 2023 and construction starting July 2023.The project is delayed this year because of staffing shortages.CPAU has a contract consultant to work on the design phase of this project. - FY 20 21 Ca lav,e r as Actu a ls/F,o r,ecas t ( GWh) 4'9 'W est ,e rn Actu.a ls/Fo r,ecas t (GWh ) 24 6 Tota l ydm F,o r,ecas t (GWh) 295 -,..,,f I ,..,"".nr +.-..-""" i!\,ir n~,rrn T,-..+n ~ .t:::10l • • • • • 7Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 EL-16003 (Substation Physical Security): This project is scheduled to be completed in several phases. Substation Security lighting contract was awarded in June 2022. The installation will be completed over a 2- year period.Construction is currently in-progress. EL-17002 (Substation 60kV Breaker Replacement):This project is in the preliminary stages of engineering design.Project is delayed due to staffing shortage. EL-21001 (Foothills Rebuild):This project will rebuild the approximately 11 miles of overhead line in Foothills Park, as necessary to mitigate the possibility of wildfire due to overhead electric lines. Staff has completed 7,000 feet of substructure work and design which will eliminate the corresponding 26 poles. Substructure for Phase 1 was completed in Spring 2022 and the substructure for Phase 2 is currently in progress.Phases 3 and 4 are currently in design phase. EL-14005 (Reconfigure Quarry Feeders):Staff completed the design phase this year. Construction has been Completed. EL-02011 (Electric Utility Geographic Information System (GIS)):The project scope includes maintenance/technical support of the existing GIS system and implementation of the new GIS platform (ESRI). Staff has completed the ESRI ArcGIS Portal, which is a web service for staff to view data and are currently working on final phase of the electric data migration to ESRI’s Utility Network model. EL-16002 (Capacitor Bank Installation):This project is a multi-year effort for the procurement, design and installation of capacitor banks at several substation. Hanson Way and Park Blvd substation work is complete; Two capacitor banks at Hanover remain to be completed and will be completed in December 2023. The capacitor banks at Maybell have been installed and will be commissioned in the coming months. 1.3 Rate and Bill Comparisons For the median consumption level,the annual residential electric bill for FY 2022 was $744, about 45% lower than the annual bill for a PG&E customer with the same consumption and approximately 16% higher than the annual bill for a City of Santa Clara customer. The bill calculations for PG&E customers are based on PG&E Climate Zone X, which includes most surrounding comparison communities. The figure below presents sample median residential bills for Palo Alto, PG&E, and the City of Santa Clara (Silicon Valley Power) for several usage levels. Rates used to calculate the monthly bills shown below were in effect as of November 1, 2022. The rates for Palo Alto include the current Hydro Rate Adjuster of $0.013/kWh.In December, staff will recommend to Council an increased Hydro Rate Adjusted Adjuster of $0.048/kWh to be effective January 1 to mitigate the high power costs cited above. Over the next several years low usage customers in PG&E territory are expected to continue to see higher percentage rate increases than high usage customers as PG&E compresses its tiers from the highly exaggerated levels that have been in place since the energy crisis. This is likely to make the bill for the median Palo Alto consumer look even more favorable compared to most PG&E customers. Even with the compressed tiers, bills for high usage Palo Alto consumers are projected to remain substantially lower than the bills for high usage PG&E customers. - • • • • • • 8Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 3: Residential Monthly Electric Bill Comparison (Effective 11/1/2022, $/mo.) Season Usage (kwh)Palo Alto PG&E Santa Clara Winter 300 47.24 95.26 39.22 (Median)453 78.57 155.65 59.95 650 121.19 233.40 86.65 1200 240.18 452.61 161.17 Summer 300 47.24 95.03 39.22 (Median) 365 59.53 120.68 48.03 650 121.19 233.16 86.65 1200 240.18 454.03 161.17 1.4 Reliability CPAU tracks electric outages. A summary chart of these outages can be found below. Figure 4: Electric Outage Reliability, FY 2023-Q1 Outage Reliability Q1 System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDA)81.69 System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI)0.61 Customer Average Interruption Duration Index (CAIDI)134.77 1.5 Financial Health Below is a summary of the financial position for the electric utility. 1.5.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals Electric actual sales volumes through Q1 of FY 2023 were about 4% lower than forecasted,while actual sales revenues were about 7% higher than budgeted in the FY 2023 Financial Plan. The higher sales revenues were due to extra revenue from the Electric hydro rate adjuster, which was implemented on April 1, 2022. The commercial sector continues to be impacted by the Covid downturn in Q1 of FY 2023,and it is uncertain when commercial sales will recover. - 9Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 5: Electric Sales Volume (kWh), up to FY 2023-Q1 Figure 6: Electric Sales Revenue ($), up to FY 2023-Q1 1.5.2 Financial Position The Electric Operations Reserves were at the minimum guideline level at the end of FY 2022 and may drop below minimum in FY 2023, depending on purchase costs resulting from low hydro conditions (necessitating more expensive market purchases) as well as increasing transmission costs. City Council activated the Hydro Rate Adjuster in April 2022 to help mitigate these rising costs, but staff is currently proposing to Council a further increase to the Hydro Adjuster (from $0.013 to 0.048/kWh effective January 1, 2023) to help keep reserves above minimum in FY 2023. Through the first quarter of FY 2023, sales and revenues have tracked close to budget, but purchase cost increases continue to put pressure on reserves.Overall sales continue to be at levels seen during the height of COVID, with sales to the commercial sector not recovering appreciably as COVID restrictions have eased. This lower sales profile, along with projected new capital projects for electrification,may put additional pressure on FY 2024 rates and beyond.Staff will provide preliminary financial forecast projections in January 2023. - FY 2023 Budget Actual Vari ance Var iance%! Ju l 70,843,075 67 ,532,107 -3,310,968 A.7% Aug 72,647,339 68,060,0 58 -4 ,587,281 -6.3% 60M Se p 73 ,040,07 4 73 ,386,421 346,347 0 .5% Oct 68 ,469,891 L s: 40M Nov 70,512,009 ~ Dec 67,009,286 Jan 70,935,370 20M Fe b 66,143,77 2 M ar 64,173,286 OM Apr 62,524,419 Ju l Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun M ay 57,946,331 ■ Electric, Actual ■ Electric, Budget Jun 63,400,963 FY2023 i __ Budget Actual Variance Varian ce Oh l Jul 13,513,230 14,355 ,87 9 842,649 6 .2% 1 5M Aug 14,158,194 14,807 ,187 648,993 4.6% Sep 14,441,943 15,928 ,532 1 ,486,589 10.3% ~ lOM Oct 13,625,567 ~ Nov 13,352,666 ... 0 Dec 9 ,853,529 D SM Jan 10,311,382 Feb 9 ,534,373 M ar 9,385,476 OM Apr 9,031,965 Ju l Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun M ay 8 ,856,182 ■ Electric, Actual ■ Electric, Budget Jun 12,309,221 10Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 2 Gas Utility The City’s gas utility serves all residential and non-residential gas demand in Palo Alto. The City maintains and operates a system of low-pressure gas lines for delivering gas but does not operate any transmission lines. Costs for the gas utility are split approximately two thirds for the operation, maintenance and one third for the cost of the gas commodity,PG&E gas transmission, compliance with the State’s Cap and Trade Program and the City’s Carbon Neutral Gas Program. 2.1 Gas Supply and Transmission Gas Commodity prices were relatively high in latter half of FY 2022 and the first half of FY 2023. A combination of flat U.S. natural gas production, below-average U.S. natural gas storage levels, high US liquefied natural gas exports, inflation, supply chain issues, and global geopolitical events have put upward pressure on prices for U.S. natural gas. Prices are expected to be elevated throughout the winter season. The communications team published an article in our City website and posted in various social media platforms to inform customers about high gas prices, potential ways to conserve gas usage and encouraged home electrification. Figure 7: Gas Supply Commodity Rates ($/Therm), FY 2018-23 2.1.1 Actual and Forecasted Supply Costs Gas actual demand through Q1 of FY 2023 was about 14% higher than forecasted, while actual supply and transportation costs were about 84% higher than budgeted in the FY 2023 Financial Plan.Gas commodity prices were much higher than predicted in the FY 2023 financial plan due to reasons mentioned in section 2.1 above. - '.LOO $0 .80 E 'lio .60 Ql 5, $0 .40 $0 .20 $0 .00 I ...... '.• .. I . '.' .. • • I . •.I . FY 20 _8 FY 20B FY 2020 FY 2oz: FY 2022 FY2023 11Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 8: Gas Supply Costs ($), Actual vs Budget, up to FY 2023-Q1 2.1.2 Carbon Neutral Gas Program In December 2020, Council adopted Resolution #9930 maintaining the Carbon Neutral Natural Gas Plan to achieve carbon neutrality for the gas supply portfolio using high-quality carbon offsets with a cost cap of $19 per ton CO2e. Offsets are purchased to neutralize emissions equal to those caused by natural gas usage in Palo Alto. Staff purchased 60,000 carbon offsets for FY 2022 in January 2022 from a mixture of forestry and livestock projects at an average purchase price of $12.26 per metric ton, nearly double the price of historical average transaction prices. Staff purchased an additional 60,000 carbon offsets in June 2022 at an average price of $14.51 per ton CO2e.As a result of the higher offset purchase costs, staff has updated the billing charge for offsets from $0.04/therm to $0.07/therm. The average purchase price of offsets purchased for the program is $7.66 per ton CO2e. The figure below shows the composition of offset purchases.Staff is evaluating a process change to expedite the approval of new Verified Emission Reduction (carbon offset) counterparties and depending on the timing of this change, will carry out its next offsets purchase in December 2022 or in the beginning of 2023. - FY2023 Budget Actual Var ia nce Variance % Jul 667,541 1,039,946 372,404 55.8%1 2.5M Aug 659,409 1 ,332 ,201 672,791 102.0% 2.0M I Sep 696,972 1 ,348,782 651,810 93.5% Oct 949,560 Nov 1,581,034 ~1.SM Dec 2 ,387,025 0 Jan 2 ,638,627 V l .0M I Fe b 2 ,036,749 Mar 1 ,7 1 2,571 0.5M I Apr 1,051,643 May 812,920 0.0M Jun 638,236 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 12Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 9: Offset Portfolio Composition The following table provides a description of the projects. - Offsets Purchased by Project Type ■ Livestock ■ Mexican Forest ■ Mine Methane Capture ■ Ozone Depleting Substance ■ U.S . Forest ■ AgMethane ■ Carbon Sequestration 13Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 10: Offset Project Descriptions 2.1.3 Cap and Trade Program The gas utility has been regulated under California’s greenhouse house (GHG) regulations since January 2015 with a GHG emissions cap that declines over time. The gas utility receives carbon allowances equal to the emissions allowed under the cap and is required to auction off a portion of the allowances (55% in 2022, increasing by 5% annually) through the state Cap and Trade Program. To meet its annual GHG compliance obligation, the City must purchase allowances based on actual gas use. The auction floor price to either purchase or sell allowances increases annually by 5% plus inflation. Historically, allowances have traded at or near the floor price, but the clearing prices for allowances in the auction have increased significantly. The cost of compliance is anticipated to increase from $1.5 million in FY 2022 to $5.6 million in FY 2030, about an 18% increase per year on average, as shown in the following table: Project Name Project Type Description Grotegut Dairy Livestock Grotegut Dairy is a 3,900 milk-cow operation in Newton, Wisconsin with a methane capture system. Green Trees U.S. Forest GreenTrees Advanced Carbon Restored Ecosystem is reforestation of agricultural lands into native hardwood forest in Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Illinois San Juan Lachao Mexican Forest Protection of forests located in High Biological Value Zones which contain flora and fauna listed in the Mexican Endangered Species List and the International Union for Conservation of Nature’s Red List of Threatened Species. Project in San juan Lachao near Palo Alto's Sister City of Oaxaca. Blandin Forest U.S. Forest Blandin Native American Hardwoods Conservation and Carbon Sequestration project in Minnesota. Pocosin+U.S. Forest These projects are all forested land that will not be disturbed by human development. Without this protection, the forests would be converted to grow wheat or corn. Forest conservation plays a vital role in protecting freshwater systems like lakes. The forests around the lakes act as natural water filters and purify the water for all who use it. The projects also support healthy populations of red wolf, bald eagle,black bear,and various bird species. Refex ODS Ozone Depleting Substance The RemTec facility in Bowling Green, Ohio uses an argon arc plasma destruction device to achieve 99.99 percent removal. The majority of refrigerants originated in California, and all were sourced within the United States. The RemTec facility uses an argon arc plasma destruction device to achieve the required destruction and removal efficiency of 99.99 percent. The majority of ODS refrigerants originated in California, and all were sourced within the United States. Methane Capture Mine Methane Capture This project is the first of its kind. Peabody Natural Gas, LLC removed methane from the North Antelope Rochelle Coal Mine before mining. The methane was compressed and transported to a natural gas pipeline and distributed to a national gas grid for use as fuel. Before implementation of the project,all the methane was vented to the atmosphere. Virginia Conservation Forestry Program U.S. Forest The Virginia Conservation Forestry Program - Clifton Farm and Rich Mountain is a 9000+ acre improved forest management project in which the timber and carbon ownership and management rights have been transferred to The Nature Conservancy's Conservation Forestry Program. The program manages for multiple goals to include: Water quality protection, habitat diversity, high value forest products, and carbon sequestration. Co-benefits: Biodiversity, Watershed Protection, Climate Resilience, and Connectivity Riverview Farm Anaerobic Digester Livestock Riverview is a carbon offset project generating emission reductions thought the capture and destruction of methane at a dairy farm in Minnesota. Under the baseline, manure managed in open lagoons led to the fugitive emission of methane to the atmosphere. In the project scenario, this methane is captured by an anaerobic digester and destroyed on site in the production of electricity. Co-benefits include job creation and the improvement of local air and water quality. Big River / Salmon Creek Forests IFM U.S. Forest The Big River and Salmon Creek Forests are located in Mendocino County, CA and cover 16,000 acres of redwood and Douglas-fir forest. This project is a conservation-based forest management project. Co-benefits include the creation of 140 jobs, protection of 37 miles of streams, and improved water quality for local fish and bird species. - 14Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 11: Estimated Cap and Trade Costs Revenues from the auction sale of gas utility allowances (currently about $1.2 million per year) must be used exclusively for the benefit of the ratepayers in that utility in accordance with California Code of Regulations (CCR Title 17, section 95893). Approved uses are 1) the funding of certain energy efficiency rebates, retrofits, and demand reduction programs, 2) funding for programs with demonstrated GHG reductions, 3) non-volumetric return to ratepayers, either on or off bill, and 4) certain administrative, outreach and educational costs related to items 1-3 above. Council adopted a policy on the use of allowance proceeds (Resolution #9487), generally mirroring the regulations and requiring additional Council approval for rebates. Per the current regulations,the utility must either spend or rebate the funds received in any given year within 10 years (for example, funds received in 2020 must be spent by 2030, etc.). As of the end of FY 2021, unspent funds related to Cap and Trade revenues were placed in a Cap and Trade reserve, until such time as they can be utilized per the dictates of applicable regulations. There was $6.7 million in this reserve available for use at the end of FY 2022. 2.1.4 Gas Transmission Line Capacity Valuation Palo Alto contracts for capacity on the Redwood pipeline, the path from the California-Oregon border to PG&E’s mid-pressure transmission system, at a cost lower than the market value. During the summer months, Palo Alto does not need all of the capacity to serve demand.The excess capacity is monetized by purchasing gas at the California-Oregon border and selling an equal amount of gas at the terminus of the pipeline. The variable cost of transporting the gas is much less than the gas price difference between the two points. The net benefit to the Gas Utility through Q1 of FY 2023 was $169K, or a reduction of about 6.2% of the total gas commodity costs. 2.1.5 Gas Prepay Valuation On September 15, 2014, Council adopted Resolution #9451 authorizing the City’s participation in a natural gas purchase from Municipal Gas Acquisition and Supply Corporation (MuniGas) for the City’s entire retail gas load for a period of at least 10 years. The MuniGas transaction includes a mechanism for municipal utilities to utilize their tax-exempt status to achieve a discount on the market price of gas. The program has reduced about $113K, or 4.2% of the total gas commodity costs through Q1 of FY 2023. ...., 111 0 u ., u C rn ':t ~ ~ C 0 .Q ~ ro u 111 C 0 ·- 2 $7 $6 S5 S4 S3 S2 $1 so Estimated Cap and Trade Cost $35 $30 $2.5 $2.0 $15 $10 ss so '1J u '1J ~ N fl. 0 C u 0 C ·-0 u I- ::J u <( ., .µ u "' C ,2 ra ':t ~ 0 a. ~-if). -E.stm ated Carbon Al ov, ance Cog -E.st m ated Mark et f bor Price - 15Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 2.2 Capital Improvement Plan Status The following capital projects are currently in progress: GS-14003 -GMR 24A (Gas Main Replacement 24A): This project will replace approximately 2,450 linear feet of gas main along Shopping Center Way and Orchard Lane in Stanford Shopping Center. The City coordinated the schedule with Simon Property Group Inc. (shopping center’s management) for construction work to occur between 6 AM and 3 PM from 1/2/23 to 3/31/23. GS-14003 -GMR 24B (Gas Main Replacement 24B): This project will include gas pipes on University from Webster to 101 and surrounding streets, as well as Geng Rd and Town & Country Village. Staff is waiting for the federal grant application status which will be available in February 2023. 2.3 Rate and Bill Comparisons The figure below presents residential bills for Palo Alto and PG&E customers at several usage levels for commodity rates in effect as of a November 2022 (a recent winter period) and October 2022 (a recent summer period). The bill calculations for PG&E customers are based on PG&E Climate Zone X, an area which includes the surrounding communities of Menlo Park, Redwood City, Mountain View, Los Altos and Santa Clara. The annual gas bill for the median residential customer for FY 2022 was $689, about 11% lower than the annual bill for a PG&E customer with the same consumption. PG&E’s distribution rates for gas have increased substantially to collect for system improvements for pipeline safety and maintenance. Figure 12: Residential Natural Gas Bill Comparison ($/month) Season Usage (therms)Palo Alto PG&E Zone X % Difference Winter (November 2022) 30 $ 59.45 $ 72.13 -17.6% (Median) 54 97.77 134.32 -27.25% 80 156.76 208.99 -25.0% 150 329.66 410.05 -19.6% Summer (October 2022) 10 27.65 23.64 16.9% (Median) 18 40.54 43.87 -7.6% 30 68.02 77.86 -12.6% 45 105.29 120.35 -12.5% 2.4 Reliability The City of Palo Alto tracks all gas service interruptions.A summary chart of these interruptions can be found below. Gas service interruptions are usually due to repairs of broken or damaged gas services and mains. This kind of damage is often caused by excavation by outside parties digging in the City. Figure 13: Gas Service Interruptions, FY 2023 Gas Q1 Number of Breaks 9 Total Minutes 643 Customers Affected 20 - • • 16Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 2.5 Financial Health Below is a summary of the financial position for the gas utility. 2.5.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals Actual sales volume for Q1 of FY 2023 were about 5% lower than forecasted in the FY 2023 Financial Plan. But actual sales revenue was about 35% higher than forecasted due to high gas market commodity prices. Much of the revenue is pass-through in nature and offsets commensurately higher gas commodity purchase costs. Figure 14: Gas Sales Volume (Therms), up to FY 2023-Q1 Figure 15: Gas Sales Revenue ($), up to FY 2023-Q1 2.5.2 Financial Position FY 2022 ending Operations Reserves were $11.1 million, and above the minimum reserve level of $7.8 million. Through FY 2023Q1,therm sales were slightly lower than budget by about 5%, but sales revenues were almost 35% higher than budget. Because the gas commodity charge is a pass-through of market costs, increased revenue offsets the increased cost. - FY 2023 Budg_et Actual Variance Variance%l --- 4M Ju l 1 ,312,955 1 ,262,859 -50,096 -3 .8 % Aug 1 ,273,056 1 ,250,771 -22,285 -1.8% 3M Sep 1 ,372,999 1,239,006 -133,993 -9.8% Oct 1,577,927 "' E 2M Nov 2,140,219 <l> L Dec 3 ,153,598 f- Jan 3,830,945 lM Feb 3 ,575,685 Mar 2,770,018 OM Apr 2,660,158 Ju l Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun May 1,670,754 ■ Gas , Actu al Gas , Bud get Ju n 1,162,461 FY 2023 Budget Actual Variance Variance% 6M Ju l 2,158,795 2 ,880,043 721,248 33.4% Aug 2,142,170 2,787,192 645,022 30 .1% Sep 2,136,412 2,993,352 856,940 40 .1% l/l 4M Oct 2,420,904 t Nov 3,371,1 29 ~ 0 Dec 5 ,123,807 0 2M Jan 6 ,241,688 Feb 5 ,195,946 Mar 4,753,158 OM Apr 4 ,296,964 Ju l Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun May 2 ,984,368 ■ Gas , Actu a l Gas , Bud get Ju n 2,644,552 17Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 3 Water Utility The Water Utility serves water to virtually all Palo Alto residential and non-residential customers.All potable water in the City is from the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC) Hetch Hetchy Water System. This system delivers high quality water from the Sierra Nevada and uses no pumping to deliver water to Palo Alto. Palo Alto uses a small amount of recycled water for irrigation of the Municipal Golf Course and a few other sites near the Regional Water Quality Control Plant. The City also maintains a system of reservoirs and wells that enable Palo Alto to serve water during an interruption of the Hetch Hetchy system. Costs for the Water Utility are split approximately half for the operation, maintenance and periodic replacement of Palo Alto’s water system and half for the costs of the water purchased. 3.1 Water Supply and Transmission On November 10, 2022, Governor Newsom’s senior Water-Policy Officials, the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC), and the Modesto and Turlock Irrigation Districts reached agreement on a Memorandum of Understanding to provide greater water flows and increased habitat for the Tuolumne River. The Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency (BAWSCA) anticipates that this MOU will become a part of a larger voluntary agreement for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. The agreement includes investments of $64M for habitat restoration. The next step is for the MOU signatories and others to work out the implementation details of a Bay- Delta wide voluntary agreement for evaluation by the State Water Resources Control Board as an alternative to the adopted Bay-Delta Plan. In August 2018, Palo Alto’s City Council voted to support the State Water Resources Control Board’s Bay-Delta Plan to have 40 percent of natural water in the Central Valley to enter the Delta from February to June and associated Southern Delta salinity objectives; and send a letter expressing this policy position to BAWSCA, California State Water Resources Control Board, San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC), and other stakeholders. Storage in the San Francisco Regional Water System is below normal while in better shape than many reservoirs across California. As of October 31, 2022, the Regional Water System total storage operated by the San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (SFPUC) was 64.8% full (normal system storage for this time of year is 79.7%). As of October 31, 2022, Water Bank was 45% full while normal for this time of year would be nearly full.In the figure below, the solid black line shows storage in the Regional Water System for the past 12 months (color bands show contributions to total system storage)and the dashed black line shows total system storage for the previous 12 months. Regional Water System Storage remained fairly steady through September 2022, but did not pick up in October of 2022 as it did during October 2021 when there was significant precipitation. - 18Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 16: Regional Water System Storage On August 20, 2021 the SFPUC received curtailment orders for Tuolumne River diversions. The curtailments eliminate access to the Water Bank which, as shown in the figure above, provides much of the system storage. From October 2021 through May 2022, the State Board suspended the curtailments and reinstated them on June 8, 2022. The SFPUC declared a local water shortage emergency by Resolution No. 21-0177 on November 23, 2021,calling for voluntary systemwide 10% water use reductions from FY 2019-2020 levels and increased the systemwide water use reduction to a voluntary systemwide 11%from FY 2019-2020 levels on May 24, 2022 via adoption of Resolution No. 22-0098.SFPUC’s increased the systemwide water use reduction in compliance with the State Water Resource Control Board’s May 24, 2022 emergency regulation requiring urban water suppliers to implement the demand reduction actions associated with water shortage level of 10% to 20% by June 10, 2022. Each Wholesale Customer has its own requested cutback level;Palo Alto’s voluntary water purchase cutback level is 8%.For January –November 2022,Palo Alto’s cumulative monthly water budgets were 4,101,982 CCF while actual total purchases were approximately 4,338,211 CCF or 6% above the budget.This is in part because of the exceptionally dry conditions in January through March 2022. However, for the billing months July 2022 through October 2022, compared with the same period from July 2019 to November 2022, the Palo Alto community reduced water usage by 10%. On May 24, 2022, SFPUC adopted Resolution No. 22-0098 adopting a systemwide voluntary water use reduction of 11% compared to baseline water use during FY 2019-2020. Palo Alto’s voluntary water purchase cutback level remains at approximately 8%.SFPUC’s cutbacks are currently voluntary, however they could become mandatory in early 2023 if dry conditions continue.Under mandatory water cutbacks, SFPUC may impose excess use charges for water purchases above Palo Alto’s water budget. 1400 1200 u::-1000 <t C, Cl) 800 0) Ill ... 0 -Cl) 600 400 200 -Total St orage Dec 1 2021 to Nov 1 2022 - -Total Storage Dec 1 2020 to Nov 1 2021 Local Reservoirs Cherry Reservoir+ Lake Eleanor Hetch Hetchy Reservoir Water Bank Jan Feb Mar Apr May - Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 19Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 During drought that require up to 20% cutbacks, water is allocated between San Francisco and the Wholesale Customers collectively based upon the Water Shortage Allocation Plan (or Tier One Plan) that is outlined in Palo Alto’s water supply contract with San Francisco. The collective Wholesale Customer share from the Tier One Plan is then allocated among Wholesale Customers based upon a formula in a negotiated and adopted “Tier Two Plan.” Palo Alto’s current water budget is based upon the results of the current Tier One and Tier Two Plans. In 2022, staff have been participating in a negotiation with the other Wholesale Customers to update the Tier Two Plan. Staff expects to finalize the updated Tier Two Plan in 2023. The figure below shows water usage for the South Bay/East Bay (including Palo Alto)compared to several benchmarks including 2019. For the South Bay/East Bay region as well as systemwide, summertime peak demand so far has been shaved off below demand levels for each of the past three years. Figure 17: SFPUC Water Deliveries Valley Water, the groundwater manager in Santa Clara County, declared a water shortage emergency and adopted a 15% mandatory water use reduction for water retailers its agency serves. Valley Water called for the County, water retailers and cities to restrict ornamental landscape and lawn irrigation with potable water within their service or jurisdictional areas to no more than two days per week. Although Palo Alto purchases all of its potable water from SFPUC, and does not purchase any water from Valley Water, Palo Alto partners with Valley Water on wide variety of water conservation programs. On June 20, 2022, the Palo Alto City Council restricted potable irrigation of ornamental landscapes and lawns to 2 days per week, except to ensure the health of trees and other perennial non-turf plantings.The State Water Resources Control Board also prohibited the use of potable water for the irrigation of “non-functional turf” at commercial, industrial, and institutional sites other than to the extent necessary to ensure the health of trees and other perennial non-turf plantings. 1S.O --...-..Avg. o1 CY 2017-2021 Qe[\'e{[e& 2019.Mi!tefOe!.l'rer\es •--♦2020 Met.er Deilve!le.s 13'] >-+-:2Q21 MeterOe.llfefle& ... :2022 Met.er Oe!IVE!lle& 12'] 110 .- ,1 \ 100 . . . "' -¥ ~)'ll . I • .,, .,,.i\., ··-• _l,a" If " ~ 70 -:. j !..--. ,. .-· ----~ . )I..,. - "' .. ,,.. ' "' I I I I I I I I I I I I I SFPUC Regional Water System -Me~er Deliveiie.s South B.ayfEast Bay Customers Source: SFPUC Regional Water Syst em County Me.'i.ers . • -_,., '" ,,..-1 I 1:a.L41 L.e' r -1, . .. ,......, --1 !"' 4 '" """" ... I ,... ,.. "\I -ll - l<1 ~ '"''-' . I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - I/ ~- -. I A -.. .1 Lo.. ..... - I I I I I I I .. /.~ Sa n F ranc isco ~ W a t er ··--·-·"Sewer ,......, ~ ...!-,., r.---- \I 1•-· ·:;' I~ :'~ \I ;... .... '· -,--., i . -.,._ .. -. i j ,1 ' -.... • ~ 'w ~ - -,.- 'Q. - I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 20Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 The Palo Alto City Council also implemented the water use restrictions in Stage II of the Water Shortage Contingency Plan which are 1) restaurants and other food service operations shall serve water to customers only upon request and 2) operators of hotels and motels shall provide guests with the option of choosing not to have towels and linens laundered daily. Palo Alto is working with Valley Water on messaging to customers in the county to avoid confusion as much as possible. As such, the wise use of water rather than specific targets will continue to be emphasized.Palo Alto staff is continuing to focus on education and outreach and providing resources to eliminate water waste and achieve efficient water use and completed the process of hiring a Water Waste Coordinator in October. The Water Waste Coordinator is logging and following-up on water waste reports.Palo Alto is kicking off the WaterSmart Customer Portal and Residential Home Water Report Program and also re-engaging with Waterfluence software to target water efficiency for large landscape customers. We continue to promote rebate programs and resources through online outreach, bill inserts, and newsletters. Palo Alto launched the One Water Plan with the goal of Council adoption of a One Water supply plan that is a 20-year adaptable roadmap for implementation of water supply and conservation portfolio alternatives.In June the City Council approved a contract for this work with Carollo Engineers, Inc.In September, staff conducted stakeholder engagement meetings with community members and City staff focusing on One Water community needs and priorities.Additional stakeholder engagement meetings are planned with City staff, community members, and regional partners in early December to discuss water supply and conservation options and review draft evaluation criteria for the One Water Plan.The UAC and Stormwater Committee will receive an update in February or March of 2023. 3.2 Capital Improvement Plan Status The following capital projects are currently in progress: WS-14001 -WMR 28 (Water Main Replacement 28): The project is to replace approximately 18,763 linear feet of water main and 256 water services in the Crescent Park, Barron Park, and Charleston Meadows neighborhoods. Construction of this project started during April 2022 and the anticipated completion date is in November 2023. WS-07000 –California Avenue and Page Mill Road Turnouts: This project includes work to upgrade California Avenue Turnout and to restrain the pressure reducing valve at Page Mill Road Turnout. The construction is anticipated to start in March 2023 and be completed by June 2023 (before water demand increases during the summer). 3.3 Rate and Bill Comparisons The figure below shows the water bills for single-family residential customers compared to what they would be under surrounding communities’ rate schedules as of October 2022. CPAU is among the highest monthly bills of the group. Palo Alto’s water bills at 9 CCF per month are 17% higher than the comparison group average. - • • 21Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 18: Residential Water Bill Comparison ($/month) As of October 2022 Usage CCF/month Palo Alto Menlo Park Redwood City Mountain View Santa Clara Hayward 4 $50.74 62.83 $54.04 $43.47 $29.32 $41.03 (Winter median) 7 76.54 87.32 76.09 67.29 51.31 63.23 (Annual median) 9 98.46 103.65 90.79 83.17 65.97 78.03 (Summer median) 14 153.26 148.02 138.94 122.87 102.62 123.48 25 273.82 257.41 267.39 257.81 183.25 223.47 3.4 Reliability The City of Palo Alto tracks all water service interruptions. A summary chart of these interruptions can be found below. Water service interruptions are usually due to repairs of broken or damaged water services and mains. Figure 19: Water Service Interruptions, FY 2023 Water Q1 Number of Breaks 10 Combined Minutes 1007 Customers Affected 46 3.5 Financial Health Below is a summary of the financial position for the water utility. 3.5.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals Actual water sales volumes through Q1 of FY 2023 were about 10% lower than forecasted in the FY 2023 financial plan. Actual water sales revenues were about 13% lower than forecasted during the same period. Despite the dry weather conditions, some water conservation was achieved by the Palo Alto community during Q1 of FY 2023. Staff will continue to promote drought-related and water savings communication through the rest of the FY 2023. - 22Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 20: Water Sales Volume (CCF), up to FY 2023-Q1 Figure 21: Water Sales Revenue ($), up to FY 2023-Q1 3.5.2 Financial Position The Water Operations Reserve was filled to the maximum guideline level at the end of FY 2022 as higher bid costs and delays in project schedules resulted in deferred main replacement projects over the past few years. There are additional funds in the Operations Reserve above the maximum guideline level that will continue to be used to cover water utility operational and capital costs in FY 2023. At year end FY 2022 there was approximately $12.2 million in Water CIP Reappropriations and Commitments reserves. The FY 2023 Water Utility CIP includes a main replacement (WMR 28) as well as one-time seismic reservoir upgrades (one upgrade is complete and a second and third are planned in FY 2023 and FY 2026). At year end FY 2022, there was also $10.7 million in the CIP Reserve and $9.07 million in the Rate Stabilization Reserve. Staff’s preliminary projection of expected revenues and expenses together with transfers from the CIP Reserve, estimates the Operations Reserve will reach approximately target levels by the end of FY 2023. Staff will continue to monitor drought conditions and respond to calls for voluntary or mandatory conservation. Staff will evaluate and propose reserve transfers between the Rate Stabilization Reserve, CIP Reserve, and Operations Reserve in the annual Financial Plans. - FY 2023 Budget Actual Variance Variance% Jul SOOK 525,621 449,495 -76,126 -14 .5 % Au g 490,256 449,699 -40,557 -8.3% Sep 479,291 454,552 -24,739 -5.2% Oct 454,425 lL Nov 354,487 u u Dec 275,706 Jan 237,777 Feb 232,409 Ma r 288,269 Apr 268,185 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Ma y 382,762 ■ W ater, Ac · ua l ■ W ater, Budget Jun 424,508 FY 2023 Budget Actual Variance Variance% Jul 5 ,702,307 4,505,935 -1,196,372 -2 1 .0% Au g 5 ,318,642 4,707,270 -611,372 -11.5% Sep 5 ,199,686 4,867,131 -332,555 -6 .4% 4M Oct 4 ,929,922 (/) ~ Nov 3 ,845,724 n, 0 Dec 2 ,991,053 D 2M Jan 2,579,572 Feb 2 ,521,336 Mar 3,127,345 OM Apr 2,909,460 Ju l Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun May 4,152,472 ■ Wat er, Act ua l ■ Water, Budget Jun 4,605,362 23Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 4 Wastewater Utility The Wastewater Utility includes the system of sewer pipes that collect and transport wastewater to the Regional Water Quality Control Plant (RWQCP) operated by the City of Palo Alto under a partnership agreement with several surrounding communities, as well as Palo Alto’s share of the cost of operating the RWQCP. The RWQCP provides treatment and disposal of wastewater for Palo Alto. Costs for the Wastewater Utility are split approximately half for the operation, maintenance and periodic replacement of Palo Alto’s sewer collection system and half for the costs of wastewater treatment at the RWQCP. 4.1 Wastewater Treatment Updates and Capital Planning Status The Regional Water Quality Control Plant is operated by Palo Alto’s Public Works Department and provides wastewater treatment to Palo Alto, Mountain View, Stanford, Los Altos, East Palo Alto and Los Altos Hills. The Palo Alto Wastewater Collection Utility pays its share (approximately 32% projected in FY 2024) of the costs for wastewater treatment and disposal. Capital costs for wastewater treatment are a major driver for cost increases for the Wastewater Treatment Utility and by extension for the Wastewater Collection Utility. These costs are projected to increase at approximately 15% per year on average from FY 2023 through FY 2032. The RWQCP is facing the need for major upgrades in coming years, due to aging equipment and changing environmental regulations. Rehabilitation and replacement of plant equipment that has been in use for over 40 years is necessary to ensure the city can continue to provide wastewater treatment operations safely and in compliance with regulatory requirements for the discharge of treated wastewater 24 hours a day. 4.1.1 Treatment Cost Trends RWQCP staff project treatment costs paid for by Palo Alto’s Wastewater utility to increase by approximately 5.8% annually on average from FY 2023 through FY 2032. A key driver of the increases are capital projects, parts, materials and debt. The treatment capital expenses,including debt service costs,are increasing at an average of about 15% per year from FY 2023 through FY 2032 to keep up with ongoing replacement of aging equipment. Larger increases to capital expenses are expected to begin in FY 2024 in the form of new debt service for major projects to implement the Plant’s capital program. The figure below shows Palo Alto’s share of each component of estimated treatment costs. Major upcoming capital projects and estimated years for debt service to begin are reflected in the “Planned Debt Service” bar in the figure below and include: Joint Interceptor Sewer Rehabilitation (FY 2024) 1900 Embarcadero Road Purchase; Primary Sedimentation Tank Rehabilitation (FY 2025) Outfall Line Construction, Operation Center and Laboratory (FY 2027) Secondary Treatment Upgrades, Headworks Facility (FY 2029) • • • • - 24Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 22: Palo Alto’s Share of Estimated Wastewater Treatment Expenses (Projection and Planned CIP) The figure shows the ongoing annual CIP reinvestment (“Recurring/Minor CIP” and “Existing Debt Service”) as well as treatment operations costs, which make up the majority of the treatment costs but are not growing as quickly as the planned debt service. Factors that are contributing to cost increases for treatment operations are rising salary and benefits costs, allocated charges for centralized city services needed to support wastewater treatment fund operations, increased water and air permitting fees from the Regional Water Quality Control Board and Bay Area Air Quality Management District, commodity rates to operate the facility, and chemical expenses. 4.1.2 Regional Water Quality Control Plant Capital Planning Status The Long-Range Facilities Plan, completed in 2012, guides the capital plans for the RWQCP. The RWQCP’s current capital work in-progress includes an estimated $359 million in projects. The following table summarizes these ongoing projects and provides their status and costs. $20,000,000 $18,000,000 $16,000,000 $14,000,000 $12,000,000 $10,000,000 $8,000,000 $6,000,000 $4,000,000 $2,000,000 $- FY 2024 FY 2025 Palo Alto Estimated Expenses FY 2024-2033 Projection + Planned CIP FY 2026 FY2027 FY 2028 FY 2029 FY 2030 -Treatment Operations -Recurring/Minor CIP One Time CIP for Joint Intercepting Sewer -Existing Debt Service FY 2031 Planned Debt Service _._ Treatment Operations & Planned CIPs - FY 2032 FY 2033 25Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 23: Current RWQCP Capital Work In-Progress (information from RWQCP June 2022 Partners Meeting) Project Status Expense (million $) Primary Sedimentation Tanks Rehabilitation and Equipment Room Electrical Upgrade Construction $19.4 New Outfall Pipeline 90% Redesign $17.4 Secondary Treatment Upgrades Awarding Construction $193 Advanced Water Purification System 90% Design $56 Technical Services Building/Lab Building, Ops Building Remodel Advanced Planning $41.4 Buy 1900 Embarcadero Road Planning $6.0 Headworks Facility Replacement Budgeted $48.6 Joint Interceptor Sewer Rehabilitation Design $5.6 Projects in Progress Various $10.6 Subtotal $398 The largest projects listed above include the Headworks Facility Replacement which involves replacement or rehabilitation of the parts of the facility that pump raw sewage to the main treatment works (the headworks), and rehabilitation of primary sedimentation tanks that separate out primary sludge. Additionally, the RWQCP anticipates regulations to limit nutrient discharges (on total nitrogen) into the San Francisco Bay. The current secondary treatment design cannot remove nitrogen and the Secondary Treatment Upgrades will address this regulatory change as well as address aging mechanical and electrical equipment that must be replaced. The RWQCP plans to fund these capital projects through a combination of mechanisms including State Revolving Fund loans, and revenue bonds. In addition,Valley Water will be providing $16 million of funding for the Advanced Water Purification System.Additionally, Palo Alto was awarded a $12.8 million grant from the Bureau of Reclamation’s WaterSMART: Title XVI WIIN Act Water Reclamation and Reuse Project funding for the Advanced Water Purification System. 4.2 Collection System Capital Improvement Plan Status The following capital projects are currently in progress: WC-17001 -SSR 30 (Sanitary Sewer Replacement 30): This project is to replace approximately 10,120 linear feet of wastewater main and 156 sewer laterals in the Ventura, Research Park, Fairmeadow, and Midtown West neighborhoods. The construction started on 3/28/22 and the project is scheduled to be completed in January 2023. WC-19001 -SSR 31 (Sanitary Sewer Replacement 31): This project is to replace approximately 10,000 linear feet of wastewater main, sewer laterals, and manholes on El Camino Real. The construction is anticipated to start in June or July of 2023. A significant portion of the work will be performed during nighttime due to Caltrans’ restriction to close 2 traffic lanes only between 11 PM and 6 AM. 4.3 Rate and Bill Comparisons The figure below shows the wastewater monthly bill for residential customers in Palo Alto compared to what they would be under surrounding communities’ rate schedules as of November2022. Palo Alto’s monthly sewer bill is lower than four of the six neighboring communities.Menlo Park in this table refers to the West Bay Sanitary District. Staff will report on future rate increases once they are adopted by the wastewater utilities. - • • 26Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 24: Residential Wastewater Bill Comparison ($/month) As of November,2022 Palo Alto Menlo Park Redwood City Mountain View Los Altos Santa Clara Hayward $44.62 $106.67 $89.28 $50.10 $42.05 $46.82 $38.58 4.4 Financial Health Below is a summary of the financial position for the wastewater utility. 4.4.1 Sales Forecasts vs. Actuals Actual wastewater sales revenues through Q1 of FY 2023 were around expectation, at about 0.4% higher than forecasted in the FY 2023 Financial Plan. Figure 25: Wastewater Sales Revenue ($), up to FY 2023-Q1 4.4.2 Financial Position The Wastewater Collection Operations Reserve was within the guideline range at year end FY 2022; the CIP Reserve had a balance of approximately $3.2 million at year end FY 2022 and staff will seek Council approval in the FY 2024 Wastewater Collection Financial Plan to access funds in the CIP Reserve if they are needed for CIP projects. The Wastewater Collection Utility CIP Reappropriation and Commitment Reserves totaled $4.6 million at the end of FY 2022. In addition to these funds, the adopted FY 2023 budget included approximately $3.5 million in the CIP program primarily for the Sanitary Sewer Replacement Project 31. - FY2023 Budget Actua l Variance Variance 'lo j ~ Ju l 1,739,132 1,685,896 -53,236 -3 .1% Aug 1,733,213 1,786,224 53,011 3 .1% 1500K Sep 1,743,637 1,763,529 19,892 1 .1% e Oct 1 ,734,767 :.'.' 1000K Nov 1,728,399 .!? 0 Dec 1,771,013 0 Jan 1,770,711 SOOK Feb 1,669,155 M ar 1,810,061 Apr 1,696,732 Ju l Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun M ay 1,665,374 ■ W astew a er, Act u a l ■ W astew at er, Bu d get Jun 1,684,910 27Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 5 Fiber Utility The City offers a "Dark" fiber service providing a fiber connection from Palo Alto businesses to the downtown Internet Exchange. At the exchange businesses select an internet service provider (ISP) for bandwidth and connection speed. 5.1 Fiber Utility Strategic Planning On November 2, 2022, the UAC unanimously (6-0, Bowie absent) recommended Option 2 –build fiber backbone and FTTP under a phased approach with existing funds ($34 million from Fiber and $13 million from Electric) (Report #14845, Packet Pg. 106). UAC expressed the goal of FTTP is to provide ubiquitous or citywide high-speed internet access to all residents and businesses in Palo Alto. Option 2 can become a springboard to Option 1 which is a citywide FTTP deployment within five years if phase 1 of Palo Alto Fiber is deemed to be successful and financially self-sustaining. Other topics raised during the meeting was partnering with an ISP service since the City does not have experience in this area which is under consideration with the outsourcing model. Multi-dwelling unit (MDU) is a different market segment than residential or commercial customers because most property owners have an exclusive multi-year term contractual agreement with an ISP. The City will develop a MDU marketing campaign to gauge MDU interest in negotiating access agreement. On December 22, 2022 the Council approved construction of the fiber backbone and Fiber-to-the-Premises (FTTP) under a phased approach without debt financing (Staff Report #14800, Packet Pg. 268). Utilities will allocate approximately $34M from the Fiber Fund and $13M from the Electric Fund to build the fiber backbone and build phase one of the FTTP distribution network under a phased approach. Under this approach the City can build a dedicated fiber backbone for the Electric utility to enhance reliability, security, redundancy, and future electric- related initiatives such as automated SCADA sensors. The City will also be able to provide internet access to approximately 20% -30% of homes and residents who prefer to switch to City-owned ISP. Council can decide whether to accelerate or decelerate the FTTP expansion plan in one or two years based on the results of Phase 1. In addition, the City will evaluate the feasibility of integrating FTTP expansion into future capital improvement projects such as electric grid modernization, electrification and undergrounding. Staff will return back to Council in Feb/Mar 2023 to seek approval of a contract amendment with Magellan to provide some ancillary services to the phase 1 buildout and request for new regular FTEs to support the new fiber utility business. - 28Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 5.2 Capital Improvement Plan Status Given Council’s approval of the fiber backbone and FTTP, CPAU will update the Fiber Network Rebuild CIP for the fiber backbone and create a new FTTP project under the fiber utility in the FY 2024 Fiber CIP Budget. CPAU will work with Magellan on the final design of the two networks and issue a construction invitation for bid (IFB) in 2023. 5.3 Reliability There were no unplanned fiber outages or events to report in Q1 of FY 2023. 5.4 Financial Health Below is a summary of the financial position for the fiber utility. 5.4.1 Fiber Sales Actual fiber revenues for Q1 FY 2023 were $0.8 million, which is $0.1 million or 15% below FY 2023 revenue forecast of $3.6 million.Based on the number of new dark fiber applications, staff projects annual fiber revenues will return to pre-pandemic level of $4.5 million by end of FY 2024. To expand the dark fiber business, CPAU has a hired a full-time Fiber Market Analyst to promote dark fiber and reduce fulfillment time for new applications. In addition, CPAU is recruiting for a dedicated Fiber Engineer to support the fiber expansion project. Actual fiber expenses for Q1 FY 2023 were $0.7 million which is comprised of salaries and benefits ($0.3 million), contract expenses ($0.1 million), administration overhead ($0.2 million), and transfers to other utilities ($0.1 million). 5.4.2 Financial Position The projected ending FY 2022 Fiber Optic Utility Rate Stabilization Reserve is $34.0 million. - 29Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 6 Customer Programs (Efficiency and Sustainability) The City’s Utilities Department maintains a number of programs to help customers save money, use energy and water efficiently, and reduce carbon emissions. These programs are funded through a variety of funding sources, some of which are summarized below. 6.1 Customer Programs Updates Below is a summary of the City’s energy and water efficiency programs, as well as programs to encourage building electrification and adoption of electric vehicles. 6.1.1 Energy and Water Efficiency Energy & Water Efficiency Workshops The City in partnership with the Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency (BAWSCA) held three landscape efficiency workshops in fall 2022. The workshops covered topics on harvesting rainwater, steps to take to design and convert lawns into drought-tolerant landscapes, and available rebates. Attendance was strong, with more than 91 residents total participating in the workshops. Schedule of CPAU Workshops September -November 2022 Event #Date Event 1 9/24/2022 Rain Barrel Workshop 2 10/18/2022 Landscape Design 101 3 11/1/2022 Lawn Conversion 101 Please visit the BAWSCA website for a complete list of available classes and events at: https://bawsca.org/conserve/programs/classes.All past Landscape Class Videos are available online at: https://bawsca.org/conserve/landscaping/videos/. For updates on future events and workshops, please visit http://cityofpaloalto.org/workshops With collaboration from the City Manager's Office, Planning and Development Services and the Utilities Department, a Making Better Choices in Your Home Workshop was held on Saturday, October 15 from 10 a.m. – 1 p.m. at Mitchell Park Community Center.Over 200 attendees learned about different climate-friendly choices they can make in their home, including displays of heat pump water heaters, and experts answering questions about induction cooktops, electric vehicles, e-bikes, water saving and the advantages of going all electric. - 30Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Residential Energy and Water Programs The Home Efficiency Genie program continues to provide residents with professional advice and information to improve their home’s efficiency and comfort, lower their energy and water usage and get guidance on home electrification options. Even with the Genie returning to in-home comprehensive and diagnostic assessments in the fall of 2021, the virtual option developed during COVID continues to be a service that residents are interested in. The Home Electrification Readiness Assessment (HERA) was also amended to include a virtual version during COVID. Both the in-home and virtual versions continue to help residents assess home electrification upgrades that their home can accommodate and provide actionable next steps. Between July and October of 2022, the Genie performed 20 comprehensive in-home assessments, 19 HERAs and 3 virtual assessments. CPAU’s Residential Energy Assistance Program (REAP) for income-qualified customers continues to reach our most vulnerable population offering energy and water efficiency improvements at no cost to the customer. Residents who are newly qualified for CPAU’s Rate Assistance Program (RAP) are notified each month of their eligibility for these free upgrades installed by CPAU’s vendor,Synergy. Between July and October of 2022, 5 new REAP customers have taken advantage of the free efficiency upgrades, with projects including building envelope improvements, furnace replacements with high efficiency models,and lighting upgrades to LEDs. For our multifamily (MF) property owners, CPAU continues to offer the Multi Family Plus (MF+) program which offers free energy efficiency upgrades installed by our vendor,Synergy. These upgrades include lighting upgrades to LEDs and whole building envelope upgrades. Water Conservation Program CPAU partners with Valley Water to offer a robust portfolio of water conservation programs and rebates for residents and businesses.On July 1, 2022, the City entered into a new cost-sharing agreement with Valley Water which increases rebate amounts for converting turf into drought-tolerant landscapes and includes a new Lawn to Mulch rebate program for commercial customers. As drought conditions continue, CPAU is focusing outreach on reducing outdoor water use and continues to encourage participation in rebates and resources. On October 6, 2022,the City launched WaterSmart, an online water management tool to help residents and businesses better understand their water usage and enable them to conserve water and save money. The WaterSmart Portal is open to all City of Palo Alto Utilities customers and provides access to water use charts, personalized recommendations for water efficiency, information on available rebates, and more. The WaterSmart system integrates with MyCPAU, the Utilities online account management tool, for a streamlined sign-on experience. Bay Area SunShares Program For the seventh year in a row, the City of Palo Alto is an outreach partner for Bay Area SunShares, a solar and battery storage group-buy program administered by Building Council for Climate Change (BC3). More than 35 Bay Area communities and companies are participating as outreach partners. Palo Alto’s participation as an outreach partner helps CPAU customers receive information and discounted prices from vetted contractors. Three solar installers (Solar Technologies, SkyTech Solar, and Infinity Energy) have been vetted and selected through an RFP process.CPAU hosted a free educational workshop in partnership with BC3 on October 12, 2022 with 83 attendees.Palo Alto had the highest number of SunShares sign ups with 161 registered residents by the November 15, 2022 registration deadline. Contracts for installations must be signed by December 15, 2022. - 31Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Business Advantage Program As of November 22, 2022, the Business Advantage Program (BAP) has installed 75 customers with an additional 21 customer waiting on installs for the GridPoint Energy Management program (GEM). Of the 75 customers, only two have decided to withdraw and return equipment. One customer preferred their old thermostat (NEST) and the other was frustrated using the system and had multiple overrides and could not control employees compared to old thermostat behavior. The two returned units will be redeployed. The majority of program sign ups continue to come from direct customer sales through face-to-face engagement. GridPoint currently has had personal changes and also had an issue with its installer. They replaced the old installer with a new company however, the program has had continued to have install issues. The new installer was also let go because of poor customer service and substandard installation work. GridPoint reacquired the old installer but rates for service were much higher. GridPoint and Palo Alto continue to offer free 30-minute customer training sessions on a monthly basis. The primary point is to educate current users on how to properly program and operate the GEM system. Lastly, a second contract amendment was completed, and Wildan Energy Services is the official contract holder. Commercial & Industrial Energy Efficiency Program As of October 31,2022,Enovity has completed 3 projects with 259,000 kWh savings. They have three additional projects in the pipeline and anticipate finishing these projects before the end of the fiscal year with an additional 2,000,000 kWh savings in FY 2023. Key Account Managers have been actively reaching out to engage customers with direct email contacts as well as through the Questline Key Account Newsletter. Lighting continues to be the most popular energy conservation measure. Some companies, however, are reluctant to allocate resources to efficiency upgrades until staffing levels at their sites return to pre-pandemic levels. Business Customer Rebates, formerly Commercial Advantage Program The Business Customer Rebate (BCR) program was launched in May this year, with the expansion of business rebates for commercial electrification projects and also increased rebates for electric efficiency savings. This program was rebranded from the Commercial Advantage Program to promote energy efficiency and electrification projects among business customers. Both standard rebates and custom rebates are offered through this program. This program is currently being publicized through business e-newsletters, bill insert, and cross promotion from other CPAU business programs. Business Energy Advisor Since the Business Energy Advisor program launched in June 2022, 21 program participation agreements have been sent to customers, 7 agreements have been signed, and 3 site assessments have been completed. There are 4 additional assessments in the pipeline that are anticipated to be complete by the end of this year. CLEAResult has launched a call center campaign to engage more customers, and both CPAU and CLEAResult have continued in-person outreach to small and medium business in Palo Alto. Additional outreach plans include a direct mailer campaign in early 2023, advertisement in the bi-monthly CPAU newsletter to small and medium businesses, and presentations to business organizations in Palo Alto. 6.1.2 Building Electrification With sustainability continuing to be a Council priority, staff recognizes the need to promote the importance and benefits of building electrification (BE) while removing barriers to voluntary electrification efforts in existing - 32Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 buildings. Current work covers three areas of activities: public outreach, customer program development and implementation, and strategy and policy development. For public outreach, staff continues to participate in meetings with Working Group teams developed through the Council’s Ad Hoc Committee. These working groups hold periodic updates with the public, including one on June 14, 2022. For residential customer programs, staff issued a comprehensive RFP in June 2021 for residential building electrification, energy and water efficiency programs which includes single family and multifamily homes as well as income and medically qualified residents. As part of the community engagement process, an Ad Hoc committee of Council members was formed in April 2021, and staff was asked to pause activities related to contract negotiations for the residential programs RFP until the Council Ad Hoc committee and related working groups had the opportunity to provide input on program design and direction. Staff was also asked to wait to proceed with contract negotiations while concerns raised by the Utility’s Engineering and Operations Division about potential additional electric load resulting from building and transportation electrification were addressed. These community and staff collaborative efforts resulted in the ongoing development of a turnkey heat pump water heater installation program. Other programs planned include building electrification phone advisory and technical assistance services for both single family and multifamily property owners, and self-service online tools to help residents assess the economics of electrifying their homes. Staff has resumed contract negotiations with the selected vendors since June 2022 and plans to bring the contracts to City Council for approval in the fall of 2022. For strategy and policy development, Utilities staff is collaborating with Planning & Development Services to propose building electrification requirements for the upcoming building code cycle (2023-2025). The proposed requirements include the following elements: All-electric design for new construction projects; this applies to low-rise residential buildings, detached ADUs, multifamily buildings, and nonresidential buildings. Addition/alteration projects that meet the “Substantial Remodel” definition will trigger the all-electric requirements. For the purposes of electrification, substantial remodel shall mean the alteration of any structure, including cumulative projects or additions to the existing structure within any three (3) year period, that affects the removal or replacement of 50% of the linear length of the exterior weight- bearing walls of the building, 50% of the wall plate height is raised, and/or 50% of the roof structural framing. Prohibit the extension of gas infrastructure in existing buildings to outdoor amenities such as pools, spas, fireplaces and grills in order to minimize the carbon footprint of these equipment. Require heat pump water heater when the existing water heater is replaced, or new water heater is added as part of a residential addition or alteration project. Collectively these proposed requirements will avoid over 3,420 MT CO2-e per year, about 1% to 1.5% of the remaining emissions reductions needed to achieve the 80x30 goal (about 1.5% to 2% when upstream emissions from fuel use are included).3 Other proposed Green Building requirements cover EV infrastructure, water efficiency, and embodied carbon limits in the use of concrete for new construction projects. Additional details can 3 Using 20-year global warming potentials. - • • • • 33Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 be found in the 2022 Reach Codes webpage. Staff will be bringing the proposed Green Building regulations to City Council for the first reading this coming October. Business Electrification Technical Assistance Program (BE TAP) The BE TAP program officially launched in August 2022, offering no-cost assessments to help nonresidential customers identify electrification opportunities and free technical assistance to support them with their building electrification journey.Since the program launched, our partner, CLEAResult, has completed 2 site assessments, assisting large commercial customers with potential HVAC and heat pump water heater projects. The feasibility study completed for the large HVAC project found an estimated 77,640 kWh and 54,263 therms savings, with a potential incentive of $100,000 for the customer. The next steps for this program include completing additional project feasibility studies and other electrification assessments in the pipeline. We plan to continue outreach efforts through the call campaign, e-newsletters, and in-person communication. 6.1.3 Electric Vehicles Palo Alto continues to facilitate the installation of EV charging infrastructure throughout the City to support mass EV adoption, with equitable access for multifamily and income-qualified residents, as well as workplaces, public parking lots and retail areas. Correspondingly, cross-departmental work is progressing on proposals for fleet electrification and permit streamlining. Financial Overview FY 2022 EV expenses to date is $0.54M, of which $0.465M was for the first installment of the CALeVIP program. No direct customer rebates have been paid to date. Revenues for the year is $1.59M,lower than anticipated a year ago due to declining market prices for LCFS credits.Total LCFS revenues received to date is $10.1 million. Summary of All EV Programs for Multi-family (MF) Properties and Workplaces Mission:The EV team’s mission is to facilitate the installation of EV chargers to support increased EV adoption with a priority on MF properties. To reach 80 by 30 S/CAP goals,it is imperative that there is enough charging infrastructure for residents, commuters and visitors. For residents, the priority is to close the MF EV access gap, as only 13% of EVs in Palo Alto are registered at MF buildings, while MF makes up 42% of households. Goal of EV Programs:Expand EV charging accessibility to 10% of MF households (about 1,100 homes) by 2025. Why:This is an equity issue. Most middle-income and low to moderate-income residents in Palo Alto live in MF housing. EVs provide significant lifetime household savings, and yet those who most need those savings have the hardest time gaining EV charging access due to the challenges associated with installing chargers at MF properties. Private industry is not adequately serving this market, whereas the City is well positioned to support this hard to reach, slower to move, customer segment,making meaningful use of available City funding sources for EV promotion. Target Customer Segment:MF property owners, HOA’s,nonprofits, owners of small medium businesses and buildings,as well large C&I customers. What CPAU can provide: o Trusted, neutral advisory services (rather than vendor sales services) with a direct connection to internal City staff to facilitate problems. o Technical assistance (site evaluation, including electrical capacity, business case development, project design, obtaining bids, preparing permit packages) o Incentives (both for charging equipment and distribution upgrades) • • • • • - 34Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Strategy:Facilitate development of shared Level 2 chargers in multi-family buildings as well as, as many Level 1 chargers as can be installed. Size electrical infrastructure to enable the building owner to add more EV charging ports in the future. Aggregated Results to-Date for All EV Programs Targeting Multi-family (MF) Properties and Workplaces Program Commencement:December 2017 (multi-family rebates), October 2019 (multi-family/nonprofit technical assistance), December 2019 (workplace charging rebates) Leads:Over 130 sites have enrolled in the programs, of which 86 are multi-family properties representing over 3400 units Results:When the active projects are completed, the City will have: o Facilitated access to EV charging for over 1500 multi-family housing units. Without accessible charging facilities these residents are unlikely to consider an EV. o Access to EV charging for employees of several non-profits and workplaces. Marketing Strategy: Of Palo Alto’s 803 multi-family (MF) buildings, focus on the largest 5%(44 sites) which represent 32% of total MF units (about 3800 households).Also,partner with affordable housing providers which represent over 1600 low-income households at 35 sites of which 5 properties have 100 units or more. Outreach consists of direct outreach to property owners via call campaigns, with marketing done by the 3rd party program provider, CLEAResult. Updates by EV Program EV Technical Assistance Program (EVTAP) Goal: Facilitate the installation of 180-360 ports @ 60-90 sites (By 2024) Offer technical assistance for the installation of EV chargers at Non-Profit and MF properties, involving a series of site visits, technical evaluations and engineering reviews, that culminate in the landlord receiving contractor bids and then assistance submitting a building permit, applying for incentives and project management of the installation. Projects expected to take up to 2 years or more to reach completion. As of the end of September 2022: o 0 installations complete o 16 Permit Applications Submitted o 88 sites enrolled and working through the program o Potential for over 300 Level 2 ports and 60 Level 1 ports - • • • • • • 35Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 26: EV Technical Assistance Program (EVTAP), Cumulative Progress Report (November 2019 -September 2022) EV Charger Rebate Program Goal: Incentivize the installation of EV chargers at Non-Profits and Multifamily properties. CPAU currently offers up to $8,000 per port for up to 10 ports. As of the end of November 2022: o FY22 -32 ports installed o Since the launch of this program in 2017, CPAU has facilitated the installations of 94 new EV charging ports/connectors at 14 sites. The breakdown of the installation sites: 6 MF and 8 non-profits (including 3 schools). Avg. cost of each port: $10k and projects have averaged 12 months to complete. California Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Project (CALeVIP) Goal: Facilitate and Incentivize the installation of EV chargers at commercial sites. As of November 2022, a total of $1.9M (out of $2M)has been reserved by 11 site owners through CALeVIP, a commercial EV charging,matching grant program sponsored by the California Energy Commission (CEC).The proposed installations could lead to the installation of 115 Level 2 ports and 14 DC Fast Chargers. o 0 installations completed o 11 sites enrolled and working through the program (1 hotel, 7 office sites, 2 retailers and 1 multi-unit dwelling) o 8 Permit Applications Submitted o 5 Permits Issued o Potential for 179 Level 2 ports and 12 DC Fast Chargers California Clean Fuel Rewards (CCFR) Goal: Incentivize the purchase of new EVs 160 140 120 100 !IO 60 "' 20 • • • 140 88 "' 31 I I 1. TAP lntl!rested 2. Number of 3. Nu-nber of Srt.es/Customers Sites w/Signed Compk!ted Site Program Quaf Visits Participation AgreemenG 4. Nunberof Ccrnpleted Ted"lnicalSite Visits 70 S. N1mberof final reports delivered to customerwith Load GalcUations EVTAP KPl's (Total Sites) 39 I Sa.Ni.mberof Sites with C<ritractorBids " I Sb. Number of siteswillh contractor selected 16 I 6. Nunberof Permit Applications Submitted 7. Ni.mber of a Nunber of 9. Number of Permits Issued Sites w/ New Pons Completed 2021 Installed Installations 48 I 10.Nurrtierd Sites Delayed - -11. Number al Sites Not Proceeding 36Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Since the launch of the CCFR program in November 2020, Palo Alto residents have earned 1,906 rebates valued at $2M.This translates to over 7%% of Palo Alto households purchasing an EV taking advantage of this program.To date, Palo Alto has contributed $1.3M towards this state program. The most popular EV continues to be the Tesla Model Y and Model 3 and the most popular plug-in hybrid continues to be the Toyota Prius Prime. Due to higher-than-expected participation levels statewide and lower than expected Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credits prices, the California Air Resources Board paused the program at the end of August 2022. November 2020 –November 2022: o 1,906 Rebates paid to Palo Alto residents for EV Purchases EV Awareness and Outreach Goal: Raise awareness, answer questions and encourage residents to consider transitioning to electrified modes of transportation, including electric cars, e-Bikes and other modes of clean transportation.CPAU is offering a wide array of EV classes and events, partnering with multiple vendors and organizations. Through the end of November 2022,CPAU has been involved in 18 EV education and outreach events and expects to offer over 2 dozen workshops and events during calendar year 2022. There is a high level on interest and many of the online webinars regularly attract over 100 highly engaged participants. CPAU is in the process of putting together a full schedule of events and workshop for CY2023. January –November 2022: o 32 EV education and outreach events completed Figure 27: Schedule of CPAU Workshops and Events, July -September 2022 Event #Date Event 1 7/19/2022 EV 102 Workshop 2 8/8/2022 EV 101 Workshop 3 8/17/2022 EV 101 Workshop 4 9/1/2022 EV 101 Workshop 5 9/11/2022 Neighborhood EV Expo @ Palo Alto Adult School 6 9/18/2022 Neighborhood EV Expo @ Universal Unitarian Church 7 9/21/2022 Bilingual Financial Incentives Workshop 8 9/24/2022 Neighborhood EV Expo @ Green House Tour Visit http://www.cityofpaloalto.org/workshops for information on upcoming classes. City-Owned EV Chargers Goal: Install EV Charging Infrastructure for the public as well as City-fleet. As of the End of November 2022: o 124 -City-Owned Ports o 120 - Publicly accessible EV Charging ports o Newest chargers: 6 ports at renovated Junior Museum on 1451 Middlefield Rd. - • • 37Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Transformer Upgrade Rebate Program Goal: Provide discounts to defray the cost of utility distribution system upgrades triggered by EV applications, costs that would otherwise be borne by the customers. With this program we are offering up to $100K for MF & non-profits and up to $10K for Single Family Homes As the End of November 2022: Through EVTAP we are learning that many older properties in Palo Alto, especially multifamily buildings, have limited electric capacity to accommodate EV chargers and building electrification. The EV team is working closely with Engineering and is conducting a pre-screening of transformer loading for all commercial EV projects enrolled in EVTAP. 6.2 Funding Sources for Emissions Reductions Energy efficiency and water efficiency programs have traditionally been funded by electric, gas, and water rate revenues. To fund emissions reduction programs, the City has developed multiple alternative funding sources 6.2.1 Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) Program LCFS base credits are allocated by the California Air Resources Board (CARB)to CPAU, based on the number EVs registered in Palo Alto, the estimated miles travelled and the difference in carbon intensity of transportation fuels and electricity. Credits are also allocated based on CNG dispensed and electricity dispensed at city owned EV chargers. The sales proceeds of these credits are the source of funds for CPAU’s customer programs related to EVs.In CY2022, Palo Alto received ~15,000 credits and is expected to result in a revenue of about $0.9M. LCFS credit prices have declined substantially in in 2022 compared to 2021, down from ~$130/credit to $60/credit. 6.2.2 Cap and Trade Program, Revenue from Allocated Allowances The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, also known as Assembly Bill (AB) 32, authorized CARB to develop regulations to lower the state’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 1990 levels by 2020. CARB developed a cap- and-trade program as one of the strategies to achieve the 2020 goal. Under the cap-and-trade program, an overall limit on GHG emissions from capped sectors is established and facilities subject to the cap are able to trade permits (allowances) to emit GHGs. Senate Bill 32 (2016) expanded upon AB 32 by requiring a 40% reduction in GHG emissions below the 1990 levels by 2030. In 2012, CARB’s cap-and-trade program commenced and certain covered entities, such as electricity generators and other stationary sources of GHGs, had a compliance obligation under the new program. The City of Palo Alto Utilities’ (CPAU’s) electric utility does not own or operate fossil fuel-based electricity generation covered by the cap-and-trade regulations. CPAU also received free allowances from CARB to mitigate the costs of reducing its GHG emissions. Since CPAU’s electric utility is carbon neutral and typically has no need to use the allowances for compliance, it must sell them into the cap-and-trade auction. Allowance revenues, estimated to be around $3 million in 2022 and onward, can be used for several approved purposes, including: a) purchases or investment in renewable resources (outside Palo Alto or locally) for the electric portfolio; b) investment in energy efficiency programs for the electric portfolio and retail customers; c) investment in other carbon reduction activities, including those required to achieve a carbon-neutral electric portfolio; and d) rebates to electric retail ratepayers. - • 38Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 As of 2021 reporting, about $1.9 million have been utilized to purchase renewable resources in 2021, while some amounts have been earmarked for future electrification programs (about $1.2 million). Staff is investigating using more of these funds for investments in emissions reduction programs. 6.2.3 Electric Public Benefit Funds Locally owned municipal utilities like CPAU must collect Public Benefit funds from their electric utility customers as required by section 385 of the Public Utilities Code, to be used on cost-effective energy efficiency and conservation, low-income programs, investments in renewable energy resources and technologies, and research and development.CPAU currently has an Electric Public Benefit surcharge of 2.85% of the electric utility bill for all customers. A portion of this fund can be used for building electrification pilot programs and projects. 6.3 Innovation and Pilot Programs CPAU’s Program for Emerging Technologies, or PET, (www.cityofpaloalto.org/UTLInnovation) provides the opportunity for local businesses and organizations to submit proposals for innovative and impactful products to CPAU for review as a prospective partner. The goal is to find and nurture creative products and services that will improve customer value, save natural resources, or reduce carbon emissions. From the program’s inception in June 2012 through today, the program has received a total of 104 applications. The figure below summarizes the status of all applications through Q1 of FY 2023. So far this year, only a single academic collaboration has reached the threshold of value, quality, and relevance to be considered a good fit for a pilot project. CPAU is currently in discussions with some applicants about revising their projects and is also evaluating potential regional collaborations with promising early-stage companies. In order to provide more clarity for applicants and better focus the applications on CPAU’s priorities, staff is also revised the program’s guidelines to highlight what makes a compelling project pitch for CPAU. These updated program priorities and guidelines were released in 2021. If this program aligns with priorities and additional staff time is available, staff could work with universities and accelerators to solicit high-quality applications closely aligned with CPAU’s highest priorities. 6.3.1 Academic Collaborations CPAU staff worked with Keola Iskandar, a summer Stanford Fellow, to assess energy resiliency options for residential units in collaboration with Office of Emergency Services. Keola developed techno-economic models to compare the cost of different backup energy systems and the level of electric reliability these technologies may provide during an outage. The final report was presented at the December 2022 UAC meeting. CPAU was also contacted by Stanford professors for multiple other potential projects and is considering formal collaborations with them. 6.3.2 Completed Projects In FY 2023 CPAU has received zero applications, after declining all eight in FY 2022. Staff is also in discussions with a few start-ups and will consider asking them to apply for collaborations. - 39Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Figure 28: Status to date of all applications to the Program for Emerging Technologies Deadline Total Received Under Review Declined/Closed Active Completed FY 2013 13 0 11 0 2 FY 2014 15 0 11 0 4 FY 2015 15 0 11 0 4 FY 2016 14 0 9 0 5 FY 2017 10 0 7 0 3 FY 2018 10 0 9 0 1 FY 2019 9 0 5 0 4 FY 2020 8 0 3 0 5 FY 2021 2 0 1 0 1 FY 2022 8 0 8 0 0 FY 2023 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 104 0 75 0 29 - 40Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 7 Communications This section summarizes communications highlights, updates on major campaigns and noteworthy events. Copies of ads and bill inserts are available online at http://cityofpaloalto.org/UTLbillinsert. Water Supply and Drought:Staff have been proactive about communicating the current situation of water supply conditions and ever-changing water shortage emergency declarations. As a result of the continued dry conditions, CPAU continues a robust outreach campaign about water supply conditions, water use restrictions, and resources for water use efficiency. Staff are working with the Bay Area Water Supply and Conservation Agency (BAWSCA) and Valley Water to coordinate public education events. Updates are available at cityofpaloalto.org/water Business and Key Account Customer Surveys:CPAU regularly conducts customer satisfaction surveys and this fall is currently conducting a survey of our commercial, other non-residential, and Key Account customers. This survey aims to measure customer satisfaction levels and opinions, as well as identify opportunities to improve the services and programs we provide to all of our customers. High Gas Prices This Winter Outreach to Keep Utility Costs Low: CPAU anticipates high natural gas market prices this winter and are reaching out to customers in advance to offer tips to help keep their utility costs low. Staff are sharing information via the city’s website, social media channels, Nextdoor, email, utility bill announcements, with neighborhood groups, City Council, and the UAC. Energy efficiency tips are provided at www.cityofpaloalto.org/efficiencytips Gas Safety Outreach:Throughout the year, CPAU delivers a variety of outreach materials to the community about utility safety. An important element of our public awareness program is the annual distribution of our gas safety awareness brochure. Per Federal Department of Transportation regulations, we directly mail this information to all customers, non-customers living near a gas pipeline, public officials, emergency responders, excavators, contractors, and locators working in Palo Alto. Gas safety brochures were delivered in November. If interested in additional details about gas safety or this outreach, please visit cityofpaloalto.org/safeutility Gas Safety Awareness Surveys: It is important to assess the effectiveness of our outreach for gas safety to guide our actions, and it is also required for public awareness per the Federal Department of Transportation. A primary way most utilities, including CPAU, do this is by contacting stakeholders through a randomized phone or email survey to ask questions about gas safety. Questions address items such calling USA 811 before digging, who to call and what to do in case of a gas leak, among others. During the month of November, we will engage with a contractor to conduct these stakeholder awareness surveys. - 41Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Mayors Climate Protection Award:The City was recognized earlier this year with an honorable mention for the 2020 Mayors Climate Protection Awards. The award highlighted our Multifamily Gas Furnace to Heat Pump Retrofit Pilot Program, which will reduce the City’s greenhouse gas emissions and serves as a case study for future electrification projects in multifamily buildings. The Conference of Mayors made the announcement at their Annual Meeting in Reno, Nevada on June 3. Mayor Pat Burt and City staff received the award plaque in a special order of the day ceremony at the September 27 Council meeting. - 42Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 8 Legislative and Regulatory Activity 8.1 State Legislation At the time of this writing, the legislature is not in session. In January, at the same meeting where the UAC receives this quarterly update, staff will present information about 2022 bills that passed and what is expected in 2023. Also,in January, we will know if Governor Newsom did in fact call a special legislative session in December to delve into gas prices and oil company profits, and whether any proceedings also included discussions related to electric vehicles or energy prices. Fiscally, the state is not entering the new year in the surplus position expected and in fact, may end up with a $25 billion deficit or more depending on a possible recession. While the state has many billions in reserves to weather a downturn, the loss of surplus may mean less money for some of the Governor’s clean energy priorities. We will know more mid-January, when the Governor publishes his proposed budget. 8.2 State Regulatory Proceedings Below are issues currently before state regulatory bodies that CPAU is monitoring, primarily through our work with CMUA and NCPA. 8.2.1 Energy Commission The CEC implemented the voluntary Demand Side Grid Support Program and held a workshop related to offshore wind. 8.2.2 State Water Resources Control Board The Water Board held a second comment period for its Water Loss Control Standards rulemaking. Board staff is working on guidance for new federal Lead & Copper Rule Standards. 8.2.3 Air Resources Board CARB is poised to adopt an updated Scoping Plan, the State’s strategy for fighting climate change. 8.2.4 Natural Resources Agency The Wildfire Safety Advisory Board released its advisory comments to all POU Wildfire Mitigation Plans received in July 2022. The Board was complimentary of CPAU’s Plan.Staff is currently working on our 2023 Plan. - 43Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 Appendices - 44Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 9 Appendix A: Energy Risk Management Program This appendix provides a quarterly update on the City’s Energy Risk Management Program. 9.1 Overview of Hedging Programs The City’s Utilities Department maintains a hedging program for its Electric and Gas Utilities. In the Gas Utility the program protects against short-term (intra-month) price spikes caused by weather or major incidents on the Western gas system. However, the City does not hedge its gas supply more than one month in advance, choosing instead to protect the Gas Utility’s financial position by passing gas supply costs through to customers via a charge that varies monthly based on gas market prices. As a result, the Gas Utility’s only market exposure is the amount by which gas demand deviates from forecasts within the month. This exposure is relatively small and can be managed using Gas Utility Operating Reserves. A risk assessment is performed each year as part of the Gas Utility financial planning process to ensure adequate reserves to cover all risks. The most recent Gas Utility Financial Plan was adopted June 21, 2021 (Staff Report #12240). The City has entered into long-term contracts for its Electric Utility to ensure that the City has carbon free electricity supplies equal to 100% of Palo Alto’s annual electric demand. However, the output from these generating sources does not match Palo Alto’s electric load. In the summer,the City has a surplus of carbon free energy and it has a deficit in the winter. This exposes the City to market risk, and staff maintains a hedging program to protect against this risk. In addition,hydroelectric generators make up approximately half the City’s energy supply. During dry years these resources do not generate as much energy, creating an additional market exposure that must be hedged. Unlike the gas hedging program, which is operated by City staff, the electric hedging program is operated by the Northern California Power Agency (NCPA), a joint powers agency the City formed in partnership with several other California publicly owned electric utilities, with oversight by City staff. 9.2 Overview of Energy Risk Management Program The hedging programs described above are conducted in accordance with the City’s Energy Risk Management Program,which includes a set of Program Policies adopted by the City Council, Guidelines adopted by the City’s Utilities Risk Oversight Coordinating Committee (UROCC), and Procedures approved by the Utilities Director. In addition, for the electric hedging program, NCPA maintains its own Risk Management Program. The City is able to provide policy level oversight of this program through its seat on the NCPA Risk Oversight Committee, which is held by the City’s Risk Manager. Per the Energy Risk Management Policies, the City Council must receive quarterly reports on the City’s forward contract purchases, market exposure, credit exposure, counterparty credit ratings, transaction compliance, and other relevant data. 9.3 Forward Deals Below is a table of forward Electric Resource Adequacy deals made in Q1 of FY 2023.Palo Alto did not transact any Electric energy and Gas commodity deal in Q1 of FY 2023. Figure 29: Electric Resource Adequacy Contracts Delivery Month Deal Type Avg Capacity (MW/Mo.) Avg Price ($/kW/Mo.) Amount ($) Jan -Dec '22 Sale 9.45 7.25 823,000 - 45 Uti l i t i e s Q u a r t e r l y U p d a t e : Fi r s t Q u a r t e r o f F i s c a l Y e a r 2 0 2 3 Feb r u a r y 20 2 3 9.4 Ma r k e t Exp o s u r e Th e c h a r t be low s h o w s t h e C i t y ’ s m a r k e t e x p o s u r e a n d c o m m i t t e d a n d pla n n e d p u r c h a s e s a n d s a l e s t o c o v e r exp o s e d p o s i t i o n s . Fig u r e 30 : El e c t r i c L o a d R e s o u r c e B a l a n c e , Ap r i l 20 2 2 -Ma r c h 20 2 5 9.5 Tra n s a c t i o n C o m p l i a n c e Th e r e a re n o t r a n s a c t i o n e x c e p t i o n s o r v i o l a t i o n s t o r e p o r t . N -"' 0 0 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 De c-22 ., Jan-23 Feb-23 •' Ma r-23 Apr-23 May-23 Ju n-23 Ju l-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct -23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Ja n-24 Feb-24 Ma r-24 Apr-24 May-24 Ju n-24 Ju l-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct -24 Nov-24 De c-24 Jan -25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Monthly Load and Supply (GWh) ..... CTI 00 0 0 0 0 ,- 0 QI C. ..... N 0 "1:1 C: ... n n :r s: 0 e: QI 3 ID "" 3 ~ ;;:.· V, ...... QI ID ii" C. II> ---1 / - - ..... -"' 0 1L n ~ "' ~ "' 0 'ii/. j - r n 'a ii, ~ "' .. 'ii/. j n 'a ii, ~ .... .... "' 'ii/. . . . . l I 46Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 10 Appendix B: Staffing and Vacancies As of Q1 FY 2023, the Utilities Department has 48 vacant positions out of 253 authorized positions or a 19% vacancy rate. Below is a breakdown of the vacancies by division. The Electric Engineering and Operations (E&O) division continues to have the highest number and hardest positions to fill. Electric Engineering and Operations has a total of 29 vacancies or 32% vacancy percentage.The City is actively recruiting for 32 vacant positions.Due to HR staffing constraints, Utilities has designated three HR liaisons from Utilities Administration to assist HR with some of the recruitments. CPAU will reengage with third party recruiting firms for some of the vacant management and difficult-to-fill positions. Figure 31: Utilities Vacancies and Position Movements by Division, up to Q1 FY 2023 Division Authorized FTEs Vacant FTEs Active Recruitments Vacancy % Administrati on 20.5 3 1 15% Custome r Servi ce 23 2 1 9% Re source Manage me nt 25.5 3 1 12% Electric Ope rati ons 69 20 13 29% Electric Engi ne ering 21 9 8 43% WGW Operations 70 8 6 11% WGW Engineering 24 3 2 13% Total 253 48 32 19% - 47Utilities Quarterly Update: First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2023 February 2023 11 Appendix C: Gas Utility Annual Infrastructure Maintenance and Replacement Report In each Quarterly Update the Utilities Department will provide a detailed overview of a single utility’s investment and maintenance activity. An update on the gas utility was scheduled for this report, it is presented as Attachment B. - Updated: December 02, 2022 1 of 8 Gas Utility Asset Management Overview Executive Summary · The City provides safe and reliable natural gas service to residents and businesses; · The City meets or exceeds federal regulatory requirements (examples: Accelerated leak survey program & Cathodic Protection maintenance requirements); · Gas Main Replacement program continues to replace PVC and corroded steel pipeline material to increase safety and minimize greenhouse gas emissions; · Completed the installation of 20,170 LF of gas main, 126 new gas services, and 62 gas service reconnected on the Gas Main Replacement 23 project; · Annually inspects and maintains gas distribution assets; · Implement Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) and Meter Data Management (MDM) by September of 2022. Project awarded to Sensus. Infrastructure Planning Key infrastructure replacement efforts in the next five years include: ● Apply for federal grant funding opportunities for the replacement of PVC and corroded steel pipelines; ● Replace PVC and corroded steel pipelines, with polyethylene pipe, for gas mains and services; ● Maintain and inspect gas assets for regulatory compliance; ● Replace inoperable large-diameter emergency valves; ● Implement a calibrated hydraulic gas system model; ● Transition to an ESRI-based Geographical Information System (GIS); ● Upgrade utility fleet, equipment, and tools. System Operations and Maintenance Asset Management Goals What are our goals? -Create and utilize a calibrated hydraulic gas system model to prioritize future pipeline replacement projects. -Minimize gas service interruption during planned repairs, tie-ins, and installation by following gas handling procedures. -Continue with CIP replacements to reduce maintenance costs and minimize greenhouse gas emissions, while extending the gas system life. -Increase routine maintenance on aging pipelines to maximize asset life and keep replacement costs down. Figure 1: FTE (Full-time equivalent) Breakdown by Maintenance Category TOTAL FTE: 34.4 FTE 0 .13, 0.4% System Monitoring Updated: December 02, 2022 2 of 8 · Staff assigned to New Construction:  Perform gas main and service upgrades at various locations.  Support Capital Improvement Projects (CIP) and install bollards for meter protection.  Replace new gas services, valves, and meters for Development Services projects. · Staff assigned to System Monitoring:  Monitor and manage the system continuously to ensure it is operating safely and maintaining adequate pressure throughout the city. A 24/7 On-call staff responds to emergency alerts sent by the SCADA software. · Staff assigned to System Inspections:  Valve Exercise: Regularly exercise valves to meet regulatory requirements and ensure proper operation.  City Gate Stations: Annual inspection of the 4 gas receiving stations.  Cathodic Protection: Take monthly pipe-to-soil reads to monitor cathodic protection levels on steel pipelines.  Mobile and Walk Leak Survey: Perform annual mobile leak survey of the entire gas system and biennial walking leak surveys to detect underground gas leaks and check for atmospheric corrosion on aboveground pipelines.  Patrolling: Perform quarterly inspections of gas pipeline bridge spans and railroad crossings. · Staff assigned to Planned Maintenance:  Repair and replacement of gas distribution system pipeline, leaks, and valves.  Installation of bollards for meter protection.  Support on Gas Main Replacement projects. · Staff assigned to Unplanned Maintenance:  Respond to emergencies.  Repair and replace infrastructure requiring immediate attention. GAS MAINTENANCE ONGOING Table 1: Status of Gas System Operation and Maintenance Programs System Operation or Maintenance Program Status Green = good Yellow = room for improvement Comments Emergency Valve Inspection and Exercise Annual maintenance and exercise are performed on schedule as part of compliance. Valves are exercised, greased, and cleaned to ensure the valve nut is accessible and operable. Emergency valve lids are coated in yellow and are brass tagged for identification. Non-Emergency Valve Inspection and Exercise Inspected and exercised once every 5 years per City’s goal for maintenance. Valves are exercised, greased, and cleaned to ensure the valve nut is accessible and operable. Operations is planning to have a program to locate and expose paved valve cover lids. • • Updated: December 02, 2022 3 of 8 System Monitoring Continuous system monitoring and alerts via SCADA. Gas Operations staff handles the monitoring of the gas system and are adequately trained to operate the system. On-call staff responds to emergency alerts after-hours. System updates are done regularly. City Gate Station Maintenance Annual maintenance is performed on the 4 City gate stations’ regulators along with visual inspection of aboveground piping and fences. Every station has dual runs with two regulators per run for redundancy, a working regulator, and a backup (monitoring) regulator, which are alternated each year. Gas Supply Monitoring Monthly gas meter revenue reports are generated for each station from PG&E’s monitoring module. The City’s SCADA technician monitors and reviews the reports. Whenever a discrepancy is detected, the SCADA technician requests maintenance and repair from PG&E. Staff propose installation of City flow meters and gas quality monitoring equipment for each station, which would allow City to validate PG&E’s billed gas volumes and gas quality. Pressure Monitoring There are currently 10 pressure monitoring points around the City of Palo Alto, one at each of the 4 City gate stations and 6 in the outer ends of the City. The pressure monitoring points in the City are being well maintained by Operations. Additional pressure transducers for pressure monitoring stations throughout the system would improve system monitoring and expedite responses in emergencies. Large Commercial Gas Meter Maintenance (Includes VA Hospital) Large commercial gas meters include rotary, ultrasonic, and turbine meter types. These meters are maintained biennial and replaced once every 10 years. In 2021, only visual inspections were done for the meters. Maintenance that includes calibration and checking of oil levels fell behind in 2021 due to a shortage of staff. Staff is aiming to catch up on maintenance in 2021. Gas Curb Meter Maintenance The 3-year inspection and maintenance cycle is on schedule. The City’s curb meters are replaced once every 10 years. Curb meters that cannot be retrofitted will be replaced as part of the new AMI project with Sensus. Residential and Commercial Gas Meter Maintenance Meters are inspected and maintained every two years. Maintenance includes repainting as needed, leak survey, and aboveground visual assessment of the gas meter set. Gas Inspection Along Bridges The City has 28 gas main bridge crossings that require maintenance. Visual inspection (pipeline markers, pipeline support condition, wrap condition, etc.) and leak surveys are performed quarterly each year. Recoating of Ross Road gas main was completed in 2021. One crossing (Foothill Expressway) was abandoned in 2021 and future projects will abandon more. Unplanned Maintenance No backlogs of leaks or assets in need of repair. The City maintains an emergency on-call program to respond to and control gas leaks • • 0 0 0 • • • • Updated: December 02, 2022 4 of 8 Table 2: Condition of Gas System Assets or other system emergencies after hours. In order to remain in compliance, the staff is pulled to respond to emergency situations, resulting in delays in planned work. Currently experiencing long lead times for material. Cathodic Protection Maintenance and Monitoring 24-hour rectifier monitoring and alerts via Elecsys. Elecsys provides our Cathodic operators with the troubleshooting and software support for their system. Rectifiers and galvanic anodes are regularly inspected and are in good condition. Anodes are replaced as needed and require more frequent replacement during the ongoing drought. Operations is currently using Paradigm software to generate annual DOT reports. Paradigm will need a software update from the manufacturer (Fera) for compatibility with the current operating system. An apprenticeship program for the cathodic protection crew is suggested to ensure a sufficient supply of trained staff. Asset Class Quantity Maintenance Asset Condition Gas Receiving Stations (City Gate Station) 4 Annual maintenance 1 station undergoes maintenance each quarter. Standard maintenance is performed by the City’s meter technicians. · Visual inspection and regulator alternating is performed annually · Paint is inspected quarterly and replaced as needed · Equipment and parts are maintained quarterly and are in good condition. · Station enclosure and safety headers are adequate and in good condition. · Station regulators are rebuilt once every three years. Pressure Monitoring Stations 6 system testing points and 4 Gate Stations Annual calibration and maintenance · The pressure monitoring points in the City are maintained regularly by Operations. · The pressure monitoring systems in all 4 City gate gas stations were updated in 2016 when the stations were rebuilt. · 5 of the 6 pressure monitoring points at the outer ends of the City are over 20 years old. They should be upgraded from conduit to fiber optic and additional pressure monitoring stations should be added. Cathodic Protection 577 test stations Annual maintenance · 158 test stations, on average, are read monthly throughout the year to meet and exceed the yearly maintenance regulation. 0 Updated: December 02, 2022 5 of 8 Rectifier and Galvanic 42 Rectifiers & 10 Galvanic systems Monthly maintenance · Rectifier systems are in good condition and are being monitored through Elecsys for power interruptions or low readings. · Anode-based systems are suggested for an upgrade to rectifiers due to poor performance during the ongoing drought. Meter Regulators Gas Meter Audit Project Once every two years for the entire system · Operations replaces regulators every 20 years as needed as part of the gas meter replacement maintenance. · The City is planning to establish a program to replace large orifice regulators with properly sized regulators. Gas Meters ~24600 · Maintenance of curb meters and residential meters is in good standing. · Maintenance for large commercial gas meters is aiming to catch up in 2021 with recent full staffing. · The City is implementing Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) with Sensus to transition to smart meters. Currently in alpha stage 2021. Risers ~17395 Atmospheric Survey Maintenance The survey is performed every two years. Risers are in good condition. They are inspected during the biennial leak survey. EFV (Excess Flow Valve) ~8370 No routine maintenance is required for the EFVs in the system. The City is planning to perform an EFV trip-test when replacing gas meters. Gas Valves 110 Emergency Valves ~3500 regular valves Annual emergency valve maintenance Regular valve maintenance is performed once every 5 years Maintenance of emergency gas valves and regular valves is in good standing. Maintenance activities include exercising valves, greasing valves, cleaning the valve boxes, and ensuring valve nut is accessible. Gas Main and Services ~210 miles of main ~17,395 services Mobile and Walking Leak Survey · Ongoing Gas Main Replacement program continues as planned, prioritizing leak-prone seismically susceptible PVC and corrosion-prone steel pipelines. · The single Gas Service Replacement project replaced the majority of ABS and tenite gas services in the City. The only remaining ABS and tenite services are on streets with active street-cutting moratoriums. These remaining services will be replaced by City crews as their moratoriums expire. · Once ready, the calibrated hydraulic gas system model will be used to prioritize future pipeline replacement projects. Updated: December 02, 2022 6 of 8 SCADA Software NA Quarterly updates for the system and everyday troubleshooting for the 4 City gate stations The City’s SCADA system is structured for Electrical Utilities but also handles all needed functions for the gas system. Quarterly patches and updates ensure the system is in proper working order. Several gas operations staff are trained to monitor the SCADA system but are not trained to perform repairs, which are handled by the City’s SCADA tech or third-party contractors. Updated: December 02, 2022 7 of 8 FIGURE 2: 2021 Gas Maintenance and Inspection Charts 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 349 0 0 0 58 698 698 698 349 349 0 200 400 600 800 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Non-Emergency Valve Operation Valves Exercised Monthly Goal Remaining Valve Inspections 0 0 0 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 110 110 00 20 40 60 80 100 120 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Emergency Valve Operation Valves Maintained Monthly Goal Remaining Valve Inspections 1 1 1 1 4 3 2 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 4 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 4 City Gate Maintenance Station Maintained Remaining Stations 1 Station Per Quarter Goal 247 160 265 299 367 335 291 160 227 157 225 157 2880 147 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Ba c k l o g f o r P i p e - t o - S o i l R e a d s Pi p e - t o - S o i l R e a d s Test Stations Pipe-to-Soil Reads Pipe-to-Soil Reads Remaining Test Stations 20 21 20 21 20 21 20 21 20 21 20 21 41 0 41 0 41 0 41 0 41 0 41 00 10 20 30 40 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Rectifier Tests Pipe-to-Soil Reads Bimonthly Tests Requirement 28 28 28 28 2828282828 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2020 Pipeline Patrol Maintenance Maintained Pipe Mains along Bridges and Crossings Quarterly Maintenance Goal Quartely Maintenance Requirement Cathodic Protection Gas Valves City Gate Maintenance Pipeline Patrol Maintenance \\...---- ---1---r--1---r----------. T ----------- I I I I I I I I I I I ___ l__J - - - I I I I I I I I I I - --------:---------- Updated: December 02, 2022 8 of 8 19 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 118 42 26 5 3 3 2 0% 50% 100% 5c 8c 3000 5000 23m 3" Ultra 4" Ultra 35 Tur 2 Year Large Volume Meter Maintenance Program Completed Pending Total 3 2 4 1 1 4 4 1 3 0 1 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Emergency Leaks (Grade 1) Repaired Emergency Leaks Repaired Emergency leaks found 1 1 1 1 1 222 2 4 3 3 2 10 0 2 5 5 6 7 3 5 7 8 7 0 5 10 0 5 10 15 20 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Gr a d e 2 L e a k s Gr a d e 2 L e a k s R e p a i r e d a n d No L e ak F o u n d Grade 2 Leaks Grade 2 Leaks Repaired Added Leaks Found in 2021 Grade 2 Leaks 5 2 3 2 20 1 10 4 2 1 2 127 126 102 110 110 111 111 111 110 112 112 112 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 10 20 30 40 50 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Al l G r a d e 3 L e a k s Gr a d e 3 L e a k s R e p a i r e d a n d N o Le a k s F o u n d Grade 3 Leaks Grade 3 Leaks Repaired Resurveyed, No Leak Found G3 Leaks Found Grade 3 Leaks Gas Meters Planned Maintenance (Monitored Leaks with planned repairs) Unplanned Maintenance Emergency leaks are repaired immediately Note: Additional staffing and the AMI & GMR projects increased the overall number of meters replaced in 2021. Staff will re-evaluate the overall monthly goal. Note: Additional staffing and the AMI & GMR projects increased the overall number of meters replaced in 2021. Staff will re-evaluate the overall monthly goal. 1 1 1 3 250 200 150 100 so 0 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Gas Meter Replacement Program 214 158 167 172 175 169 139 108 101 -Replaced Meters -----Monthly Goal 1--161 61 ---t -li " JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Gas Meter Testing Program 427 -Tested Meters 60 345 381 355 287 -----Monthly Goal 263 l-1 --I ,,, ---JfJ ,, JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC I I I I I I I I ■ ■ • I I ' ' I 'l - -- \ I -\ \ I \ \ I \ \ I \ I \ I \ I I I \ I \ I \ I \ I i \ I 1--1 \ ,1 ,,, Emer£ency leaks are repaired immediately ------ !.1 ····---• -